MONSOON REPORT 2024

 

 Dwarka from west Saurashtra seasonal total 2199mm till today against seasonal average of 562mm..!! It's 391% against seasonal average..!!! (SOURCE : GSDMA)

Information by Vagarian G.Raninga

BB-8 effect:

COASTAL A.P. & YANAM 08/31/2024: Masulipatnam Cdr (dist Krishna) 18, Vijayawada(arg) (dist Ntr District) 18, Gudivada (dist Krishna) 17, Kaikalur (dist Eluru) 15, Narsapuram (dist West Godavari) 14, Amaravati (dist Guntur) 13, Vijayawada A.p. (dist Ntr District) 12, Mangalagiri (dist Guntur) 11, Nandigama (dist Ntr District) 11, Bheemavaram (dist West Godavari) 11, Palakoderu (dist West Godavari) 9, Tenali (dist Guntur) 9, Tiruvuru (dist Ntr District) 9, Guntur (dist Guntur) 9,

Pune Shivajinagar has recorded 279.3mm this August, making it the wettest August after 2014. 

In 2014, August rain was 280.6mm.

The monsoon seasonal total for Pune Shivajinagar is now at 925.3mm. Data: IMD

 30th August...10 pm IST

Cyclone ASNA

 29th Night Post:

Expected Track

 29th August:: Major Event

Land Depression:

The Deep Depression over Kutch is likely to track South/South-West and emerge into the North East Arabian sea off Kutch and South Pakistan Coast.

Now, the interesting part; 

With favourable conditions of SST at  28/29c, High vertical Wind shear and equatorial outflow, and estimated pressure to be at 992 mb,

System can possibly intensify into a (moderate) cyclone, maybe for a 6\10 hrs only.

The cyclone and system would track West/South -West, away from the Indian Coast.

A rare development , last witnessed in 1976...

Seen here in IMD Cyclone E atlas 👇

Rainfall From D.D: Last 24 hrs and Total:

Video courtesy Vag. S.Tambadiya ( Rajkot)

28th August 

The rare land-based deep depression over Gujarat that has resulted in torrents of rain and flooding across the state is likely to emerge into the Arabian Sea by the morning of August 29 and intensify marginally while moving away from the coast on August 30, according to the latest update by the India Meteorological Department (IMD).

The IMD has not specified if the system would intensify into a tropical cyclone or not. 

                                       

 Gujarat and Rajasthan hit by unprecedented land-based deep depression.

 

 27th August 

UNUSUALLY HEAVY RAINS IN Gujarat and Kutch drenched

 

Unusual weather leads to summer snowfall in western mountains of US...See World Weather News Page

 

 

Posted Sunday Night.

Short range Outlook Flash for Mumbai abd Pune Regions for Monday 26th and Tuesday 26th:

Rains Decreasing:

Mumbai:Partly cloudy with sunny periods and A distinct decrease in rain intensity from Monday. 

Pune will get a more sunny and warmer days now as the rains " thin out" in intensity, 

 24th August evening

The Low over Chattisgarh is (surpsingly) like to intensify into depression by 27th over Gujarat. 

As a result :

25th: Heavy rains in Konkan(Mumbai) and South Gujarat Coast (Surat, Valsad) 

26th: Heavy rains in Gujarat Region  (Banaskantha, Patan, Mehsana, Sabarkantha, Gandhinagar, Aravalli, Kheda, Ahmedabad, Anand, Panchmahal, Dahod, Mahisagar, Vadodara, Chhota Udepur, Narmada, Bharuch, Surat, Dang, Tapi, Navsari, Valsad and in Daman, Dadara Nagar Haveli). 

27th: Heavy rains in Gujarat Region, Saurastra. 

28th:Saurastra, Kutch and Adjoining Sindh. 

Bharuch : 150 mms cumulative on Sunday 25th and Monday26th. 

Surat: 125 mms  cumulative on Sunday 25th and Monday26th. 

Bhuj:150 mms cumulative on Monday26th, Tuesday27th Wednesday 28th.

Karachi : 40 mms on Wednesday 

Mumbai :Outlook :Good Rains on Sunday 25th and on Monday 26th. Approximately 100 mms cumulative. 

Rainfall in Mumbai on Saturday 24th till 5.30 in mms:

Charkop 109

Dindoshi 106

Vihar Lake 93

Borivali 90

Dahisar, Malad: 65

Kurla 59

Vile Parle 54

Andheri 52

Dadar 51

Chembur 47

Worli 28

Colaba AWS 21

Malabar Hill 13

Sion 45

 22nd Night

Mumbai: Yet again within 4 days, Mumbai Santacruz again breaks the August month record day temperature by recording 33.7°C. Highest ever in August. 

Much awaited Rains to commence. 

Rains may start increasing from the Friday 23rd night. Heavy showers expected this weekend. Around 30-60 mms/day. 

Weekend could see some moderate rain for Mumbai/Navi Mumbai/Thane regions. 

Moderate-heavy showers likely on Monday 26th and Tuesday 27th August, with some gusty winds at times.

