Contributors

Thursday, September 30, 2021

Posted 30th September...

Heavy Rainfall Amounts from other regions in last 24 hrs given Below






 

The "Kings" this Season

Cherrapunji  6396 mms

Mawsynram 7770 mms.

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Mumbai: SWM Rainfall 2021 

S'Cruz : 3164 mms...6th time after in last 21 years...Third consecutive year more than 3000 mms. ( Annual 2021 till end September 3420 mms.)...

Colaba:  2332 mms. ( Annual 2021 till end September 2590 mms)

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Top 15 highest rainfall cities of Gujarat till SWM end. 

1. Kaprada(Valsad) 2875 mm

2. Umergam (Valsad) 2443 mm

3. Vapi (Valsad) 2265 mm

4. Dharampur(Valsad) 2173 mm

5. Valsad 2056 mm

6. Khergam (Navsari) 1994 mm

7. Pardi (Valsad) 1912 mm

8. Palsana (Surat) 1808 mm

9. Navsari 1801 mm

10. Gandevi (Navsari) 1791 mm

11. Waghai (Dang) 1787 mm

12.  Ahwa (Dang) 1786 mm

13. Chikli (Navsari) 1746 mm

14. Visavdaar(Junagadh) 1679 

15. Mahuva (Surat) 1580 mm

compiled by Vagarian shitij

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Massive rains in Bengal/Jharkhand from an unexpected BB-14...Last 24 hrs ended 30th September in cms.

Gangetic West Bengal: Luchipur-41; Asansol-40; Bankura-35; Durgapur, Kharidwar22 each; Tusuma-19; Purulia-18; Simulia, Kansabati-14; Rajnagar, Hetampur, Burnpur, Panagarh-8 

Jharkhand: Dhanbad-31; Bokaro-29; Deoghar-28; Jamtara-24; Giridih-15; Dumka-9; Koderma-8; Hazaribagh-7 

BB-13 (Depression)

Saurashtra & Kutch: Junagarh-28; Devbhoomi Dwarka, Amreli-14; Bhaunagar, Jamnagar-12; Veraval, Keshod, Somnath-11; Porbandar-10  Okha, Rajkot-7 each Odisha: Mayurbhanj-10; Jagatsinghpur, Puri-8; Chhattisgarh: Kondagaon-7 Gujarat region: Bharuch-10; Anand-7

Wednesday, September 29, 2021

Posted 29th Night.. 



Remnant of cyclone Gulab now lies over Saurashtra as well marked low pressure area. It could also develop as an upper air cyclonic circulation up to medium tropospheric levels. 

Arabian Sea is now feeding enough moisture and the warm waters is supporting intensification of this weather system. 

A depression is likely to form soon over the Western Gujarat region. Further, this depression is expected to move into Northeast Arabian Sea with a chance of further strengthening to deep depression or even a (weak) cyclone.If formed, will be re-named. 

24-hour accumulated rainfall in CMS realised over the country (from 0830 hrs IST of 28 th to 0830 hrs IST of 29 th September, 2021)
Gujarat Region: Khanvel-37, Silvasa, Surat-22, Bharuch-18, Dangs,Valsad, Narmada-16, Ahmedabad-15, Anand, Tapi-14, Navsari-10, Chhota Udepur-8, Vadodra, Daman-8; 
Saurashtra & Kutch: Jamnagar-14, Rajkot-11, Botad-10, Junagarh-8; 



 Gangetic West Bengal: Haldia-21, Mohanpur-19, Kharagpur, Midnapore, Kalaikunda-17, Sagar Islands, Diamond Harbour,-15 each, Digha, Contai, Kakdwip10, Alipore, Uluberia-9, Jhargram-7; 

Konkan & Goa: Palghar-19, Thane-15, Raigad-13, Sindhudurg-10; 
Madhya Maharashtra: Nandurbar-18, Nasik-15, Ahmednagar-14, Jalgaon-12, Pune9, Dhule-7; 
Marathwada: Aurangabad-14;



Gujarat rains.. From ''remnants'' of Gulab



Mumbai & Bengal (Below)) rain amounts

Some rainfall figures in #Mumbai Metro Region and nearby areas from 8:30am-8:30am(24hrs) on 29/09/2021 are as follows(in mm):-

