Tuesday, May 05, 2015

Thundery Developments around Mumbai...Posted at 10.15 pm IST Tuesday Night 5th May...

Heavy lightening in Mumbai...and thundering heard regularly here in South Mumbai...IPL match stopped due to lightening "scare"..and drizzles


Lightening around Matheran Hills ...pic by Abhijit

Rains in Pune and mahableshwar and also reports from Lonavala...
Vagaries Goa measured 30 mms  in 35 mins ....and Lightening in Mumbai Skies....Tuesday Night....

Pune had showers in some parts...The IMD station measured 4 mms in 12 hrs ended 8.30 pm Tuesday.
Thunder Showers with hails reported from Mahableshwar..


 Badlapur...Tuesday Evevning...from Abhijit

Thundery Developmemt in Mumbai...Tuesday..from Salil

Thunder Showers expected on Wednesday in Pune, Mahableshwar and South Madhya Maharshtra. South Konkan can get showers. Mumbai will see thundery developments in the Eastern sky, but may not get rains on Wednesday 6th May. Eastern townships can get dust storm and thunder showers.

Monday, May 04, 2015

Maharashtra Cities sizzle on Monday 4th May:
Chandrapur 44.0c, Malegaon 43.2c, Akola 42.4c, Wardha 42.0c, Aurangabad 41.0c, Pune AP 41.2c, Pune 40.8c, ...and even Mahableshwar 33.2c !! 
Mumbai Colaba 35.0c and SantaCruz Ap 34.3c...

Saturday, May 02, 2015


Monsoon Watch -3... 2015 (Additional)...May 2nd 2015.

The arrival date is calculated seeing today's position.Further from today, we presume the normal rate of progress.This initial estimated dates are subject to some changes, and will be finalised around mid-May, when the puzzle pieces get better arranged.
(Dates in brackets are the normal dates of arrival).

As of today, there seems to be a slight delay in both, Arabian Sea and Bay Branches of the Monsoon. There continues to be a doubt on the timely arrival of the Monsoon in the Bay branch.

Arabian Sea Branch: Though there is some improvement in most of the parameters, there is still much to be achieved, and most parameters are still lagging behind time, and are
-ve.
The Arabian Sea branch, now affected by the temporary "dis-organisation " in the equatorial winds at the equator, can recover provided the winds regroup fast.

On these calculations, Vagaries would still maintain the Monsoon to reach Maldives around the 24th of May 2015 (20th May), Sri Lanka around 26th/28th of May (25th May).
Kerala by the 3/4th June (1st June).
Hence, maintaining and presuming the normal rate of progress, Goa should get Monsoon rains by around 9th June (5th June). NE States can also see Monsoon resume around that date.
Mumbai by 13th/14th June (9th June). Pre Monsoon thundershowers could start from around 7th/8th June 2015.

Bay Branch: A Western Disturbance (M-1) will approach the Northern regions of the sub continent, and will gain strength by the 8th and 9th. Back to back, we may see M-2 around 12th May...if it happens, may lead to sufficiently delay the formations of any Low in the Bay.

Bay branch needs to wait a few days for the Easterly Wave trough just South of Sri Lanka to fizzle out, and the pulses from the East in the Bay to resume for Low formations. 

SWM should hit South Andaman Sea around 16th.May (12th May), and rest Andaman Islands by 18th-20th May 2015.
Genearlly moves up (normally) the Bay at a sustained speed, and Kolkata should see Monsoon arrival by the 9th/10th of June.

We stop at this initial progress, and work out further region wise progress at a later date  (as is the usual practise in Vagaries' MWs).

These Dates are worked out and estimated as per my personal calculations and may not be used for commercial purposes.The dates are not binding on anyone and no responsibility is taken if used for any purposes.

                                        End of Article

Mumbai Santa Cruz...Comparison of Temperatures/Heat Index...May and October...See Rohit's Page

Thursday, April 30, 2015

Monsoon Watch - 3.. 2015 ....Part 1....30th April 2014..

1. ENSO:

Subsequent to writing the MW-2, we are keeping a careful watch on the El-Nino developments. Sea surface temperatures now exceed El Niño thresholds and trade winds have remained weaker than average for several weeks. This suggests some coupling between the ocean and atmosphere may be occurring. If these patterns persist or strengthen, El Niño will become established.
But, (SOI) has become less negative over the past two weeks, with values returning to neutral bounds. The latest 30-day SOI value to 26 April is -3.6

The heating does not seem to be happening at a faster rate or in a hurried manner. The last 2 weeks heating 

Niño 4       1.3ºC
Niño 3.4    1.0ºC
Niño 3       1.0ºC
Niño 1+2   1.5ºC

The majority of the models indicate Niño 3.4 SST anomalies will remain greater than or equal to +0.5C through the end of 2015


The most recent ONI value is 0.7c...(El Nino is characterised by ONI values of 0.5 or above, La Nina is characterised by -0.5 or below).


May happen that an eventual El Nino, though unavoidable, may actually form full fledged (around End July/August) the latter months of our South West Monsoon. South West Monsoon may get sluggish ( In Peninsula) after July, around August and September. Can get stronger in Northern Pakistan after August.


Indicator: -ve, as El Nino chances possible in Latter Months of Monsoon.


2. Sub-Continent Seasonal Low: 


With every passing WD, (A-6 just moved away), the seasonal Low gets a set back. But things are taking shape slowly. The seasonal trough (eastern wing) could start forming in Northern Thailand in first week of May


Seasonal Low has shown good signs of forming, core pressure at 1000 mb...

The seasonal low in the Thar region is now very weak.The pressure around the Thar desert region is now 1000 mb (994mb required by June beginning). Proper central core is forming now. And ,as per the required scheduled development, a proper gradient should be in the making.


.

