Sunday, June 12, 2011
International models also show the centre of AS-1 on land, between Junagadh and Veraval in Gujarat.
Very heavy rainfall in Saurashtra as on Sunday morning in cms: Sutrapada (dist Junagarh) 27, Veraval (dist Junagarh) 17, Kodinar (dist Junagarh) 9, Talala (dist Junagarh) 8, Upleta (dist Rajkot) 8, Manavadar (dist Junagarh) 6, Dhoraji (dist Rajkot) 5, Junagadh (dist Junagarh) 3,
AS-1 has weakened considerably in the last 6 hrs. Sat image as on 10.30 IST Sunday. Pressure rises to 1004 mb, and winds at 25 knts. Just about a well maked low now. And having moved NW
Precipitation quantum has now reduced, with heavy rains restricted along the SW coast of Gujarat.
Mentioned yesterday about the J1 effect. That's it. AS-1 will weaken in the next 6 hrs, and move NW.
Clouding along eastern region of Sindh coast on Monday, with light to medium rainfall. Clouds will reach Karachi, by Monday/Tuesday, but rainfall ? Yes, a question mark. Maybe just around 5 mms. (Really, hope I go wrong for the citizens )!
J1 is precipitating rainfall in the northern regions of the sub-continent.
Good rainfall like 106 mms in Dharamshala, 38 mms in Mandi and 30 mms in Bhuntar (all H.P.) and 18 mms in Jammu and 12 mms in Simla was recorded. Various places in Kashmir received between 10-20 mms. Some rain was measured in Punjab too.
Across the border, J1 was active, and precipitated 52 mms in Gujranwala, 44 mms in Muree and 40 mms in Islamabad besides 10-20 mms in other cities in the North.
The above developments will keep the SWM stuck in the western sector in the current position , 20N along west coast, and inland as seen in vagaries map. Northern/Central India and Gujarat will haveto wait longer.
SWM could have moved into Gujarat, but the rainfall from AS1 was in the SW corner of Saurashtra,and South Gujarat and eastern parts were bereft of precipitation. See rain map.
But, BB1 is poised to intensify, and good graduate to a low soon. On happening, will move the SWM into Nepal and more regions of Bengal.
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