Friday, June 10, 2011

Next Update at 1.30 pm today

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AS-1 agian changes course, shifts NE ! But seems will brush the Saurashtra coast.

Location 18.6N and 70 E, now about 260 kms West of Mumbai. Sat. imagery shows dense clouding to the West/South-west and SE of the centre. Pressure at 998 mb.

7 comments:

NT said...

Rajesh, it looks like it's gone SE and not NE as you suggest. Since yesterday night the co-ordinates were 19.5 N and now you suggest it is 18.7 N, which means it's gone in the SE direction. The UKMET may be right after all and it may come towards Mumbai. All in all the current situation and dense clouding towards the SE suggests that Mumbai is in for some heavy rains today and through the weekend

SHITIJ JAIN said...

This system have moved in all the direction.I have never seen such a system in my life

Neeraj said...

I have never seen a tropic system do this kind of dilly-dally. Its keeping everyone one toes. You never know what it is going to do next. Interesting situation.

SHITIJ JAIN said...

I don't understand why this system is taking so much time to intensify into depression

rajesh said...

@Nt, Shitij, Neeraj. one can go on joining the zig-zag dots on the track map i had put up few days back.more zig-zag continues.lol -:))
even the parametres go on changing..

NT said...

The GFS forecasts still show this system taking a WNW route. The latest runs show it going North now towards Saurashtra and then tomorrow turning West. Interestingly the UKMET, CMC, NGP and now the Thai Met does not show any system any longer. Till yesterday night the UKMET was showing this system, now they have taken it off. The COLA images also show this system tracking West.

Tyrone said...

Is is the dry air coming from our area that caused this system to weaken and also wind shear. I read earlier somewhere that SST was favourable :(

tyrone