Days temperatures have "performed miserably" in the MW-1/MW-2 inter period ! Below normal day temperatures by as much as 13c had been recorded, and the highest on date in the Sindh areas is 48c. In India , it has reached 45c in Rajasthan.

Again, snow and rains in the Northern hills. 


As a result, and expectedly, the day temperatures fell, and the seasonal low was almost wiped out. Heating trend started in late April though.


See the trend in April for Delhi, Bikaner and Jacobabad.





An exception this year is the Vidharbha region. Even without the normally exceptionally heavy rains, the temperatures in Rajasthan and Vidharbha are just about managing 42/44c (till end April), and in some cities just hovering around the low 40s. 
Highest yet was 45.5c in Jaisalmer on 27th April. Normally Vidarbha is a hotbed ! 45-47c is a "kid's playground" for the region.
Nagpur trend in April.


The minimum temperatures this year, have touched 33c in Sibbi on 26th, 31c in Rohri Pakistan on 30th. 
In India, a minimum of 30c or above is yet to be achieved.

In 2011, the minimum temperatures in the region  were higher comparatively at this time. Minimum temperature touched 30c for the first time in 2011 on 29th April at Kota (Rajasthan). 

In 2010, 30c as minimum was recorded on 17th April.

The maximum and minimum temperatures have to rise now in Sindh, Balochistan and North India. Trends of rising temperatures may be seen again  in Vidharbh, Gujarat and adjoining regions of Sindh.


True, the entire sub-continent region has to suffer a heat wave, but the gains are much more.  


The line of wind dis-continuity, currently is located, as a weak trough, in the centre of Southern Peninsula, South of  15N towards the tip of India. This LWD should strengthen, in the centre of the Southern Peninsula region. 

Out breaks of pre- monsoon thunder showers are expected normally in the southern states and South Maharashtra.  Though the showers in the South are heavy. We need the thundershowers to commence and precipitate in Maharashtra and Interior Karnataka, indicating a proper flow of moisture into the peninsula region. 

A LWD in the central peninsula region "looks after" the moisture content in the interior areas, and prepares the atmosphere with the humidity required fro a proper and good rainfall in the Lee ward regions.


Indicator: -ve.


3. Bay Low:


Continuing from MW-2, "Bay of Bengal" low pressure parameter is a worrying factor. Normally, the Bay should host a pre-Monsoon low any time after 15th.April. 


Like I mentioned in the previous MW, in 2011 we had a cyclone in the Bay by the third week, and in 2009 a cyclone crossed the Bay on 12th April.2012 hosted a low around 25th April (BB-1).

As on today, this region still maintains a luke warm response to the formation of a quick low. The pressure is anything but low, and the winds indicate a weak "high" trying to stabilise itself. 


What is needed now is a pulse from the Far East, to start with, and break up the existing high pressure area. Currently no Storm or Low pressure in the Philippines Seas.


MJO has entered a weak phase in our seas. The MJO turns negative in the Southern Bay areas after 29th April. MJO wave gets slightly positive in Bay around 18th May...seems suitable for the Monsoon there ! MJO may turn Neutral after 8th May in the Arabian Sea sector.

The shading indicates outgoing longwave radiation (OLR; W/m²).


Only +ve sign of a quick formation is that the SST is conducive. Map shows around 30c in the Bay and 31c near the Andaman Islands. Getting favourable temperature for  low formation.


Indicator: -ve

4. Cross Equatorial Winds : Indicator: neutral.


The Southern  high pressure region, the Power House of our Summer Monsoon, is constant down in the Southern Hemisphere, stretching off the Madagascar Island to the  mid South Indian ocean. 

The Mascrene Highs have maintained their strength, and i would say gained to some extent... at 1028mb. 


The cross equatorial wind flow, has just about picked up in the Western sector Southern Hemisphere. Winds, have not yet achieved the required speeds, but just  hitting the East African coast. To get a defined Somali Current, we need a proper re-curving Northwards/North-East of the winds, on the Kenyan coast. (Map)

However, The region below the equator in the Bay sector is almost in the same situation as MW-2.  In the Bay Branch, the Cross equatorial winds are perfectly diverted and changed direction towards SW after just crossing the Equator (Blue Arrows). But, in the Bay, the winds turn Southerly, and are dis organised along the East Coast of India.The winds hitting Sumatra coast (Green Arrow) are not Westerly (as  required), and also needs to gather strength soon.



Remember, the normal date for SWM to hit the South Andaman Sea is 15th. May.(Map)

In fact, a severe Cyclone Cat 4 " Quang" is "hanging around" the seas off the West coast of Australia...and expected to track SE towards Western Australia.

If no further systems form, we see ITCZ moving North, the High in the Southern Indian Ocean has a fair chance of getting stronger and anchoring well.


Indicator: Neutral.


5. The 200 Jet Streams too, show some awkward anomaly, in the last week.  Seems to be getting rectified only after 4th May. 

The 200 hpa Jet Streams:  core was located between Lat.26°N & Lat. 30°N with the wind speed varying between 81 kts & 109 kts around 200 hPa. The highest wind speed of 109 kts was recorded over Patiala on 20th April at 187 hPa

Conclusion: Indicators:  1) ENSO -ve  as El Nino chances possible in Latter Months of Monsoon.    2) Seasonal Low -ve     3)  Bay Low -ve  4)  Cross equatorial Winds Neutral. 5) UTH trough favourably forming around the Equator in the 80E -100E area.




Arrival of South West Monsoon:
I would put a slight delay in the South West Monsoon arrival dates for Andaman and Kerala as of now. 
But would like to wait for another 4 days to see any changes in parameters, so will put up MW-3 Part 2 on 4th May with proper dates of SWM arrival.

Then, we go into analysing the quantum of rainfall expected, in the subsequent MW-5 (which as usual will be in 2 parts), and will be ready for publication in May.


These views are of the Author. May not be used for Commercial purposes.

                                            End of Article...