1.Mumbra:139

2.Airoli & Matheran:135

3.Mulund:129

4.Vikhroli:128

5.Mumbai Central:122

6.Goregaon:116

7.Bhandup:115

8.Andheri:114

9.Dombivli & Kurla:112

10.Dharavi:111

11.Byculla:110

12.Chembur:107

13.Koparkhairane:106

14.Naupada & Dadar West(Vag Pvt Reading):105

15.KandivaliWest:104

16.Bandra:102

17.Matunga:101

18.Santacruz IMD:100

19.Juhu:99

20.Dahisar:95

21.Grant Road:91

22.MiraRoad:83

23.Sion, Umerkhadi & Mahalaxmi:78

24.Borivali West:72

25.Belapur:60

26.Colaba IMD:20

Data Credits: MCGM, IITM & IMD

Data compiled by: Vagarian Abhishek Apte



Tuesday, September 28, 2021

Posted Tuesday Night:


Tuesday evening scenario. Showing Monsoon Trough. 

Erstwhile Gulab may re emerge in the sea off the Kutch /Sindh coast. 

Mumbai on Wednesday 29th will get occasional showers.. Lessening by afternoon. 

Mumbai rainfall from Monday Night - Tuesday Night almost in the range of our estimate.. 

Some rainfall figures in Mumbai Metro Region and nearby areas from 8:30am-8:30pm(12hrs) on 28/09/2021 are as follows(in mm):-

1.Andheri:111

2.Mumbai Central:110

3.Mulund:102

4.Goregaon & Airoli:99

5.Bandra:98

6.Vikhroli:95

7.Byculla:94

8.Bhandup & Mumbra:93

9.Dadar West(Vagarian Pvt Reading):92

10.Kurla:91

11.Dharavi:89

12.Juhu:87

13.Santacruz IMD:83

14.Chembur:80mms

15.Matunga:79

16.Umerkhadi & Grant Road:78

17.Naupada:71

18.Kandivali West:69

19.Dombivli:68

20.Koparkhairane:67

21.Sion:60

22.Dahisar:47

23.Borivali West:43

24.Belapur:39

25.Colaba IMD:20 ( + 39 mm overnight) 

Data Credits:MCGM, IITM & IMD

Data Compiled by: Vag Abhishek Apte


Gujarat extreme rain today


Saurashtra & Kutch may get substantial rains/ thunder showers

BB-13..

24-hour accumulated rainfall (7 cm or more) realised over the country (from 0830 hrs IST of 27 th to 0830 hrs IST of 28 th September, 2021) 

 Telangana: Jakranpalle 23, Navipet 21, Dhar Palle (dist Nizamabad) 21, Ranjal (dist Nizamabad) 18, Dich Palle (dist Nizamabad) 18, Armur (dist Nizamabad) 18, Nandipet (dist Nizamabad) 17, Chandurthi (dist Rajanna Sircilla) 17, Sirsilla (dist Rajanna Sircilla) 17, Jammikunta (dist Karimnagar) 16, Bheemgal (dist Nizamabad) 16, Yeda Palle (dist Nizamabad) 15, Makloor (dist Nizamabad) 15, Ellanthukunta (dist Rajanna Sircilla) 15, Jukkal (dist Kamareddy) 15, Sarangapurnrl (dist Nirmal) 15, Velpur (dist Nizamabad) 15, Kothagudem, Khammam-11 each, Mahabubabad, Adilabad-9 each, Ramgundam, Medak, Kamareddy and -7 each  

Odisha: Cuttack-13, Gajapati-8, Jajpur-7

Madhya Maharashtra: Jalgaon-11, Kolhapur-7

Marathwada: Nanded-15, Aurangabad-13, Beed-11; Osmanabad and Latur-10 each; Jalna and Bir-8 each, Hingoli and Parbhani-7 each;

Vidarbha: Chandrapur-10; Buldana-9

Gujarat Region: Mehsana-9  

Saurashtra & Kutch: Amreli-12, Gir Somnath-8. Jamnagar, Junagarh, Morbi and Porbandar-7 each 

IMD Press realease

Posted  Tuesday 28th afternoon:

Mumbai: Against expectation for Mumbai, rains play Hide & seek with the city.

Overnight 39 mms rain in Scruz and 0.4 mms at Colaba.

BB-13 definitely weakening and being resisted. TPW ( Put up in Blog) maps were indicating that earlier. difficult to forecast the further development as Upper air indications are strong, but TPW and shear are against.

(By the way Scruz season crosses the 3000 mms mark (120 ").

Mumbai/Pune: What is in store for Tuesday...showers possible, but below expections  ..(Expectations were at least 75 mms).


BB-13 keeps its appointment with with Interior Maharashtra...rainwise ,moderate in interior Maharshtra...

Marathwada Rainfall as on 29th Morning : Nanded 105 mms, Bed 79 mms, Osmanabad 70 mms, Aurangabad 45 mms, Parbhani 32 mms.

Vidharbh: Washim 64 mms, Buldana 61 mms, Chandrapur 32 mms, Akola 24 mms.

Madhya Mah. Solapur 38 mms. Jalgaon 15 mms. 



Sunday, September 26, 2021



Post: Sunday evening 7 pm IST

Gulab crossing the East Coast on 26th Night..Cyclonic Storm with estimated winds at 75-85 Kmph.

Low TCHP..Loosing strength

Outlook for next 3 days, 27th/28th/29th September.

As the Cyclonic storm moves West ( and weakens into a Depression) from the East Coast of India towards Maharshtra, the rainfall in the State will gradually increase from Monday.

Monday 27th will see heavy thunder showers in Vidharbha and also Marathwada.

North Madhya Maharashtra will be impact of the system with  heavy rainfall on Tuesday 29th. Nasik can record more  than 100 mms on Tuesday. Jalgaon impact may not be very heavy, but moderate.

Marathwada and Aurangabad Region will get frequent heavy showers on Monday 27th  and Tuesday 28th. Intensity will be more from Monday. Rainfall amount around 25-50 mms per day in the various places. Precautions and covering of the already cut crops lying in the open will have to be taken .

Less rainfall from Wednesday 29th.

मराठवाडा आणि औरंगाबाद विभागात सोमवार 27 आणि मंगळवार 28 रोजी वारंवार मुसळधार पाऊस पडेल. सोमवारपासून तीव्रता अधिक असेल. विविध ठिकाणी सुमारे 25-50 मिलीमीटर पाऊस. उघड्यावर पडलेल्या पिकांच्या संरक्षणाची काळजी घ्यावी लागेल. झाकून ठेवा.
बुधवार 29 पासून कमी पाऊस.

Mumbai: Rains again ! From Monday, there will be another increase in rainfall. Rains and strong winds from Monday evening turning to intermittent steady rains with thunder on Monday Night., with the rainfall peaking on Tuesday 28th. Around 75-125 mms expected from Monday Night to Tuesday Night. 

Orange Alert.

Intensity decreasing from Wednesday 29th.

Pune: Rains commencing from Monday . Getting more intense and frequent on Tuesday. Tuesday 28th will be a rainy day, with the day around 23/24c and a good 40-60 mms of rainfall.

Less from Wednesday 29th.

Ghat stations will get heavy rains on Monday and Tuesday.

The impact will be comparatively less in Goa. Rainfall on Monday will be occasional. Tuesday will get intermittent heavy showers. No alerts needed for Goa.

Gujarat: The State will get the impact of a Depression or a Well Marked Low.

On 28th Tuesday, we see rainfall increasing substantially in the Gujarat regions. Heavy falls expected on Tuesday in Surat ( 30-70 mms) and Bharuch ( 20-30 mms).

Saurashtra region will get the benefit of rains from Tuesday thru Wednesday.

 Sunday 26th Afternoon:

Cyclone Gulab on Vizag Radar


180 kms ESE of Gopalpur.

Tracking West. Good conditions like TCHP at 80-90 KJ/CM² and favourable MJO. 

Heavy rains warning with sea surge along coast as it crosses near Kallingapatnam. 

Maharashtra & Mumbai Outlook:

System moves West and as it nears Chhattisgarh as Deep Depression, and Maharashtra & Gujarat & MP, it will be a depression. 

Rains expected from Monday 27th for 2 days. Details coming by 6.30 today. 

Saturday, September 25, 2021

25th Night Post

Not predicted by any model, the defiant Cyclone "Gulab" has formed in the Bay. 


West ward movement of Gulab, and on crossing Odisha/North AP coast on 26th, very heavy rains expected on crossing. 

TPW


TPW shows Cyclone will weaken  and will move into Chhattisgarh as a Depression, again bringing heavy rains. 

Moving West into M. P, Gujarat and interior Maharashtra, it will pull moisture and precipitation into these States by Monday 27th & Tuesday 28th.

Gujarat will also benefit with increase in the rains. 

Good rainfall in Maharashtra on 27 & 28. Konkan including Mumbai can expect increase in the rains early next week. 

Fresh report tomorrow. 

