Tuesday, March 19, 2019

Posted Tuesday Evening 19th March:

See Mumbai Page for Latest Mumbai/Pune Weather Update


Equinox And Super moon This Week

 | (Alabama Weather Blog)

The Sun is directly over the equator during the equinoxes (right)
The March equinox arrives on Wednesday marking the beginning of astronomical spring in the northern hemisphere. Since this is measured by Earth’s trip around the Sun, it occurs at the same instant in all time zones. This is when the Sun is directly over the equator. That sub solar point continues moving northward until it is directly above the tropic of Cancer at the June solstice.
Completely unrelated to the coming equinox, the Moon reaches perigee or the closest point in its orbit to Earth on Tuesday March 19 when it is just 359,381 km away. It will be fully unlimited on Thursday the 21st having only receded by a little more than a thousand miles. That’s good enough for government work and a super moon.
This doesn’t happen every month because the moon’s orbital period, aka anomalistic month, is 27.55 days while the time it takes to go from full moon to full moon, aka synodic month, is 29.53 days.
Just go out and enjoy the big beautiful Moon, especially near moon rise or set when it will look its biggest.

Saturday, March 16, 2019

Maharashtra temperatures on 16th March... Nights are still comfortable as in March

Data provided by Shri Hosalikar (RMC Mumbai) 

Thursday, March 14, 2019

Global Impacts of ENSO Reach into the Stratosphere

(from Earth and Space News)

El Niño events have significant global impacts on weather and climate, but these reach up into the stratosphere, beyond the troposphere where most of Earth’s weather takes place.
By , and 
El Niño–Southern Oscillation (ENSO), the atmosphere–ocean coupled phenomenon associated with multi-year variations in the sea surface temperatures in the tropical Pacific, can lead to extreme changes in weather around the globe through so-called teleconnections.
ENSO teleconnections extend into the stratosphere, the layer of the atmosphere above the troposphere where most of Earth’s weather takes place. Variability in the stratosphere can also influence surface weather, both in the tropics and in the polar and midlatitude regions.
A recent paper in Reviews of Geophysics describes the observational and modeling work over recent decades that has increased our knowledge about how ENSO alters the conditions in the stratosphere from the tropics to both poles. Here, the authors of the paper give an overview of our understanding and outline the research challenges that remain.
How do El Niño events affect the stratosphere?
During the warm phase of El Niño, increased atmospheric convection in the tropical Central Pacific drives large-scale atmospheric waves that influence weather far from from the tropics. These waves can amplify vertically into the stratosphere, which strengthens the equator-to-pole circulation in the stratosphere (the Brewer-Dobson circulation), enhancing the upward motion in the tropics and downward motion at the poles in the stratosphere. This circulation change is associated with a cooling of the tropical lower stratosphere, and a warming of the polar regions in both hemispheres. The anomalous wave propagation also weakens the stratospheric polar vortex, leading to a higher probability of so-called sudden stratospheric warming events, which can induce cold air outbreaks over Europe.
The changes in tropical heating and convection also influence the tropical stratosphere. In the lower tropical stratosphere, a cooling is observed along with a decrease in ozone during El Niño, with strong zonal asymmetries, especially in the lowermost stratosphere. The wind anomalies associated with the tropical stratospheric Quasi-Biennial Oscillation (QBO) tend to propagate downward faster during El Niño than during La Niña.
El Nino impacts in the troposphere and stratosphere
Global impacts in the troposphere and stratosphere during El Niño events. Credit: Domeisen et al. [2018], Figure 4
How are stratospheric processes differently affected during La Niña events as compared to El Niño?
During La Niña events, the opposite stratospheric response is observed in most regions, but the response is not symmetric between El Niño and La Niña for all observed impacts and regions. For example, the observed frequency of Arctic sudden stratospheric warmings is similar for El Niño and La Niña winters rather than being opposite.
Even in regions where the opposite response is observed, La Niña and El Niño events of a similar strength (as measured by the magnitude of the sea surface temperature anomalies in the tropical Pacific) do not necessarily produce teleconnections of equal magnitude for both the troposphere and the stratosphere.
It is not clear whether some of these observed differences in La Niña and El Niño teleconnections arise from the asymmetric forcing in the tropical Pacific, or if they reflect internal atmospheric variability affecting the teleconnections.

