Wednesday, January 16, 2019

Posted Wednesday Morning

With the arrival of J-4 by 19th, and which is fairly intense, we can expect widespread rain/snow in the North. Northern plains of Punjab, Haryana and Delhi can expect winter rains this weekend. Including West U.P.
Temperatures expected to drop in Konkan, Madhya Maharashtra , and Gujarat from Sunday 20th.

Mumbai (Scruz):

Wednesday/: Clear skies...Morning East winds, turning NW by late evening. Temps: 33- 18
Thursday: Clear skies...Morning SE/East winds, turning NW by late evening. Temps: 35- 20
Friday :Hazy skies...Morning SE/East winds, turning NW by late evening. Temps: 36- 20
Saturday: Clear skies...Morning NE/East winds, turning NW by late evening. Temps: 36-19.

Pune:

Thursday/Friday/Saturday: Temps: 31-14.

Further outlook on Friday.

Monday, January 14, 2019

Posted Monday 14th Morning:


 Himachal Turns into a White Fairyland


All reaches of Himachal received a second spell of Snow from J-3 (Western Disturbance)..The upper air trough was deep ,and dipped into a 200 level Rossby (Type) wave,
The low hills and plains had also received rainfall. 
 While residents could be seen pulling snow from their backyard, in Solang Valley kids played with snowballs.
Shimla received a snowfall of 3.5 cm which brought down the minimum temperature to 0.2c Meanwhile, Dalhousie got showered with 30 cm snowfall while Manali and Kufri  received 23 cm and 8cm bouts of snow respectively.
Naldehra and Narkanda also had snow.
 Keylong, which continues to be the coldest place in the state with a temperature of  -11c and received 9 cm snowfall.
Some Wonderland pics from Himachal:







Meanwhile, Jammu and Kashmir too received a fresh snowfall on Sunday due to which the Jammu Srinagar National Highway had to be closed. Water bodies in the valley including the magnificent Dal Lake have also frozen.
Leh saw a minimum of -16c, Pahalgam -15c and Gulmarg -12c. Srinagar was -6.4c.

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Australia heatwave: temperatures to soar in every state and territory.

One town in northwestern Australia, Marble Bar, has now had 22 consecutive days of temperatures above 40 C, at one point almost reaching 50 C.


Much of Australia will bake this week with meteorologists forecasting the hot conditions 
The Bureau of Meteorology said hot days were expected in January but multiple days in a row of temperatures above 40C were unusual.
“Particularly northern South Australia, they’re looking at maybe five days in a row above 45 and normally they might only get five or 10 a year,” 
Sunday 13th Jan Australia Max temperaturess..





Wednesday, January 09, 2019

Posted 9th January Afternoon:

Moderate Cold Wave in  Maharashtra:

Minimum Lows on 9th Jan Morning

Mahableshwar Lake (agency Reading)  3.5c
Jalgaon  6.0c
Ahmednagar  6.1c
Nasik  6.9c
Pune 8.0c
Chandrapur  8.2c
Aurangabad 8.7c
Amravati 9.2c
Navi Mumbai  10.8c
Mahableshwar (IMD) 13.2c
Mumbai Scruz     13.8c
Matheran  17c 

Western Disturbance J-3 expected over Northern India by 10th Jan. Cold days expected as WD peaks on 12th. 
Very light rain in some pockets expected in Kutch and Coastal Sindh 0n 12th.

Cold conditions with Winds expected in Gujarat and Maharashtra on  12th/13th/14th.

Mumbai: Temperatures dropping to 12-14c from 12th Jan for a couple of days with windy conditions.
Pune: Cold weather around 6-8c from 12th Jan  for a couple of days..
Pune has been having continuous night temperatures at 10c or below since 28th December 2018..That is last 13 days continuously....and still running !


Tuesday, January 08, 2019

Posted 8th Afternoon:

Kerala's Munnar recorded sub-zero temperatures over the weekend, resulting in a blanket of frost across the popular hill-station on Saturday. According to reports Chendura, Chittuvara and Lakkad areas of Munnar recorded a temperature of -3 degrees Celsius on Saturday.
A thick layer of frost and dense fog descended on Munnar on Saturday.

 (Meteorologists please note the frost has occurred only in the valley, not on the mountain tops. Cold air settles down in vales being heavier. And also due to lesser winds as compared to tops.)

The Times of India reported that the Indian Meteorological Department (IMD) said that minimum temperatures were falling below the usual in Malappuram and Kollam districts. Idukki, Wayanad, Alappuzha, Kannur, Ernakulam and Thiruvananthapuram districts recorded a sharp fall in minimum temperatures on Sunday.
Valparai in TN saw 2.5c on 7th Jan.
Jan 4th: Ooty aw 6.4c, and Kodai 7.8c. Valparai was 3c.
Maharashtra:
Nagpur was  cold in the state, recording 3.5 degrees Celsius at night, an almost 9-degree deviation from the norm. It was colder than places like Shimla in Himachal Pradesh, Patiala in Punjab and Banihal in Jammu and Kashmir on 29 December. 
At 5.9 degrees Celsius, Pune recorded its coldest morning in 18 years on 29 December. 
Reports from Mahabaleshwar also indicated ice and ground frost formation around Venna Lake. Private agencies reported 4c around Venna Lake, Mahableswar.
Niphad (GrapeFields in Nasik Dist). recorded i low of 1.8c on 27th Dec. However , the lowest record in Niphad  is -2c. (See Vagaries Extreme Blog).
Shimla, the Himachal Pradesh capital witnessed snowfall on Sunday
Shimla received 5 centimetres of snow between 8.30 am and 5.30 pm on Sunday and recorded a maximum temperature of 3.7 degrees Celsius, while tourist spots Narkanda and Kufri in the district also witnessed light snowfall.
excerpts from Firstpost

