
Mumbai Page updated with July amounts and Sunday rain figures.
Vagaries© of the weather.blog written by rajesh kapadia.concentrating on meteorology of the Indian sub continent and extreme world weather since 55 years For Any Information taken from here, due credit must be given to Vagaries.
Mumbai Page updated with July amounts and Sunday rain figures.
See Mumbai page for Rainfall
Lowest rainfall in Vid is at Wardha, which has measured up only 265 mms till 29th, 178 mms below normal.That is -41%.
Absence of direct systems from the bay could be the reason for deficient rains in Vidharbh.
Mumbai/Pune forecast for Saturday valid as put up yesterday.
New forecast for Sunday onwards will be put up tomorrow. Performance of Monsoon up to July end will be up on Sunday.
Pune: Thursday: Cloudy with drizzle in some areas.
Friday; Cloudy, with a shower in some parts in the evening. Rain amount 5 mms. Saturday: Cloudy with a shower or two in parts. Saturday rain amount 5-10 mms.
Mumbai: Tuesday and Wednesday weather was on expected lines. 3/4 showers, some heavy in certain areas. We had intervals of sunshine in the afternoon. The average rainfall between Colaba and S'Cruz recorded was 25 mms on Tuesday and 32 mms on Wednesday. Vagaries estimation was up to 25 mms on each day.
Thursday: 2/3 heavy showers in some parts during the day, interrupted by bright intervals. Tendency for rainfall to increase by night. Rain amount during day around 15-20 mms and another 30 mms at night. (All rain amounts mentioned are average rain between Colaba and S'Cruz).
Friday: Frequent showers with overcast day. Showers will be heavy and with gusty winds. Increase itowards evening /night . Rain amount around 70 mms.
Saturday: Frequent showers with gusty winds. Some showers accompanied by thunder. Rain decreasing after night. Rain amount around 55 mms.
See Mumbai Page for those interested in Mumbai weather (updated on Tuesday night).
Yesterday’s Monsoon trough line on Vagaries Map is the Normal Position for this time.
Just observed it has slid South.
If it remains in this position for next 24 hrs: Then with embedded UACs in it, it can bring very good rainfall to Gujarat, North interior Mah. And Vid and North A.P.
It can re-activate the west coast off shore trough (meaning enhanced rains for Mumbai), and it also indicates the MJO will remain active for another week beyond 26th July.
Please let us not jump to any conclusion , as the axis can move back North in next 12 hrs.Wait and watch.
Tuesday: Partly cloudy, with a few heavy showers in some areas. Sunny intervals will make it reach 31c in the day. Rain amount 20-25 mms.
Wednesday: Partly cloudy with sunny spells. 3/4 showers, a few heavy downpours in parts of the city. Rain amount 20-25 mms.
Pune: Tuesday/Wednesday: Parlty cloudy with sunny spells. Light drizzles in some parts. Max temperatures around 30c.
Pune will be warmish on Sunday. Partly cloudy with drizzles in some parts. Decrease from Monday
Check Vagaries’ International Page for U.S. Heat Wave, and For an in depth Detail of U.S. Heat Wave..catch up on Mark's Blog...
Mumbai:
Saturday/Sunday: Cloudy to overcast conditions, with 4/5 heavy showers. Possibility of heavy showers on Saturday night. An increase in rains compared to Thursday/Friday. Rainfall lessening from Sunday night onwards. Rain amount 50 mms accumulated for Sat/Sun.
Monday: Rainfall decreasing.
Pune:
Mumbai:
Thursday was almost dry with a few shaowers. Rainfall measured in the day was 5 mms, with sunny intervals.
Friday will be partly cloudy, with a few showers. Rainfall on the increase from night. Rain amount 15 mms.
Saturday/Sunday: Cloudy to overcast conditions, with 3/4 heavy showers. Some parts could get a few prolonged showers. Nominal increase in rains compared to Thursday/Friday. Rainfall lessening from Sunday night onwards. Rain amount
30-35 mms.
