Explaining Very Briefly, M-1 moves into India. Rain and Thunder showers already precipitating by Sunday evening...while Karachi and Nawabshah were warm at 34c, Chorre being high at 35.5c.
Monday and Tuesday,Northern Regions of Pakistan, that is Islamabad and North Punjab regions can expect very heavy showers. With 3 mms today, Islamabad day dropped to 18c, Day temperature may drop to 15c in  Monday. May cause local flooding as downpours will be heavy.
Upper Sindh and Pak Punjab can receive showers and cool days.

Snow expected in Kashmir, and local heavy rains will cause hardships and travel difficult on the mountainous roads. Indian Punjab, Haryana and North Rajastan gat rains from the system too.
Thunder showers expected in Delhi till Wednesday, and may precipitate upto 25 mms acuumulated till Wednesday. Heavy showers for NCR on Tuesday.
And, back to back, M-2 will be approaching by 14th/15th of March.

M-1 spilling into Nepal on Tuesday, with showers in Kathamandu.

Maharashtra Special:
Meteorological conditions for heavy localised hailstorms persist in the Interior Maharashtra and N.I.Karnataka regions for the next 3 days. Regions in the Madhya Maharashtra, Marathwada and Vidharbh regions as well as North Interior Karnataka can get the heavy hail storms as has been the case for the lat 8 days.
In fact, conditions show the thunder cells closing in on the North Konkan region, with some places in the North Konkan region getting spotty thunder showers. 

Next 2 days, Mumbai will be stuffy, cloudy and thunder heads developing in the eastern sky. Would expect light rains in some parts. But outer townships can get the showers on Monday or Tuesday.
In fact, seeing the movement of the UAC, it is very possible that showers may encroach into South Konkan, and that would mean damage to mango trees also !
Pune should get the thunder shower in some parts on Monday and Tuesday.

Sharp showers lashed Aurangabad on Sunday night, with 17 mms of rain falling till 11.30 pm IST (Sunday)....Aurangabad can get thunder showers on Monday or Tuesday, but the Eastern regions like Jalna and Buldana can see some heavy damaging rains.

In Marathwada, Parbhani has already accumulated 89 mms this month ( normal 2 mms till 10th), Nanded 50 mms, Osmanabad 37 mms, and Aurangabad 49 mms. Villages around Aurangabad have received between 50-70 mms in March. Lonar received 75 mms in 3 hours on Friday.
Akola region can also expect heavy showers on Monday /Tuesday.

Maharashtra Rain amounts as on 9th March on pradeep's Page

Posted on Saturday Night:
Saturday, Delhi maximum 27c, Mumbai 30.6c and Pune at 33c.
,..Storms in Marathwada. Parbhani gets 32 mms.
Islamabad rises to 25c, with Chorre and Mithi at 34.5c....all as forecasted.

M-1 moving in to Pakistan Sunday...

Posted Friday evening: Thunder and Rains in Bangalore....

Friday Morning Rain figures from Marathwada and North Mah areas on Pradeep's Page  

What is in Store for the weekend ( 7th/8th/9th March) now, Weatherwise ?

Friday and Saturday: Thunder storms and rains in Nasik, Aurangabad and Marathwada regions of Maharashtra.. Lighter rainfall in Pune, Satara and Solupur region. West Vidharbh also gets some Thunder showers in the evening.
Light showers in Coastal Odisha. 
Dry weather elsewhere. This will result in a rise in day temperatures in the Sindh, Rajasthan and Gujarat regions. 

Sunday: Rains decreasing considerably in Interior Maharashtra. In fact, overall in the sub continent, the rains will restricted to small patches in Coastal Odisha and Interior Karnataka and Nasik/Jalgaon regions of Maharashtra.
The first WD of March, M-1 moves east into India on 10th March. Likely to be "moderately" strong, and effective in Northern plains for 2 days.

Pakistan:
Sunday, we see M-1, the first WD in March, moving into Pakistan. Pakistan will see precipitation increasing in the North. Precipitation likely in Pak Punjab and Extreme North of the country. 

Cities This Weekend:
Islamabad will be partly cloudy a bit warmer ( 24/25c) on Friday and Saturday.. Sunday, with showers, with the day around 22/23c.
Karachi warming up this weekend to 33/34c with good sunshine. Places in interior Sindh would be recording upto 35c this weekend.


