Severe Cyclone "Maha"
Estimated Winds:100-110 gusting to 120
Rare Study of 2 cyclones together in the Arabian Sea...Check the 850 winds and the 925 winds.
See and notice the Binary winds between the 2 systems.
Now, observe the formation of the trough in the 200 hpa Jet Streams ( Normally Deciding Factor)) and contemplate the track.
And Finally, the Estimated track as per HWRF..Feasible as it seems now
Maha is projected to turn NW after crossing the 13N line (approximately).
Then, Mumbai will just miss the rainfall swath area. If however, the turn happens after 15/16N, Mumbai may get showers.