Monday, October 25, 2021

25th October... SWM Withdraws.. & NEM sets in.

(Estimated earlier  in Vagaries on 14th) 

See (below) complete withdrawal dates from country in last 46 years. Mark the date trend in last 10 years. (IMD) 

Significant Rainfall amount recorded (from 0830 hours IST of yesterday to 0830 hours IST of 25th)(in cm): 

Tamilnadu, Puducherry & Karaikal: Madurai-11, 

Pudukkottai-10, Tiruppur, Toothukudi-8 each, Kodaikanal-4 each;

Interior Karnataka: Kodagu-8, Shivamoga, Mysuru, Dharwad, Mandya-7, Hassan-3; 

Kerala: Palakkad-6

Low Pressure now likely to develop in South Bay more and move towards T. N. Coast by 27th.

Effective rainfall will move inland into Karnataka and Southern Madhya Mah. ( Kolhapur, Sangli, Satara) around  1st week November.  


Heavy  rainfall is expected between 29th and 30th October. Will extend into early November. 

Localised flooding, thunderstorm and gale winds is likely, with the monsoon making a good onset. 

Sunday, October 24, 2021

 Posted sunday 24th October

No rain expected in Marathwada till month end. 

Except for little rain in South Konkan on 24th, 

No rain elsewhere in Maharashtra State till October end. 

Cooler night temperatures. 

रविवार 24 ऑक्टोबर रोजी पोस्ट केले

मराठवाड्यात महिनाअखेरीपर्यंत पावसाची अपेक्षा नाही.

24 रोजी दक्षिण कोकणात थोडा पाऊस वगळता,

ऑक्टोबर अखेरपर्यंत महाराष्ट्रात इतरत्र पाऊस नाही. 
रात्रीचे थंड तापमान.

Saturday, October 23, 2021

Posted 23rd October:

The Western Disturbance mentioned in previous post (21st) ... Active today

First Snowfall in Pahalgam.. ❄🌨⋯

Hail in Jammu.. 

Thursday, October 21, 2021

 Posted 21st October

A Western Disturbance is  to affect  North India starting October 22. This system will have an effect over the hilly regions as well as the plains of North India. 🌧 ⛆

The WD will precipitate snow in the higher reaches.  Showers will in Himachal Pradesh whereas rains will be not as heavy over Uttarakhand. Thereafter, Uttarakhand will also come under the effect of the system and see some rain and snow in the higher regions.

Not severe, but may hamper restoration efforts. 

The WD will also result in some rains and thundershowers over the plains including North Rajasthan, Punjab, parts of Haryana.

Delhi may see cloudy skies with  some light rainfall around October 24. 

Rains may  occur in Amritsar & Chandigarh. 

From October 25, weather will clear up and temperatures will start to see a dip in the hills and the plains of North West India. 

The "wintery" Feel will commence.

Vagaries has mentioned Partial South West Monsoon withdrawal on 14th October (In Post). Complete withdrawal now by 24th...and Commencement of NEM from 24th/25th October.

Wind chart today

wind chart forecast 25th..see NE winds along TN/A.P. coast

Tuesday, October 19, 2021

19th October...

Heavy Rains likely again in Kerala and South Karnataka (read Bangalore) from 21st - 23rd October...Then SWM may withdraw..

The Approaching easterly Wave will bring in NEM around 25th  Oct to T.N. and Coastal A.P.

As NW winds resume  over NW India, cooler nights in the plains expected from 21st onwards (12-15c).

BB-15, System moved as per  by arrow shown yesterday...

Rainfall Massive amounts for Uttarakhand... In mms

Significant Rainfall amount recorded (from 0830 hours IST of yesterday to 0830 hours IST of today)(in cm): 
Uttarakhand: Nainital, Pantnagar( Udham Singh Nagar)-40; Mukteshwar Kumaon-34; Champawat-32; Almora-22; Pithoragarh-21; Bageshwar-20; Chamoli-19; Kotdwar-14; Deoprayag-12; Rudraprayag-11; Tehri-7; 
Himachal Pradesh: Kinnaur-7; 
West Uttar Pradesh: Baheri (Bareilly)-54; Nawabganj-26; Rampur, Shahjahanpur-25; Bareilly-18; Pilibhit-14; Hamirpur, Jalaun-11; Bulandshahar, Sambhal-10; Agra-8; Meerut, Amroha-7; East Uttar Pradesh: Tirwa (Kannauj)-41; Kheri, Sitapur-23; Farrukhabad-18; Kanpur-13; Maharajganj, Nowgong-7; 

