3rd November Night Post

🌀 Cyclone Murasu — Landfall Update | 3 November 2026

Cyclone Murasu crossed the south Andhra Pradesh coast between Nellore and Narsapur, close to Ongole, during approximately 3:30–5:30 AM IST today. IMD classified it as a Severe Cyclonic Storm at landfall. 

Wind strength: Maximum sustained winds at landfall were 100–110 km/h, gusting to 120 km/h.

By 2:30 PM today, Murasu had weakened to a Cyclonic Storm, centred about 40 km west-northwest of Bapatla and 60 km north of Ongole. Winds had fallen to 80–90 km/h, gusting to 100 km/h. Further weakening to a deep depression is expected as it moves north-northwestward inland. 

Outlook for Maharashtra this week : Dry, Easterlies keeping the Day warm, and clear Nights dropping the night Temperatures dropping a couple of Degrees.

Mumbai : Dry.. Easterlies in the day bringing warm less humid day at 35°and nights at 22/24°

Pune: Sunny at 32°in the day ad 17/19° at night.

Sambhajinagar : Warm and sunny at 33 in the days and 19° at night.

Bharuch: Temperatures range between 33°and 23°.

Twin cyclones for Andhra Pradesh in post-monsoon season

As per IMD for the 1st time after 2018, 2 cyclones in same postmonsoon season (Oct-Dec) hit Andhra Pradesh (Arnab and Murasu).

In satellite era since 1980, only 6 years (1982, 1985, 1987, 2013, 2018, 2026) has seen 2 more cyclones in postmonsoon season hitting Andhra Pradesh coast.

Out of these 6 years, 4 years (1982, 1987, 2018 and 2026) are El Nino years.

Cyclone Murasu Satellite wind estimates on 2 November

Cyclone clouds reaching 15km

Latest SAR estimate (2nov 6am) from NOAA shows that strongest winds in #CycloneMurasu are concentrated in east and northeast portion of cyclone. Whereas windspeed in western portion of cyclone is lower. This mean that after cyclone eye crosses land and backward portion of eyewall reaches land than the maximum winds are expected (not in the front sector of eyewall).

The radius of 34knots wind is up to 82.22 nautical miles (152.3km). That is from center upto 152km radius of area likely to see cyclone force winds. 

However, wind extent in all 4 quadrants is not uniform, cyclone force winds are covering wider area in back sector of cyclone (SE and NE quadrant as comapred to front sector of cyclone (NW and SW quadrant of cyclone).

The maximum winds are at about 33km from center of cyclone.

 

 2nd November ..afternoon 

S.C.S MURASU

Wettest November day in Pune after 2019

Pune Shivajinagar recorded 41.1mm rain in last 24hrs. This is the highest 24hrs rain in Pune in november after 2019. Also this is the highest 24hrs rain in Pune after 8 July 2026.

Rain in last 24hrs

Indapur: 131mm

Hadapsar: 35.5mm

Magarpatta: 30.5mm

Chinchwad: 19.5mm

Pashan: 14.6mm

El Nino years see high intensity 24hrs rain in Pune in november 

Among top 10 highest 24hrs rain event in November, 7 occured during El Nino year.

This 7 events are as follows:

95mm (2015)

93.8mm (2009)

75.4mm (1997)

52.3 (2019)

42.6mm (2009)

41.1mm (2026)

37mm (2009)

Data: IMD 

 1st November

Current Analysis ----- 
     Date :  01 NOV 2026    Time :   153000 UTC
      Lat :   13:08:39 N     Lon :   83:12:50 E

     
                CI# /Pressure/ Vmax
                3.5 / 996.7mb/ 55.0kt

     
             Final T#  Adj T#  Raw T# 
                3.5     3.5     3.5

Center Temp : -69.9C    Cloud Region Temp : -71.4C

Back to Back Cyclone to strike AP. Coast, within 7 days of "Arnab"!

"Murasu" at 100 kmph ! To strike on 2nd night/ 3rd morning around 15N

Current Analysis ----- 
     Date :  01 NOV 2026    Time :   040000 UTC
      Lat :   12:00:57 N     Lon :   85:47:49 E

     
                CI# /Pressure/ Vmax
                2.7 /1008.1mb/ 39.0kt

     
             Final T#  Adj T#  Raw T# 
                2.7     2.9     3.3

 Center Temp : -65.8C    Cloud Region Temp : -67.4C

 31st October

Unseasonal Rains in Drought hit Saurashtra 

Severe hail storm in Devbhumi Dwarka district west saurashtra today

Gaurav Raninga Reports: