Sunday, August 17, 2014

 Thursday Morning,21st August, Mumbai got a surprise thunder shower around early morning....details on Mumbai Page

Thunder Showers in Marathwada expected on Thursday 21st. Also N.I. Karnataka could be affected. Showers in Hyderabad .
Maximum Temperature in Colaba was 27.8c and Min 27.0c...Cloudy with little rains..
South Mumbai Wed.Afternoon


The Eighth Vagarians' Meet is Planned on 24th Sunday at 5 pm IST...Now, this is an Important Meet, and ALL must attend...all in Mumbai, Pune Surat, Belgaum and outer townships MUST come...Meeting at "Atria" Mall, Worli...Please confirm.

All India SWM Toppers from 01.06.2014 to 15.08.2014 (75 days into the monsoon) 
                                                                      
One station each made it to the list from Kerala (Kuttiyadi) and Tamil Nadu (Chinnakallar). The king Mawsynaram takes back the lead after getting huge rainfall in last 4 days.

Top 50 stations in mm (min 3500 mm)

  1. Mawsyanram, Meghalaya - 6850
  2. Talacauvery, Karnataka - 5785
  3. Hulikal, Karnataka - 5715
  4. Tamini, Maharashtra - 5650
  5. Yadur, Karnataka - 5562
  6. Agumbe, Karnataka - 5420
  7. Mastikatte, Karnataka - 5401
  8. Mani Dam, Karnataka - 5165
  9. Cherrapunji, Meghalaya - 5094
  10. Mulshi, Maharashtra - 5030
  11. Nilkund, Karnataka - 4968
  12. Shiragaon, Maharashtra - 4900
  13. Cogar, Karnataka - 4819
  14. Dawdi, Maharashtra - 4700
  15. Naladi, Karnataka - 4700
  16. Kollur, Karnataka - 4512
  17. Mahabaleshwar, Maharashtra - 4476
  18. Aralagod, Karnataka - 4317
  19. Amboli, Maharashtra - 4301
  20. Kitwade, Maharashtra - 4288
  21. Kerekatte, Karnataka - 4271
  22. Bandal, Karnataka - 4271
  23. Kuttiyadi, Kerala - 4146
  24. Bhagamandala, Karnataka - 4150
  25. Castle Rock, Karnatak - 4144
  26. Navaja, Maharashtra - 4050
  27. Koyna, Maharashtra - 3980
  28. Gavali, Karnataka - 3967
  29. Kanakumbi, Karnataka - 3950
  30. Kigga, Karnataka - 3898
  31. Gersoppa, Karnataka - 3879
  32. Halageri, Karnataka - 3855
  33. Dabbaedka, Karnataka - 3845
  34. Bhira, Maharashtra - 3821
  35. Byakody, Karnataka - 3807
  36. Arendur, Karnataka - 3800
  37. Gokarna, Karnataka - 3762
  38. Dajipur, Maharashtra - 3755
  39. Dungerwadi, Maharashtra - 3750
  40. Chinnakallar, Tamil Nadu - 3700
  41. Radhanagari, Maharashtra - 3608
  42. Maranahalli, Karnataka - 3595
  43. Mandakuli, Maharashtra - 3578
  44. Kerveshe, Karnataka - 3553
  45. Mallikarjuna, Karnataka - 3543
  46. Gaganbawada, Maharashtra - 3536
  47. Amagaon, Karnataka - 3509 (till 28th July)
  48. Kuchur, Karnataka - 3500
  49. Maageri, Karnataka - 3500
  50. Shanthahalli, Karnataka - 3500
Lamaj and other station rainfall from Maha Agri records are not considered as reliable. Hence, they are excluded.

Saturday, August 16, 2014

India State Capital Rains till 17th August. Graphic by Rohit Aroskar on Rohit's Page

Dont Miss it...See Space News Page..A Spectacular Dawn Conjunction of Venus and Jupiter Set For August 18th

See Current Weather Page for Saturday Night Posting and Latest on Axis and Synoptic Situation