Astronomers..Do not miss ..Watch an Enormous “Plasma Snake” Erupt from the Sun...See video in the end.....Space News Page

Monday, April 27, 2015

Monsoon Watch - 3 will be published on Thursday 30th Night (11.30 pm IST)

Heat wave! South Florida sizzles, breaks temperature records (All Temperatures mentioned in Fahrenheit)
BY CARLI TEPROFFCTEPROFF@MIAMIHERALD.COM

Sunday’s 26th,  temperature climbed to 96 degrees at Miami International Airport, breaking the daily record of 93 set in 1988 and tying the record for the entire month of April, which was logged in 1971.
Miami was not alone in breaking heat records.

The temperature at Fort Lauderdale-Hollywood International Airport was 96 degrees Sunday afternoon, breaking the record of 94 set in 1988.

In Boca Raton and at Fort Lauderdale Executive Airport, the temperature hit 99 degrees.

The extreme heat — which feels even hotter because of the humidity — is rather unusual for April, Gregoria said. The average temperature is around 84 degrees.


“We are a good 10 degrees warmer than usual,” he said.



------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Rains never seems to stop in Karnataka, ending 8.30 am on 30.04.2015

The trough upto 0.9 km a.s.l. from Marathwada to south Tamil Nadu now extends from southeast Madhya Pradesh to Kerala across interior Andhra Pradesh.

in mm (min 20 mm)


Horakeredevarpur H.D - 72
Sangameshwarpet - 67
Vanakanahalli - 57
Balla - 54
Hallare - 48
Kyasamballi - 47
Chinnikatte - 46
Periyapatna - 43
Thopanahalli - 42
Markanja - 41
Maranahalli - 41
Talya - 39
Subramanya - 39
Garvale - 38
Kowdle - 35
Chinchodi - 35
B Katihalli - 35
Kodihally - 33
Nagnur Byaraj - 31
Belagodu - 30
Kanivedasarahalli - 30
Kuruburu - 29
Kanakapura - 27
Doddamole - 27
Arishinakunte - 25
Hethur - 25
Somwarpet - 24
Maddur - 23
Anekal - 23
Suttakoti - 23
Krishnarajpet - 23
Ravandur - 22
Gendehalli - 22
Halekote - 22
Lakkur - 21
Haradanahally - 20
Hosanagar - 20
Pulgurkote - 20
Periyapatna - 20
Holalur - 20

Bordoichila pounds Meghalaya, Rainfall ending 8.30 am on 29.04.2015

The upper air cyclonic circulation over Assam & Meghalaya and neighbourhood, now lies over East Assam and neighbourhood and extends upto 0.9 km as

in mm (min 10 mm)


Williamnagar - 101
Rongara - 71
Jowai - 69
Williamnagar (A) - 67
Cherrapunji - 49
Nongostin - 41
Mawkyrwat - 41
Shillong - 22
Barapani - 10
Nongpoh - 10

Odisha gets widespread Rains, ending 8.30 am on 29.04.2015

A cyclonic circulation between 1.5 & 2.1 kms a.s.l. lies over east Uttar Pradesh and neighbourhood. A thunder squall accompanied with gusty surface wind speed reaching 40 kmph passed over Bhubaneswar airport on 28.04.2015 at 18.35 hrs IST and lasted for 3 minutes. Due to long list, the cut-off is kept at 30 mm.

in mm (min 30 mm)


Chhatrapur - 65
Kankadahad - 62
Betanati - 60 
Gopalpur - 58
Tangi - 57
Belaguntha - 42
Jenapur - 41
Rairakhol - 40
Bhuban - 40
Jujumura - 39
Korei - 38
Puri - 37
Brahmagiri - 37
Chandikhol - 36
Karanjia - 36
Chandbali - 36
Tigiria - 35
Dhenkanal - 33
Mahisapat - 33
Soro - 32
Pipili - 32
Marshaghai - 31
Alpingal - 31
Cuttak - 30
Paradip - 30
Bhuweneshwar - 30
Daringbadi - 30


Coffee showers in Karnataka, ending 8.30 am on 29.04.2015

A  trough upto 0.9 km a.s.l. extends from Marathwada to south Tamil Nadu across interior Karnataka.  'Cherry Blossom’ or ‘Coffee showers’ are local wind that blows over the interior Karnataka during the pre-monsoon season and is extremely helpful for coffee cultivation. The Hills in the interior Karnataka gets most of these rains

in mm (min 15 mm)

Subramanya - 72
Tegur - 61
Gangasandra - 52
Kuruvalli - 50
Ramapura - 38
Tigadi - 35
Hirebagevadi - 31
Chinnamulagund - 31
Baggavalli - 31
Sarangi - 29
Gauribidanur - 28
Shishila - 26
Doddabygathavalli - 25
Ballamavati - 25
Sondekoppa - 24
Beladhara - 24
Uchagaon - 24
Ubrani - 23
Kalmane - 21
Hanagal - 20
Paspul - 20
Nallur - 20
Kavadimatti - 20
Halaganahalli - 19
Mangalavada - 17
Vishwanathanahalli - 16
Gurumitakal - 16
Ajjampura - 16
Maranahalli - 16
Tyagadabaji - 15
Malur - 15
Shiggaon - 15
Lakkavalli - 15
Belgavi - 15
Kulageri Cross - 15
Balehonnur - 15
Thumbadi - 15
Shahabad - 15
Tanigebylu - 15
Attigundi - 15
Khanapura - 15

Coimbatore continues to get rains, Tamil Nadu Rainfall ending 8.30 am on 28.04.2015

The cyclonic circulation extending upto 0.9 km a.s.l. over Lakshadweep area and neighbourhood persists.

in mm (min 10 mm)