 25th : Noon IST

BB-13: Deep Depression strength and Locations as per various Members:

CURRENT ESTIMATE

Date (mmddhhmm): 09250323

SATCON: MSLP = 992 hPa    MSW = 51 knots

SATCON Member Consensus: 50.0 knots
Pressure -> Wind Using SATCON MSLP: 54 knots

ADT: 990 hPa    53 knots    Scene: CDO    Date: SEP250515

CIMSS AMSU: 996 hPa    42 knots ( 77 Kmph)      Date: 09250323

ATMS: 995.1 hPa    37.9 knots ( 68 Kmph)   Date: 09241925

IMD :The estimated winds are at 55-65 kmph ( 1 minute & 3 minutes sustained wind speeds will differ)

Strengthening and heading towards Odisha /North A.P. as a Cyclone (Gulab) @ ( 65-75 kmph)








Friday, September 24, 2021

Posted 24th Night. 

Just yesterday we discussed the forming of BB 13 in the Bay. 

Unpredictable Favourable conditions like 80-100 Kj/cm² TCHP, wind shears, and MJO, has catapulted the system into the Bay as a Depression, on 24th evening. 40-50 kmph estimated winds. 


Will strengthen further and seeing good conditions, BB 13 will soon be Deep Depression by 25th morning. ( 50-60 kmph estimated winds) 

Due to the prevailing Sub Tropical Ridge at 20.5N  in the bay, and the Easterly winds South of it,


the System will track West or W/SW towards Odisha/North AP. 

Now, will it become a rare September Cyclone ( Gulab) in the bay? 

It at all, this will be the first cyclone after 2005 to hit AP coast in September month. And only the second cyclone in satellite era (1980 onwards). 

Another update tomorrow noon. 

24th/25th/26th September Weekend: 

Mumbai

Partly cloudy with sunny intervals. An occasional passing shower in different parts of Mumbai. Rainfall to increase on Sunday night. Monday 27th will get more rans. Temperature range between 32c and 25c. Real Feel 37c.

Monsoon not over. Water Storage in Mumbai lakes is 99-100%.

Pune: Partly cloudy and slightly warmer on the weekend. Few passing light showers in different parts of Pune. Temperature range between 28c and 21c. Real feel 32c.

Good rainfall increase expected in Gujarat State from Sunday 26th. Starting fron North Gujarat Region and subsequently into Saurashtra and Kutch.


Monsoon still active in Karachi (Sindh). 40 mms of rain on Thursday.

More rains expected on 28th/29th.

Thursday, September 23, 2021

 23rd September:

Satisfactory position. Video sent by farmer ( Sonne Shyam) from Phulambari Taluka, Aurangabad, Marathwada. 


After two low pressure systems from the bay, BB 11 & BB 12 another coming  BB 13, to Odisha around 25th.

Will move across central india and northern Maharashtra next week. 

Monsoon withdrawal from West Rajasthan delayed by about 10 - 15 days, around first week of October. Maharashtra monsoon rains till at least 10-13th October.

बंगालच्या उपसागरात निर्माण झालेले २ कमी दाबाचे क्षेत्र ओदिशा किनारपट्टीवर धडकले, मात्र आता पुन्हा एक कमी दाबाचे क्षेत्र साधारण २५ सप्टेंबर रोजी ओदिशा किनारपट्टीवर धडकण्याची शक्यता आहे. त्यानंतर हे कमी दाबाचे क्षेत्र भारताच्या मध्य भागा जवळ तसेच महाराष्ट्राच्या उत्तर भागातून सरकेल. त्यामुळे अरबी समुद्रातून देखील बाष्प खेचले जाईल व महाराष्ट्रात पुन्हा एकदा पावसाचे प्रमाण वाढू शकते. 

मान्सूनचा परतीचा प्रवास पश्र्चिम राजस्थानातून साधारण १०-१५ दिवस लांबला असून साधारण ऑक्टोबरच्या पहिल्या आठवड्यात पश्र्चिम राजस्थानातून मान्सूनचा परतीचा प्रवास सुरू होण्याची शक्यता आहे. महाराष्ट्रात मात्र जवळपास १०-१३ ऑक्टोबर पर्यंत मान्सूनचा पाऊस राहण्याची शक्यता आहे.

Marathi compilation by Vagarian Shreyas. 


Wednesday, September 22, 2021




BB-12 effect rainfall in West Bengal as on 21st 
Sagar Island 21 cms, Dum Dum 13 cms, Salt Lake 12 cms, Canning, DH 11 cms, Barrackpur IAF 10 cms, Durgachak, Sinril 9 cms, Midnapore 7cms & Kolkata (A) 6 cms.


