Mumbai, Delhi and World Ranking Air Quality Index on Last Day of 2022
Friday, December 30, 2022
Thursday, December 29, 2022
New Year Weekend Forecast - 30th December till 1st January:
With the Western Disturbance over Himalayas set to move away eastward tomorrow (30th), cool northerlies likely.
Getting cooler...another round of wintry feel for Mumbai and Konkan.
Mumbai: Warm day on Friday 30th, cool breeze likely from evening. Saturday 31st and Sunday 1st would see cool breeze through the day, with max around 29-30°C, and min on New Year Eve can drop till around 15-16°C.
Very good weather for outdoor New Year celebration and revelries.!!
Pune: Due to westerly component in the wind, days can remain warm around 31-32°C, nights will be cooler with min dropping till around 11-12°C.
Interior Konkan and Thane district can see min dropping till about 12°C, with some places even touching 10°C.
Nashik: Slightly cooler than Pune, min temperature around 9-10°C.
Ratnagiri: Warm day on Friday, but Cool breeze on Saturday 31st and Sunday 1st, max can remain around 31°C, and min around 17°C.
Gujarat to also see cooler weather over this weekend. Expected range of temperatures:
Wednesday, December 28, 2022
28th December 2022...
Global cold wave updates: Snowstorms in US, Canada, extreme cold waves in India, sinking temperatures in UK, Europe brings world to a standstill....
Tuesday, December 27, 2022
Slight warming trend across Konkan and Madhya Maharashtra this week...
Below forecast till Thursday 29th December:
Temperatures rising by 2-3°C this week for Mumbai and konkan...would be in the range of 31-32°C max and around 18°C min.
Interior konkan can be slightly cooler at night around 15°C.
Pune: Warm daytime with max around 32°C and min would be around 12-14°C.
Nashik max around 31°C and min close to 12°C.
A fresh Western Disturbance would affect north India from 29th December...temperatures can drop across north, central and western parts of the country from 30th December.....cool weather during New Year for Maharashtra and Gujarat...more updates by Thursday.
Sunday, December 25, 2022
Saturday, December 24, 2022
Vagaries Blog touches 40 Lacs...4 Million Hits ...Still Ranked No.2 Weather Blog in India and No.33 in the World.
Message from Ex - IMD Scientist Shri Sikandar ji👇
"Congratulations Mr Rajesh Kapadia Sir and Team " Vagaries of Weather"..in motivating young generation to learn & develope the prediction of weather , especially the current weather and its implications, Changes etc.
It is very remarkable that how you developed your skill in developing the weather forecast in different parts of India in your own technique.
Moreover you started the study of Meteorological events from.last 42+ years by decoding and plotting on charts @Regional Met.Center at Colaba, Mumbai.
One should know .....
you developed "Study of Meteorology" can be adopted as a hobby..
We salute you .. Kapadia Sir ji for your enthusiasm and guidance."
"तुस्सी ग्रेट सर जी"
Thank you for the kind words.
It's always been the encouragement and help from my mentors in IMD and IITM that has made me someone known in Meteorology.
My creation of the Vagaries platform has been my wish to share my knowledge and bring on many enthusiastic young weatherman. Some are outshining and doing well for themselves.
Thank you for your trust.
Finally...(See estimated in post below) Mumbai and Konkan get a taste of winter
Lowest minimum of the season recorded in Mumbai with Santacruz settling at 16°C, Colaba 18.8°C...Matheran 19.0c..😲
Today 24th and tomorrow 25th - cool winds likely along Mumbai region and Konkan. Mumbai can see further drop by 1-2°C by tomorrow/Monday morning, with minimum settling around 15°C
Pune Shivajinagar 11.6°C
Interior Konkan and Thane district may see minimum temperature dropping to 12-13°C
Gujarat minimum temperatures today:
Thursday, December 22, 2022
Forecast for Christmas weekend.....23rd to 26th.
