AS-1 intensified a bit in the last 6 hrs, and pressure now at 996 mb. At 20N and 71.7E, it means it has moved NW since last observation.

Moving towards Saurastra coast and subsequently the Sindh coast. As anticipated, will skirt the coasts. Weakening trends possible from Sunday night.

J1, a fresh W.D. is advancing into Northern India via N.Pakistan. Surely will have some effect on the SWM and track of AS-1.

Day temperatures have seen a slight downward trend, with Dadu (Pakistan) being the highest in the sub-continent at 47c. The highest in India on Saturday was at Kota at 44.3c and Bikaner 43.8c.

BB1, the bay low, persisits in the Northern Bay as an UAC, and has pushed the SWM into Bangladesh and Sikkim today.

Next stop Kolkata and Nepal.

Mumbai:

In the 12 hrs ended 8.30 pm on Saturday, Mumbai Colaba received 102 mms and S'Cruz 181 mms.

A few showers of short duration on Saturday night.

Sunday: Cloudy, with short sunny intervals. Short duration showers.

Foot Note:

Vagaries had a query in the comments column a few days back. "Why does vagaries SWM advance dates differ from IMD"? I had explained my reasons and what parameters I refer to when doing this. In fact I repeated that i follow the norms as per IMD.

Mumbai SWM was advanced by IMD on 5th June. Vagaries advanced SWM into Mumbai on 9th June. Quoting below from the "Times of India", Dated 11th June, , page 2, (Mumbai edition) what weather officials at Colaba clarified:

Quote-"So despite the torrential downpour of June 2-3, Met officials insisted any rain before June 10 was a pre-monsoon shower. It was only on June 5 that an embarrassed bureau decided to announce that the monsoon had arrived. "Thundershowers usually indicate pre-monsoon activity but we had to make the announcement, or else people would say the rains were evidently here and we were ignorant," Sharma said". -Unquote