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MONSOON REPORT (1-8-2014 TO 15-8-2014)
TOTAL ALL INDIA RAINFALL (as on 15-8-2014) 490.4 mm
SEASON +/- -17%
RAINFALL THIS FORTNIGHT (from 1-8-2014) 137.2 mm
TO ACHIEVE BY 30TH SEPTEMBER          required per day------->    mm
MINIMUM                             700   mm 4.56
AVERAGE                                890   mm 8.69
MAXIMUM                          1100   mm 13.25
CURRENT RAINFALL PER DAY  6.45 mm
AVERAGE RAINFALL PER DAY THIS FORTNIGHT 9.15 mm
REQUIRED PER DAY TO ACHIEVE AUG NORMAL (262 mm) 7.8 mm
TOP FIVE SUBDIVISIONS THIS FORTNIGHT    mm
COASTAL KARNATAKA 717.4
KERALA 429.9
KONKAN & GOA 391.9
ODISHA 265.3
ARUNACHAL PRADESH 261.0
BOTTOM FIVE SUBDIVISIONS THIS FORTNIGHT     mm
N. I. KARNATAKA 31.5
TELANGANA 30.2
HAR. CHD & DELHI 28.1
MARATHWADA 28.0
RAYALASEEMA 16.0
TOP FOUR SUBDIVISIONS ABOVE NORMAL (as on 15th August)   
ODISHA 15%
S. I. KARNATAKA 14%
EAST RAJASTHAN 11%
A & N ISLAND 3%
BOTTOM SIX SUBDIVISIONS BELOW NORMAL (as on 15th August)
JAMMU & KASHMIR -47%
WEST U.P. -49%
TELANGANA -53%
HAR. CHD & DELHI -58%
PUNJAB -60%
MARATHWADA -61%
TOTAL ABOVE AVERAGE DAYS (1-6-2014 to 15-8-2014)    24 (32%)
TOTAL BELOW AVERAGE DAYS (1-6-2014 to 15-8-2014)    52 (68%)
TOTAL ABOVE AVERAGE DAYS IN AUGUST TILL DATE      7 (47%)
TOTAL BELOW AVERAGE DAYS IN AUGUST TILL DATE      8 (53%)
source -IMD

Friday, August 15, 2014

Monsoon Stats and Analysis till Date coming up here on Saturday Morning..Prepared by GSB

Monsoon Toppers till 15th August will be up on this Page on Sunday Morning ...Prepared by PJ
There was colossal rains in Nepal. Chisapani 493 mms, Birendarnagar 427 mms, Dang 232 mms, Nepalgunj 172 mms, Dhangadi 147 mms.
Expected floods down stream in Bihar, UP plains and Bangladesh.


MAHARASHTRA & surroundings ..MONSOON RAIN IN CMS (ALONGWITH WESTERN GHATS).. 1 JUN - 15 AUG 2014 

 
 [CLICK TO ENLARGE] .. [best viewed on P.C. or Laptop]

SUB-DIVISION WISE -

1) KONKAN & GOA - 200 CMS (-10%)  , LARGEST CITY : MUMBAI
2) VIDARBHA - 47 CMS (-25 %)LARGEST CITY : NAGPUR
3) MADHYA MAHARASHTRA - 41 CMS (-16%) LARGEST CITY : PUNE
4) MARATHWADA- 16 CMS (-60%)LARGEST CITY : AURANGABAD







Thursday, August 14, 2014

Posted Thursday Night:
Weekend Forecast and Weather Situation:

Friday 15th :
North and East: Light to medium rain expected in Punjab, Haryana, UP and Gangetic W.Bengal. Heavy falls in HP and Himalayn W.Bengal, Sikkim and NE States.
West and Central: Light showers in some regions of Saurashtra, Konkan and MP. Dry in Rajasthan and Marathwada.
South: Light rains in Interior Karnataka, Madhya Mah, Vidarbh and Kerala. Heavy falls in coastal Karnataka.

Pakistan: Light rains in coastal Sindh. Heavier falls in Pak Punjab. 

Saturday 16th:
Rains decreasing in most regions mentioned for Friday. Except coastal Karnataka, Kerala, W. Bengal and NE States.
Dry in Rajasthan, West MP, Vidharbha, Marathwada and Telengana.
In Pakistan, rains decrease in Coastal Sindh. But continue in Pak Punjab and Western Pakistan areas..

Sunday 17th: Decerase in Overall Rainfall. Light to medium rains with  heavy rain regions in coastal Karnataka and parts of Kerala..
Dry in Rajasthan, Punjab, Haryana, Gujarat (except South coastal), West UP. 

Showers decrease in Pak Punjab, but isolated in Western Pakistan regions.

Mumbai:
Friday and Saturday: Partly cloudy with sunny periods. Few passing showers will bring around 10-15 mms per day.
Sunday: Decrease in rains. Sunny and some passing showers. Accumulating 7-10 mms.
Monday onwards seems to be hotter and drier.

Delhi NCR:
Thunder showers in parts on Friday afternoon or evening. Saturday again, a thunder shower may pop up in some area, spilling into Sunday early morning. Weather clears, and rains decrease from Sunday ...dya getting hot from Monday.

Pune: Weekend will see some light rains in parts of the city. Otherwise partly cloudy.

Nagpur: dry and warm weekend. Rains possible increasing later next week.

Bangalore: Thunder shower possible in some parts of Bangalore or vicinity. Rains increasing later next week.
Chennai: Thunder shower or rains possible on Friday night in many parts of Chennai. Saturday and Sunday may see the odd shower in parts.

Karachi: Light rain possible on Friday or early Saturday. Almost dry from Sunday into next week.
Islamabad gets some rain on Friday and Saturday. But Gujrat in Pak Punjab can get heavy rains on Friday night..maybe more than 25-30 mms.