Drop expected in day temperatures over Konkan
Mumbai : Weather still warm...But, After Friday, cool West/NW breeze would lower the daytime temperature to around 30°C in Mumbai ( and Konkan), maybe below 30°C for Mumbai. While last few days it was 👇
|Date||16-12-2022||17-12-2022||18-12-2022||19-12-2022||20-12-2022||21-12-2022||Total / Average|
|Temp Max (℃)||34.9||35.6||35.9||35.2||33.5||33.7||34.8|
|Temp Min (℃)||23.0||23.4||23.6||22.0||20.5||19.6||22|
...Lows at night can settle around 16/17 °C by Sunday and Monday morning
Pune...could be warmer than Mumbai in daytime with max 31-33°C, but nights cooler around 11-12°C...Last few day 👇
|Date||16-12-2022||17-12-2022||18-12-2022||19-12-2022||20-12-2022||21-12-2022||Total / Average|
|Temp Max (℃)||31.4||32.3||31.7||31.2||31.3||31.3||31.5|
|Temp Min (℃)||16.5||17.1||17.2||14.2||11.4||11.5||14.7|
Nashik/Aurangabad can be cooler with min around 9/11c.
All India Outlook for 24th/25th...
Tempted to joke about global warming amid a blizzard?
Most of US to be 'dangerously cold' as holiday week winter storm spawns blizzard, whiteout conditions
More than half of U.S. states are forecast to see some areas with minimum wind chill temperatures in the negative double digits, with the coldest regions bracing for wind chills below -50 degrees, according to the weather service. It amounts to "dangerously cold conditions across most of the country this week."Temp in Degrees F
"This storm really means business in the Midwest and Great Lakes," AccuWeather senior meteorol
Tuesday, December 20, 2022
Sunday, December 18, 2022
The hottest places on India todayIn AWS Stations, Chiplun ( Maharashtra) recorded 37.2c...(Info from Vag Abhijit)
Saturday, December 17, 2022
Mumbai does it again...hottest place in the subcontinent with maximum temperature touching 35.9°C!! 🔥
Summer like feel continues for the city, suburbs and entire konkan belt...
Friday, December 16, 2022
Weather forecast till Monday 19th December...
Again, the dubious record of the Hottest place in the Sub Continent (Unofficially hottest is Karjat,Mah. at 38.6c..Vag Abhijit)
Temperature this weekend will range from 34c in the day to 23,/24c at night. (Feeling of absence of winter)
Pune: Not the typical Pune weather. Partly cloudy ( hence warmer) With the temperatures around 31 to 16c.
Next 3/4 days Northern plains & Maharashtra ...
No precipitation, so stable colder/colder in North India. Churu, in Rajasthan saw 1.3 °c today. So, 1° to 5°c temperatures expected in Rajasthan, Punjab, Haryana next 3 nights.
But not much in Maharashtra. The rainfall system moves away after 2/3 days of moderate rains in Madhya Maharashtra and Marathwada.
New low BB-19 forms over southeast Bay of Bengal, heading west...can bring rains to Tamil Nadu and Sri Lanka. Heavier rains could be around Sri Lanka and southern Tamil Nadu.
Thursday, December 15, 2022
Posted 15th December Afternoon
Remnants of cyclone Mandous intensify into a deep depression (AS-4) over the Arabian Sea!!
Moving away westwards, light rain/thundershowers in patches likely for Konkan, Madhya Maharashtra, parts of south Gujarat and south Madhya Pradesh today and tomorrow.
The effect on Minimum Temperatures in Maharashtra...Yesterday Mumbai had a minimum of 25c...7c above normal, and a max of 35c..6c above...like April temps.
Light drizzles likely in some areas.
Tuesday, December 13, 2022
Sunday, December 11, 2022
Friday, December 09, 2022
Posted 9th Night:
Un Seasonal Rains Expected in Maharashtra..11th to 15th December.
The effect of the Cyclone Mandous which crossed the T.N.coast will be felt in Maharashtra.
Moderate rainfall is expected in Maharashtra and Goa next week...11th thru 15th.
Konkan /Goa: some moderate showers next week could spell ''damaging'' for the Mango flowering trees.
Mumbai can expect off seasonal rainfall from Monday for 3/4 day. Light to moderate rainfall will ''' clean'' the city of the recent smoggy conditions.
Pune will see light to moderate rains also next week...Sunday 10th thru 14th......though could be heavy at times. Days will cool down next week to around 23/25c maximum.
Mahabaleshwar will get rains next week from 12th. Cool days expected around 22/23° and pleasant nights.
Rainfall also expected in Aurangabad regions from 11th to 14th. Some off seasonal rain could be beneficial to the standing crops. Cooler days around 27c.