Monday, October 18, 2021

Posted Monday 18th Night

Heavy interaction rains in many States. W

Uttarakhand heavy rain as warned.. Nainital's Iconic Mall flooded as lake overflows. AWS records 361 mms till 11 pm Monday. 

Char Dham Pilgrims advised to postpone. 

Significant Rainfall amount recorded (from 0830 hours IST of yesterday to 0830 hours IST of Monday 18th): in Cms

 West Madhya Pradesh:- Sheopur-31, Datia-17, Shivpuri-15, Bhind-14; Agar-Malwa,

Rajgarh,Sehore-11 Each; Guna, Gwalior-10 Each; Indore, Ujjain, Shajapur-8 Each; Vidisha, Harda-

7 Each; Barwani-6; 

 Odisha:- Balasore-21, Mayurbhanj-13, Cuttack-11, Keonjhargarh-7; 

 Uttarakhand:-Champawat-16, Nainital-10, Pithoragarh-9, Udham Singh Nagar-8, Almora-7; 

 East Rajasthan:- Baran-16, Karauli-13, Bhilwara-7; 

 Kerala & Mahe:- Thrissur-13, Ernakulam-11, Kozhikode-7;

 Gangetic West Bengal:-East Midnapore-12; South 24 Parganas, West Midnapore-11 Each.

 Tamilnadu:- Coimbatore-11; 

 East Madhya Pradesh:- Tikamgarh-10; 

 Haryana:- Palwal-9; Delhi:- Safdarjung-9, Aya Nagar-7; 

Yes, the interaction resulted in the rainy and WD weather, bringing much below normal day temperatures to NW India. 

Huge Drop in Day Temperature in NWI today Monday 18th.

Recorded Max & departure from Normal: 


Ridge 23.0°c (-9° Below Normal)

Ayanagar 23.6°c (-9° BN)

Lodhi Road 23.8°c (-8° BN)

Safdarjung 23.9°c (-9° BN)

Palam 24.4°c (-8° BN)

Ridge 23.0°c (-9° BN)

Jafarapur 24.3°c (-9° BN)

West Uttar Pradesh:

Muzaffarnagar 21.8°c (-8° Below Normal)

Meerut 22.0°c (-11° BN)

Aligarh 22.6°c (-10° BN)

Bulandshahr 22.7°c (-)

Moradabad 23.0°c (-8° BN)

Najibabad 23.0°c (-)

Baghpat 24.3°c (-)

Agra 24.5°c (-10° BN)

Bareilly 25.9°c (-6° BN)

Jhansi 27.6°c (-6° BN


Narnaul 22.5°c (-11° Below Normal)

Mahendargarh 23.4°c (-)

Panchkula 23.6°c (-)

Yamunanagar 23.8°c (-)

Chandigarh 24.0°c (-8° BN)

Ambala 24.2°c (-7° BN)

Sonipat 24.3°c (-)

Rohtak 24.6°c (-9° BN)

Kurukshetra 24.9°c#(-)

Gurgaon 25.2°c (-)

Hisar 26.9°c (-6° BN)


Bair 22.9°c (-)

Alwar 24.6°c (-9° Below Normal)

Dhaulpur 24.9°c (-)

Karauli 25.1°c (-)

Sikar 26.7°c (-7° BN)

Churu 27.0°c(-8° BN)

Jaipur 27.0°c (-6° BN)

Bundi 27.7°c (-)

Data source: IMD

©LWI (Navdeep) 

Sunday, October 17, 2021

 Sunday Night.. 17th

Heavy showers in Nasik & Jalgaon.. 

And in West U. P. and NCR

(Posts of 11th & 15th) 

25th October... SWM Withdraws.. & NEM sets in. (Estimated earlier  in Vagaries on 14th)  See (below) complete withdrawal dates from coun...