Monday, March 11, 2019

Posted Tuesday 12th: Effect of M-2 

from the Tribune
Biting cold wave conditions further aggravated in Himachal as tribal areas and other higher hills received fresh snowfall while severe storm lashed mid and lower hills accompanied by rains and sleet.
Icy winds accompanied by sharp showers lashed state capital Shimla forcing people to stay indoors while adjoining tourist resort of Kufri received light snowfall.
Higher reaches in Lahaul & Spiti, Kinnaur, Chamba and Kullu received fresh snowfall while lower hills of Mandi, Bilaspur, Hamirpur, Kangra and Solan had widespread rains causing sharp fall in temperature.
Kalpa and Manali received 5 cm and 3 cm of snow while Rohtang Pass and Kothi had 30 cms of snow. Chamba was the wettest in the state with 19 mm of rains followed by Tissa 16 mm, Sundernagar 10 mm, Manali 9 mm, Dalhousie 8mm, Bhuntar 7mm Shimla and Sarahan 5 mm.
The maximum temperatures dropped from 25.2 degree to 18.3 degree C at Una. Keylong recorded the minimum temperature at minus 5 degree while Kalpa, Kufri and Manali recorded a low of minus 0.6 degree, 2.5 degree and 3.6 degree, respectively.
Posted 11th March Monday

Western Disturbance M-2 (See last post below for details)


Friday, March 08, 2019

Posted Friday Evening 8th March:

March Heat Wave in Tamil Nadu and Southern A.P.

Maximum Temperatures: Highest Maximum Temperature: Madurai, Salem, Karur Paramathi and Tirupathi airport: 41.0C

Departure from Normal: 
 
Maximum Day Temperatures likely to gradually increase by 2/3c in Central and Western India this weekend (Saturday/Sunday).
Western Disturbance M-2 will be over Northern Mountains and NW India on 11 th  March (Monday). Rains likely in Kashmir, H.P, and lighter rains in Punjab, Haryana and Delhi on Monday.

Mumbai: Weekend will be warm around 33c in the day and 21c at night. But Eastern Outer Townships like Badlapur, Karjat, Thane and Panvel likely to heat up to 37/38c this weekend.
Pune: Likely to be warm/hot this weekend around 35/36c. Nights around 16/18c.




Sunday, February 24, 2019

Posted Sunday 24th February Night:

Due to F-5 moving East, and interacting with Easterly Moist winds, heavy thunder showers likely in Kolkata on Monday and Tuesday (50-70 mms). Very Heavy thunder showers in some parts likely on Monday.

With Western Disturbance F-5 moving away, we see another Back -to- Back WD coming in approaching our Sub Continent again (F-6) from 25th. 
Into Pakistan , F-6 will cover most of the Northern Regions and have precipitations down South till Sindh.
Karachi will get showers and light rains on Monday 25th and Tuesday 26th.

F-6 moves into India on the 26th, with good rains /snow in Kashmir, H.P. and Uttarakhand. Rains likely in the plains of NW India. On 26th, rains with hails, will occur in Punjab, Haryana, North Rajasthan, Delhi, West U.P. and Northern M.P.
Cool NW winds blowing across Saurashtra will bring cooler weather to Gujarat on Tuesday and Wednesday.

New Delhi will get showers , heavy in some parts, upto 10 mms, on Tuesday and some showers on Wednesday. Tuesday/Wednesday days will be cool around 19c. Nights will drop to 7-9c.

Jabalpur: Light rains likely on 27th Wednesday.

Mumbai: Saw the warm weekend with the maximum on Saturday and Sunday at 35c. Likely to start getting to 32c on Monday and pleasantly cool with below 30c temps in the day on Tuesday 26th and Wednesday 27th. Nights around 13-15c on 25th/26th. Windy evenings these two days.

