Sunday, September 22, 2019

Posted Sunday Night:

Depression AS-2, now located at 20N and 68.4E...Likely to strengthen. 
According to IMD, to strengthen to Cyclone strength.

Observe the raining segment of the system.
 AS-2 will move away from the Indian Coast North/North-Westwards.
Coastal Saurashtra may get moderate rains on Monday. 
More rains to come next week to Saurashtra.
Marathwada & Vidharbh to get good rains Monday thru Wednesday..

Karachi may see light showers on Tuesday.

The 200 level jet stream has formed into a trough like position over the NW India. 
The Divergence in the 200 levels will not encourage the withdrawal for a few more days, even though the Monsoon axis has moved Southwards.
The resultant withdrawal has been thus delayed by a few days, as the needed anti cyclone over the NW India in the upper air level will now form after 3 days. 


Mumbai: Monday will be partly cloudy with sunny periods. Tuesday evening thunder shower possible in some parts of city.
Wednesday will see some increase in rains with thunder.
Pune: Increasing rainfall on Tuesday and Wednesday.

Delhi NCR: Warm and partly cloudy next 3 days. Stray shower in some parts. Possible increase by weekend.

Friday, September 20, 2019

Posted Saturday Morning:
AS-2 is now Well Marked Low. Tracking slowly W/NW.
Heavy rains in Coastal Saurashtra.

Mumbai: Saturday /Sunday periods of sunshine with a couple of passing showers.

Pune getting ready for some showers on Tuesday.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
Posted Friday Morning:
Mumbai:
Rainfall till 8.30 am Friday 20th: Colaba 81 mms, Malabar Hill 57 mms, Nariman Point 50 mms, Vagaries 46 mms, CSMT 40 mms, Worli 35 mms, Santa Cruz 3 mms. 
Compiled by Vagarian Abhijit.
So, Thursday Day/Night rainfall more concentrated in South and Central Mumbai  (40-80 mms).


Localised flooding in Sion, Kurla and Mahalaxmi.

Arabian Sea Low forms as AS-2..expected to track W/NW.

Mumbai: Low will bring strong gusty winds to Mumbai on Friday and Saturday. As the AS-2 moves away, Rainfall quantum decreasing for Mumbai from Saturday afternoon. (Friday fore cast given below & in snippets. (As showers Frequency increased).

Pune rains decreasing from Saturday. Can increase again by Tuesday as UAC expected in Marathwada/South Madhya Maharastra by 25th.

High pressure domination at 850 seen over West Rajasthan/Sindh. other criteria except 200 hp Jet streams fulfilled for withdrawal. Expect to fall in line in 2 days.

Thursday, September 19, 2019

Posted Thursday Morning:

The expected overnight Thunder showers on Wednesday Night brought 69 mms in Santa Cruz and 17 mms to Colaba. Vagaries gauge recorded 32 mms.


Mumbai
Rainfall intensity increasing to more frequent showers with heavy falls in some areas on Thursday 19th and Friday 20th. ( 40-80 mms). Localised flooding possible.

No major large scale disruptions...


Low expected in Arabian Sea on 20th:...Good weekend rains for Saurashtra


Tuesday, September 17, 2019





                            
                  COSMIC RAYS AND CLOUDS
            On the 17th of August this year, a few of us from Vagaries had the privilege of visiting the Cloud Physics Laboratory in Mahabaleshwar, on the invitation of IITM, under guidance from Rajesh sir. It was interesting to see the various instruments used to study the formation of clouds and their various attributes using physical and chemical methods.
One of the instruments we saw was a cloud chamber. This is used to analyse the formation of water droplets when a charged particle passes by. One of the reasons for formation of water droplets that eventually collectively form a cloud which produces rain, is cosmic rays.
Cosmic rays are atomic fragments that rain down on Earth from outside the solar system. Their origins are mysterious and some scientists claim supernovas as the point of origin. Recently the Pierre Auger Observatory ( Argentina) studied the trajectory of 30,000 particles.  "It concluded that there is a difference in how frequently these cosmic rays arrive, depending on where you look. While their origins are still nebulous, knowing where to look is the first step in learning where they came from, the researchers said. (space.com)"
The Solar activity/cosmic ray link climate modulation system can be summarized by the following chart:




