Co Authors: GSB, Shreyas Dhavale, Pradeep John, Dr. Vineet Singh, Gokul
Showing posts with label SWM 2019. Show all posts
Showing posts with label SWM 2019. Show all posts

Wednesday, January 01, 2020

Year 2019 rainfall
As Nature shifts it's focus from the cold wave over the plains of North India , we shift focus on the rains of 2019 for the moment  ..

A) Highest 2019 Yearly Rains  .. 

At the western ghats (Sahyadris) of Maharashtra ..

10,790 mms (Lamaj , Maharashtra)*Jun - Sep 2019
9872 mms (Patharpunj , Maharashtra)

9865 mms (Cherrapunji , Meghalaya)

At other stations in India ..

Upto 9000 mms have recorded in the Western ghats of Karnataka..
Upto 6000 mms have been recorded at Goa..
Upto 5000 mms have been recorded in the Duars of sub Himalayan Bengal and the western ghats of Tamilnadu..
More than 4000 mms in the Western ghats of Gujarat..
Upto 3000 mms have been recorded in the Eastern ghats (Andhra, Orissa, Chattisgarh) and Satpura hills of Maharashtra..

For SWM 2019  state rainfall toppers click ..
http://www.vagaries.in/2019/10/monsoon-2019.html


B) Mumbai region..the rains at the monsoon capital of the world lived upto the expectations  .. 

400 to 500 mms of rain in 24 hours (in a day) was recorded in Mumbai region on 3 occasions ..

Upto 6000 mms of rain was recorded in the plains of the Mumbai region during SWM 2019..
Matheran hill station in the Mumbai region has recorded 7784 mms ..
Almost entire Maharashtra also had a bountiful rainfall..

C) 2019 Annual Rains at some of the cities of India .. 

1) Extremely heavy rainfall :'
Badlapur(Mumbai region) 6222 mms , 
Thane city(Mumbai region) 4937 mms 

2) Very Heavy rainfall :
Panji 4172 mms , Mumbai Scz 3855 mms , 
Kochi 3590 mms 

3) Heavy rainfall :
Belgaum city 2150 mms , Agartala 2081 

4) Moderately heavy  rainfall :
Bhopal 1867 , Surat 1837,  Kolkata 1811, 
Kolhapur/Bhubaneshwar 1761 ,Jabalpur 1708 , 
Pune (Pashan)1640 , Dehradun 1629 ,
Rajkot 1607 ,Guwahati 1593 ,Shimla 1557

5) Moderate rainfall :
Chennai AP 1469 , Nasik 1436 , Indore 1371 , Nagpur 1330 ,Vijayawada 1310 , Varanasi 1227 , Patna 1188 ,Tirupathi 1090

6) Less rainfall :
Chandigarh 968 ,Bengaluru 950 ,Srinagar 924, 
Ahmadabad 906,  Hyderabad 865 ,
Delhi (Pusa Agri) 858 , Jaipur 830 , Kurnool 780

7) Very less rainfall :
Madurai 729 , Aurangabad 716 ,Amritsar 678,
Delhi SFD 546 , Jodhpur 544

Friday, October 04, 2019

Know Your City Weather ...See Updated Rohit's Page 

MONSOON 2019 .. TOP 5 STATE CAPITALS / U.T.
1.Mumbai,Maharashtra .. 3670 mms 
2.Panji,Goa .. 3657
3.Dadra Nagar Haveli .. 3623
4.Daman .. 2917
5.Port Blair,Andaman .. 2464

MONSOON RAINS 2019 .. STATE TOPPERS ..