Valparai PTO, Coimbatore - 51
Kuruvikulam, Tirunelveli - 50
Mullaikaraipatti, Tirunelveli - 44
Lower Nirar, Coimbatore - 40
Narikudi, Virdhunagar - 34
Tondi, Ramanathapuram - 32
Valparai Taluk Office, Coimbatore - 31
Pechiparai, Kanyakumari - 29
Chinnakalar, Coimbatore - 28
Perambalur, Perambalur - 28
Panchapatti, Karur - 27
Satankulam, Toothukudi - 25
Rajapalayam, Virudhunagar - 24
Karaikudi, Sivaganga - 23
Manalmedu, Thanjavur - 23
Sholayar Dam, Coimbatore - 20
Tirupathur, Sivaganga - 20
K.M.Koil, Cuddalore - 20
Padalur, Perambalur - 20
Valparai PAP, Coimbatore - 20
Upper Kodayar, Kanyakumari - 19
Tozhudur, Cuddalore - 17
Periyar, Theni - 17
Nallar, Coimbatore - 17
Thiruthuraipoondi, Tiruvarur - 17
Musiri, Trichy - 17
Kundadam, Tiruppur - 17
Nilakottai, Dindigul - 16
Tiruvadanai, Ramanathapuram - 15
Kalugumalai, Toothukudi - 15
Thuvakudi, Trichy - 15
Thirumarugal, Nagapattinam - 14
Melaneelithanallur, Tirunelveli - 14
Marungapuri, Trichy - 14
Sivaganga, Sivaganga - 14
Papanasam, Tirunelveli - 14
Thottiyam, Trichy - 14
Aruppukottai, Virudhunagar - 13
Kolli hills, Namakkal - 12
Manimutharu, Tirunelveli - 12
Mannargudi, Tiruvarur - 12
Kovilpatti, Toothukudi - 12
Orthanad, Thanjavur - 11
Paramathivelur, Namakkal - 10
Sirkali, Nagapattinam - 10
Tirupuvanam, Sivaganga - 10
Srimushnam, Cuddalore - 10
Nanguneri, Tirunelveli - 10
Thunnakkadavu, Coimbatore - 10
Mangalur, Cuddalore - 10
Vettaikadu, Tiruvarur - 10

Non stop rains in Odisha continues, ending 8.30 am on 28.04.2015

The trough between 3.1 & 5.8 kms a.s.l. from Assam to north coastal Andhra Pradesh now extends from Assam to northwest Bay of Bengal.

in mm (min 10 mm)

Dhamnagar - 81
Bari - 48
Remuna - 40 
Akhuapada - 32
Marsaghai - 25
Kendrapara - 30 
Derabis - 30
Nh5 Gobindpur - 30 
Pattamundai - 24 
Gania - 20
Jamsolaghat - 20
Harichandanpur - 15
Binjharpur - 15
Dhenkanal  - 15
Mahisapat - 15
Nilgiri - 14
Thakurmunda - 14
Chandikhol - 13
Tihidi - 13
Bhadrak - 12
Jajpur - 11
Basudevpur - 11
Nayagarh - 10
Ghatagaon - 10 
Ranpur - 10
Chandbali - 10
Tilhar - 10
Samakhunta - 10
Champua - 10

Kerala continues to get Rain, ending 8.30 am on 28.04.2015

The cyclonic circulation extending upto 0.9 km asl over Lakshadweep area and neighbourhood persists. A trough extending upto 0.9 km asl from the above cyclonic circulation to coastal Karnataka.

in mm (min 10 mm)

Kurudamannil - 86
Perumbavur - 46
Thenmala - 40
Varkala - 37
Kanjirappally - 34
Peermade - 31
Quilandy - 22
Chengannur - 22
Haripad - 20
Lower Sholayar - 20
Kayamkulam - 19
Thrithala - 16
Neeleswaram - 15
Ottappalam - 14
Nedumangad - 13
Neyyattinkara - 12
Mavattapuzah - 11
Munnar - 10
Pattambi - 10
Kollam - 10
Kottayam - 10

Coimbatore district gets very heavy rains, Tamil Nadu Rainfall ending 8.30 am on 27.04.2015

The cyclonic circulation extending upto 0.9 km a.s.l. lies over Lakshadweep area and neighbourhood. Sothupparai dam in Theni has become full and overflowing even before the monsoon starts after 40 years.

in mm (min 10 mm)

Pollachi, Coimbatore - 124
Parsons Valley, Nilgiris - 68
Karuppandhi Dam, Tirunelveli - 68
Bodinaickanur, Theni - 65
Sivagiri, Tirunelveli - 55
Manacadavu, Coimbatore - 54
Thunnakkadavu, Coimbatore - 46
Sendamangalam, Namakkal - 45
Thondamuthur, Coimbatore - 44
Valparai PTO, Coimbatore - 42
Sarcarsamakulam, Coimbatore - 38
Uthagamandalam, Nilgiris - 37
Neyveli, Cuddalore - 34
Thirukoilur, Villupuram - 32
Karambakkudi, Pudukottai - 31
Vettaikaranpudur, Coimbatore - 29
Sankarankoil, Tirunelveli - 27
Manalmedu, Thanjavur - 27
Namakkal, Namakkal - 25
Budalur, Thanjavur - 24
Sholavandan, Madurai - 24
Padalur, Perambalur - 23
Amaravathi, Coimbatore - 22
Manomboly, Coimbatore - 22
Porthimund, Nilgiris - 22
Shencottah, Tirunelveli - 22
Thirumarugal, Nagapattinam - 21
Valparai, Taluk Office Coimbatore - 21
Sivakasi, Virudhunagar - 19
Chellampatti, Madurai - 19
Periyakulam, Theni - 18
Thenkasi, Tirunelveli - 18
Rajapalayam, Virudhunagar - 18
Valparai PAP, Coimbatore - 18
Thiruverambur, Trichy - 17
Vembakottai, Virudhunagar - 16
Pechiparai, Kanyakumari - 15
Periyanaickenpalayam, Coimbatore - 15
Nannilam, Tiruvarur - 15
Sakarapathi, Coimbatore - 14
Nallar Coimbatore - 14
Salem, Salem - 14
Mannargudi, Tiruvarur - 14
Peraiyur, Madurai - 14
Ramnad NICRA, Ramanathapuram - 13
Anamalai, Coimbatore - 11
Tiruvadanai, Ramanathapuram - 11
Vettikadu, Tiruvarur - 11
K.M.Koil, Cuddalore - 10
Panamarathupatti, Salem - 10
Kadaiyampatty, Salem - 10
Perungalur, Pudukkottai - 10
Tiruvaiyaru, Thanjavur - 10
Tiruchendur, Toothukudi - 10
Marina Beach, Chennai - 10
Puduchatram, Namakkal - 10
Uthagamandalam, PTO Nilgiris - 10
Kadaladi, Ramanathapuram - 10
Paramakudi, Ramanathapuram - 10
Kayathar, Toothukudi - 10
Upper Aliyar, Coimbatore - 10
Sholayar Dam, Coimbatore - 10
Narikudi, Virdhunagar - 10 



