9th June:

Not much improvement in the various level wind charts since put on 7th post.

Major Monsoon wind and pressure still shy of a quick monsoon advance. 

It seems the West Coast off shore trough, though not hugging the coast,

might encourage the temporary current along the coast after 15th... 

Meaning inland regions wait.

Vagaries expects a weak advance along the coast  starting from coastal Karnataka from 15th and reaching North Konkan (Mumbai) by 18th.

But, a weak onset possible for Raigad district and Mumbai region between by 18th June.( a subdued SW Monsoon activity). 

However, if this window is missed, then onset looks likely around 20th/21st June. 

Strong dry air intrusion at 700 and 500 hPa from the NW, suppressing cloud formation over Arabian Sea and Western peninsula north of Ratnagiri district

Initially Inland Monsoon date uncertain. 

Mumbai with a few spells of pre Monsoon thundery showers till 18th can get accumulated 6 days rainfall (varying between Scruz & Colaba ) of 20 - 40 mms average. An isolated Thundershower may give a heavy localised shower.

Hot an humid. Temperature range 35 - 29/30°. 

This year the night Temperature is high for a longer sustained period of nights. Colaba had (till 9th) 4 consecutive nights of 30°. ( 2007 had 4 nights & 2016 had 5 nights of 30° night Temperatures.

Citizens are surely feeling more heat this year, even though Mumbai has been thru this before.. 35° is not new. 

Reason: We are now used to comfort of A/C more than before. Night sleep-ac car/bus-ac office-ac eating places. So, coming out in real feel 39° & 80%humidity from 21° & 50% is absolutely 😓😡

And of course our over enthusiastic press & social media. 

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Pune:: Experiencing continuous warm nights around 25/26°as the Low temperature. However all time low temperatur record is 29.4° recorded in 1979. 

Few spells of thunder showers with the odd heavy convective shower. No quick sign of Monsoon yet till 18th. 

Accumulated rainfall of next 6 days may average 15 - 30 mms. 

 7th Night Post 

Monsoon over Kerala and Southern Coastal Karnatak. 

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850 winds

A Low pressure (UAC) off Karnataka coast will activate rainfall along Karnatak Coast and South Konkan. 

This UAC will push in on 9th and bring heavy downpours and Monsoon upto Goa/South Konkan by 11th.

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Next week: 8th- 11th June

Mumbai/Pune: Humidity increasing and aggrevated by a few spells of thundershowers. 

Mumbai 35 - 29°

Pune: 38-25°

Gujarat: Spells of thundershowers in South Gujarat. Monsoon wait continues till 18th.

Marathwada farmers do not rush into sowing till 17th at least. 

Monsoon wait continues !

मराठवाड्यातील शेतकरी किमान १७ तारखेपर्यंत पेरणीची घाई करत नाहीत.

पावसाळ्याची प्रतीक्षा सुरूच आहे!

 5th June

NLM:

Monsoon Rainfall Today 

Not sufficient Depth for SW Winds and interfere of W.D. may delay further advance by few days. 

Outlook for Monsoon:

Monsoon onset in Maharashtra on dates below will be weak initially. 

Ghats and Interior Madhya Maharashtra (Pune/Nasik) 

6th to 14th...Heavy pre Monsoon thundershowers in the ghats, interiors will get the convective thundershowers on the odd day. 

Proper Monsoon around 14th.

Mumbai/Konkan: Convective pre Monsoon showers on some days from 6th to 13th. Heavier showers on 13th/14th. *Monsoon could set in by 14th.

Mumbai can receive around 350 - 400 mms in June. 

Interior Mumbai Lakes can get a late start of the Monsoon.Around 400 mms rain average for Mumbai Lakes in June. 

Marathwada :

Scattered evening pre Monsoon thundershowers will be the daily affair on the odd day till 14th. 

Sowing seeds not advisable with these pre Monsoon thundershowers, as the showers may not be regular.

If possible, field can be kept ready. Advised to wait till full monsoon arrives for sowing.

Monsoon could arrive around 18th June.

June for Marathwada could be just 100 mms. 

मराठवाडा : १४ तारखेपर्यंत अधूनमधून सायंकाळी तुरळक प्रमाणात मान्सूनपूर्व पावसाच्या सरी येतील. या मान्सूनपूर्व पावसात पेरणी करणे योग्य नाही, कारण पावसाच्या सरी नियमित नसण्याची शक्यता आहे. शक्य असल्यास शेत तयार ठेवावे. पेरणीसाठी पूर्ण मान्सून येईपर्यंत थांबण्याचा सल्ला दिला जातो. मान्सून 18 जूनच्या आसपास दाखल होण्याची शक्यता आहे.

जूनमध्ये जेमतेम १०० मिमी पाऊस पडेल.

Gujarat not expected to get proper Monsoon before 20th June. At the most some pre monsoon light showers in South Gujarat before 18th.

 General Non Weather Matter Page Updated..Must see

4th June : South West Monsoon into Kerala:

Wind depth upto 600 level shows good westerly flow..moving the Monsoon current inland.

200 level not yet suitable for quick advance

Outlook: Monsoon current is moderate and will remain moderate in Kerala for few days...Moving upto Goa by 8th June

Gujarat after 18th June..

Expected to move upto Goa and Karnatka by 8th June as a moderate current.

Mumbai: 5th June - 9th June: Partly cloudy, chances of pre monsoon showers in early morning and then some showers in the evening..all pre monsoon. (about 5/20 mms per day in varying areas.) Increasing humidity keeping day at 35c and night at 28/29c...real feel at 39c.

Pune: Outlook 5th - 9th June.

Some thundershowers on 5th/6th/7th/8th..all pre monsoon..Days at 38c.

Sambhajinagar: Heavy thunder showers on 5th/6th/7th.. Not to rush into sowing till 15th. These are pre monsoon showers. 

Still humidity has not increased into interior Maharashtra..Proper Monsoon around 16th June.

Humidity Map

संभाजीनगर: ५/६/७ तारखेला जोरदार मेघगर्जनेसह पाऊस पडेल.. १५ तारखेपर्यंत पेरणीची घाई करू नका. हा मान्सूनपूर्व पाऊस आहे. महाराष्ट्राच्या अंतर्गत भागात आर्द्रता अजून वाढलेली नाही.. साधारण १६ जूनच्या सुमारास योग्य मान्सून सुरू होईल.

 3rd June:

Surendranagar district saurashtra today

Courtesy Vagarian Gaurav

 3rd June...Mumbai Pre Monsoon Showers ...on Scheduled date as per Vagaries Estimated Date

TOP 10 BMC RAINFALL AMOUNTS IN millimeters

Versova pumping station : 73.6 mm

K (Andheri)West Ward Office : 51.8 mm

K (Andheri)East Ward Office : 49.6 mm

Cooper Hospital : 45.8 mm

SWM Santacruz Workshop : 30.4 mm

Malpa Dongari Mun. School, Andheri East : 29.8 mm

Vile Parle Fire Station : 26.42 mm

Nariyal wadi school, Santacruz : 19.2 mm

BKC Fire Station : 16.2 mm

Marol Fire Station: 16 mm