So essentially cosmic rays help in the formation of 1-2nm sized Ions. These coalesce to form 20nm sized and then 50nm sized Cloud Condensation Nuclei (CCN). These lead to further 15micrometer sized cloud droplets.
But what is the actual link between cosmic rays and clouds? Mr. Henrik Svensmark, Danish scientist, recently made a presentation at the 12th International Climate Conference in Munich, where he showed the link between solar activity via cosmic rays and cloud cover and how this cloud cover influences climate.

"Observations and proxy data show that “when you have high cosmic rays, you have a cold climate” because of greater cloud cover. According Svensmark, the net effect of clouds is to cool the Earth by up to 30 W/m2.
Clouds are extremely important for the Earth’s energy budget. The net effect is about 20 to 30 watts per square meter.”
That figure is great in terms of impact on climate change, and it is grossly neglected by CO2-fixated climate scientists.(notrickszone.com)"
See the following chart:
His experiments confirm that solar cycles cause energy changes of 1.5W/m2 on the oceans of the world. It has an 11 year cycle that is consistent with climate changes over the Holocene and even going upto a 100 million years.
Another aspect is the link between cosmic rays and solar sunspots. Solar minimum ( when there are zero sunspots on the surface of the sun) causes lower radiation which in turn allows more cosmic rays to penetrate the solar system and reach Earth. This link is visible in the cosmic ray count chart shown below:

Below is the chart of the solar cycle:
You can clearly see a 11 year cycle in the cosmic ray counts, consistent with the sunspot solar cycle of the sun.
As the debate over global warming continues it is important to look at evidence that is emerging in different fields too. The link between cosmic rays and clouds is one such link that needs more study. 


Monday, September 16, 2019

Posted Monday 16th September:

Anti Cyclone High at 850 hp establishing over West Rajasthan by 19th, and BB 11 steering N/NE from North M.P.


Low likely by 19th in North Bay.

----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Mumbai Santa Cruz has set a new Record for Monsoon Season Rains, after 65 years.:

The Current total rainfall for the Monsoon this year is 3462.8 mms, till 8.30 am 16th September, ...and counting.

The previous highest for Monsoon season was 3452 mms in 1954.
The Annual rainfall record is however at 3784.9 mms.

New September Record also coming:

The wettest September for Santa Cruz station is 920  mms of 1954. 
Currently till 16th Sept 8.30 am..909 mms....

Mumbai: Monday and Tuesday will get occasional heavy showers in parts of city. Wednesday a thunder shower in some parts by evening. Monsoon is here to stay till this month end at least.
Pune : To be ready for soome increase from Wednesday. 
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Good rains in Rayalseema;
Massive rains in Kurnool - Kadapa belt. Pennar should see some flow and Somasilla should see increase in inflow.
=============================
in mm

Gospadu, Kurnool - 290
Deebaguntla, Kurnool - 199
Mahanandi, Kurnool - 163
MPP Elementry School, Kurnool - 160
Ururi Chintala, Anantapur - 158
Dhodium, Kadapa - 151
Nandyal, Kurnool - 126
Panchayat Office, Kurnool - 123
Gundlakunta, Kadapa - 119
Chagalamarri, Kurnool - 114
Old Bustand Complex, Kurnool - 112
Talamanchi Patnam, Kadapa - 110
MPP School, Kurnool - 110
Raju Palem, Kadapa - 108
YPPM College, Kurnool - 104
Market Yard, Kurnool - 104
Mangapatnam, Kadapa - 103
Nandyala Agro, Kurnool - 103
Alla Gadda, Kurnool - 101
Z.P Boys High School, Kurnool - 101
Muthyalapadu, Kurnool - 100
Water Tank, Kurnool - 100
MPDO Office, Kurnool - 97
Gandlur, Kadapa - 100

Kalukogta, Kurnool - 100

From PJ.