Non-stop Rain in Karnataka continues, ending 8.30 am on 27.04.2015

The cyclonic circulation extending upto 0.9 km a.s.l. lies over Lakshadweep area and neighbourhood.

in mm (min 20 mm)

Kunijala - 85
Kalenahalli - 67
Keralapura - 67
Ganjigere - 60
Balehonnur - 53
Murnad - 42
Arkalgud - 40
Megaramakki - 35
Badadal - 33
Revoor - 33
Virajapet - 31
Maruthipura - 31
Yelkundele - 30
Madapura - 30
Shivapura - 29
Salagame - 29
Nakapolu - 28
Somwarpet - 28
Nettanige - 27
Mudnuru - 27
Mandekolu - 27
Kushalnagar - 26
Haradanahalli - 25
Seelunare - 25
Duddamagge - 23
Kuruburu - 22
Balachavadi - 21
Bhagamandala - 21
Doddabommatti - 21
Gorur - 20
Kottur - 20
Galibeedu - 20
Shadaguppi - 20
Bettadapura - 20
Hebbalagere - 20
Hodigere - 20
Yelandur - 20
Bylanarasapura - 20

Mango Showers continue in Kerala, ending 8.30 am on 27.04.2015

The cyclonic circulation extending upto 0.9 km a.s.l. lies over Lakshadweep area and neighbourhood.

in mm (min 15 mm)

Mattanur - 86
Manjeri - 71
Vellanikkara - 59
Kayamkulam Agri - 43
Neyyattinkara - 43
Kayamkulam - 40
Mavattapuzha - 35
Vadakkancherry - 33
Hosdurg - 32
Aryankavu - 26
Perumbavur - 25
Konni - 25
Lower Sholayar - 24
Kollengode - 23
Poringal - 21
Meenangadi - 21
Ottappalam - 20
Chalakudy - 20
Kannur - 19
Kanjirapuzha - 18
Kochi CIAL - 18
Mannarkad - 18
Taliparamba - 17
Karipur AP - 16
Kodungallur - 15
Nedumangad - 15
Chengannur - 15
Chimoni - 15
Meenkara - 15
Vilangankunnu - 15
Haripad - 15
Ambalavayal - 15
Vynthala - 15

 ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------


Rare Occurrence in Rawalpindi today, Monday....the day's high was 19c, while the overnight low was 20c...How ?
The Low was 20c till the cut off time. After that rains started and the temperatures dropped below 20c. By then the cut off time must have lapsed, and the mercury never crossed 19c in the day...in fact it dropped to 15c at Islamabad in the day....

Saturday, April 25, 2015

Major 5.3 magnitude Tremor in Nepal (Centre 26 kms ENE of Nagarkot) at 9.56 pm IST Sunday

Thunder Storm lashes Kathmandu airport Sunday night...Currently at 10.30 pm IST temp at 14c. As a WD moves East from Northern India, more rain and showers expected around Kathmandu on Monday and Tuesday.
Next WD moves into Northern Sub Continent on 30th. 
A strong WD expected in North Sub Continent on 6th May

25 Major After Shocks in the Last 11 hrs (till 10.30 pm IST Saturday) > 4 magnitude




Nepal and North India/East India Quake on 25th April:

USGS UPGRADES THE QUAKE TO 7.9!!

Vagarians from Delhi, Kolkata, Patna, and Varanasi report of heavy jolts and tremors.

ToI pic from Nepal below


Weather Report sent by Vagarian Santosh from Kolkata is "self explanatory"..."Guess what is the feeling right now !!
Earthquake , then after shock , than Gloomy skies ,
and Storm begins , Rains lashing , Vertical lightning ....!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
Its all happening over in kolkata ... ok
but dont panic , everyone , its not the end of the world ....
We all are safe .. "


Thunder Showers in Kolkata now with East Winds at 26 kmph ( 12.30 pm IST)

Kathmandu is cloudy at 20c, but rain expected later on Saturday.
Many regions affected by quake can get showers on Saturday evening. Light snowfall likely in higher reaches.

Thunder Squalls likely in Bihar, Jharkhand and West Bengal on Saturday. Heavy rains also likely.


