Weather outlook till Friday 2nd December

Dry weather in north India in the absence of any WD, daytime weather comfortable and not extreme cold.

Winter chill at night to prevail over northern plains. Getting cooler over Maharashtra.  

Mumbai: Warm days around 31-33C, min around 17-19C. 

Interior konkan: Cooler nights than Mumbai...min around 14-16C. 

Pune and Madhya Maharashtra: Warm days 30-31C, pleasant nights around 13-15C. 

Nagpur: Days warm around 30C, nights pleasant around 12-14C. 

Marathwada/Vidarbha districts: Warm days (30-32C) and cool nights (13-15C). 

Ratnagiri/Sindhudurg: Warm days (33-34C), nights around (19-21C). 

Goa: Warm and humid days 31-33C, nights around 23-25C, slightly cooler in interiors.

Delhi NCR/Punjab/Haryana: Expected max temperature around 24-26C, min temperature around 7-9C.

Maps from NCMRWF

Gujarat: Mainly warm days 30-32C, pleasant nights 14-16C. Warmer days upto 33C max and 17C min possible near Surat. 

Bangalore: Max around 27-29C, min around 18-20C. 

Kolkata: Not much winter chill, max around 28-30C, min around 18-20C. 

Chennai: Max around 28-30C, min around 22-24C, light showers at the most.

NEM remains weak over Tamil Nadu, some increase in rain likely over weekend with moderate showers along the coast. 

 Monday 28th November Evening 

Rains in South Maharashtra 

 

Plenty of queries on the fluctuating Weather in Mumbai & Pune.

After giving hopes of a good winter coming, a change from  pleasant weather,we see hot muggy conditions. 

Mumbai: After dropping to 17c, city sees a ruse to 22c. Added with increase in humidity. Currently humidity is averaging around 65 -70%. 

Next 3 days on the weekend Mumbai, with scattered high clouds, will be at 32c, with humidity making the real feel in the day at 34c. Nights also just around 21c.

Pune: Punekars, disappointing weekend as low at night expected around 18c ( 8c last week). Partly cloudy and hot days at 32c, while the real feel will be 33c.

Chance of localized showers in south Madhya Maharashtra (Kolhapur/Satara) and south konkan (Ratnagiri/Sindhudurg) today and tomorrow

Glitch Cleared...Safe Now 😊

Yearly All India Rainfall for the last 122 years of South West Monsoon ...Seems to be consistent in its variation for last 122 years

The Poorest Monsoon ...1972 / 697 mms  Seasonal Rainfall 👇

Departure from Normal 👇

The Best Monsoon ...1917  / 1124 mms Season Total 👇

Departure from Normal 👇

 Ooty records 5.2c,,,Kodai 6.1c. !

Posted 20th afternoon 

As on 20th Morning, Interior Maharashtra feels the nip to assumed degrees

Jalgaon 8.5c

Pune Shivajinagar 9.7c

Pune NDA. 9.2c

Pune Pashan 9.0c

Haveli 8.8c

Aurangabad 9.2c

Mahabaleshwar 10.2.

Mumbai Scruz 19.8c

In comparison with last 5 days.....

Posted 19th Night

BB 17, now Well Marked as shown below 👇

Now, likely to strengthen into  Depression and head towards Chennai..by 22nd.

Rainfall in Chennai to increase from Sunday..Monday 21st will be cool with heavy showers...continuing into Tuesday ..We can expect >85 mms cumulative Sunday 20th thru Tuesday 22nd.

Weekend  19th,20th,21st

Night temperatures to drop in Interior  Maharashtra on the weekend.

Weekend expectations 

Mumbai:19/20°

Pune: 9/10°

Showers upto 20 mms/day in Chennai. 

Almost no rain in India on Thursday and Friday. 

BB 17 not mentioned in vagaries earlier as was not expected to bring meaningful rains. 

 

BB-16 now lies over southeastern Arabian Sea...will move west-northwest and weaken. 

Moist southerly winds due to it likely to bring chances of rain/thundershowers across Kerala and Coastal Karnataka. 

Parts of Goa and south konkan (Sindhudurg district and Southern part of Ratnagiri district) have chance of getting light rain in patches till Monday 14th/Tuesday 15th November. 

Interior parts of Kerala have received good showers in last 24 hours due to BB-16. 

Another Western Disturbance (WD) is impacting Western Himalayas...moderate rain/snow likely across Jammu, Kashmir, Ladakh, Himachal Pradesh and Uttarakhand from tonight till Monday. Some higher elevations could see heavier snow.

Posted 12th Morning

BB 16 Active in T.N.....Weak,but heading towards Arabian Sea..to emerge again

Sirkazhi records 436.2 mm highest in the 24 hour period ending 8:30 am today👉

Around Chennai 👇

Posted 11th Evening 

Bangalore A.P. Max today 22.0c. 

Bangalore City 22.2c👉

And BB 16 Convection. 👇 tracking thru T.N. into Kerala...Then emrge in Arabian Sea...?..Let's review tomorrow 😕

And fir those interested in technical details, see different Radiosonde Measured in Chennai & Mumbai

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Posted 11th Morning 

BB 16 gaining Strength...Well Marked Low now...

Showing Intensity along T.N. Coast 

Posted 10th November 

Outlook from today 10th till Sunday 13th November for Maharashtra:

Temperatures likely to drop by 2-4°C from today onwards. 

Mumbai: Some drop likely in night temperatures...Max temperature would be around 34°C and min around 20°C.

FYI Mumbai Temperatures last 7 days 👇

Pune: Getting cooler....with max around 29-30°C and min around 11°C. Outskirts may see drop till 9-10°C. 

FYI Pune minimums last 7 days 👇

Most of Madhya Maharashtra & Marathwada to see pleasant weather with very cool nights. Around 12c.

Gujarat to also see some drop in temperature by 2-3°C as winds become northerly..

Bharuch will see weekend temperatures range between 33c and 19c.

 9th November post

BB 16 :NEM getting set to gain momentum from Friday 11th thru Sunday.

Cumulative rainfall expected 11th-13th in Chennai & Puducherry :80 -100 mms.

NEM வெள்ளிக்கிழமை 11 முதல் ஞாயிறு வரை வலுப்பெறும்.

சென்னை மற்றும் புதுச்சேரியில் 11-13-ம் தேதி வரை மழை பெய்யும் என எதிர்பார்க்கப்படுகிறது :80 -100 மி.மீ.

 Continuing from the post of 5th...

 Mumbai hottest in Maharashtra today 5th..Pune 31.6c

 5th November...Diwali over 10 days back..Delhi Air Quality still poor..❓

Outlook till Monday 7th November:

Slight rise in max and min temperature is expected across Maharashtra. Days can be warmer than normal for this time of the year. 

Mumbai and Konkan coast to see max around 35-37°C, min around 21°C.

Pune and Madhya Maharashtra would have max temperature around 31-33°C, and min around 13°C. 

A Western Disturbance (WD) likely to impact western Himalayas from 5th to 7th November. Rain/snow likely across Jammu, Kashmir, Ladakh, Himachal Pradesh and Uttarakhand. 

Heaviest snow likely to be over Kashmir and Ladakh followed by upper reaches of Himachal Pradesh and Uttarakhand.

Maximum Temperature around today on 3rd November 

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