Gujarat: Light showers in parts of Saurashtra and Surat regions around 15th.For Press 👇
महाबळेश्वर मध्ये पुढील आठवड्यात 12 तारखेपासून पाऊस पडेल. 22/23° च्या आसपास थंड दिवस आणि सुखद रात्री अपेक्षित आहेत
Cyclone loosing strength on 9 th evening as expected
Posted 9th Morning:
ADVANCED DVORAK TECHNIQUE ADT-Version 9.0 Tropical Cyclone Intensity Algorithm ----- Current Analysis ----- Date : 09 DEC 2022 Time : 054500 UTC Lat : 11:17:18 N Lon : 80:50:48 E CI# /Pressure/ Vmax 3.2 / 995mb / 49kts (90 Kmph) Final T# Adj T# Raw T# 3.0 2.7 2.6 Center Temp : -27.4C Cloud Region Temp : -44.0C
Slightly weakening before Landfall...Loosing Strength will start from 5 pm IST
to around 80 kmph by 5.30 pm IST (9th) and to around 65 Kmph by 5.30 am IST (10th)
90 KMPH > 80Kmph > 65 Kmph
Thursday, December 08, 2022
8th December Morning
Cyclone may not be at full strentgh at crossing
Cyclone Mandous located as shown...👇
Current estimated core winds at 75 kmph.
Before/While crossing coast near North T.N. by 9th Night/10th morning, likely to weaken . Dry air is enveloping the system. Crossing time winds will reduce to 55 kmph.
Wednesday, December 07, 2022
Posted Wednesday 7th
Mumbai sees this often in Winters...No Panic
But with some rain expected on Monday, Mumbai will get some cleaner air
Temperature inversion and lack of strong breeze from surface till 700 hPa (around 3 km) results in hazy conditions...which is being observed across different places in the country. It is usually a combination of particulate matter and moisture in the air.
In cities, the urban pollutants also get trapped, resulting in yellowish/brownish haze.
It's not just Mumbai...
Tuesday, December 06, 2022
Posted 6th Night
Weather Outlook till Friday 9th December
BB-18 is now a Depression and likely to intensify into a Cyclone by tomorrow.
Saturday, December 03, 2022
A Low expected near the Andaman Islands by Monday 5th. System can strengthen to a depression or cyclone over the Bay of Bengal before closing in near T.N or South A.P late next week...8th/9th.
Nights to get warmer in Maharashtra ( and Peninsular) next few nights..
Interesting information Compiled by Vag. Dr.Vineet.
Thursday, December 01, 2022
Sensational News....Mumbai was the Hottest City in Entire Sub Continent on the last day of November!
Mumbai was hottest yesterday because of delay and weak setting of the sea breeze.
Sea breeze, by afternoon, sets in and keeps the temperature under control.
In the case yesterday, East winds from inland dominated the konkan coast.
5 out of the ten hottest are from west coast.
Tuesday, November 29, 2022
Weather outlook till Friday 2nd December
Dry weather in north India in the absence of any WD, daytime weather comfortable and not extreme cold.
Winter chill at night to prevail over northern plains. Getting cooler over Maharashtra.
Mumbai: Warm days around 31-33C, min around 17-19C.
Interior konkan: Cooler nights than Mumbai...min around 14-16C.
Pune and Madhya Maharashtra: Warm days 30-31C, pleasant nights around 13-15C.
Nagpur: Days warm around 30C, nights pleasant around 12-14C.
Marathwada/Vidarbha districts: Warm days (30-32C) and cool nights (13-15C).
Ratnagiri/Sindhudurg: Warm days (33-34C), nights around (19-21C).
Delhi NCR/Punjab/Haryana: Expected max temperature around 24-26C, min temperature around 7-9C.Maps from NCMRWF
Gujarat: Mainly warm days 30-32C, pleasant nights 14-16C. Warmer days upto 33C max and 17C min possible near Surat.
Bangalore: Max around 27-29C, min around 18-20C.
Kolkata: Not much winter chill, max around 28-30C, min around 18-20C.
Chennai: Max around 28-30C, min around 22-24C, light showers at the most.
NEM remains weak over Tamil Nadu, some increase in rain likely over weekend with moderate showers along the coast.
6th December Cyclone Michaung nears the end of it's life cycle in Telangana. It will go into records for causing extremely very heavy...