Delhi November 2024 Summary

Delhi (Safdarjung) recorded the hottest November at least since 2011 with avg. maximum temperature in this month is 29.7c.

Attached graph shows the avg. minimum and maximum temperature in Delhi Safdarjung recorded in November for the period 2011-2024.

For the first time after 2017, both October and November months went dry for Delhi.

2024 November summary for Delhi Safdarjung as follows

Lowest temperature: 9.5C (29 November)

Highest temperature: 34.1C (1 November)

Rainfall: 0mm

Number of days with minimum temperature less than 10C: 2 days

Data: IMD

 30th November Afternoon 

CYCLONE FENGAL

ANALYSIS 

ABOUT TO MAKE LANDFALL 

WEAKENING SIGNS AFTER LANDFALL 

Pune November highlights

The attached graph shows the minimum temperature variation in Pune (Shivajinagar) in November for the last 4 years.

Avg minimum temperature of November in Pune

2021: 18C

2022: 13.75C

2023: 17.31C

2024: 14.81C

Data: IMD 

2022 is the coldest Nov in the last 4 years

Summary of November 2024 for Pune Shivajinagar

Lowest Temperature: 9.5C (29 November)

Number of days when minimum temperature was less than 15C: 14

Number of days when minimum temperature was less than 10C: 4

Highest temperature: 33.1C (2 November)

Rainfall: 0mm

Data: IMD

29th November Night Post..

Cyclone " Fengal"...

Possible that system may travel West to re emerge in the Arabian Sea by 3rd Dec ember. But conditions not favourable to affect your Indian West Coast as system to continue to move away Westwards.

Mumbai will see pleasant weather this weekend, with nights around 17-19c. Temperatures rising a little next week (2nd-5th Dec)

Pune will be cool this weekend with temperatures around 10-12c. But with Partly cloudy skies next week ( 2nd-5th Dec), and maybe a light drizzle in parts, nights will get warmer.

29th November:

Mumbai Santacruz recorded the coldest night of the season on 29th morning at 16.5c.

However, this is the lowest for November  after 2016, when Santacruz recorded 16.3c (3.6c below the normal). But definitely not the lowest ever, as this station has recorded 13.3c on 19th November 1950.

Private reading at Vagaries recorded 19.0c.

Mumbai Colaba saw 21.4c. 

The reason for this drop is normal, as there has been  snowfall in the Northern regions, bringing in dry and cold winds from the North.

Ahmadnagar was 8.3c (-5.9c), 

Sangli (AWS) 8.4c.

Pune was 9.5c ( -3.3c) , again coldest November after 2016 when the mercury fell to 9.3c.

However, the coldest in November was in 1964, when the 27th  reading was 4.6c !

Sambhajinagar was 10.6c ( -3.7c). Lowest for November. ever was 1.9c , on 30th November 1970 !!

Mahabaleshwar was 10.5c.

The lowest temperature in Maharashtra was at Jeur which of 29th morning recorded 6.0c. (-6.6c)

 28th Morning Post:

BB-17 system has not intensified from Deep Depression staged, winds estimated at 55-65 kmph  constantly maybe due to the dry air surrounding as mentioned...

We can expect a marginal intensification to Cyclone ( 65-75 kmph) today....sliding back to DD stage on 29th !

Heavy squally rains expected from System in Coastal T.N, Coastal A.P, Puducherry and heavy rains in Yanam and Interior T.N. and Eastern Karnataka.

 27th Night:

#Cyclone Fengal to form on 27th late night...in South West Bay....

Due to dry air incursion, will weaken heading towards T.N.👇

Initially skirting the Sri Lanka Island and heading to T.N.👇

No rainfall from system expected in Maharashtra or Gujarat.

-——---------—-------------------------------------------------—---—----------

Parts of Central Maharashtra is experiencing cold conditions at night, with night temperatures at 9c in Jeur and around 8c in rural areas.

Next 3 nights (28th/29th/30th) :

Cool at night, with Pune & Nasik around 10/11c, Mumbai Santacruz around 17/18c, Mumbai Colaba around 21/22c, Aurangabad around 12/13c, Mahabaleshwar around 12/13c.