Delhi NCR and North Indian plains cities will see days going to 27/28c.

Mumbai will be clear and sunny, but still bearable with a low level of humidity compared to the normal sweaty level. With the temperatures around 31c and 21c.

Pune remains partly cloudy with chance of light rains in some parts on Sunday evening. Otherwise sunny and around 32c in the day and 15/16c at night.

Hyderabad stands a chance of seeing a shower or two on Friday, clearing after that.

Bangalore: If at all Bangalore sees a chance of a shower, it will be on Friday. Saturdy and Sunday carry little chance of rain, with the days going to 31/32c, but 19c at night.

Delhi Weather saw gales upto 84 kmph on Wednesday 5th March...See Details below by Arpit...
See Current Weather Page for Uusual Day Temperatures in Vidharbh on Thursday....

RAIN/THUNDER SQUALL LASHED PARTS OF DELHI-NCR AGAIN...

After four sunny days in Delhi-NCR, again rain/thunderstorm along with gusty winds gripped parts of Delhi-NCR on Wednesday, 5th March. 
Most affected regions were of South Delhi, Gurgaon, Faridabad & Greater Noida. Also rain in these regions brought down the temperature by 6-8 °C in just half an hour. Strong winds above 50 km/hr also helped in lowering down the temperatures. Also hail reported from few areas of Gurgaon.
The cyclonic circulation associated with a WD brought stormy weather to the capital. The main observatory at Safdarjung recorded 4 mm rain with a maximum wind speed of 66 km/hr. The other observatory at Palam recorded 9.6 mm rain with a maximum wind speed of 84 km/hr.

The minimum temperatures also dropped by 2/3 °C at all places with few places going below 10 °C again. The table below shows the info of other regions of Delhi-NCR...

AREA	RAINFALL	MINIMUM TEMPERATURE
HINDON	0.2 mm	9.5 °C
PUSA(IARI)	NIL	9.7 °C
JAFARPUR	NIL	9.9 °C
GURGAON	13.0 mm	10.0 °C
AYANAGAR	9.4 mm	10.6 °C
MUNGESHPUR	NIL	10.7 °C
NAJAFGARH	NIL	10.8 °C
LODHI ROAD	3.6 mm	11.3 °C
PALAM	9.6 mm	11.6 °C
AKSHARDHAM	NIL	11.6 °C
FARIDABAD	6.0 mm	11.6 °C
SAFDARJUNG	4.0 mm	11.9 °C
MEERUT	NIL	12.0 °C
RIDGE	NIL	12.2 °C
DELHI UNIV	NIL	12.8 °C
NUH	NIL	13.0 °C
PUSA	NIL	13.2 °C
YAMUNA SPORTS CPLX	NIL	14.2 °C
NOIDA	NIL	14.8 °C
INDIRAPURAM	NIL	15.5 °C

See Current Weather Page for Unusually Low  Maximum Temperatures in Vidarbha on Thursday 6th March

As forecast in Vagaries (Monday Night blog below), heavy rains sere seen in many parts of Odisha on Tuesday, with Bhubaneshwar recording 38 mms. Hyderabad too got good showers measuring also 38 mms as on Wednesday morning and traces in the day on Wednesday. 
Another spot on estimate was the shower on Wednesday in parts of Delhi NCR, and drizzles in Pune...

Now, what about the next 2 days, Thursday and Friday ?

1. Thunderstorms expected to continue in Maharahtra Districts of Nasik, Aurangabad and Marathwada, Ahmednagar, Jalgaon, Akola and lighter rains in Pune, Satara, Solapur and Nagpur.Heavy in Marathwada. (Map for Maharashtra rains given yesterday holds good)

Mumbai will be hazy, with day temperatures around 33/34c and nights rising by a couple of degrees. 
Pune will be partly cloudy with chances of light rains in some parts.

2. Next 2 days also light showers in Bangalore and Hyderabad.

3.Rains decreasing rapidly in Delhi NCR. Delhi getting warmer towards 27/28c (next 2 days).

4. Tamil Nadu also expected to be dry.

5. Pakistan : Some showers in Central Pakistan regions of Multan and Balochistan. Islamabad and Karachi dry and temperatures show rising trend next 2 days.