(Table in alphabetical order)

NORTH EAST STATES / REGIONS STATION / DISTRICT RAIN IN mms
ARUNACHAL PRADESH PASSIGHAT 2933
ASSAM KOKRAJHAR DISTRICT
3050
MANIPUR TAMENGLONG DISTRICT 1511
MEGHALAYA CHERRAPUNJI 7208
MIZORAM LUNGLEI DISTRICT 2121
NAGALAND TUENSANG DISTRICT 1282
SUB HIMALAYAN BENGAL SIKKIM HASIMARA 3741
TRIPURA DHALAI DISTRICT 1523


NORTH HIMALAYAN STATES / U.T STATION / DISTRICT RAIN IN mms
HIMACHAL PRADESH DHARMSALA 2087
JAMMU KASHMIR RIASI DISTRICT 1717
UTTARAKHAND MOUNTAINS NAINITAL 1429
UTTARAKHAND PLAINS BANBASA 1523

NORTHERN PLAINS STATES
DELHI PUSA AGROMET (IARI) 569
HARYANA CHANDIGARH DISTRICT 716
MADHYA PRADESH KHANDWA 2149
MADHYA PRADESH-SATPURA HILLS PACHMARHI 1960
PUNJAB PATIALA 926
RAJASTHAN – EAST PRATAPGARH 3005
RAJASTHAN -ARAVALLI HILLS MOUNT ABU 1593
UTTAR PRADESH MIRZAPUR 1819


WESTERN INDIA STATES / U.T
DADRA NAGAR HAVELI 3623
DAMAN 2917
GOA VALPOI 5141
GUJARAT -NORTH QUANT 2386
GUJARAT-SAURASHTRA VISAVADAR 2047
GUJARAT-SOUTH WAGHAI 4100
MAHARASHTRA – WESTERN GHATS LAMAJ 10790
MAHARASHTRA-MARATHWADA MUDKHED 973
MAHARASHTRA-MATHERAN HILLS MATHERAN 7488
MAHRASHTRA – MUMBAI CITY TULSHI 5316
MAHARASHTRA-MUMBAI (MMRDA) BADLAPUR 5865
MAHARASHTRA - SATPURA HILLS TORANMAL 2786
MAHARASHTRA – VIDARBHA GADCHIROLI 2074

SOUTH INDIA STATES / ISLANDS
ANDAMAN NICOBAR NORTH & MIDDLE ANDAMAN DISTRICT 3283
ANDHRA PRADESH-EASTERN GHATS MUNCHINGIPUT-TU 2483
KARNATAKA - WESTERN GHATS AMGAON 9193
KERALA PLAINS KOZHIKODE DISTRICT 3467
LAKSHADWEEP AMINIDIVI 1555
TELANGANA BEJJUR 1773

EASTERN INDIA STATES
BIHAR KISHANGANJ DISTRICT 1738
CHATTISGARH BHAIRAMGARH 2747
JHARKHAND SAHEBGANJ DISTRICT 1894
ORISSA DEOGAON 2797

Nepal .. Pokhara 2111 mms (2912 from 1 Jan)

Data by Vagarians

Thursday, October 03, 2019

 Monsoon 2019...Extra ordinary... Down and up !

The 2019 South West Monsoon has certainly kept all amateur and professional meteorologists on their toes. Starting late, and then picking up to record levels in some parts, while remaining deficit in some parts..to be expected in a vast country like India.

But, Vagaries Started its Monsoon chase in April..when the Monsoon Watch-1 was posted.
We start, by first analysing where and how the Monsoon actually begins, or takes "Birth".
Its way down South in the Southern Indian Ocean. At the time begins (to observe when the pacific and South Indian Ocean Typhoons tire out.
Thus allowing the High Pressure systems, Called the Mascrene Highs " to form.
As we see, this huge global phenomena of air and winds rushing from High pressure to low pressure on a huge scale.
Once formed properly, the winds from these Highs rush towards the Equator,and ultimately in June towards the Low pressure over the Indian Sub Continent, as the South West Monsoon.

Monsoon 2019:

This year, the Monsoon arrival was erratic and very late, ...
8th June commencement from Kerala, 25th June Mumbai, 28th June Gujarat, 5th July Delhi and 19th July Entire country.

For the peninsula region, the arrival was late, and almost late elsewhere. We see a huge deficit as of the end of June...-33%.

Then, the Depressions from the Bay started, and covered most of Central India and West Coast. August was almost on record levels for Mumbai and September rained an all time high figure for the month in Mumbai.
August  alone All India was +15%, and September alone was +48% !
2nd Wettest September since records began in 1901.
Result: One of the good Monsoons in 25 years...amongst the Best at +10%....1994 saw +12.5%.

