Of Special Interest for West Coast Cities...Very Interesting Analysis of West Coast Cities Climate by Rohit...See Rohit's Page

Posted on Wednesday Night:
4th September..The South West Monsoon has withdrawn from West Rajasthan (as per Vagaries' observations).

The Seasonal Low a the western End of the Monsoon Axis has weakened to 1002 mb. Resultantly, the Monsoon Axis itself has weakened. 

The East Coast trough will form in the Bay by Thursday, but move towards the coast by Saturday.

On Thursday and Friday, there may be some heavy rains in parts Northern TN districts of Vellore and Thiruvallur, and adjoining Districts of AP. Coastal AP too, gets heavy rains from the trough.

Mumbai: As usual, cloudy morning, precipitating showers in some parts. Rainfall 5-7 mms.Clearing later, and re-grouping by evening. 
Outer Townships will have same pattern of morning showers. Clearing, and getting Cb clouds by afternoon evening. Rains upto 10 mms.
Some isolated showers in the ghat areas. Rains increasing as mentioned after 10th, Ganesh Chaturthi.

Chennai: Less chances of a rain cloud or TS hitting Chennai these 2 days. Increase in rains on Saturday and Sunday, with Thunder showers precipitating upto 40-50 mms in some areas.

Delhi NCR: Warm and hazy at 37c..with almost clear skies and strong dusty West winds. Night temperatures may drop to around 24/25c.

Surat: Partly cloudy with upto 10 mms rain on Thursday. Decrease in rains on Friday.
Pune: Cloudy in the afternoon and evening. Pleasant mornings at 18/19c.


Bangalore will be partly cloudy with showers in some parts. But a pleasant day at 26c.

Rohit's Page Updated with very Informative Diagram of India's Most Populated  City Averages

Big Bang’s Sound-Like Waves Show Up In Lab Simulation..and Aurora Dancing on the Water...Unique capture..Delight for photographers
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Posted Wednesday Evening @ 6 pm IST
The prevailing UAC in the South Arabian Sea near Lakshadweep Islands has weakened, but has descended and formed a sea level trough off the Karnataka/Kerala coast. This development happens sometimes, and not always assured, but will be temporary and should disappear in 24 hrs.
But, while it will bring rains to the West, hopefully, it should not weaken the corresponding upper trough and off shore trough along the TN coast. Else, we see the rainfall along TN suddenly decreasing.

SWM Withdraws from Most of Pakistan except the SE corner of Sindh. Indications of further withdrawal from West Rajasthan seem to be on stream.

While withdrawing  as mentioned in Friday's blog, few spots in coastal Sindh got very light rains, and Karachi got traces of rains.
August was good for Karachi, with 107 mms of rains against a normal of 61 mms. In the Northern parts Islamabad got 567 mms against normal of 335 mms, and Lahore 513 mms against a normal of 183 mms. 

Besides this, nothing eventful happening next 2 days for Sub-Continent.
Day temperatures rising a bit in Central Pakistan and Sindh, adjoining West Rajasthan. Nights dropping by 1/2 c in Interior Maharashtra.
Next 2 days, we see some WD precipitation in Northern regions of Kashmir and HP hills.

Please read and decipher below narration day wise.

Monday 2nd Sept and Tuesday 3rd Sept: 
SWM may withdraw fro Western Rajasthan on Tuesday, 3rd September.
Precipitation in Northern Hills. Medium to heavy rains in parts of Orissa, NE States and Parts of Kerala.

Monday and Tuesday:
Mumbai may be having a cloudy morning, with clouds forming in the East. Sunny days with rise in Day temperatures to 32/33c.
Pune and Nasik will be seeing foggy mornings , with clear skies, the nights will be around 18/19c.

Delhi NCR : Partly cloudy days, clear nights. spotty rains possible in some parts. Currently, minimums are around 25/26c, but will drop by a couple of degrees to 23c next few nights. 
Bangalore will be cloudy, with possible evening showers in many parts of city.
Chennai: Hot and humid, with real feel at 40c. Partly cloudy, but stuffy nights.

Wednesday 4th September:
East Coast trough strengthens with a vortex forming off the coast of AP/Northern TN. Rainfall increases along TN coast regions. Thundershowers prevail in interior Karnataka around Bangalore. 

Wednesday:
Chennai: Rain intensity increasing, heavy in many parts of city. Average rainfall amont around 25-30 mms.

Mumbai: Morning will be cloudy, with some rains ( Large Drops) falling in the Eastern suburbs. 
Outer townships in the East can also get some moderate morning showers.
Pune: Thundery developments by evening.

Delhi NCR: (Wednesday and Thursday): Partly cloudy, clearing by evening. Mostly dry and warm at around 37c.
Kolkata: Thunder showers by evening.
Temperatures rise more in Central Pakistan to 42/43c.

Thursday 5th September:
Heavy rainfall increases in Orissa and adjoining Bengal.
In South, rains decrease, but are prevalent in Interior Karnataka. Several storms from Interior TN drift towards coast, and Chennai will see some showers by evening. 

Thursday:
Mumbai: Cloudy morning. Again, some spotty morning shower possible.
Thundery developments over the ghats by evening, and some showers in the Lonavala, Matheran and Mahableshwar regional  ghats. 
Eastern Outer townships may get some light showers drifting from ghats.
Kolkata gets thunder showers by evening.

However, proper scale evening thunder showers can develop and precipitate on the ghats around Mumbai (Lonavala, Khandala and Matheran) and in outer townships from 10th September.

Ganesh Chaturthi: West Coast trough can get activated from the 10th, and bring more rains in West coastal regions and Interior Mah...but more up dates on this later.



Vagaries' Monsoon Contest Opens Again. 
The Rules are the same as the July/Aug contest, and the Places also same.
Only, the fgure now to be filled is the Total Season Rain from 1st June -30th September for the individual Places. No separate September figure is required. ONLY 4 MONTH TOTAL.
New addition is : Highest Rainfall in India...5 Points.
For Details, See "Monsoon Total Contest" Page.

All entries before 7th September..Entries close by 12 Mid Nigh of 7th September.
Rainfall till 31st August given by Pradeep in Comments of main Page and Monsoon Total  Contest Page
Rohit's Page Updated