Season's Total in Kolkata on 22nd: DumDum 1881 mms ( +729 mms)
Alipore 1615 mms(+454 mms)
Diamond Harbour: 2176 mms (+ 1055 mms)

(Weather of Kolkata /Santosh is a keen Vagarian follower also)
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Gujarat Heavy Rainfall amounts in mms 24 hrs ended 22 Morning

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Monday, September 20, 2021

 

20th September Afternoon Scene..Thunder Showers  in Vidharbh, Chattisgarh, West/East  M.P. and Gujarat Region.

Heavy thundershowers lashed Mumbai Metropolitan Region and nearby areas overnight. Some rainfall figures ending 8:30am on 20/09/2021(in mm) are as follows:

1.Mulund:173

2.Borivali West:144

3.Dahisar:143

4.Kandivali West:136

5.Dindoshi:134

6.Vikhroli:126

7.Naupada:115

8.Kurla:83

9.Andheri West:80

10.Vile Parle:79

11.Malad:76

12.Jogeshwari:75

13.Santacruz IMD:71,   14.Cooper Hospital:68

15.Colaba IMD:57        16.Nerul:52

17.Airoli:51                   18.Dombivli:49


Data Credits:MCGM & IITM

Compiled by: Vagarian Abhishek Apte

Sunday, September 19, 2021

Weather Scenario for the week from  Monday 20th - Thursday 23rd.   ...(Posted on 19th Night).

Rajasthan Monsoon withdrawal Delayed to some extent.

The lingering BB-11 is over East Rajasthan and West M P....Precipitating good rainfall in that region

Some High Amounts in last 24 hrs.: 

East Rajasthan : Pipalkhunt 12cms, Talera 11 cms, Bundi, Arnod & Ladhpura  9 cms, Chikali and Danpur 8 cms.

West M.P.: Nalkheda 14 cms, Sunser 12 cms, Ratlam 7 cms.

Next Week, Moderate showers expected in Delhi on Wednesday & Thursday 22nd/23rd.

Now, This sytem  will further enhance rainfall into Saurashtra, Kutch and North Gujarat Region on Tuesday 21st & Wednesday 22ndsouth Gujarat 

Surat & Bharuch will get intermittent rain on Tuesday 21st and Wednesday 22nd.

સૌરાષ્ટ્ર, કચ્છ અને ઉત્તર ગુજરાત પ્રદેશમાં મંગળવારે 21 અને બુધવારે 22 મા દક્ષિણ ગુજરાતમાં વરસાદ વધારે છે
સુરત અને ભરૂચમાં 21 મી મંગળવાર અને 22 મી બુધવારે વારંવાર વરસાદ થશે.

Another LPA, BB-12, is off the North Odisha Coast, clouding in the S/SW segment. 

Likely to bring rainfall from Odisha thru Chattisgarh into East M.P. and Vidharbha from Monday 20th thru Wednesday 22nd.



Maharashtra:

Rainfall expected to increase in Konkan, Goa, Vidharbh and Marathwada from Monday 20th to Wednesday 22nd. Thunder Showers expected. Lesser effect in Madhya Maharastra.

North Madhya Maharashtra region (Dhule, Jalgaon, Nandurbar) can get some Thundershowers

Konkan rain not required for Rice, but ok for other crops.

Maharshtra State Monsoon continues this Month.

Jayakwadi Dam - Aurangabad. At 70.08% of its full capacity  compared to 98.00% at the same time last year.((Mah. Water Resources Dept)

सोमवार 20 ते बुधवार 22 तारखेपर्यंत कोकण, गोवा, विदर्भ आणि मराठवाड्यात पाऊस वाढण्याची शक्यता आहे. गडगडाटी पावसाची अपेक्षामध्य महाराष्ट्रात कमी परिणाम.

तांदळासाठी कोकण पाऊस आवश्यक नाही, परंतु इतर पिकांसाठी ठीक आहे.
महाराष्ट्र राज्य मान्सून या महिन्यात चालू राहतो.

जायकवाडी धरण - औरंगाबाद. 70.08% त्याच्या पूर्ण क्षमतेच्या ..98.00% मागील वर्षी त्याच वेळी. (Mah. Water Resources Dept)

Mumbai: Outlook for next 4 days..

After the few almost dry days, Rainfall expected to increase in Mumbai from Monday 20th thru Wednesday 22nd. Tuesday 21st and Wednesday 22nd will be rainy days with intermittent showers or thundershowers. Monsoon rains not over.

98%
Combined live storage across all lakes compared to 96.06% same time last year. 