Pune: Again, after a warm Saturday/Sunday recording 36c, Pune will start cooling down from Monday 25th. Tuesday/Wednesday will be cool, with minimum going down to 9-11c.

Another Back to Back Western Disturbance,  F-7, approaches our Region on 28th February ( In North Pakistan) and 1st March into India.




Thursday, February 21, 2019

As  "Earth warms,"  Michigan's  Upper  Peninsula  to  get  more  snow

See  the  Normal  Annual  Snowfall  increase  in  last  30  years...Mid Western States, U.S

Wednesday, February 20, 2019

F-5 Activity on Wednesday




Posted Wednesday 20th February 2019


The Ozone Hole: 

Closing the Gap

 Every day, as the Sun shines on the Earth, it sends ultraviolet rays that can cause sunburn and sometimes damage our DNA. Like a sunscreen for our planet, the ozone layer absorbs most of this harmful radiation and protects us. 
But in the early 1980s, scientists discovered that the ozone layer was thinning over Antarctica each August and September. 
In 1987, nations around the world came together to fix the problem through the Montreal Protocol. The international treaty banned the production of ozone-depleting chemicals like chloroflurocarbons or CFCs. But these chemicals had been in use for decades, and they stay in the atmosphere for a long time so it took a while to see the effects of the ban. 
In 2000, the ozone hole was the largest ever observed by scientists. 
But conditions slowly improved. Data from NASA and several partners showed a 20 percent decrease in ozone depletion during August/September from 2005 to 2016.

In 2017, the hole was the smallest since 1988. A year later, the hole was smaller than expected. Studies suggest that the ozone layer over Antarctica should mostly recover by the middle of the 21st century.
NASA Earth Observatory

See Video: https://youtu.be/6BUT16jfoKk

Tuesday, February 19, 2019

19th February 2019

Mumbai Water Supplying Lakes Storage:

As against a full supply position of 1447000 mlitres, the total storage on date is 608000 mllitres. That is 42% full from capacity. 
Todays supply is at the reduced rate of 3400 mltrs, so stock is for 178 days from date....that is upto 15th August 2019.

Info credit Vagarian Jayesh Mehta

Sunday, February 17, 2019

Posted Sunday 17th Night:

F-3 over North India now. Rains/snow expected next 2 days.
Delhi NCR; Moderate rains next 3 days. 
F-4, more intense approaches North India and NW plains on 20th. More Rains in North from F-4

Mumbai: Pleasant spell to subside..Gradual increase in warmth next 3 days. 
Pune/Aurangabad: Gradual heat up leading to 35c by Mid week. Wait for weekend !

Kolkata: Hot on Wednesday and Thursday to 35c...

Australia’s Record Hot January: Mostly Weather, Not Climate Change

February 4th, 2019 by Roy W. Spencer, Ph. D.
The Australian Bureau of Meteorology (BOM) claims January, 2019 was record-hot. There is no doubt it was very hot — but just how hot… and why?
The BOM announcement mentions “record” no less than 28 times… but nowhere (that I can find) in the report does it say just how long the historical record is. My understanding is that it is since 1910. So, of course, we have no idea what previous centuries might have shown for unusually hot summers.
The assumption is, of course, that anthropogenic global warming is to blame. But there is too much blaming of humans going on out there these days, when we know that natural weather fluctuations also cause record high (and low) temperatures, rainfall, etc.
But how is one to know what records are due to the human-component of global warming versus Mother Nature? (Even the UN IPCC admits some of the warming since the 1950s could be natural. Certainly, the warming from the Little Ice Age until 1940 was mostly natural.)
One characteristic of global warming is that it is (as the name implies) global— or nearly so (maybe not over Antarctica). In contrast, natural weather variations are regional, tied to natural variations and movements in atmospheric circulation systems.
That “weather” was strongly involved in the hot Australian January can be seen by the cooler than normal temperatures in coastal areas centered near Townsville in the northeast, and Perth in the southwest:  



