30th May..2023..South West Monsoon establishing over S.Andamans

30th Winds Charts👇

 29th May....

IPL 2023 Finals:

Even though the rainstorms in Ahmedabad are unseasonal and this was a safe venue, 

Vagaries feels  Weather should be considered while planning tournaments...

World Cup is scheduled from 5th October this year...except NW India, chance of rain persists for almost all other states considering delayed SWM withdrawal since last few years

Thiruvananthapuram, Bangalore, Chennai are potential rainy venues and may host World Cup matches in October 🌝⛈️

 #IPL2023FINAL

Today also chance of some thundery development around Ahmedabad...but hopefully IPL final can take place

Ahmedabad saw 56 mms yesterday. 

Ahmedabad May rainfall record is 231 mms in 1982. 138 mms as the 24 hrs fall on 9th May that year.

Weather outlook from Sunday 28th May to Wednesday 31st May - Strong premonsoon thundery activity over NW India, SWM onset over Andaman-Nicobar!

Another strong Western Disturbance is set to affect north and northwest India. 

Moderate to strong thunderstorms are expected across most parts of Rajasthan on 28th and 29th May. 

A long traveling chain of thunderstorms/squall line is again possible from Rajasthan/Punjab into Uttar Pradesh and Madhya Pradesh across Delhi NCR. Rain may be accompanied by strong winds, lots of lightning and even hail.

Himalayan states and UTs of Jammu, Kashmir, Ladakh, Himachal Pradesh and Uttarakhand to get rain/thunderstorms during 29th-31st May. 

Gujarat - Thunderstorms likely across Kutch, Saurashtra and Ahmedabad/Gandhinagar and Vadodara regions on 28th May. 

Parts of Saurashtra and Kutch may also get rain on 29th May. 

Maharashtra outlook:

Temperatures may increase across interior konkan, Madhya Maharashtra, Marathwada and Vidarbha regions. 

Westerly winds can weaken and a line of wind discontinuity (LWD) over Ghats may cause thunderstorms to develop from Monday 29th to Wednesday 31st May. 

Mumbai: Hot and humid weather, max/min around 35C/27C. Some thundery development in eastern skies and Thane/Raigad districts from 29th May. 

Interior konkan and places in Thane/Raigad districts can see max temperature again rising to 38-40C. 

Pune: Temperatures may rise and settle around 38-40C max and 23C min. Chance of thunderstorms developing in the hilly regions/Ghats in the afternoon/evening hours, can be localized and not evenly distributed.  

Satara, Kolhapur, parts of Ratnagiri and Sindhudurg districts can get thunderstorms. 

Marathwada: Temperatures to rise to 41-42C in many districts. Some areas may get localized thundershowers. 

Vidarbha: Mainly hot and dry weather with max temperatures in the range 42-44C. Very localized thundery developments possible on 29th and 30th, but not providing relief from hot weather. 

Goa, Belgaum/Dharwad as well as coastal regions of Karnataka to also receive some thunderstorms during this period. 

Multiple rounds of strong thunderstorms over north and northwest India continue to keep the temperatures below normal. This can possibly delay the advance of the Monsoon. 

We expect the monsoon winds to strengthen in the coming days. Southwest Monsoon onset is expected over Andaman-Nicobar islands around 29th-30th May. The Arabian Sea branch of Monsoon is likely to reach Kerala around 4th-6th June. 

Monsoon may reach Mumbai between 12th-15th June. However, the further advance of the monsoon along west coast after reaching Kerala can be affected if a low pressure system forms in the Arabian Sea. 

Meanwhile, North India seeing significantly below normal temperatures, with strong thunderstorms and hailstorms. The much hyped severe heat in Delhi and NW India did not occur, with temperatures mostly normal to below normal if averaged over last 2 months. 

May 1st - 26th Day temperatures Anomaly 👇

Strong early morning thunderstorms affect parts of Rajasthan, Punjab, Haryana, Delhi NCR and parts of Uttar Pradesh accompanied with gusty winds and dangerous lightning. 

 

Wishing Rajesh Kapadia Sir a very Happy 70th Birthday from all Vagarians!