Pune: Light rains or scattered showers in some parts of city.



Thursday, September 16, 2021

Posted Thursday 16th evening:

Heavy Rains in U.P....See below this article

This weekend, next 3 days, heavy rainfall possible (BB-11) in West M.P. and East Rajasthan.

BB-10 has merged in the trough axis.

A Low pressure BB-12 is likely to form in the Bay around 19th/20th.

Rainfall increase in Odisha and G.West Bengal from 19th.


Mumbai 17th/18th/19th: Weekend will be partly cloudy with periods of sunshine. A few passing showers. 

Water Storage at 98%.

Temperatures around 31c-26c range. Real feel 37c.

Pune: Sunny periodical intervals, light rain in parts. Temperature range 29c-20c...Real feel 26c.

Lonavala/Mahableshwar: Partly cloudy with some showers. Foggy at times.

Maharashtra Outlook for the Weekend 17th/18th/19th:

State will have scattered rainfall. Rainfall scattered in patches, with no meaningful rains.

However, Konkan and Ghats regions can get moderate showers at times.

Rainfall intensity to increase starting from Monday in Vidharbha.

Standing crops in Aurangabad region are healthy and will benefit with a bit of sunshine. Jayakwadi , the major source , is 58% full.


Pictures from Aurangabad Region Farms.

सप्टेंबर महिन्याच्या पहिल्या २ आठवड्यात राज्यात सर्वत्र चांगला पाऊस झाला व त्यामुळे मुंबई आणि पुणे शहरांना पाणीपुरवठा करणाऱ्या धरणांमध्ये पुरेसा पाणी साठा आहे. 

पुढचे ३-४ दिवस राज्यातील अंतर्गत भागात पावसाचे प्रमाण कमी राहील, पिकांसाठी ही पावसाची विश्रांती उपयोगी ठरेल. 
कोकण आणि पश्चिम घाट परिसरात पावसाच्या हलक्या ते मध्यम सरी अपेक्षित आहेत.
साधारण सोमवार २० सप्टेंबर पासून राज्यात पावसाचे प्रमाण पुन्हा वाढण्याची शक्यता आहे, विशेषतः विदर्भ प्रदेशात. याचे कारण म्हणजे बंगालच्या उपसागरात ओदिशा/पश्र्चिम बंगालच्या किनारपट्टी जवळ आणखी एक कमी दाबाचे क्षेत्र (BB-12) १८/१९ सप्टेंबर रोजी निर्माण होण्याची शक्यता आहे व ते साधारण पश्चिम/वायव्य दिशेस सरकुन पुन्हा एकदा देशाच्या पूर्व व मध्य भागात सोमवार २० तारखेपासून पासून पावसाचे प्रमाण वाढू शकते.

The Gujarat Region,specially South (Surat/Bharuch), will see increase in rainfall from Monday 20th.and moving in Saurashtra from 21st.
ગુજરાત પ્રદેશ, ખાસ કરીને દક્ષિણ (સુરત/ભરૂચ), 20 મી સોમવારથી વરસાદમાં વધારો જોવા મળશે.21 મીએ સૌરાષ્ટ્રમાં

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U.P. Rainfall last 24 hrs ended  16th Thursday Morning in cms:

Pratapgarh (t) (dist Pratapgarh), Ayodhya (dist Ayodhya)-20 each 

Fursatganj (dist Amethi)-19; 

Kunda (dist Pratapgarh) , Mau Tehsil (dist Chitrakoot) , Patti (dist Pratapgarh) , Basti Cwc (dist Basti) , Lalganj Aara (dist Pratapgarh), Rae Bareli Cwc (dist Rae Bareilly)-17 each; 

Mirzapur Cwc (dist Mirzapur)-15; 

Gauriganj (dist Amethi) , Bindki (dist Fatehpur), Prayagraj Sadar (dist Prayagraj), Phaphamau(fm) (dist Prayagraj)-13 each; 

Raniganj (dist Pratapgarh), Lucknow ( Cr ) (dist Lucknow), Sultanpur Obsy (dist Sultanpur)-12 each; 

Gyanpur (dist Sant Ravidas Nagar), Musafir Khana (dist Amethi), Lucknow (hs) (dist Lucknow), Bansgaon (dist Gorakhpur), Sultanpur Cwc (dist Sultanpur), Ghanghata (dist Sant Kabir Nagar), Lucknow ( Ap) (dist Lucknow), Sambhal (dist Sambhal) , Ayodhya (ag) (dist Ayodhya) 11 each; 