The extreme heat was caused by sinking air, which caused clear skies and record-low rainfall in some areas.
But why was the air sinking? It was being forced to sink by rising air in precipitation systems off-shore. All rising air must be exactly matched by an equal amount of sinking air, and places like Australia and the Sahara are naturally preferred for this — thus the arid and semi-arid environment. The heat originates from the latent heat release due to rain formation in those precipitation systems.
If we look at the area surrounding Australia in January, we can see just how localized the “record” warmth was. The snarky labels reflect my annoyance at people not thinking critically about the difference between ‘weather’ and ‘climate change’: 



January 2019 surface temperature anomalies (deg. C, relative to the 1981-2010 average) from NOAA’s Global Forecast System (GFS) analysis fields. Unlabeled graphic courtesy of WeatherBell.com.

So, the claims of the usual suspects such as “Australia’s Extreme Heat is a Sign of Things to Come” is just one more example of the blind leading the blind.

Wednesday, February 13, 2019

Posted Wednesday 13th Afternoon:

Western Disturbance F-2 is now almost over North India on Wednesday. Wednesday/Thursday will see the effect of an induced low forming over Rajasthan, and on Thursday/Friday the low attracts the Easterlies over North and Central India.
Resultant good rains/snow on Wednesday and Thursday in Kashmir, H.P, Uttarakahnad and rainfall in North Rajasthan, Haryana , Punjab and Delhi on Wednesday and Thursday.

Thursday Friday sees rains in the North and Central India regions of M.P, Vidharbh.

Jabalpur gets showers on Friday 15th. Temperatures showing a fall after that on Sat/Sunday.
Nagpur gets light rains to showers on Friday.
Temperatures drop in North/NW and Central India on Saturday/Sunday.
West also sees a fall in temperatures on the weekend.
New Delhi will get showers or thunder showers on Thursday and Friday. Cooling the days. Around 15-30 mms expected in 2 days.

F-3 will be appearing around 18th over Pakistan, with rainfall possible in Sindh from it.
F-3 approaches India on 18th/19th with more rains in the North.

Mumbai: Wednesday Thursday will be warm at 34/35c with nights around 20c at Scruz. Gradual cooling from Friday 15th, with the days cooling down to below 29c and nights may register 15/16c at Scruz.

Pune: Warm on Wednesday and Thursday. Cooling from Friday with weekend touching 9/10c.

Sunday, February 10, 2019

If the Polar Vortex is due to Global Warming, Why are U.S. Cold Waves Decreasing?

January 31st, 2019 by Roy W. Spencer, Ph. D.

It’s much easier to devise and promote a climate change theory than it is to falsify it. Falsification requires a lot of data over a long period of time, something we don’t usually have in climate research.
The “polar vortex” is the deep cyclonic flow around a cold air mass generally covering the Arctic, Canada, and Northern Asia during winter. It is irregularly shaped, following the far-northern land masses, unlike it’s stratospheric cousin, which is often quite symmetric and centered on the North and South Poles.
For as long as we have had weather records (extending back into the 1800s), lobes of cold air rotating generally from west to east around the polar vortex sometimes extend down into the U.S. causing wild winter weather and general unpleasantness.
We used to call this process “weather”. Now it’s called “climate change”.

When these cold air outbreaks continued to menace the United States even as global warming has caused global average temperatures to creep upward, an explanation had to be found. After all, snow was supposed to be a thing of the past by now.