Tirunelveli continues to get rains, Tamil Nadu Rainfall ending 8.30 am on 26.04.2015

The cyclonic circulation extending upto 0.9 km a.s.l. over Comorin area and neighbourhood  now lies over Comorin and adjoining Lakshadweep areas. The trough extending upto 1.5 kms asl. runs upto interior Tamil Nadu across Chhattisgarh and coastal Andhra Pradesh.

in mm (min 5 mm)

Lower Papanasam, Tirunelveli - 56
Servalar, Tirunelveli - 53
Manimutharu, Tirunelveli -  46
Papanasam, Tirunelveli  - 45
Sethubavachatram, Thanjavur - 36
Nanguneri, Tirunelveli  - 26
Upper Bhavani, Nilgiris - 25
Eravangalar, Theni - 15
Pykara, Nilgiris - 14
Mukurthy, Nilgiris - 14
Singara, Nilgiris - 14
Ambasamudram, Tirunelveli  - 12
Periyar, Theni - 10
Ambur, Vellore - 10
Kadanadhi, Tirunelveli - 10
Manalar, Theni - 10
Kalakkadu, Tirunelveli - 9
Nambiyaru, Tirunelveli - 8
Avalanche, Nilgiris - 7
Palacode, Dharamapuri - 7
Chennai  Marina Beach - 5
Budalur, Thanjavur - 5
Nedungal, Krishnagiri - 5
Virinjipuram, Vellore - 5
K.V.Kuppam, Vellore - 5
Thunnakkadavu, Coimbatore - 5
Tiruvalangadu, Tiruvallur - 5
Kodimudiyaru, Tirunelveli - 5
Ramanadhi, Tirunelveli - 5

Odisha continues to get battered for 5th straight day, Odisha Rainfall ending 8.30 am on 26.04.2015

A north-south trough between 3.1 & 5.8 kms asl runs from east Bihar to west-central Bay of Bengal. The trough extending upto 1.5 kms asl. runs to interior Tamil Nadu across Chhattisgarh and coastal Andhra Pradesh. As IMD orissa did not update their dailreport, compiling was not possible.

A Squall passed over Bhubaneswar on 25.04.2015 at 22:45 hrs IST from easterly direction with maximum wind speed 52 Kmph and lasted for 3 min.

in mm (min 10 mm)

Nimpara - 93
Puri - 74
Marsaghai - 59 
Bhubaneswar Aero - 51
Mahisapat - 47
Dhenkanal - 47
Rajibhavan - 39
Phulbani - 35 
Balasore - 34
Tigiria - 34
Birmaharajpur - 30
Athgarh - 30
Junagarh - 28
Chendipada - 28
Chandbali - 26
Belgaon - 24 
Tihidi - 21
Athmalik - 20
Dunguripalli - 19
Sambalpur - 15
Jagatsinghpur - 15
Joshipur - 15
Gania - 15
Baripada - 15
Gaisilet - 14
Alpingal - 14
Tarva - 13
Ullunda - 12
Balpatna - 12
Daspalla - 11
Angul - 11
Titlagarh - 10
Gopalpur - 10
Kujanga - 10
Bolangir - 10
Burla - 10
Daringibadi - 10
Binika - 10

Widespread rains continue in Karnataka, Rainfall ending 8.30 am on 26.04.2015

The trough extending upto 1.5 kms asl. runs upto interior Tamil Nadu across Chhattisgarh and coastal Andhra Pradesh.

in mm (min 20 mm)

Vengasandra - 84
Anajigere - 69
Ramasagar - 64
Joldal - 63
Shantigrama - 60
Domlur - 59
Vatalu - 57
Gorur - 54
Gopanhalli - 52
Belagola - 52
Nidige - 52
Tirumakudalu Narasipura - 51
Umblebylu - 50
Salagame - 49
Muthuru - 38
Chikkabennuru - 38
Mysore - 37
Haladi - 37
Bangalore City - 36
Uttarahalli - 36
Attigundi - 36
Thayalur - 34
Gonitumkur - 34
Bangalore AP - 34
Holenarasipur - 33
Mirle - 30
Tekal - 30
Vastare - 30
Halli Mysore - 30
Avani - 29
Bilur - 28
Hanur - 28
Malandur - 26
Sakarayapatna - 25
Suvarnavathi - 25
Halsahalli - 24
Channapatna - 23
Ayanur - 22
Narsimharajapura - 21
Jayapura (M) - 20
Madapura - 20
Siddapura(K) - 20
K.Shettihalli - 20
Aldur - 20
Taraka - 20
Biligere - 20
Gundlupet - 20
Ajjampura - 20
Lakkavalli - 20
Arkalgud - 20
Hassan - 20

Chennai Surroundings get heavy rains, Tamil Nadu Rainfall ending 8.30 am on 25.04.2015

The trough extending upto 1.5 kms a.s.l. runs to Rayalaseema across north Chhattisgarh, Vidarbha and Telangana. The trough of low at mean sea level over equatorial Indian Ocean and adjoining south Andaman Sea now lies over south  Andaman  Sea  and  adjoining  southeast  Bay  of  Bengal. Singaperumal kovil reported hailstorms. The list is so long, hence the cut-off is kept at 45 mm.

in mm (min 45 mm)