Monday
(Tentative estimate): Rainfall decreasing.
Pune:
Friday:
Partly cloudy to sunny, with light drizzle in some areas.
Saturday/Sunday: Cloudy, with sunny intervals. Light drizzles in some areas. Rain amount 5 mms.
Latest on weather tonite at 10.30 pm
Mumbai Page updated with latest on city weather.
Late (Saturday) sees the pressure fall at the 700 hpa, over the
At the tropospheric level, a vortex ran down from the
The natural result of all this was quick clouds forming along the off shore trough around the vortice.
Mumbai Colaba received 111 mms and S'Cruz 106 mms till 8.30 am Sunday, most of it after 3 am Sunday. Panvel measured 70 mms up to 8.30 am Sunday.
During the day on Sunday, Colaba measured 22 mms and S'Cruz 24 mms.
For Monday, i would estimate a normal monsoon day. Cloudy with 4/5 showers and strong gusts during the showers. Bright intervals between showers. Rain amount 30-35 mms.
Viewing and seeing the present situation, would estimate a reduction in rains intensity (with sunny intervals) Tuesday and Wednesday.
Rainfall total at Colaba: 1114 mms. and S'Cruz 1455 mms. Last year, 2010, on date 16th July it was 1389 mms and 1383 mms resp.
Reduction in rains from Wednesday.
See Mumbai Page for weekend forecast and latest review of July
Mumbai had heavy showers pre noon, with a decrease in intensity after around 1 pm. Till the evening, the city measured 44.mms and S'Cruz 84mms. The other AWS stations mesured between 35 mms (Worli) and 65 mms during the day. (Vagaries estimate 35-40 mms).
Lakes got copious rainfall, with Tansa notching up 20 cms.
Pune will be partly cloudy on Friday. Week end will be cloudy with sunny intervals. Light drizzles and very light showers in parts of Pune.
For
Mumbai : A few prolonged heavy showers on Wednesday night.
Thursday will be cloudy with 3/4 fairly heavy showers of prolonged durations up to 30 minutes and high winds. Post late afternoon, the rain frequency will decrease. Rain amount average 35-40 mms.
Friday: Showers frequency decreases as compared to Thursday, and bright sunny intervals during day. Rain amount average 20 mms.
Pune: Light rains on Wednesday night. Thursday will be cloudy with a few showers in parts of Pune. Drizzling on and off. Clearing by evening.Rain amount 10 mms.
Friday: cloudy with a few drizzles in parts. Less precipitation compared to Thursday. Rain amount up to 5 mms.
Mumbai: With the Friday estimate thrown out (with 150 mms), Saturday was more like it (for vagaries). On Saturday, precipitation was 14 mms and 23 mms at Colaba and S'Cruz. (Estimate 20-25 mms).
Sunday, 10th,: Cloudy with 4/5 periods of showers. Some will be heavy (possibly post-noon) in different parts of the city. Inter-sparsed with bright intervals at times. Rain 25-30 mms.
Monday, 11th: Cloudy, with some heavy downpours. Increase in rain frequency, possible as off shore trough strengthens. Windy during rains. Rain 30-40 mms.
Tuesday, 12th: Overcast and frequent showers. Rain amount 35-40 mms.
A Weather Event, as Rare as a "Blue Moon":
The Atacama Desert Experiences Heavy Snowfall...for those interested on International Page.
Mumbai: Wednesday/Thursday was wet and frequent showers pushed up the total by about 40 mms in the last 36 hrs.
Friday will see some showers, heavy in the day. But the rain is not expected to be prolonged, and a decrease in the evening and night. Rain amount 20-25 mms.
Saturday: Cloudy, with 3/4 showers at times in different areas. Rain 20-25 mms
Sunday: Cloudy, with sunny intervals. A few passing showers, will be heavy, in certain areas. Rain 20 mms.
Pune: Will be cloudy on Friday with sprinkling of rain . Saturday can see a few showers, some quite heavy in areas. Sunday will be cloudy to partly sunny.
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