In other words, as the theory goes, global warming sometimes causes colder winters. This is what makes global warming theory so marvelously adaptable — it can explain anything.
In the wake of the current cold wave, John Christy skated into my office this morning with a plot of U.S. winter cold waves since the late 1800s. He grouped the results by region, and examined cold waves lasting a minimum of 2 days at a station, and 5 days at a station. The results were basically the same.
As can be seen in the plot below, there is no evidence in the data supporting the claim that decreasing Arctic sea ice in recent decades is causing more frequent displacement of cold winter air masses into the eastern U.S., at least through the winter of 2017-18:



The trend is markedly downward in the most recent 40 years (since 1979) which is the earliest we have reliable measurements of Arctic sea ice from satellite microwave radiometers (my specialty).
Now, I suppose that Arctic sea ice decline could have some influence. But weather is immensely complex. Cause and effect is often difficult to ascertain.
At a minimum we should demand good observational support for any specific claim. 
In this case I would say that the connection between Eastern U.S. cold waves and Arctic sea ice is speculative, at best.
Just like most theories of climate change.

Saturday, February 09, 2019

Today Mumbai sees coldest morning of this season and also witnesses 2nd lowest temp in last 6 yrs for Feb month.

Pune also witnessed coldest morning of this season & also sees 2nd lowest temp in last 6 yrs for Feb month.


Also was lowest temp of season in parts of North Kokan & Madhya MH region in Maharashtra.



Some temp info in map format:


Above map prepared by Tejas & Data input by Abhijit




Nashik district stations min temp for today (Below 5℃) (09-02-2019):

Khedgaon (Dindori) 1.6℃
Pimpri (Niphad) 2.3℃
Mokbhangi (Kalwan) 2.4℃
Deogaon (Niphad) 2.5℃
Dangsaudane (Baglan) 2.6℃
Niphad 3℃
Dangsaudane (Baglan) 4℃
Nashik 4℃ (Is 2nd lowest temp in last 10 yrs for Feb month)
Taked (Igatpuri) 4.1℃
Kalwan 4.2℃
Abhona (Kalwan) 4.3℃
Satana (Baglan) 4.4℃

Above info compiled by Vagarian Shivkumar

Data courtesy IMD & Mahavedh

Friday, February 08, 2019

Posted Friday 8th Morning:
Mumbai:
Friday expected to be cool around 25/26c in the day. Saturday morning cold at around 12/13c. Day a couple of degrees higher at 28c. Sunday , again a bit warmer around 28/29c. 
Monday /Tuesday/Wednesday warm at around 33/34c, and nights rising to 19/20c.

Pune : Cool till Sunday, expected drop on Saturday to 8/9c. 
Next week warmer, with cloudy weather, and light rain in some parts on Tuesday/Wednesday.
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Posted Wednesday 6th Morning:
Mumbai can expect cooler days and nights till Saturday. Pleasant weather from 7th-9th with temperature range between 27/28c and 13/14c at Scruz.
So, a pleasant period from Wednesday....
Pune too will get cold at 8/9c from Wednesday

Monday, February 04, 2019

Posted Monday 4th February Afternoon:

The February Western Disturbance, F-1, is approaching.Will bring precipitation rain/snow in Upper Pakistan on 4th/5th, with some rainfall in upper Sindh regions.

On 6th, F-1 moves into India via the Western Himalayan route. The intense W.D. will bring heavy amounts of rain/snow in Kashmir, H.P. and Uttarakhand on 6th and 7th, while actually commencing from 5th February. 
Induced Low and subsequent wind confluence will result in 
Rain, thunder  and hail  also in Punjab, Haryana, Delhi and North Rajasthan and  U.P. on Wednesday 6th and Thursday 7th. With sharp drop in day temperatures.
Parts of Northern M.P. (Jabalpur- drop in day temperatures) will get light to medium rains on 7th.
Light rain expected in Vidharbh on 7th Thursday (Nagpur).

Mumbai:
Warm and partly cloudy on Monday. Monday/Tuesday days likely to be around 32/33c, with lows at 19/20c.
From Wednesday 6th, Mumbai can expect cooler days and nights till Saturday. Pleasant weather from 7th-9th with temperature range between 27/28c and 13/14c at Scruz.
So, a  pleasant period from Wednesday....

Pune

Warm on Monday 4th and Tuesday 5th, with partly cloudy skies and a bit more humid. Days around 32c.
But, better from Wednesday thru Saturday, with days dropping to 26/27c and nights to 8/9c on Wednesday and Thursday.