Sunday, September 15, 2019

Lamaj, a station in Satara District of Maharashtra reaches 
10426 mms of rain this monsoon season 
Highest in India 


Saturday, September 14, 2019

Posted Saturday 14th Sept Night:

Recent heavy rains (from a steady BB-11) have boosted the rain amounts and total of Gujarat:

Totals till 14th : Umerpada (till 12th) 3611 mms, Mangrol (till 12th) 2644 mms, Valsad crossing 100": 2587 mms, Baroda 1712, Surat 1396 mms,  Bharuch (till 12th) 1339 mms, Rajkot 1164 mms, Porbundar 923 mms, Naliya (Kutch) 771 mms, Ahmadabad 731 mms,

Rains will reduce, except in Valsad and south Gujarat coast willl precipitate till Monday.

Mumbai: Sunday 15th : Partly cloudy and sunny periods. Few passing showers. 
                Monday 16th : Cloudy with occasional showers.

Pune: Usual cloudy with light rains, but increase from Wednesday.

A very Interesting Article by GSB  on Cosmic Rays and Clouds will be Published on Vagaries on Monday Evening. Not to be missed !

Thursday, September 12, 2019

A) Will Mumbai create September Month new record ..

Mumbai (IMD Scz) has experienced it's 4th wettest September rains (803 mms) within first 12 days of the month , 
1st : 920 mms (1954) , 2nd : 904 mms(1993) , 
3rd: 821 mms(1981) , 4th : 803 mms (2019) and continuing..

With good rains expected during the next 3 days and thundershowers expected during 3rd week of September, it remains to be seen whether Mumbai (IMD Scz) will set a new September monthly rain record..
This July, IMD Scz missed all time July monthly rain record by a mere 4 mms .. (July 2019.. 1465 mms against all time July 2014 record of 1469 mms )
So ,once again this season it has a chance to make the records straight.. 

September 2019 rains in Mumbai region :
South Mumbai - Vagaries (Mahalaxmi): 859 mms 

IMD Scz (Vile Parle) : 803 

Tulshi : 1073
Vihar :941
Thane city : 900 
Vasai: 752
Badlapur: 654

B) INDIA Seasonal Rains 

  • Reports to be confirmed say Lamaj (Mahabaleshwar Taluka) in the Sahyadri range of Maharashtra has received 10,000 mms rains this season topping India ( unconfirmed yet) 
  • Tamhini ghat (100 kms from Mumbai)seasonal is at 8980 mms
  • Matheran seasonal is at 6657 mms

  • Cherrapunji seasonal is 6529 mms (from 1st Jan is 8501 mms)
  • Mawsynram seasonal is 6570 mms

  • Some other regions : 
  • Nepal : Pokhara seasonal ..1797 mms (from 1 Jan is 2560 mms)
  • Sub Himalayan Bengal .. Alipurduar seasonal 3206 mms (from 1 Jan is 4169 mms)
  • South Gujarat .. Umerpada seasonal 3611
  • North Gujarat .. Quant 2100
  • Rajasthan (East) .. Dug 2256
  • Aravalli Range..Mount Abu 1520
  • Satpura Range .. Toranmal 2336
  • Eastern Ghats .. Munchingiputtu 2392
  • Odisha .. Deogaon 2432
  • Madhya Pradesh..Khandwa 1830
  • Himachal (Kangra) .. Dharmsala 1550 
  • Terai .. Kishanganj 1404

C) Seasonal 2019 rains in Mumbai region :
South Mumbai - Vagaries (Mahalaxmi): 3070mms 

IMD Scz (Vile Parle) : 3357 (all time record 3785 mms in 1958)

Tulshi : 4929
Vihar :4050
Thane city : 4260
Panvel : 4407
Vasai: 3192
Badlapur : 5328