Posted 8th January:


A heat wave is currently hitting Malaysia.... 
with weather experts saying that it could have been brought on by tropical storm Pabuk.
Malaysian Meteorological Depart­ment (MetMalaysia) director-general Alui Bahari said the hot spell over the past week was due to the changes in wind directions in the region.
“The wind direction changes were influenced by the tropical storm, which had moved from the South China Sea since Jan 1 to the Bay of Bengal.
“The wind heading towards the storm caused a reduction in moisture and rain cloud formation in the interior and west of Peninsular Malaysia during that time,” he said.

A check on the MetMalaysia website showed several parts in the country could be hit by blazing hot weather this week.
Temperatures in Kuala Lumpur, Alor Setar, Melaka, Batu Pahat, Kota Kinabalu and Bintulu could hit between 32°C and 34°C.
However, most of these locations are expected to experience lightning storms and rain in the evening.
Universiti Kebangsaan Malaysia’s professor of Climatology and Oceano­­graphy Prof Dr Fredolin Tangang agreed that Pabuk might have contributed slightly to the hot spell.
“Pabuk may have a little effect on the current weather as much of the moisture was transported away.
“But the hot weather is mostly caused by changes in the atmospheric circulation over Peninsular Malaysia and the west Indian Ocean due to the Madden-Julian Oscillation (MJO),” he said.
The MJO is a phenomenon in which a low pressure system crosses eastward from the Indian Ocean to the Pacific Ocean.
“Without evaporative cooling, surface air temperature increases and this is what we’re currently experiencing.
“Currently, the MJO is in its seventh or eighth phase, resulting in dry and hot weather conditions,” he said, adding that such weather was “less typical” during this season.
Universiti Malaya’s Institute of Ocean and Earth Sciences senior re­­search fellow Prof Datuk Dr Azizan Abu Samah said the hot and dry season usually begins in February.
“Northern states such as Kelantan and Penang may be experiencing winds from Siberia.
“But the current heat wave is also due to the clearer skies across the country,” he said.

Read more at https://www.thestar.com.my/news/nation/2019/01/08/experts-current-heat-wave-due-to-pabuk/#RxrF7divQVmF0ZjL.99



Taken from Original Article in Star Online...

Wednesday, January 02, 2019


RAINFALL FOR THE PERIOD 1-10-2018 TO 31-12-2018



(SOUTHERN PENINSULA STATES)








RAINFALL ABOVE/BELOW NORMAL IN DESCENDING ORDER













ANDHRA PRADESH *



STATION ACTUAL NORMAL DIFF +/- %
SRIKAKULAM 276.6 285.6 -3
KRISHNA 157.5 241.7 -35
VIZIANAGARAM 149.7 249.7 -40
CHITTOOR 178.8 359.7 -50
VISHAKHAPATNAM 123.6 267.1 -54
SUBDIVISION RAINFALL 148.5 325.4 -54
NELLORE 277.6 632.9 -56
EAST GODAVARI 113.2 275.6 -59
GUNTUR 85.6 233.4 -63
WEST GODAVARI 98 274.6 -64
ANANTAPUR 53.4 160.8 -67
PRAKASAM 105.4 326.6 -68
CUDDAPAH 76.3 237.6 -68
KURNOOL 41.2 139.8 -71





TELENGANA *



STATION ACTUAL NORMAL DIFF +/- %
MAHABUBABAD 147.3 117.7 25
B. KOTHAGUDEM 112.5 122.1 -8
KHAMMAM 93.2 144.4 -35
M. MALKAJGIRI 77.9 121.1 -36
WANAPARTHY 57.9 107.9 -46
SANGAREDDY 53.4 108.2 -51
HYDERABAD 59.4 125.4 -53
J. BHUPALPALLY 50.5 115 -56
KUMARAM BHEEM 41.3 102.2 -60
MAHABUBNAGAR 41 108.5 -62
JOGULAMBA GADWAL 36.9 109.8 -66
RANGAREDDY 37.3 112.8 -67
WARANGAL_URBAN 36.8 111.8 -67
SURYAPET 45.2 141.2 -68
WARANGAL_RURAL 36 119.4 -70
VIKARABAD 30.7 116.4 -74
KARIMNAGAR 28.1 112 -75
JANGAON 30.9 128.3 -76
NAGARKURNOOL 27.7 114.1 -76
JAGTIAL 23.5 102.5 -77
MEDAK 23.1 110.8 -79
SIDDIPET 23.8 111.7 -79
MANCHERIAL 22.7 114.3 -80
NIRMAL 19.7 98.6 -80
KAMAREDDY 22.8 119.1 -81
ADILABAD 13.2 98.9 -87
PEDDAPALLE 13.8 116.1 -88
RAJANNA SIRCILLA 13.5 110.6 -88
NALGONDA 13.3 146.4 -91
NIZAMABAD 9.1 106.6 -91
Y. BHUVANAGIRI 13 145.7 -91