Saturday, February 02, 2019

Mumbai Scruz Average January Temperatures comparing last 3 years:

2019 >>   Avg Max: 31.3c    Highest 35.5c and coolest day 27.2c
               
                 Avg Min: 15.9c    Coldest 13.2c and warmest Night 19.2c.


2018 >>   Avg Max:  31.6c    Highest 35.6c and coldest day  27.2c
             
                Avg Min:   17.1c    Coldest  13.6c and warmest Night  21.8c


2017 >>  Avg Max    31.9c       Highest 35.8c  and coldest day  27.8c

                Avg Min:   16.3c       Coldest 11.9c and warmest Night 19.4c.


Pune Average January Temperatures comparing last 3 years:


2019 >>    Avg Max: 30.2c       Highest 33.1c and coolest day  26.5c

                 Avg Min:  9.9c         Coldest 6.9c and warmest night  12.2c

2018 >>    Avg Max:  29.9c     Highest  33.4c and coldest day  27.5c

                 Avg Min:   12.2c      Coldest  9.9c adn warmest Night   16.2c

2017 >>    Avg Max: 29.8c       Highest 32.2c and  coldest day   27.5c

                 Avg Min:  11.2c        Coldest 7.4c  and warmest 15.2c

Tuesday, January 29, 2019

Posted Tuesday Afternoon:  See Article Below

J-5 approaching from Tomorrow as mentioned...

Minimum Temperatures recorded on Tuesday 29th  Morning:
Rajasthan:
Churu -1.1c, Mt Abu 0.0c and Udaipur 2.8c, Pilani  2.5c.

Jammu and Kashmir:
Leh  -17c, Pahalgam  -14c, Gulamarg  -12c, Srinagar  -5.4c.

Himachal:
Keylong  -16c, Kalpa  -9c, Manali  -5.8c,   Kullu -1c,  Shimla  0.8c.

Punjab: Jalandhar & Kapurthala  1.0c, Amritsar 1.5c, 

Delhi Palam 5.1c, Sjung 5.4c.

Maharashtra  
Nagpur 6.5c, Nasik  7.0c, Ahmedngar 7.2c, Aurangabad 7.9c, 

M.P. 
Satna 0.8c, Umeria 2.3c , Panchmarhi 3.0c, Betul & Gwalior 3.8c, 



Article:


Inverse Hockey-Stick: climate related death risk for an individuals down 99% since 1920


Fewer and fewer people die from climate-related natural disasters.
This is clearly opposite of what you normally hear, but that is because we’re often just being told of one disaster after another – telling us how *many* events are happening. The number of reported events is increasing, but that is mainly due to better reporting, lower thresholds and better accessibility (the CNN effect). For instance, for Denmark, the database only shows events starting from 1976.
Instead, look at the number of dead per year, which is much harder to fudge. Given that these numbers fluctuate enormously from year to year (especially in the past, with huge droughts and floods in China), they are here presented as averages of each decade (1920-29, 1930-39 etc, with last decade as 2010-18). The data is from the most respected global database, the International Disaster Database. There is some uncertainty about complete reporting from early decades, which is why this graph starts in 1920, and if anything this uncertainty means the graph *underestimates* the reduction in deaths. 
Notice, this does *not* mean that there is no global warming or that possibly a climate signal could eventually lead to further deaths. Instead, it shows that our increased wealth and adaptive capacity has vastly outdone any negative impact from climate when it comes to human climate vulnerability.
Notice that the reduction in absolute deaths has happened while the global population has increased four-fold. The individual risk of dying from climate-related disasters has declined by 98.9%. Last year, fewer people died in climate disasters than at any point in the last three decades (1986 was a similarly fortunate year).
Somewhat surprisingly, while climate-related deaths have been declining strongly for 70 years, non-climate deaths have not seen a similar decline, and should probably get more of our attention.