Sothupparai, Theni - 124
Lalapet, Cuddalore - 120
Manachanallur, Trichy - 105
Mahabalipuram, Kancheepuram - 104
Vallam, Thanjavur - 102
Edappadi, Salem - 97
K.M.Koil, Cuddalore - 88
Needamangalam, Tiruvarur - 86
Tindivanam Nicra, Villupuram - 84
Marakkanam, Villupuram - 81
Udumalpet, Tiruppur - 78
Mannargudi, Tiruvarur - 78
Papanasam, Thanjavur - 76
Kodavasal, Tiruvarur - 75
Erumaipatti, Namakkal - 75
Veerapandi, Theni - 74
Kammapuram, Cuddalore - 74
Glenmorgan, Nilgiris - 70
Chittar II, Kanyakumari - 70
Kallakurichi, Villupuram - 69
Valangaiman, Tiruvarur - 68
Tindivanam, Villupuram - 67
Vaiyampatty, Trichy - 67
Kumbakonam, Thanjavur - 65
Trichy Town, Trichy - 65
Anthiyur, Erode - 65
Kadaiyampatty, Salem - 65
Acharapakkam, Kancheepuram - 64
Pondicherry, Puducherry - 64
Mangalur, Cuddlore - 63
Mettur, Salem - 63
Thiruthuraipoondi, Tiruvarur - 63
Tiruvannamalai, Tiruvannamalai - 63
Virudachalam, Cuddalore - 63
Neggam, Coimbatore - 62
Valangaiman, Tiruvarur - 62
Thiruvalangadu, Tiruvallur - 61
Thanjavur, Thanjavur - 60
Servalar, Tirunelveli - 59
Lathur, Kancheepuram - 59
Tiruvarur, Tiruvarur - 58
Arani, Tiruvannamalai - 57
Omalur, Salem - 56
Pandavaiyar Head, Tiruvarur - 56
Sankaridurg, Salem - 55
Periyakulam, Theni - 55
Kelambakkam, Kancheepuram - 55
Muthupet, Tiruvarur - 54
Anaipalayam, Karur - 54
Mecheri, Salem - 54
Manalmedu, Nagapattinam - 54
Vettaikadu, Thiruvarur - 54
Kadambathur, Tiruvallaur - 53
Ulundurpet, Villupuram - 53
Nannilam, Tiruvarur - 50
Arantangi, Pudukkottai - 50
Sankarapuram, Villupuram - 50
Anaikarai, Thanjavur - 50
Lower Anaicut, Thanjavur - 49
Chidambaram, Cuddalore - 49
Pattukottai, Thanjavur - 49
Trichy Junction, Trichy - 48
Pollachi, Coimbatore - 48
Thandrampet, Tiruvannamalai - 47
Sendamangalam, Namakkal - 47
Paluvidudhi, Karur - 47
Mettupatti, Madurai - 46
Poondi, Tiruvallur - 45
Cheyyur, Kancheepuram - 45
Gudalur Bazzar, Nilgiris - 45
Panchapatti, Karur - 45
Gudimangalam, Tiruppur - 45
Gingee, Villupuram - 45
Vilupuram, Villupuram - 45
Marudhanadhi, Theni - 45

No Stopping of rains in Karnataka, Rainfall ending 8.30 am on 25.04.2015

The trough extending upto 1.5 kms a.s.l. runs to Rayalaseema across north Chhattisgarh, Vidarbha and Telangana.

in mm (min 20 mm)

Hirisave - 81
Ganjigere - 69
Chikkayalur - 61
Mayasandra - 58
Nandipura - 55
Gundal - 54
Karmadu - 53
Suguru - 51
Dabbegatta - 50
Lalandevanahalli - 50
Huliyur - 48
Marthahally  - 45
Lokkanahalli - 45
Bannerughatta - 43
Bidaluru - 41
Joldal - 38
Bailur - 38
Heggere - 38
Chilukunda - 37
Bangalore - 36
Mandagadde - 34
Malemahadeshwara Hills - 33
Begur - 32
Hallur - 31
Krishnarajapet - 31
Kanivedasarahalli - 30
Kollegal - 28
Yelandur - 28
K.Belagallu - 27
Boranakanive - 27
Krishnarajanagar - 27
Balehonnur - 26
Hebbal - 25
Dandinasivar - 25
Kadugodi - 25
Bindiganavole - 23
Hoskote - 22
Sirvar - 22
Halekote - 21
Balanja - 21
Alaluru - 20
Doddabommatti - 20
Galibeedu - 20
Mysore - 20
Ravandur - 20
Doddalahally - 20
Koganur - 20
Shimoga - 20

Andhra continues to get the battering, Rainfall ending 8.30 am on 25.04.2015

The trough extending upto 1.5 kms a.s.l. runs to Rayalaseema across north Chhattisgarh, Vidarbha and Telangana.

in mm (min 30 mm)

Narsipatnam - 111
Sankhavaram - 83
Prathipadu - 70
Velanka  - 68
Uttarakanchi - 65
Satyavedu - 60
Kathipudi - 60
Jammalamadugu - 58
Kakarapadu - 57
Rajam - 56
Rayabhupalapatnam  - 53
Parvathipuram - 52
Golugonda - 51
Vakapadu - 47
S.Rayavaram - 45
Sanapa - 43
Kotananduru - 43
D.Polavaram - 42
Routhulapudi - 42
Nagalapalle - 42
Vempadu - 38
Karani - 38
Krishnapuram - 36
Chodavaram - 35
Chintapalle - 35
Gangavaram - 33
Therlam - 33
Gaadhirai - 32
Irugulam - 32
Munagapaka - 31
Pachipenta - 31
Makkuva - 30
Chanti Bridge - 30
Suratpalle - 30
Cheedikada - 30
Madugula - 30
Sabbavaram - 30
Tuni - 30
Bobbili - 30

Palani & Salem gets hailstorms, Thirunallar gets yellow rain, Tamil Rainfall ending 8.30 am on 24.04.2015

The trough extending upto 1.5 kms a.s.l. now runs from to Comorin area across interior Odisha, south Chhattisgarh, Telangana and Rayalaseema. The trough from Telangana to extreme south Peninsular India has merged with the above trough. Palani got hailstorms after 40 years. Officials are inspecting the stranage yellow rains in Thirunallur in Karaikkal.

in mm  (min 10 mm)