6. After receiving 23 mms of rain this month, Kathmandu will be dry, with the days rising to 25/26c next few days. Nepal weather will be dry and sunny.

Weekend situation and forecast will be put up on Friday Night...

Posted Tuesday Night:
(Rainfall amounts of Mah.below pics. See amounts of AP and Karntaka on Pradeep' Page))
UAC forming over Maharashtra expected to persist :

More Rains and Storms in Marathwada on Wednesday and Thursday:
More storms are expected in Marathwada and Aurangabad on Wednesday and Thursday. Heavy falls are warned in Aurangabad region and adjoining Marathwada.

All districts of Marathwada and Vidharbha were lashed and beaten by severe hailstorms from Monday night. Wardha recorded 32 mms and Aurangabad 27 mms as the heavest falls.
But the hails were severe, and some reports speak of "tennis ball size" hails. Enough to kill more than 1000 parrots and even small animals in the open fields. Some estimates put the overll damage in Marathwada to more than Rs. 100 crores.Damage includes standing grapes and jowar fields and harvested and cut wheat crops.

Its Marathwada ! ,,,,after the hailstorm..pic put up by Salil

-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Severe Hailstorm in Marathwada on Monday Night...major damage to standing and cut crops...Wheat worst hit !
Video of Beed Hailstrom sent by Abhijit here...

Pradeep informs us rainfall  in Maharashtra during hailstorm;
Gangakhed - 40
Wardha - 32
Jalna - 31
Purna - 30
Ballarpur - 30
Deoli - 30
Pawni - 30
Digras - 30
Deulgaonraja - 30
Aurangabad AP - 27
Solapur - 25
Basmat - 25
Chowsala - 25
Jamkhed - 20
Beed - 20
Palam - 20
Ghatanji - 20
Selu - 20
Korchi - 20
Kurkheda - 20
Chamorshi - 20
Mul - 20
Pombhurna - 20
Gondpipri - 20
Chandrapur - 20
Sakoli - 20
Umerkhed - 20
Pusad - 20
Arni - 20
Chihkali - 20
Batkuli - 20
Hingoli - 18
Ahmednagar - 17
Yeotmal - 17
Chandrapur - 16
Latur - 15
Hiwara - 15
Hinganghat - 14
Paithan - 10
Sillod - 10
Khuldabad - 10
Ambad - 10
Nanded - 10
Bhokar - 10
Udgir - 10
Kalamnuri - 10
Pathri - 10
Mauda - 10
Kalmeshwar - 10
Narkhed - 10
Kamptee - 10
Maregaon - 10
Ralegaon - 10
Mahagaon - 10
Hinganghat - 10
Deori - 10
Amgaon - 10
Goregaon - 10
Sironcha - 10
Mulchera - 10
Dhanora - 10
Gadchiroli - 10
Joiti - 10
Rajura - 10
Nagbhir - 10
chimur - 10
Warora - 10
Saoli - 10
Lakhani - 10
Lakhandur - 10
Bhandara - 10
Ner - 10
Karanjalad - 10
Risod - 10
Malegaon - 10

Why and How >>

1000 Parrots killed by "tennis Ball Size" hailstones in Washim region of Central Maharashtra, India

.from Abhijit Modak



Posted Monday 3rd March, Night:

1. The Induced Low in the WD trough moves west into Indian Punjab. Tuesday 4th, and Wednesday 5th,rains in Indian Punjab, Kashmir and Haryana. Shower expected in some parts of Delhi NCR on Wednesday.
2. Decrease in rains in Sindh (Pakistan) from Tuesday, and clearing. Also clearing from Rest of Pakistan and rains move East.

3. The UAC over Maharashtra has moved very slightly to the West and weakened on Monday evening.( See Mumbai pressure on Monday in Vagaries Readings Page ) Likely to strengthen a bit by Wednesday, and stabilise over Maharashtra with a trough (LWD) extending Southwards.
Some showers in Madhya Maharashtra, on Tuesday, though decreasing.East Moving trough brings heavy rains in parts of Odisha. Trough also brings light showers to Southern Parts of Central Peninsula. So, showers expected in Bangalore and Hyderabad (AP).
4. Wednesday, lingering LWD continues to bring showers to interior Mah. Aurangabad, Ahmadnagar, Mahableshwar may get showers. Possible rain in Interior Karnataka (Bangalore).