IMD SCZ (Vile Parle) -



Vihar and Tulshi (behind the marked hills on the left of the photo)- 

Wednesday, September 11, 2019

South West Monsoon Withdrawal 2019

Posted Wednesday 11th September:

The following is quoted from the criteria for South West Monsoon withdrawal from IMD

Withdrawal of SW Monsoon a) Withdrawal from extreme north-western parts of the country is not attempted before 1st September.
b) After 1st September: The following major synoptic features are considered for the first withdrawal from the western parts of NW India.
i) Cessation of rainfall activity over the area for continuous 5 days.
 ii) Establishment of anticyclone in the lower troposphere (850 hPa and below)
iii) Considerable reduction in moisture content as inferred from satellite water vapour imageries and tephigrams.

Now, out of these criteria, we see the 850 level anticyclone getting (and started ) to  establish.
We also the the BB-11 stuck and persisting around M.P. due to resistance of drier air and upper anticyclone conditions.

The Water Vapor content from the North West areas has also started getting low as per satellite images.




Another important criteria not mentioned here is the reversal to Westerlies of the 200 hp Jet Streams. From the Monsoon Easterlies, the Jet Streams have to become Westerlies starting from the Northern regions of the Sub Continent on the change of season.
As of today, we see the Westerlies coming as South as 30N, an indication of commencement of the reversal process.

The parameters should be full y or properly met, which i calculate to happen in the next 5 days.
Hence, i expect the South West Monsoon to begin Withdrawal from West Rajasthan after 5 days (from 11th).

Decreasing rains in NW India.

 Rains to continue next 3 days in West M.P. Decrease in Saurashtra and remaining Gujarat .

Delhi hot . Mostly dry and light rains on Thursday/Friday in some parts.

Mumbai:

After a gap, Mumbai will see increasing rains intensity from Thursday Night. Rains frequency will increase from Thursday Night into Friday and Saturday.
We will get rainfall increasing all along the North Kokan region.


Tuesday, September 10, 2019

Maharashtra's Ghat sections Top 16 list till date

Maharashtra Rainfall Toppers from 01-06-2019 to ending till 8.30 am on 10-09-2019
=====================
in mms


1. Lamaj, Mahabaleshwar – 9647 (available till 7-9-19)
2. Tamhini, Mulshi – 8920
3. Amboli, Sawantwadi – 8906
4. Tapola, Mahabaleshwar - 8816 (available till 9-9-19)
5. Shirgaon, Mulshi - 8620
6. Jor, Wai - 8204
7. Davdi, Mulshi - 8140
8. Patharpunj, Patan – 8134 (available till 6-9-19)
9. Mahabaleshwar – 8005
10. Navaja, Patan - 7667 
11. Kitwade, Ajara - 7560
12. Ambone, Mulshi – 7430
13. Walwan, Mahabaleshwar - 7399
14. Dongarwadi, Mulshi – 7220
15. Shirgaon, Bhor - 7205
16. Gaganbawada - 7020



Top 16 list Compilation by Abhijit



For Comparison:

Amagaon, Belgaum, KA - 8800
Gavali, KA - 7500
Castle Rock, KA - 7413
Hulikal, KA - 6788
Agumbe, KA - 6500
Mawsynram, ML - 6400
Masthikatte, KA - 6397
Cherrapunji, ML - 6312 



KA list input from Vagaries Rainman Pradeep & Naveen

Sunday, September 08, 2019

Heavy Rain lashed Coastal Konkan Region of Maharashtra

And finally we get official data from rainiest place of Maharashtra (also can said from entire country till now) from Mahabaleshwar taluka in Satara!

