Potential Flash Flood Probability 

 

Marathwada 👇

Marathwada is in moderate deficiency currently..Sambhajinagar _5%, Nanded -36%, Dharashiv +5%, Parbhani - 38%. 

Dam Storage : Jayakwadi Dam is at 68% storage. District storage average 61%.

System, BB 3, is over Telengana. 

The positive news is that the region is expected to get good rains 2 days, 30th and 31st.till 1st August. Though crops are standing in healthy conditions, the additional rain, next 2 days cumulatively may get 70 - 90 mms.

Will be excessive, but see for the future may be helpful as Region will get negligible rain next 8 to 10 days. Need to keep the ground wet.

Sambhajinagar fields today

—--———-—-------------------------------------------------

मराठवाडा: मराठवाड्यात सध्या मध्यम स्वरूपाची पाण्याची कमतरता आहे.. संभाजीनगर -५%, नांदेड -३६%, धाराशिव +५%, परभणी -३८%. धरणातील पाणीसाठा: जायकवाडी धरण ६८% भरलेले आहे. जिल्ह्याचा सरासरी पाणीसाठा ६१% आहे. चांगली बातमी ही आहे की, १ ऑगस्टपर्यंत या भागात ३० आणि ३१ तारखेला दोन दिवस चांगला पाऊस पडण्याची शक्यता आहे. जरी पिके चांगल्या स्थितीत असली तरी, पुढील दोन दिवसांत पडणाऱ्या अतिरिक्त पावसामुळे एकूण ७० ते ९० मिमी पाऊस पडू शकतो. हा पाऊस गरजेपेक्षा जास्त असेल, पण भविष्यासाठी तो उपयुक्त ठरू शकतो, कारण पुढील ८ ते १० दिवसांत या भागात नगण्य पाऊस पडेल. जमीन ओली ठेवणे आवश्यक आहे.

———------------------------------——--------—--——

Mumbai: Moderate occasional passing showers will continue, and increasing from Friday into the weekend, giving around (average ) 25 to 40 mms per day.

Pune : Getting the moderate showers till July end, pushing up the record total by another 20 mms. Decrease in Rains in first week of August.

Jalgaon : Heavy to very heavy rains on 30th and 31st, could exceed 100 mms on 31st.

Bharuch: Very heavy showers on 31st Friday and 1st August Saturday. Could exceed 100 mms.

 Mumbai Lakes Storage at 88.17%...Highest seasonal rainfall this year at Tulsi @ 2879 mms ( 111") followed by Upper Vaitarna @ 2502 mms ,( 100").

VoW in Times of India ( Pune ) today.

 

 The Deep Depression effect from 8.30am to 5.30 pm of 28th 

Nagpur 180 mm

Keonjhargarh 105 mms

Meerut, Kanpur IAF and Manjalkhand 8 cms

And overnight rains 🌧 

 28th July...DD position 

System from Bay moving in

 26th July.

Position of Depression in Bay 

Devoloping System with South Bands 👇

Expected to reach Deep Depression and track NW

Substantial amount of rainfall expected along track.. Odisha, Chattisgarh, East M. P. parts of Vidharbh. 

Decrease in all Gujarat rains. 

Since system will weaken along path, activation of West Coast Trough will be limited to 27th/28th.

Madhya Maharashtra and Marathwada should not expect effect of System. 

Mumbai: Best positive news.. Lakes Storage showing good improvements and now at 86.18%..(last year 88%).

Best rainfall this year is Tulsi with 2834 mms followed by Upper Vaitarna showing 2267 mms! 

Mumbai/Goa: Moderate occasional passing showers expected on 27th/28.. translating to around 35 - 50 mms per day.

Could experience some decrease from 29th.

 Scenario today 

Will forecast tomorrow 

250 level 

850 level 

25h July 

Maharashtra water Storage 

Water storage in Maharashtra’s reservoirs has increased following recent rainfall. According to the Water Resources Department’s report released today, the state’s 3,029 dams are collectively holding 53.38% of their live storage capacity. On the corresponding day last year, the live storage stood at 63.42%.

Region-wise, the Konkan region has the highest live storage at 76.54%, followed by Pune at 65.27%, Nashik at 55.11%, Nagpur at 46.71%, and Amravati at 42.91%. The Chhatrapati Sambhajinagar region has the lowest live storage at 25.44%.

Among major dams, Konkan and Pune have 77.19% and 70.15% live storage, respectively. In the medium dam category, Konkan leads with 77.06% live storage. Minor dams in the region are also the best stocked, with 73.06% live storage.

In contrast, the Chhatrapati Sambhajinagar region has 31.70% live storage in major dams, 17.77% in medium dams, and 13.86% in minor dams

Source AIR

Gujarat Rainfall In Excess

% of seasonal rainfall:

North Gujarat

• Santalpur (Patan) – 103.18%
• Kadi (Mehsana) – 96.23%

Central Gujarat

• Viramgam (Ahmedabad) – 96.03%
• Mandal (Ahmedabad) – 93.80%
• Mehmedabad (Kheda) – 107.03%
• Nadiad (Kheda) – 94.09%

Saurashtra

• Mangrol (Junagadh) – 107.49%

South Gujarat

Surat district

• Palsana – 118.78%
• Ambika – 112.16%
• Kamrej – 103.69%
• Bardoli – 93.25%
• Surat city – 92.89%

Navsari district

• Chikhli – 114.02%
• Khergam – 106.35%
• Vansda – 92.42%
• Gandevi – 90.46%

Valsad district

• Umargam – 125.32%
• Valsad – 98.86%
• Pardi – 98.74%

Tapi district

• Dolvan – 97.84%
• Valod – 97.13%

Bharuch district

• Netrang – 92.91%

Overall, Gujarat has received 52.03% of its average seasonal rainfall so far.

Data compiled by deshgujarat.com