Wednesday, August 13, 2014

Weekend Weather Situation will be posted on Thursday Night: Highlights are weak systems forming along Coastal Sindh and Western End of Monsoon axis. UAC tracking towards TN coast.

New York Deluge !!!An Entire Summer's Worth of Rain Fell on New York in Just a Few Hours !!!

Islip on Long Island received 13.26" of rain in the past 24 hours, preliminarily setting a new all time NYS record 24 hour rainfall! And that includes 136 mms in 1 hour...
Commuters across the Northeast woke to widespread flash flooding after intense storms rumbled through Tuesday night and into Wednesday morning dumping over 13 inches of rain across the Long Island area.
Islip, New York, received an overwhelming record of 13.05 inches of rain since midnight as of 8:00 EDT Wednesday morning. The total eclipsed what the area usually receives over the course of an entire summer according to Kristina Pydynowski, AccuWeather.com meteorologist.
"They average 11.68 inches in all of meteorological summer (June through August)," she said.
More Reports: Daily News', Mashable.

Latest : Baltimore -Washington International Airport received 160 mms rain in 24 hrs ended today, and Atlantic City Airport measured 142 mms in last 24 hrs.




Monday, August 11, 2014

Update Posted on Tuesday Night...on Current Weather Page..

SUBDIVISION RAINS ..TOP 5  LEAST RAINY AND MOST RAINY SUBDIVISIONS .. RAIN IN CMS .. 1 JUN - 11 AUG 2014 ..ALSO INFO ON THE CORRESPONDING SUBDIVISIONS

(PLEASE CLICK TO ENLARGE)

..MAHARASHTRA IS THE ONLY STATE FEATURING IN BOTH ..LEAST AND MOST RAINY SUBDIVISIONS ..

..1) HARYANA , CH & DELHI IS THE DRIEST..
..2) COASTAL KARNATAKA IS THE WETTEST..

..WEST RAJASTHAN (DESERT) JUST SLIPS OUT OF THE LEAST RAINY SUBDIVISIONS ..AT 6TH PLACE

Sunday, August 10, 2014

Posted Sunday Night:

No major system coming our way next week. The Eastern UAC fizzles out and forms and elongated trough east -west. The Western end of the trough develops a circulation and creates a UAC over MP/Rajasthan border on Monday.

On Monday, Rains likely for a day over the region. heavy rains in Udaipur, Kota, Ujjain and Bhopal regions.

Weak anti cyclone clockwise winds aloft during the week over North Pakistan and adjoining NW India. I do not want to jump to any conclusion (on withdrawal) now as the clock wise winds are weak and could change direction soon.
Almost no rains expected in Pakistan. 
Also in India, Rajasthan, Punjab, Haryana Delhi and North MP and West UP see decreased rains.
Almost no meaningful rains in the Peninsula South of Gujarat/Maharashtra. 
The West coast regions of Maharashtra and Karnataka also get less rains, though could average around 20-30 mms in places.

Major reduction in Kerala next week.

Rains increase in Nepal and Uttarakhand from Tuesday as the axis moves into the Himalayas. Heavy rains expected in Kathmandu middle of next week.
Increasing precipitation in Sikkim, Bhutan , North Bengal and NE States.

Mumbai: Passing showers in the next few days. Frequency and intensity decreases from Tuesday. Daily around 15-20 mms.

Delhi NCR: Rainfall in parts on Monday. Decrease after Tuesday.Rise in day temperatures.

Surat: After getting Showers on Monday, rainfall decreases after Tuesday.

Kolkata : Heavy showers on Tuesday and Wednesday. Cloudy and overcast conditons next week.

Though we have a weak Easterly pulse in the Southern Bay later this week, we would have to wait and see the intensity to gauge the rainfall in Chennai on Thursday or Friday.


No meaningful rains in Karachi and Sindh. Just about some light rains end of week in Pak Punjab and Islamabad.




Delhi NCR received its weekend ( Sunday) showers, and adjoining areas got showers.Many Vagarians reporting rain from Delhi and Meerut.
Delhi Pic by Mohan


Etawah in West UP got 5 cms and Mathura 2 cms. Naraingarh (Haryana) also got 5 cms.
In Punjab, by Sunday morning, Gurdaspur, Madhopur and Jalandhar got 5 cms.
Kasauli ( HP) managed 11 cms.
In Goa Sanguem got 7 cms, Margao and Mapusa got 5 cms anf Panjim got 42 mms till Sunday morning and  mms in the day on Sunday (till 5.30 pm).

By Sunday Morning, Mumbai City got 19 mms at Colaba and 29 mms at Scruz...Matheran recorded 22 mms.

We had mentioned 2 UACs in our previous post.  UAC over W.Bengal and the UAC over Kutch are fizzling out by Sunday night as expected.
Now what next week....Coming up tonite.

Today is the last day for putting your entries for Vagaries August Contest  - Link for posting your entries.