Chhatnag (dist Prayagraj), Amethi (dist Amethi), Karchhana (dist Prayagraj), Varanasi/bab Aero (dist Varanasi) , Gorakhpur (dist Gorakhpur)10 each; 

Bara Banki (dist Barabanki) , Mirzapur Tehsil (dist Mirzapur) , Bansi Tehsil (dist Siddharth Nagar) , Tarabganj (dist Gonda), Varanasi-b.h.u. (dist Varanasi), Chilaghat (dist Jhansi)- 9 each






Wednesday, September 15, 2021

 On World Weather Page:

Unusual Snowfall in Greenland 

The remnants of Hurricane Larry dropped abundant snowfall on Greenland just as the summer melt season was coming to an end.

Tuesday, September 14, 2021

Posted 14th September Night

BB 11 Deep Depression after crossing Odisha coast has tracked northwestward. The  system, is now over Chhattisgarh.

For 2 days, the deep depression left  drenched most parts of Odisha. The depression will move further northwest and weaken  in the next 24 hours.

The nearing and interaction of this system with BB 10 over Gujarat and has already enhanced rainfall over the rain deficit state.

The system as a low pressure will track in to Rajasthan and lash the border areas also with rainfall. While centred over Rajasthan, this system will give moderate rains over Haryana and Punjab

This will delay withdrawal of the monsoon from the westernmost parts of Rajasthan.

 The All India rainfall deficiency now at -5% will improve towards the end of the season.

Monday, September 13, 2021

Torrential Rainfall in Gujarat on 13th..see below

Pune Dams Full.. 13th September

Credit for information Vagarian Karan (Pune) 

BB 10

Torrential rain lashing Gujarat today 13th.

Rainfall from 6am - 8 pm on Monday 13th...




Gujarat rainfall




BB 11 in action 

Some massive rainfall figures from Puri and Jagatsinghpur districts of Odisha ending 8:30am on 13/09/2021(in mm):

1.Astaranga:530

2.Kakatapur:525

3.Balikuda:440

4.Naugaon:380

5.Puri IMD:343

6.Gop:331

7.Satyabadi:328

8.Raghunathpur:323

9.Nimapara:302

10.Erasama:273

11.Kujanga:265

12.Jagatsinghpur:264

13.Pipli:263

14.Biridi:258

15.Tirtol:245


data compiled by: Vagarian Abhishek Apte

Sunday, September 12, 2021

Posted Sunday 12th Night

BB-11, much needed ( 2nd) Depression of this Monsoon... 


Will September be a Game Changer  ? 

Will the deficiency improve? 

-----------------     -------

Mumbai had moderate showers on Sunday.. See color code for amounts



Snow on September 11th:

Himachal Dhauladhars Range get first snowfall of season... September 11th.

The upper reaches of Dhauladhar ranges and the Bara Bhanghal valley experienced the first spell of snowfall of the season. 
Meanwhile, the state received rain as on 11th morning as given, and Jogindernagar was the wettest with 94 mm of rain followed by Ghamroor (Kangra) 73 mm, Nahan 49 mm, Kufri 45 mm, Jubbarhatti 41 mm, Dalhousie 37 mm, Shimla 35 mm, Ghumarwin and Gohar 32 mm each, Kumarsain 31 mm, Sujanpur Tihra and Bhunter 25 mm each, Kasauli 24 mm, Jawali 21 mm, Shahpur 20.5 mm, Dharamsala, Bilaspur, Rampur, Kheri, Seobagh and Bajura 19.
Excerpts from The Tribune

For 12th -13th Mumbai and Pune forecast update: 

Strengthening westerlies due to BB-10 remnants and BB-11 and active offshore trough will continue the current status in rainfall along the west coast.

850 winds

Mumbai MMR: A couple of days more of passing showers, some heavy. Average 40-80 mm /day.

Thane district and Northern Suburbs can get heavier rain (above 70 mm/day possible). 

Yellow Alert (mild) 

Yesterday's (Saturday) in Mumbai :

Some rainfall figures from Mumbai Metropolitan Region and nearby regions ending 8:30am on 12/09/2021(in mm):

1.Matheran:136

2.Chembur:84

3.Wadala:80

4.Byculla:78

5.Nerul:75

6.Belapur:73

7.Dadar West(Vag Pvt Reading):70

8.Vashi:61

9.Naupada:58

10.CSMT:57

11.Mulund:56

12.Goregaon:46

13.Dombivali:44

14.Vikhroli:43

15.Ram Mandir:42

16.Airoli:36

17.Kandivali:33

18.Dahisar:31

19.Malad, #Mira Road:30

20.Bandra, #Colaba IMD:29

21.Santacruz IMD:21

22.Bhayandar:17

Data compiled by: Vagarian Abhishek Apte

Pune: Light to moderate showers, pleasant weather. 