Mumbai will be almost clear and hazy. Gusty Sw winds likely. Cb clouds developing in the Eastern Sky. Next 2 days will be in the 30c-19c range (average between Colaba and Scruz). 
Pune the minimum will rise by 3/4c as clouds appear.Light rains in some parts on Wednesday.


Monday Sangli had rain and hail...video from Salil of the event here
Pic from Sangli

some Pics of rain in Karachi (Monday)

and from Islamabad

 sent by Waqas

Vagarian's Field trip to Regional Meteorological Centre(IMD), Mumbai on 21st February 2014. See Slide Show here
Permanant Link on Vagaries Meet in Pics Page And in Links on right side of Home Page.

Karachi remains cloudy in the day..and Nawabshah after morning showers, has not gone over 21c on Monday, remaining cloudy...forecast tonite..


Snow in Shimla..Freezing cold wave conditions returned to Himachal Pradesh with the state's higher reaches and tribal areas receiving more snowfall and intermittent rains and sleet lashing the mid and lower hills.
lShimla experienced intermittent rains and snow, and the sky remained heavily overcast throughout the day as mercury dropped to 1.5c.The capital town received 6 cm of snow and eight mm of rains on Saturday and Sunday. The maximum day temperature was 8.5c.

Manali got 8 cms of snow, with the low at -3c.

Leh in Ladakh saw a low of -9c, Gulmarg -5.6c andPahalgam -4c.

Evening rains in Hyderabad (India) on Sunday, forcing the last few races to be cancelled...Rain from the weak low shown in Sunday forecast chart on Friday's post below..
Vagarian's Field trip to Regional Meterological Centre(IMD), Mumbai on 21st February 2014. See Slide Show here
Permanant Link on Vagaries Meet in Pics Page And in Links on right side of Home Page.


Thunder and rain in Karachi since Monday morning...keeping the weather cool at 16c, almost at the overnight minimum level. 11 mms recorded at Airport till 03z Monday...more later

Posted Sunday Night: LWD (trough) forming inland from Mah to S.Karnataka): 

Mumbai Eastern Outer townships can expect clouds on Monday, with good chances of light rains in vicinity and in pockets around the ghat regions.

Cloudy Weather with light rain expected in Pune and Mahableshwar on Monday evening.

Heavy rains likely in Ahmednagar region of Maharashtra. 

Aurangabad and surroundings can also expect showers n Monday night and Tuesday.

UPDATE -Rain soaks California causing floods, but won't end drought

UPDATE -Rain soaks California causing floods, but won't end drought

LA on Friday..Sent by Salil

A large winter storm brought much-needed relief to parched California on Friday, boosting its reservoirs and dropping snow on the Sierra Nevada mountains, but the precipitation will not be enough to counter years of drought, officials said.

California is in its third year of a drought that may break all records in the most populous U.S. state.

"Despite these recent storms, it would still have to rain every other day until around May to reach average precipitation totals, and even then we would still be in a drought due to the last two dry years," said Richard Stapler, spokesman for the California Natural Resources Agency.

Brown declared a drought emergency last month and has called on state officials to prepare for water shortages and develop solutions for potentially long-term dry weather.

While the wet weather was welcome, rain and high winds caused road closures and power outages in Southern California and brought enough snow that tire chains were required for driving on mountain roads near the Nevada border.

The Accu Weather service reported that more than an inch of rain had fallen on Southern California since the storm moved in on Thursday night, and that two neighborhoods in the foothills of the San Gabriel mountains had been evacuated as a precaution in case the wet weather prompted mudslides.

Air traffic was also affected at Los Angeles International Airport, where 19 incoming and outgoing flights were canceled on Friday morning, officials said.

Despite the continuation of much-needed rainfall in California, more rain and strong storms could lead to additional problems this Saturday.

While the heavy rainfall is beneficial for the drought-stricken state, mudflow, debris and flash flooding could endanger lives and create multiple problems for the Golden State.

Downtown Los Angeles received 3.29 inches of rain Thursday and Friday, just shy of the 3.60 inches that fell during all of 2013.

Additional rain on Saturday could push the current three-day storm total past last year's amount.

By Sharon Bernstein(Reuter) and Accuweather

Cloudy weather and Light rain expected in Muscat on Sunday...