Lamaj 9647 mms
Tapola 8667 mms

Above Seasonal Rainfall till 6-09-2019


Mumbai MMR Rainfall Map below


Above map made by Tejas & it's data compiled by Abhijit



Some More Mumbai Rains in last 24hr ending 8.30am today(8-9-19):

Dindoshi 207
Worli 184
Wadala 166
Kandivli 164
Parel 158
Matunga 155
Malad 143
Sion 138
Dahisar 137
Kurla 130
Mulund 129
Bhandup 118
Malbar hill 111
CSMT 95


Mumbai's nearest hill station Matheran is wettest place this monsoon season than Cherrapunji & Mawsynram in seasonal rains till today!

Seasonal Total Rainfall in mms till date (8-9-19)

Matheran 6457
Mawsynram 6218 (till 6-9-19)
Cherrapunji 6163




Saturday, September 07, 2019

Saturday rainfall in Mumbai in 12 hrs ended 8.30 pm.as forecasted
Compiled by Vagarian Abhijit
[07/09, 8:52 p.m.] Abhijit Modak: Mumbai rains in 12hrs till 8.30pm

CSMT 74
Bhandup 51
Borivali 114
Byculla 91
Chembur 69
Dahisar 94
Dindoshi 150
Goregaon 117
Kandivli 132
Kurla 74
Lalbaug 82
Malad 111
Malabar hill 88
Matunga 76
Mulund 71
Parel 85
Sion 83
Vikhroli 74
Worli 95
Wadala 85
Dadar 96
Colaba 53 mms scruz 59

Friday, September 06, 2019

Posted Friday evening:

As the BB-11 pulse moves West, we see enhanced heavy rains on Saturday in M.P. and Interior Maharashtra regions. 
Heavy rains in North Kokan, specially from Roha  till Vasai in the North..
Heavy rains expected in Saurashtra .

Mumbai: As the pulse interacts with the strong Westerlies and off shore trough,
Frequent heavy showers on Saturday, covering the region around Mumbai outer townships also. Pockets and some places may exceed 100 mms. 
Sunday too will have showers, but Rain intensity reducing on Sunday.

Pune can also expect frequent showers,  20-25 mms, on Saturday.

Aurangabad and Marathwada can expect good rains on Saturday/Sunday. Aurangabad days will be cool at 24c.

We see the first parameter and indication of Monsoon Withdrawal as the 200 hpa Jet Streams show a Westerly turn over Extreme North India from 10th September. (Not the withdrawal but first indication.)
Had a detailed discussion with fellow Vagarian and co-author Abhijit regarding BB10. 
We thought that BB-10 continues as it is after staying dormant for 5 days. Abhijit feels a new pulse has strengthened it and should be now BB-11. As a new system ...
A technical point as Odisha was dry during BB-10 days.
Hence we keep a watch on BB-11 now.

BB-11 should travel West thru Central India, but not lasting beyond Gujarat.

Tuesday, September 03, 2019

A) THE MONSOON CAPITAL ..MUMBAI REGION

Mumbai Region can receive upto 5000 mms of rains in a season.
Extreme rain events have dumped 1000 mms of rains in less than 24 hours .

As per the recent data from 2012 till 2019, highest and lowest yearly rains (mms) are as follows..


HIGHEST LOWEST DISTANCE FROM VILE PARLE
IMD SCZ 3110 1869 0
(VILEPARLE)


VIHAR 4838 2130 6 KMS
TULSHI 4190 2342 11 KMS
THANE CITY 3580* 1950 15 KMS
BADLAPUR 4845* 2402 35 KMS

(* 2019 season continuing)(Badlapur Abhijit's private readings)
(Distances are straight line)

Tamhini ghat (100 kms from Vile Parle) has touched 8500 mms during the same time ..