Moderate rain for Konkan coast, Ghats can get a few heavy showers.

Rain/Thundershowers in patches likely in Delhi NCR region, localised heavy thundershower possible

Forcast compilation assisted by Vagarian Shreyas

Saturday, September 11, 2021

Mumbai on 11th in 12 hrs ended 8,30pm

Colaba 7.8 mms, Scruz 11.4 mms. 

September 11th .. Rains in Delhi


Gujarat today.. 11th



Friday, September 10, 2021

Mumbai forecast for Friday 10th  and weekend: 

Weak to moderate intensity offshore trough along the coast will result in passing showers, with sharp sunny intervals and may be a little windy at times. Around 10-30 mm/day average.

 Thane district and eastern townships may receive slightly more rain. 

No Alerts. 

Pune Weekend: Intermittent light rain with occasional moderate shower, pleasant weather.

Weekend: North & South Gujarat region likely to get good rainfall this weekend. 

Occasional showers in Surat, Valsad & Bharuch.Moderate occasionally raining in Ahmedabad & Vadodara

Forecast compilation assisted by Vag. Shreyas. 

See note in below post. 

Posted 9th August Late Night

Formations of circular winds are developing in Northeast Bay.                        (850 hpa) 


Another low pressure area, BB 11, second in September, is likely to form over Bay by 10th/11th.  It is likely to become well marked in next 24 hours.

The low pressure area is expected to track west of northwest over states of , Chhattisgarh and M.P

The system will bring precipitation  across , Uttar Pradesh, Bihar, Maharashtra and Gujarat. 

Under the influence of this low pressure, rainfall activity will increase between 14th and 20th September, over the central parts of the country. 

The remnant of previous BB10 is now lying as a Circulation over West Madhya Pradesh East Rajasthan This is going to stagnate over the same region for the next 2 days, 11th & 12th. Rainfall continues for 2 days in this region. 

Thursday, September 09, 2021

Daily Rainfall from 2 September - 9 September...column starts from 2nd September

DISTRICT: PUNE         
AMBEGAON GHODEGAON0.00.00.04.03.018.017.00.043.0
BARAMATI0.00.00.0 9.125.80.20.035.3
BHOR1.01.01.07.00.09.00.019.040.0
CHINCHWAD - ARG0.00.00.09.5 30.50.08.548.5
DAUND0.00.00.020.01.00.00.00.021.0
INDAPUR15.03.00.013.64.019.01.00.055.6
JUNNAR2.00.00.010.00.027.012.00.051.0
KHED RAJGURUNAGAR0.00.01.02.00.09.015.00.027.0
LONAVALA_AGRI12.08.48.141.223.113.214.451.2246.8
NDA PUNE -  ARG0.01.00.012.56.514.53.53.544.0
PAUD MULSHI0.02.00.035.03.04.05.032.089.0
PUNE AP LOHEGAON IMD PT         
PUNE CITY - IMD OBSY0.20.00.015.61.819.81.91.842.8
PURANDAR SASVAD0.00.03.011.05.068.01.00.088.0
SHIRUR GHODNADI0.00.00.025.05.00.018.00.048.0
TALEGAON AWS0.00.00.05.01.514.510.023.755.2
VADGAON MAVAL2.00.05.87.02.018.213.26.255.4
VELHE3.014.06.022.02.02.05.041.0105.0




DISTRICT: AURANGABAD
         
AURANGABAD AP-IMD OBSY7.60.00.046.60.62.4127.50.2201.9
GANGAPUR0.00.00.015.024.00.044.00.099.0
KANNAD0.00.00.030.016.039.0116.08.0227.0
KHULTABAD0.00.00.052.02.03.0120.022.0224.0
PAITHAN1.00.00.057.05.06.047.01.0159.0
PHULAMBRI5.00.00.029.00.05.077.00.0149.0
SILLOD0.00.00.025.00.019.045.027.0166.0
SOEGAON6.00.010.0110.018.011.044.04.0248.0
VAIJAPUR0.00.00.02.02.00.0107.02.0116.0
         

19th October... Heavy Rains likely again in Kerala and South Karnataka (read Bangalore) from 21st - 23rd  October...Then SWM may withdraw.. ...