Palani, Dindigul - 70
Perundurai, Erode - 64
Salem, Salem - 58
Dharmapuri Pto, Dharmapuri - 38
Hogenekal, Dharmapuri - 35
Jawadhu Hills, Thiruvannmalai - 32
K.V.Kuppam, Vellore - 29
Coimbatore South, Coimbatore - 27
Anamalai, Coimbatore - 25
Virinjipuram, Vellore - 25
Avinasi, Tiruppur - 23
Jolarpet, Vellore - 23
Natrampalli, Vellore - 22
Sathyamangalam, Erode - 22
Denkanikottai,  Krishnagiri - 22
Kumarapalayam,  Namakkal - 21
Harur,  Dharmapuri - 19
Thoppampatti, Dindugul - 19
Thammampatty, Salem - 18
Pennagaram, Dharmapuri - 18
Anaicut, Vellore - 18
Mecheri, Salem - 18
Karamadai, Coimbatore - 16
Peraiyur, Madurai - 16
Bhavani, Erode - 15
Yercaud, Salem - 13
Omalur, Salem - 13
Coimbatore AP, Coimbatore - 12
Mettupalayam, Coimbatore - 12
Madukkarai, Coimbatore - 12
Coimbatore, Coimbatore - 12
Thunnakkadavu, Coimbatore - 12
Chennimalai, Erode - 11
Sulur, Coimbatore - 10
Periyanaickenpalayam, Coimbatore - 10
Gobichettipalayam, Erode - 10
Dharapuram, Tiruppur - 10
Rasipuram, Namakkal - 10
Sandyanallah, Coimbatore - 10
Sarcarsamakulam, Coimbatore - 10

Andhra gets battered, Rainfall ending 8.30 am on 24.04.2015

The trough extending upto 1.5 kms a.s.l. now runs from to Comorin area across interior Odisha, south Chhattisgarh, Telangana and Rayalaseema. The trough from Telangana to extreme south Peninsular India has merged with the above trough.

in mm  (min 30 mm)

Anantapuram - 102
Nakkapalli - 83
Nandana Marela - 79
Madakasira - 76
Gummagatta - 71
Umareddipalle  - 59
Battuvanipalli - 58
Udayagudam - 58
Gummanampadu - 56
Jagadurthi - 48
Rudrasamudram - 47
Gooty - 46
Seetharampuram - 43
B Nidamanur  - 43
Komarada - 42
Hakumpeta - 41
Rayadurg - 41
Nandavaram - 41
Raptadu - 41
Thikkavari Palem - 40
Rudravaram - 37
Pedamanturu - 37
Velugodu - 36
Ellutla - 36
Mundlamuru - 36
Kambadur - 36
Pedairlapadu - 36
Cheemalapadu - 35
Pattikanda - 35
Kalyandrug - 34
Cherukur - 34
Narpala - 34
Gummagatta - 34
Munagapaka - 33
Racherla - 32
Govindapuram - 31
Kolukula - 30
Medimakulapalle - 30
Rambilli - 30
Pedagarlapadu - 30
Podili - 30
Devanakonda - 30

Hail Storms in Bangalore and daily rains continue in Karnataka, ending 8.30 am on 24.04.2015

The trough extending upto 1.5 kms a.s.l. now runs from to Comorin area across interior Odisha, south Chhattisgarh, Telangana and Rayalaseema. The trough from Telangana to extreme south Peninsular India has merged with the above trough. Varthur in Banglore tops with over 100 mm rainfall. For 2nd day Banglaore region has topped karnataka rainfall.


in mm  (min 40 mm)

Varthur - 135
Balganur - 95
Udbala - 95
Kalarhatt - 95
Tavaragera - 98
Siddapura - 93
Renukapura - 88
Mutuguppe - 87
Balagannur - 85
Karekallu - 77
Perabe - 76
Hosaritti - 72
Vishweshwarapuram - 72
Kuppagadde - 69
Hemdore - 68
Hura - 68
Mutsandra - 67
Hulikal (H) - 67
Jalihal - 65
Halaguru - 65
Oddarahatti - 64
Raichur PTO - 62
Hosaritti - 61
Santibastwad - 61
Moka - 61
Harisandra - 57
Karatgi - 57
Kokkada - 57
Hallikere - 55
Gorebal - 54
Attangi - 54
Hulekal - 53
Halagur - 53
Bangalore City - 53
Kodihally - 52
Harve - 52
Halkatta - 52
Gangavathi - 51
Bangalore AP - 49
Begur - 48
Mulikar - 48
Bailur - 48
Konakal - 48
Kurugodu - 45
Kunnatgi - 45
Belur - 44
Turuvekere - 43
Ramanagara - 43
Manchanbele - 43
Bandal - 42
Bettadapura - 42
Mulky - 42
Kukkala - 41
Thirthahalli - 41
Somanahalli - 40
Anavatti - 40
Somwarpet - 40
Doddalahally- 40
Venoor - 40
Arasalu - 40
Sugur  - 40
Turvihal - 40
Bargur - 40
Rayanal - 40
Manchikere - 40
Munganahalli - 40
Hebri - 40

Karnataka continues to get Mango Showers, ending 8.30 am on 23.04.2015

A trough extending upto 1.5 kms a.s.l. runs from Telangana to  extreme  south Peninsular India  across Rayalaseema and south interior Karnataka. Bangalore outskirts got battered.

in mm(min 20 mm)

Rajanukunte - 111
Melur - 86
Haranhalli - 63
Surathkal - 62
B.Kanabur - 61
Puradalu - 57
Haleyangady - 51
Lokkanahalli - 51
Shimoga - 45
Hadripura - 45
Halebeedu - 43
Lokkanahalli - 42
Kadagattur - 42
Baguru - 42
Nichhavvanahalli - 40
Budapanhalli - 40
Pavagada - 40
Sutagatti - 40
Balehonnur - 40
Hebsur - 39
Hesaraghatta - 39
Sundal - 38
Kundana - 38
Holuru - 35
Mangalore - 33
Deshanur - 31
Chigateri - 30
Baguru - 33
Doddabelavangala - 30
Kanivedasarahalli - 30
Joldal - 28
Balangannur - 28
Kallanhangarga - 27
Ramgiri - 26
Aurad  - 25
Arasanagi - 25
Kudur - 24
Kuduru - 22
Ballupet - 22
Hulukunte - 22
Ranibennur - 21
Arasikere - 21
Hanumanamatti - 20
Amingad - 20
Shimoga PTO - 20
Hemmaragala - 20
Nagur - 20