Days however not cooling sufficiently below 31c in Mumbai, while Pune & Nasik will be around 28c. And Mahabaleshwar will be the place to go with the day at 25c.

27th November..

 Twin systems - one on either side of the equator for eastern Indian ocean...along with strong westerlies near the equator

A combined signature of Equatorial Rossby (ER) Wave and Madden-Julian Oscillation (MJO) 

BoB system is a deep depression...may become a cyclone.

Snowfall Intensifies Cold Wave Across Northern India | Reporter Dairy | ...

Weather outlook from Sunday 24th to Thursday 28th November:

Cool and dry weather across Maharashtra. 

Mumbai: Similar weather conditions as seen in this week, may get a little cool. Maximum temperature likely to be around 33C, min will be around 19C. Eastern outer townships in Thane/Raigad district may see minimum temperatures dropping till 14C-16C. 

Pune: Days will continue to be pleasant around 29C, nights cooler around 12C. Outskirts of Pune city/suburbs may see minimum temperatures dropping to 9-10C by middle of next week. 

Nashik: Pleasant days around 29C and nights a little colder around 10-11C. Rural areas can see minimum dropping to 7C-9C. 

Marathwada and Vidarbha regions: Pleasant days around 29C and nights cooler around 13-14C in most districts. 

Mahabaleshwar will also be cooler with nights around 12C, while Lonavala can be little warmer at 14C. 

Gujarat: No major change in weather. Days will be warm around 30C, nights pleasant around 14C for Ahmedabad/Gandhinagar, Vadodara and Saurashtra. Surat region will be little warmer with max 32C and min around 19C. 

A new low pressure area BB-17 has formed in the eastern Indian Ocean/south Bay of Bengal region. It will intensify slowly as it tracks west/northwest. It may bring some rains to Tamil Nadu and Sri Lanka, but there is some uncertainty in its forecasted track.  

 21st Night Post 

 A cyclonic circulation developing near the South Andaman Sea, will form a low (BB 17) in the Bay around 23rd.

Can strengthen to a Depression by 25th.

A Cyclone may form over the Bay of Bengal early next week.(Felgun)...The second this season. 

 Delhi lows on 19th 

Maharashtra lows

 Multiple winter storms to affect Europe 

See World Weather Page 

Snowing now ( Tuesday Morning) in Leicester, UK

Sent by niece

18th November Morning:

No significant system or Trough seen in Indian Sub Continent today, and not developing this week.

A strong jet stream prevails in the North and Central region, blowing at 185 kmph core region.

Mumbai & Pune:Hence, not expecting major cold this week. East and South winds are expected to prevail and restrain the cooler wins from North.

Mumbai: Clear but Hazy skies: On 17th, Sunday maximum was 35.8°c  (2°) above normal. (2nd highest in India after Karwar at 36.6°c). Night low was 24.8°c ( 4°above normal..which was expected in our last post due to clouds.)

This week, 18th - 22nd, Mumbai will see the temperatures reverting back to normal range...33°c in the day and 19/20°c in the night. meaning not really getting cold.

Pune : With warmer nights prevailing now at 18°c ( 4°c above normal), the next week 18th - 22nd will see normal at 15°c.

Sambhajinagar: Can expect Pleasant temperatures at night around 14/15°c.

Delhi NCR: expecting cooler nights, with lows at Ridge and Pusa to fall to 10°c. S' Jung lows around 13/14°. Days around 27°c

 14th November:

NEM consistency as of now...and overall conditions..

Analysis from Vagarian Gokul

Daily values of Nino 3.4 index have been exhibiting an overall increasing trend since the beginning of November with high frequency sub-weekly fluctuations. Current value is close to -0.5 . 

The observed trend may be partially related to the MJO activity over the western hemisphere during the same time period. 

Extended range forecasts of MJO from various global models indicate an eastward propagating signal of the large scale tropical wave with large uncertainty in the intensity estimates though.