For more Articles See Author's Page

Sunday, January 27, 2019

Posted Sunday Evening 27th:

The mentioned effect on Telengana was there ,with many stations recording between 50-100 mms (and lower of course):
Telengana rain as on 27th morning 24 hrs in cms: : Nangnoor(arg) (dist Siddipet) 10, Nanganur (dist Siddipet) 9, Dubbak (dist Siddipet) 9, 
Narmetta (dist Jangaon) 8, Bhupalpalle (dist J. Bhupalpally) 8, Mogullapalle (dist J. Bhupalpally) 8, 
Huzurabad (dist Karimnagar) 7, Manthani (dist Peddapalle) 6, Thimmapur (dist Karimnagar) 5, Gangadhara (dist Karimnagar) 5, Bejjanki (dist Siddipet) 5, Venkatapur (dist J. Bhupalpally) 5, Jangaon (dist Jangaon) 5, Parkal (dist Warangal_rural) 5, Mustabad (dist Rajanna Sircilla) 5, Husnabad(arg) (dist Siddipet) 5,

Hyderabad, with 10 mms of rain on Saturday and rains on sunday keeping the day's high in Hyderabad at 21.2c, 9c below normal.

Concentrating on the North again...
Mount Abu touched freezing at 0.0c on Sunday morning. Freezing again next 2 nights at Churu as well.

Western Disturbance J-5 is likely to cover the entire Pakistan region by 30th January. Karachi can expect light rains on 30th.

J-5 into India on 30th...with plenty of rain and snow again in the Northern states of Kashmir, H.P. and rains in the NW plains of India.

Mumbai had dropped to a minimum  13.2c at Scruz and 16.5c at Colaba and max around 27/28c this weekend. 
But, now, we will see the days crossing 30c to maintain at 31/32c for the next 3 days. Minimum also rising.

Cold conditions s in Delhi on Monday with the lows going down to 4c, which will be 5c below normal.

U.S.A...
A very strong ridge of high pressure will prevail over the West, with very warm temperatures aloft, while the east will be dominated by a deep trough of low pressure, that will bring extreme cold down to the surface.







Chicago Weather:

Chicago is bearing the brunt of cold conditions now, with some records about to topple.. 
Jan minimum temperatures

 now forecasted to reach -30c by month end !


On Sunday, as much of the country plunged into polar temperatures, President Donald Trump took the opportunity to make a dig at climate science on Twitter.

"Be careful and try staying in your house," he tweeted. "Large parts of the Country are suffering from tremendous amounts of snow and near record setting cold. Amazing how big this system is. Wouldn't be bad to have a little of that good old fashioned Global Warming right now!"




Friday, January 25, 2019

Posted Friday 25th Morning:

Republic Day, 26th January, Delhi can experience dense fog as the skies clear. And  drop in night temperature to around 7c. 

Thursday Rains in East Vidarbh, East M.P. and Chattisgarh...

East Vidharbh received the thunder showers on Thursday...with Nagpur getting 13.6 mms, Gondia 9.4 mms and Wardha 8.8 mms. 
In East M.P., Seoni measured 29.4 mms, Chindwara 10 mms.
44.6 mms in Pendra Road Chattisgarh.

As explained, the trough from the induced Low brings about an interaction and confluence between the West winds and the East winds over this region.

On Friday 25th, The showers will continue in these regions as well as spread Southwards into Telengana.
Nagpur will get showers on Friday, decreasing thereafter on the weekend. Drop in night temperatures on the weekend.
On Saturday, the rains will continue into Sunday in Telengana. Heavy showers in Hyderabad on Saturday and Sunday.

Mumbai:  The current pleasant spell continues till Saturday. Friday and Saturday will see a maximum of 27/28c and a low of 13-14c at Scruz. Cool winds will continue for 3 more days.
Sunday will see a gradual rise in temperatures.

Pune will be cold at 8-9 c on Friday night. Saturday will be around a couple of degrees more at 10c. Slight rise on Sunday as clouds appear.