TAMILNADU AND PONDICHERRY



STATION ACTUAL NORMAL DIFF +/- %
TIRUNELVELI 519.7 467.2 11
COIMBATORE 325.1 328.9 -1
TIRUVARUR 710.6 719.1 -1
ARIYALUR 518.2 545.5 -5
KARAIKAL 952.4 1048.5 -9
RAMANATHAPURAM 440.3 491.7 -10
TIRUPPUR 282.1 314.3 -10
CUDDALORE 621.0 697.8 -11
TIRUVANNAMALAI 393.1 446.5 -12
NAGAPATTINAM 816.5 941.0 -13
NILGIRIS 416.3 478.2 -13
VILLUPURAM 435.8 499.1 -13
THANJAVUR 471.5 550.3 -14
THENI 302.1 357.9 -16
TOOTHUKUDI 348.7 427.0 -18
KANYAKUMARI 402.7 496.4 -19
SIVAGANGA 338.0 422.7 -20
PUDUKOTTAI 313.2 406.2 -23
PUDUCHERRY 632.4 843.1 -25
ERODE 228.0 314.6 -28
DINDIGUL 301.8 436.4 -31
MADURAI 278.4 419.1 -34
KANCHEEPURAM 417.1 641.8 -35
NAMAKKAL 182.5 291.6 -37
VIRUDHUNAGAR 265.5 419.0 -37
TIRUVALLUR 343.2 589.3 -42
PERAMBALUR 250.0 440.9 -43
TIRUCHIRAPALLI 208.0 391.5 -47
VELLORE 181.6 348.7 -48
SALEM 187.6 370.5 -49
KARUR 147.4 314.7 -53
CHENNAI 352.9 789.9 -55
KRISHNAGIRI 123.1 289.4 -57
DHARMAPURI 133.7 330.1 -59





KERALA



STATION ACTUAL NORMAL DIFF +/- %
KOTTAYAM 798.8 535.1 49
PATHANAMTHITTA 904.6 624.2 45
ERNAKULAM 706.2 489.3 44
ALAPUZHA 546.8 572.1 -4
CANNUR 324.9 345.1 -6
IDUKKI 526.4 564.2 -7
WYNAD 301 332.5 -9
MALAPPURAM 401 448.3 -11
KOZHIKODE 360.2 422.2 -15
THIRUVANANTHAPURAM 446.9 522.7 -15
KOLLAM 503.3 638.6 -21
THRISSUR 332.5 469.4 -29
KASARGOD 208.5 337.9 -38
PALAKKAD 266.7 428 -38





KARNATAKA *



STATION ACTUAL NORMAL DIFF +/- %
DAKSHINA KANNADA 324.7 333.5 -3
CHITRADURGA 121.2 158.2 -23
HAVERI 128.9 169.3 -24
MYSURU 163.0 213.3 -24
MANDYA 147.0 212.7 -31
KODAGU 196.4 289.7 -32
DAVANGERE 115.7 176.0 -34
BENGALURU RURAL 152.3 239.4 -36
UDUPI 197.5 316.0 -37
CHIKKAMAGALURU 144.8 237.1 -39
TUMAKURU 124.3 204.8 -39
HASSAN 132.5 219.4 -40
SHIVAMOGGA 108.2 189.8 -43
RAMANAGARA 136.4 242.4 -44
UTTARA KANNADA 107.1 210.0 -49
DHARWAD 84.4 165.9 -49
BENGALURU URBAN 105.5 230.6 -54
CHAMARAJANAGAR 112.8 243.7 -54
BALLARI 69.6 156.6 -56
KALABURGI 54.8 129.9 -58
KOLAR 93.2 227.6 -59
KOPPAL 54.5 141.5 -62
BELAGAVI 56.8 152.2 -63
RAICHUR 42.2 137.5 -69
CHIKABALLAPURA 61.8 223.5 -72
GADAG 43.4 161.2 -73
VIJAYAPURA 33.9 142.3 -76
BAGALKOTE 28.1 144.5 -81
BIDAR 21.2 119.2 -82
YADGIR 22.5 152.4 -85





STATES



STATE ACTUAL NORMAL DIFF +/- %
KERALA 465.5 480.7 -3
PUDUCHERRY 745.4 915.6 -19
TAMILNADU 336.5 440.4 -24
KARNATAKA * 97.9 187.3 -48
ANDHRA PRADESH * 121.2 279.9 -57
TELENGANA * 41.8 117.8 -65





* Data upto 26th Dec 2018.










Source IMD

Posted Wednesday Morning With the arrival of J-4 by 19th, and which is fairly intense, we can expect widespread rain/snow in the North. N...