The north east monsoon rains of south east India remained subdued during the past 2 weeks with negative rainfall anomalies growing across the region. Forecasts for the immediate week to come do not indicate any large scale rainfall that could compensate for these negative anomalies. 

On monthly timescales, a large region of intense suppressed convective anomalies have been observed over the equatorial Indian Ocean.
Images sourced from @TropicalTidbits @ECMWF 

 14th November 

Mumbai # 1 hottest in Maharashtra 

                #3 in India 

         Clouds from South moving into South Maharashtra 

 13th November...India hotspots

Mumbai 

# 1 in Maharashtra 

# 6 in India 

Posted Tuesday 12th Night (IST)

Now, the Low, BB 16 has formed off the Southern Coast of T.N. 

Not very distinct at 1008 hpa...likely to move west, and not deepen more.

However, with the system pushing West, the moisture and high/medium clouds already Persisting in the South, we can predict some cloudiness to push North into North Karnataka, Goa , South Madhya Maharashtra and South Konkan ( See images below) around 14th - 16th November 

Pune, Kolhapur, Satara, Mahabaleshwar: 14th - 16th November : Cloudy weather with nights getting warmer. Pune could see cloudy skies with lows around 19/20°. Light rains/drizzles possible.

Kolhapur may get light to moderate rains.

Mumbai: 14th - 16th: Weather getting cloudy. Nights will be stuffy and around 25/26°

South Konkan/Goa: 14th - 16th: cloudy and light to moderate rains or thundershowers possible.

Dharwad, Hubli, Belgaum: 14th -16th can also get light to moderate rains .

OLR IMAGE👇

Review for next week's weather..Posted on Saturday 9th Night:

With the NE Monsoon awaiting the next Low from the Bay on around 12th, the Monsoon rains in T.N, may increase from 12th .

Meanwhile dry and unseasonably hot weather in North Peninsula and NW and Northern plains. The weather as is prevailing last few days in these regions may continue next week.

For Maharashtra and Gujarat, dry hot East winds will dominate to bring hot unseasonal temperatures.

Temperature Outlook for some cities next week:

Maharashtra :

Sambhajinagar : 32° - 15°

Pune: 31° - 15°

Mumbai: 35°-21°

Mahabaleshwar: 27° - 14°

Jalgaon: 33° - 15°

Gujarat:

Ahemadabad : 35° - 20°

Vadodra:  35° - 19°

Rajkot: 37° - 20°

Surat: 35° - 22°

Bharuch: 36° - 21°

 Full fledged La Nina unlikely during 2024-25 Indian Winter...

See Ashok Patel’s Article on Climatology Data page.

---------------------------

Smoky Skies Over the Indo-Gangetic Plain

Article on Author's page

 4th November Evening..Mumbai AQI

3rd November 

Mumbai hottest in Maharashtra on 2nd & 3rd November 

Mumbai Santacruz was the hottest place in Maharashtra on 2nd.& 3rd at 36.5°c.( 2° above normal)

This was followed by Akola and Jalgaon,  the normally hottest spots,  at 35.9°c.( on 2nd).

The last 10 years chart shows that this temperature is not unusual or new to Mumbai in early November. 

City had recorded 37.6°c in 2018 on 4th November.

This high temperature occurrences happen after the monsoon withdrawal. 

The winds reverse from Westerly to Easterly. East inland winds into Mumbai are hot and dry. Thus city gets hot, but humidity is much less. So real feel temperature stars to 39 °c.

Mumbai may expect temperatures around 34/35°c till 8th/9th of this month.

But cloudless skies will bring some relief at night as we can feel the minimum dropping to 21°. City will have a day-night range of about 14°.

This diurnal difference may effect health of vulnerable persons.

 2nd November 2024

Mumbai, at 36.5°c was the hottest place in Maharashtra Today.

Followed by Akola and Jalgaon at 35.9°c.

Pune was at 32.7°c.

The top 10 hottest in India today

 Rajkot Gujarat records highest temperature ever for November month on 1st day of 2024...at 39.8°c.