Mahableshwar will have a pleasant and windy weekend. Temperatures between 25c and 14c.
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Thursday, January 24, 2019

Posted Thursday 24th Jan:

Shimla recorded 44.5cms of snow in 24 hrs ended on January 22nd.


The Highest recorded  (Jan 24hrs) was in 2004 when 24 hrs on Jan 23rd saw 57.7 cms of snow.

January:
2005 saw 94.3 cms in the whole month.
2006 and 2007 saw NO snow. 2008 1 cm, 2009 8.7 cms and 2010 1.8 cms. and 2011 8.5 cms.

The highest for any month 24 hrs is 62 cms on February12th 2007

Tuesday, January 22, 2019








Posted Tuesday 22nd Afternoon:

Yes....As mentioned in the last post, J-4 has had its effect on the Northern parts of the Sub Continent.

Pakistan had its share of rain, with Karachi also getting the expected rains...Rain amounts from Pakistan J-4:
Islamabad (Golra 44, Saidpur 39, IIAP 37, Bokra 31, Z.P 27), Murree 38, 
Rawalpindi (Chaklala 29, Shamsabad 28), Sialkot (A/P 24, City 20), Gujranwala 23, Gujrat 22, Lahore (A/P 20, City 16), 
Hafizabad 17, Jhelum 15, Okara, Sahiwal 14, M.B.Din 12, 
Mangla, Narowal 10, Bahawalpur (AP 09, city 08), Kasur 09, Kamra 08,  Khanpur 05, Bahawalnager, Faisalabad, T.T.Singh 03, Sargodha 02, Chakwal 01

Sindh: Karachi (University road 40, Phelwan Ghot 33, Landhi 31, A/P 19, PAF Masroor 18, Nazimabad 14, Shahrah e Faisal 12, Ghulshan e Hadid 10, North Karachi 07), 
Padidan 17, Sakrand 15, Rohri 13, Tandojam 12, Dadu 11, Shaheed Benazirabad 10, Mirpurkhas 09, Sukkur, Jacobabad 07, Larkana,  Hyderabad 06, Moenjodaro 04,

Maximum recorded in Karachi (AP) was 22.1c. on Monday and Minimum 12.1c  Tueday.
Some pics sent by Muhammad Zohair from Karachi....





 In India, Delhi had lashing rains and hail...Some figures Palam 23 mms, s'Jung 15 mms, , Nareala and Ridge 14 mms as on Tuesday morning..

In H.P. Shimla, Manali, Kufri, Narkanda are witnessing heavy snowfall since morning.
Manali 17 mms, Shimla 18 mms ...Max  12c and min 0.7c. Keylong saw a max of 0c and a low of -8.6c.
Manali

In Kashmir, Gulmarg had 28 mms of snow, with a max of -2.5c and a min of -4.0c.  Pahalgam received  18 mms of snow,. 
Jammu had 43 mms of rain. Srinagar had a high of 4.5c and a low of 0.2c with 14 mms precipitation.

In Punjab, Pathankot had 94 mms of rain, Ludhiana 54 mms and several places between 10-20 mms.

Effect of the Western Disturbance  in North will continue till Wednesday...
As Vagaries had mentioned, parts of Kutch got rains on Monday. Kandla (AP) received 27 mms ' Okha 9 mms and Dwarka saw 2 mms

Mumbai: Tuesday and Wednesday will see few clouds in parts of city. Maybe a few drops in one or two areas...Cooling down to 12-14c in Scruz by Thursday and days will be cooler around 27c. Cool and pleasant weather till Friday.

Pune has started cooling , with 10.8c as the Low on Tuesday. Further cooling by 2/3c expected next 3 days till Friday.Days will be around 27c.

Rain (Trough effect from Induced Low) will be possible in Marathwada and Vidharbh on Saturday 26th...more later.

Posted Tuesday Evening 19th March: See Mumbai Page for Latest Mumbai/Pune Weather Update Equinox And Super moon This Week Tony Ri...