Pune: As anticipated, yesterday in this blog, Pune got the thundershowers on Thursday 22nd, the rain on Thursday being:

Pune Rainfall(mm) 17:30 dt. 22.08.2024,                                                                                          

CHINCHWAD 66.0, LAVALE  33.5

PASHAN 15.4, RAJGURUNAGAR 15.0

WADGAONSHERI 8.5, KOREGAON PARK 8.0

SHIVAJINAGAR 6.3

Pune can get heavy thunderstorms on Friday, Saturday and Sunday.  Thunderstorm weather can subside after weekend, with monsoon like light-moderate showers expected from Sunday 25th to Tuesday 27th. 

Pleasant weather and cool winds at times.

Pune has been hovering around 32/33° last few days. Record of August is 35°c

Bharuch and Coastal South Gujarat and Coastal Saurashtra will get heavy rains this weekend. 

 

California will see first August snow in 20 years as freak cold snap brings abrupt end to summer 

See on World Weather News Page

AURORAS SHOULD NOT BE ORANGE (BUT THEY ARE)

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21st Night:

A weak low is developing off Kerala coast on 21st.

Likely to strengthen  move North along West Coast towards Maharashtra by 23rd.

Rainfall will increase in Madhya Maharashtra  from 22nd thru the weekend 

Increase in rainfall Marathwada from 22nd 23rd and 24th.

Sambhajinagar : Moderate increase in rainfall from Saturday.

Mumbai :

We mentioned last week, monsoon is not over. 

After a " low rainfall period, Mumbai will see increasing rainfall from Friday 23rd Night. Good spell of rainfall will continue till Sunday. No Alert. 

Pune : Even on getting good rains, Pune will continue to get showers next 4 days. Cooler weather ahead now.( 30°~21°).

Bharuch : Moderate to good rainfall will continue in Bharuch till Sunday. 

Double Systems 

 19th Mumbai Sunset 

18th August...

Mumbai Scruz records 33.6° today on 18th.

Its the hottest August day ever..previous highs 👇

Rains lashing Pune today...

Pune Rainfall(mm) 17:30 dt. 18.08.2024,  

WADGAONSHERI 101.5

LONAVALA 52.5

KHED 49.0

MAGARAPATTA 28.0

KOREGAON PARK 27.5

BHOR 20.0

AMBEGAON 19.0

NARAYANGOAN 18.0

MALIN 8.5

DAPODI 5.0

CHINCHWAD 3.5

RAJGURUNAGAR 3.5

NIMGIRI 2.0

SHIVAJINAGAR 1.9

Due to: The synoptic complex winds driven by localised conditions

15th August Night:

A low pressure is likely to form in West Bengal region by 16th, and possibly track along the axis. This will enhance rainfall along path in the next 3/4 days.

Heavy rainfall expected again in Uttarakhand, Punjab, Delhi and East U.P. from 16th - 19th.

Very heavy rains likely in Kerala and South T.N. from 16th -18th.

Moderate increase of rain intensity expected in Marathwada and Vidharbh (Maharashtra) from 17th thru the weekend.

All India Rainfall Status:

The 15th august position of Cumulative all India Rainfall stands at + 4.8%👇

Mumbai:

Contrary to hear-say, it is not the end of the Monsoon for Mumbai.

Mumbai in surplus today, averaging +30%, and has enough water stock to last a year now. at 93%.

Weather will be sunny and hot with few passing showers till 20th..after which Mumbai can see some more rains.

Pune:

Warm and humid, uncomfortable for a Pune mid monsoon time. But we see things changing with some rains from 18th to 21st August.

-------------------------------------------------------

Sambhajinagar (Aurangabad): The dry spell likely to end with some moderate increasing rains from 18th into next week. Rains will be around 10 mm/day. Should be beneficial to standing crops and watering of the fields ( Now going on) could be stopped.

संभाजीनगर (औरंगाबाद): 18 तारखेपासून पुढील आठवड्यात काही प्रमाणात वाढणाऱ्या पावसाने कोरडा काळ संपण्याची शक्यता आहे. पाऊस सुमारे 10 मिमी/दिवस असेल. उभ्या पिकांना फायदेशीर व्हावे आणि शेताला पाणी देणे (आता चालू आहे) थांबवता येईल.

14th August Morning 

Monsoon winds are currently weak off the Maharashtra Coast. Hence:

Mumbai: Few passing showers.

The current (almost) dryish spell will continue this week till 19th.⛅

Sunny periods will get the days warmer to reach 31/32°c.

Mumbai Scruz has received good rainfall as on date with 2222 mms...which translates to +34%.

Mumbai colaba has received 2018 mms, which is +25%.

Lakes are at 92.9% of total storage. 

Pune: Almost dry weather, with few light  showers in some parts. ⛅

Rainfall may be more after 18th.

Pune is in a healthy surplus with total rainfall till date at 734 mms, which is +74%.

Storage: Panshet 96%, Khadakwasla 91%, Mulshi 99%, Pawana 97%.

 12th August...

Delhi rains till today

Synoptic Situation 

Source IMD

And Maharashtra 👇

11th August

Monsoon Trough Position gives very good Rains in North India, North West India and Delhi

Rainfall 👇

While not much rain in Maharashtra Ghats or Mumbai lakes