B) DIFFERENT SHADES OF MONSOON 2019

At Andheri overlooking the Arabian sea, Near IMD Scz (VileParle)
--------------------------------------------------------

At Dahisar (North Mumbai city)

C) INDIA MONSOON 2019 TOPPERS (1 JUN to 31 AUG)


NORH INDIA :
  • Rajasthan (East) .. Dug 1914 mms
  • Madhya Pradesh ..Khandwa 1542
  • Himachal Pradesh .. Dharmsala 1485
  • Rajasthan , Aravalli Hills.. Mount Abu 1466
  • Jammu Kashmir .. Riasi District 1454
  • Madhya Pradesh,Satpura Hills ..Pachmarhi 1417
  • Uttar Pradesh .. Bhinga 1364 
  • Uttarakhand plains .. Banbasa 1000
  • Punjab .. Gurdaspur District 712
  • Haryana .. Yamunanagar District 645
  • Delhi .. Pusa Agromet (IARI) 542

EAST INDIA :
  • Orissa .. Deogaon 2026
  • Chattisgarh .. Bijapur District 1867
  • Bihar .. Kishanganj District 1353
  • Jharkhand..Sahebganj District 1031

SOUTH INDIA / ISLANDS :
  • Kerala Plains ..Kozhikode District 3001
  • Andaman Nicobar..North & Middle Andaman District 2486
  • Andhra Pradesh, Eastern Ghats..Munchingiputtu 2017
  • Telangana..Bejjur 1430
  • Lakshadweep ..Amini Divi 1341 

NORTH EAST INDIA :
  • Meghalaya .. Cherrapunji 6024 
  • Sub Himalayan Bengal Sikkim.. Hasimara 2960
  • Arunachal Pradesh ..Lower Dibang District 2509
  • Assam .. Kokrajhar District 2441
  • Mizoram .. Lunglei District 2010
  • Tripura .. Kailashahar 1350
  • Manipur.. Tamenglong District 969
  • Nagaland .. Tuensang District 937


WEST INDIA :

  • Maharashtra Ghats .. Patharpunj 7554 mms
  • Maharashtra ,Matheran hills.. Matheran 5374 mms 
  • Maharashtra , Mumbai MMRDA .. Badlapur 4674 
  • Maharashtra , Mumbai City .. Tulshi 3856 
  • Goa , Sangue .. 3757 
  • Gujarat (South) .. Waghai  3176
  • Maharashtra, Satpura Hills .. Toranmal 2067
  • Gujarat (North), Chota Udepur .. 2030
  • Maharahtra , Vidarbha .. Mulchera 1408
  • Gujarat ,Saurashtra .. Visavadar 1114
  • Maharashtra , Marathwada.. Kinwat 716

Monday, September 02, 2019

Great spells of monsoon in Karnataka, Tamil Nadu and Maharashtra this August.

 In Kerala, Kuttiyadi in Kozhikode disitrict had great spell too with 1500 mm in last 5 days.

07.08.2019 - 218
08.08.2019 - 320
09.08.2019 - 347
10.08.2019 - 374
11.08.2019 - 206


3 months of South west Monsoon have come to end, lets see the Toppers and the Cities Rainfall in mm (01.06.19 to 31.08.19).


All India Toppers (min 5500 mm)
------------
1. Patharpunj, Maharashtra - 7554
2. Amboli, Maharashtra – 7521
3. Tamhini, Maharashtra – 7520
4. Shirgaon, Maharashtra - 7500
5. Amagaon, Karnataka - 7181 (till 12th August)
6. Jor, Maharashtra - 7098
7. Dawdi, Maharashtra - 7000
8. Mahabaleshwar, Maharashtra – 6984
9. Ambone, Maharashtra – 6630
10. Navaja, Maharashtra – 6468
11. Kitwade, Maharashtra - 6377
12. Walwan, Maharashtra - 6304
13. Castle Rock, Karnataka - 6300 (till 22nd August)
14. Shirgaon, Maharashtra - 6128
15. Gavali, Karnataka - 6086
16. Cherrapunji, Meghalaya - 6024
17. Dungarwadi, Maharashtra – 6020
18. Kanakumbi, Karnataka - 5964
19. Gaganbawada, Maharashtra - 5912
20. Koyna, Maharashtra – 5807
21. Patgaon, Maharashtra - 5767
22. Hulikal, Karnataka - 5676
23. Kollur, Karnataka - 5587

Metro Cities & its Airports
--------
1. Mumbai Airport - 2554
2. Mumbai City - 1875
3. Surat - 1128
4. Kolkata City - 800
5. Pune City - 784
6. Kolkata Airport - 631
7. Ahmedabad - 508
8. Pune Airport - 492
9. Chennai Airport - 444
10. Delhi Airport - 357
11. Bangalore City - 318
12. Chennai City - 309
13. Delhi City - 308
14. Hyderabad - 308
15. Bangalore Airport - 294

* Chennai monsoon season is Oct-Dec


Thanks to Abhijeet Modak for compiling the Maharashtra Toppers.

