Monday, June 27, 2016




Today's Pics from Porbundar and Karachi sent by Vagarians...on Reader's Page
Check Vagaries Goa Updated...

Heavy rains in Delhi NCR ..Ranging from 10-56 mms.
Pic from Gurgaon by Parikshit Srivastava


Compiled By Vagarian Tejas


Maharashtra Water position as on today 27-06-2016
Maharashtra overall available live water storage is on only 9% as of today.

Division wise storage:

Konkan 28%
Nagpur 16%
Amravati 11%
Other Dam's 9%
Nashik 8%
Pune 7%
Marathwada 1% 



Mega cities available water as on today: 

Mumbai overall dams storage is on 20%.

Thane District all cities water supplying dams storage:
Barvi dam 9% 
Andhra dam 6%

Mumbai & Thane District water supplying dams rainfall from 1st June 2016 till today (27-06-2016):

Vihar 665mm
Tulshi 614mm
Modaksagar 169mm
Bhatsa 165mm
Tansa 165mm
Barvi 128mm
Middle Vaitarna 79mm
Andhra,Maval 79mm
Upper Vaitarna 65mm



Except Vihar & Tulshi rainfall (as it is on coastal) .. Rest other dams rainfall looks like 24hrs rainfall figure !! 


Some Ghat section (near Mumbai) rainfall, from 1st June till today (27-06-2016):

Bhira 437mm
Mulshi 360mm
Mahabaleshwar 311mm
Khandala 279mm
Bhimashankar 190mm
Lavasa 188mm
Lonavala 185mm
Igatpuri 153mm




So in short interior N.Konkan & Ghat section yet to pick up !!


Sunday, June 26, 2016

Posted Sunday Night:

Monsoon has moved into South Gujarat, parts of Saurashtra and West M.P.

The Low Pressure (BB-2) has formed off the AP coast in the Bay. BB-2 is expected to become Well Marked in the same position by Monday.System may track inland on Monday and Tuesday. While tracking thru Coastal A.P. on Monday, it will bring heavy rains to A.P. and then move into adjoining North Telengana and adjoining Vidharbh.

Heavy showers in A.P, North Telengana and Eastern Vidharbh on Monday and Tuesday. Nagpur will get more showers on Tuesday and Wednesday, while Akola region of Vidharbh will get showers with moderate to heavy intensity, around 30-40 mms /day. See Map below article

The off shore trough will remain active , with heavy rainfall along the West Coast.

Light rains likely in Coastal Sindh next 2 days. Karachi may see light rains on Monday/Tuesday.Strong Southerly winds.

Estimate of further advance of Monsoon into Delhi NCR will be around 1st July. Rains will increase in NCR from 1st July.

Indore: Few showers on Monday, but rainfall increasing on Tuesday/Wednesday.

Rainfall increasing in Saurashtra after Thursday 30th June. 

Mumbai: Will be cloudy with showers or thunder showers, some heavy, on Monday and lesser intensity on Tuesday.Rain may measure around 35-50 mms/day on Monday.
On Monday,heavy showers in Northern Outer townships along the coastal areas.
Roha received about 130 mms on both Friday and Saturday /day. Heavy rains on Monday in Roha and Panvel regions.
Pune: After some light rains on Monday, Pune can see an increased rainfall of upto 20-30 mms on Wednesday.

Many Western Ghat Stations (important for Dams) will receive between 100-150 mms on Monday. Substantial increase in Ghat Stations could be expected on Thursday and Friday (will be kept informed here).

As a rule, vagaries tries its best to post any special weather event, or unusual weather or any extreme weather event. Normal weather conditions and where nothing unusual is expected is not mentioned in Vagaries. We try not to miss any special weather occurrence.

CORRECTION HAS BEEN MADE TO POST...LIGHT BLUE COLOUR..THAT IS LESS THAN 30 MMS PREDICTED FOR SINDH COAST. ORIGINAL THRU ERROR..REGRETTED.

Saturday, June 25, 2016

Vagaries will be updated with forecast Map of next 2 days Sunday night 11 pm IST

Rainfall around Mumbai as omn 26th Morning (24 hrs) complied by Vagarian Tejas Baxi




The first to reach 1000 mms this season was Malvan (Konkan) on 24th June: Few more followed on Saturday 25th: Season's Rainfall Totals as on Saturday Morning 25th: Malvan 1126 mms, Mormugao (Goa) 1059, Harnai (Konkan) 1051 mms,Dabolim (Goa) 1033 mms, Cherrapunji ( Meghalaya) 1015 mms. Mawsynram (Meghalaya) is 1050 mms (yet to be confirmed).

8.30 am - 5.30 pm Saturday...Colaba 96 mms, Scruz 35 mms, Alibag 149 mms, Dahanu 134 mms. Ratnagiri 86 mms.



The first to reach 1000 mms this season was Malvan (Konkan) on 24th June: Few more followed on Saturday 25th: Season's Rainfall Totals as on Saturday Morning 25th: Malvan 1126 mms, Mormugao (Goa) 1059, Harnai (Konkan) 1051 mms,Dabolim (Goa) 1033 mms, Cherrapunji ( Meghalaya) 1015 mms. Mawsynram (Meghalaya) is 1050 mms (yet to be confirmed).

8.30 am - 5.30 pm Saturday...Colaba 96 mms, Scruz 35 mms, Alibag 149 mms, Dahanu 134 mms. Ratnagiri 86 mms.



Thursday, June 23, 2016

Posted Thursday Night:

Mumbai Region:
Wet and heavy spell coming for Mumbai....Saturday 25th will be the peak with heavy rainfall with thunder.
Friday 24th will see occasional showers in the day and rains may measure 30-40 mms. Rains intensity will increase from Friday evening/night.
Saturday 25th will be overcast with intermittent rains, and frequent very heavy downpours. Rain amount from Saturday morning in the next 24 hrs may cross 100 mms.( Could touch 130-140 mms in some parts).
Sunday ( For Mumbai) will see intermittent showers also, making it a rainy weekend.
Sunday the rains will be very heavy in the Konkan North of Mumbai also, possibly drenching the coast upto Surat with 80-100 mms of rains.

Similar increase is expected in townships around Mumbai and all over the Konkan region.Some places in Konkan can receive upto 180-200 mms. 



Reservoirs Down in India







This chart, based on data from India’s Central Water Commission, shows the water level in major reservoirs compared to the long-term average water level for that site in June.

Collectively, India’s 91 major reservoirs stood at 16 percent of their storage capacity on June 9, 2016, according to the nation’s Central Water Commission (CWC). That is about 58 percent of the water that was available in June 2015 and about 79 percent of the 10-year average. Some of the hardest hit states were Uttarakhand (storage down 77 percent compared to June 2015), Tamil Nadu (down 69 percent), and Maharashtra (down 67 percent).

Of all of India’s reservoirs, Panchet Hill in Jharkhand was among the lowest compared to the 10-year average. In the first week of June 2016, the reservoir stood at 4 percent of capacity; the average for June is 40 percent. The Operational Land Imager (OLI) on the Landsat 8 satellite captured images of the reservoir on June 10, 2015

and June 12, 2016 (second).



From Earth Observatory, NASA.





NASA Earth Observatory images by Joshua Stevens, using Landsat data from the U.S. Geological Survey and Reservoir Data from India's Central Water Commission.