An overall picture of the Monsoon 2019 on all India basis





Central India:

{!7th May Monsoon Watch -4 Prediction by Vagaries}

Daily Mumbai Rain Jumps:


Tuesday, October 01, 2019



As the official Monsoon season comes to an end, I present the final Monsoon Report of the year with an almost 10% above normal performance. What a spectacular year this has been, and I have the added pleasure of preparing and posting this report from the beautiful state of Sikkim!



                                                                                                                                                                 
MONSOON REPORT 2019 (1-6-2019 to 30-9-2019)










TOTAL ALL INDIA RAINFALL

968.3 mm
NORMAL

880.6 mm
SEASON +/-
+ 9.96%




MONTHLY RAINFALL

mm
June

112.1
July

298.4
August

298.6
September

259.2




DAILY AVERAGE RAINFALL

mm
June

3.74
July

9.63
August

9.63
September

8.64
Season daily average

7.94




REGIONAL RAINFALL Actual Normal +/-
EAST AND NORTH EAST INDIA 1240.7 1410.4 -12.03%
NORTH WEST INDIA 586.0 599.5 -2.25%
CENTRAL INDIA 1262.8 976.6 29.31%
SOUTH PENINSULA 840.9 726.2 15.79%




SUBDIVISIONAL RAINFALL Actual Normal +/-
KONKAN & GOA 4385.8 2875.3 53.00%
COASTAL KARNATAKA 3796.5 3095.1 23.00%
A & N ISLAND 2331.3 1653.8 41.00%
KERALA & MAHE 2310.2 2049.3 13.00%
SHWB & SIKKIM 1884.1 1970.8 -4.00%
ASSAM & MEGHALAYA 1567.9 1773.7 -12.00%
ARUNACHAL PRADESH 1538.2 1726.6 -11.00%
WEST MADHYA PRADESH 1383.0 857.7 61.00%
EAST MADHYA PRADESH 1309.7 1048.4 25.00%
CHHATTISGARH 1255.6 1142.1 10.00%
ODISHA 1232.5 1155.3 7.00%
LAKSHADWEEP 1231.7 1013.1 22.00%
GUJARAT REGION 1193.4 922.9 29.00%
MADHYA MAHARASHTRA 1166.9 751.2 55.00%
Nagaland Mizoram Manipur Tripura 1114.8 1426.7 -22.00%
VIDARBHA 1054.6 943.1 12.00%
BIHAR 1050.4 1017.2 3.00%
UTTARAKHAND 960.4 1176.9 -18.00%
GANGETIC WEST BENGAL 940.9 1181.5 -20.00%
EAST RAJASTHAN 919.5 602.9 53.00%
JHARKHAND 865.6 1054.7 -18.00%
EAST UTTAR PRADESH 846.7 839.4 1.00%
SAURASHTRA & KUTCH (best) 839.7 507.2 66.00%
S. I. KARNATAKA 839.2 681.8 23.00%
TELANGANA 805.0 759.6 6.00%
HIMACHAL PRADESH 684.2 763.5 -10.00%
COASTAL AP and YANAM 640.6 586.9 9.00%
N. I. KARNATAKA 612.3 497.1 23.00%
MARATHWADA 590.7 668.8 -12.00%
WEST UTTAR PRADESH 527.4 721.3 -27.00%
RAYALASEEMA 459.9 411.6 12.00%
JAMMU & KASHMIR 445.8 567.5 -21.00%
PUNJAB 444.3 467.3 -5.00%
TN PUDU and KARAIKAL 401.9 342.0 18.00%
WEST RAJASTHAN 315.0 265.3 19.00%
HAR. CHD & DELHI (worst) 258.6 444.0 -42.00%




TOTAL ABOVE AVERAGE DAYS (1-6-2019 to 30-9-2019)
85 (70%)
TOTAL BELOW AVERAGE DAYS (1-6-2019 to 30-9-2019)
37 (30%)










source IMD

Vagaries' Monsoon anlysis v/s Other Factors

 3rd October: Monsoon Over in Mumbai and Pune  S.W.Monsoon ..Widhrawal Line shown below (Vagaries)....Mumbai Included ----------------------...