Sunday, September 01, 2019



MONSOON REPORT (1-6-2019 TO 31-8-2019)






TOTAL ALL INDIA RAINFALL (as on 31-8-2019)

709.1 mm
SEASON +/-

-0.20%




TO ACHIEVE BY 30TH SEPTEMBER

required in mm
MINIMUM 700.0 mm ACHIEVED
AVERAGE 887.5 mm 5.95
MAXIMUM 1100.0 mm 13.03




CURRENT RAINFALL PER DAY

7.71 mm




RAINFALL PER DAY IN AUGUST

9.63 mm




ALL INDIA SUBDIVISIONAL RAINFALL FIGURES


SUBDIVISION ACTUAL NORMAL DEP +/- (%)
KONKAN & GOA 3344.2 2516.8 33%
COASTAL KARNATAKA 3159.6 2789.3 13%
KERALA & MAHE 1884.6 1789.8 5%
A & N ISLAND 1734.5 1224.7 42%
SubHimalayanWestBengal & SIKKIM 1411.7 1589.9 -11%
ASSAM & MEGHALAYA 1241.5 1458.9 -15%
ARUNACHAL PRADESH 1191.3 1375.1 -13%
LAKSHADWEEP 1075.0 847.5 27%
WEST MADHYA PRADESH 952.6 696.9 37%
MADHYA MAHARASHTRA (Best) 908.5 594.9 53%
CHHATTISGARH 907.5 933.2 -3%
GUJARAT REGION 896.2 774.0 16%
ODISHA 893.3 928.7 -4%
Nagaland Manipur Mizoram Tripura 878.9 1142.9 -23%
EAST MADHYA PRADESH 862.7 849.0 2%
VIDARBHA 750.1 784.3 -4%
UTTARAKHAND 733.2 983.2 -25%
EAST RAJASTHAN 725.8 507.9 43%
BIHAR 657.7 801.9 -18%
GANGETIC WEST BENGAL 655.9 905.0 -28%
S. I. KARNATAKA 628.6 535.4 17%
JHARKHAND 594.1 820.0 -28%
HIMACHAL PRADESH 592.1 635.8 -7%
TELANGANA 563.8 595.7 -5%
EAST UTTAR PRADESH 559.4 653.2 -14%
SAURASHTRA & KUTCH 500.3 430.6 16%
N. I. KARNATAKA 448.4 352.6 27%
WEST UTTAR PRADESH 420.6 576.6 -27%
COASTAL AP and YANAM 413.1 425.2 -3%
JAMMU & KASHMIR 405.0 464.1 -13%
MARATHWADA 373.2 503.6 -26%
PUNJAB 368.7 386.6 -5%
WEST RAJASTHAN 261.0 226.6 15%
Harayana. Chandigarh & DELHI (Worst) 235.9 364.1 -35%
RAYALASEEMA 228.7 272.0 -16%
TamilNadu Puducherry and KARAIKAL 225.8 223.8 1%




TOTAL ABOVE AVERAGE DAYS (1-6-2019 TO 31-8-2019)

35(38%)
TOTAL BELOW AVERAGE DAYS (1-6-2019 TO 31-8-2019)

57 (62%)












Subdivisions above Normal for the period
















Source IMD

Posted Sunday Night: Depression AS-2, now located at 20N and 68.4E...Likely to strengthen.  According to IMD, to strengthen to Cyclon...