Wednesday, November 27, 2019

Posted Friday 29th Morning:

FIRST SNOWFALL OF THE SEASOn in SHIMLA

 snow has been recorded in Badrinath, Kedarnath and Rohtang Pass with Shimla observing the first snowfall of this season during the last 24 hours.


Posted Thursday 28th Morning:

Srinagar and higher reaches of Kashmir received snowfall, while rain lashed other parts of Jammu and Kashmir on Wednesday. Snowfall also occurred in some parts of Ladakh.

In Uttarakhand, higher reaches of the mountains in both Kumaon and Garhwal regions of the state including Badrinath, Kedarnath, Gangotri, Yamunotri, Auli, Hemkund Sahib and Munsyari received heavy snowfall

Many parts of Kinnaur received around 10 inches of snowfall.
 32 cm snowfall was recorded in Kalpa till 8.30 am on Wednesday and the minimum temperature dropped to minus 1.6 degrees Celsius.
Lauhal Spiti

With this, most areas in Haryana and Punjab recorded "satisfactory" or "good" air quality, the first time in the last two months.(See Latest Snippets)
Delhi rains


Posted 27th Evening:

A low is expected to form in the South Arabian Sea on 30th November . Location is at around 5N and 57E. It will mostly track Westwards or even South Westwards.and deepen.
Due to this track, Not likely to have any effect on India's West coast.

Current WD is having good precipitation effect on the plains and hills of North/North/west India.
Patiala 50 mms, Ambala 32 mms, Chandigarh 15 mms, Bhatinda 12 mms.

Effect of precipitation will last till Thursday , and then clear weather.
New Delhi will have some showers and hail on 27th and 28th. Clear weather from Friday. Night temperatures expected to fall from Saturday to 10-12c . Foggy mornings on Friday/Saturday.

Mumbai: 28th Thursday/29th Friday /30th Saturday/1st Sunday: Warm day around 33/34c as E/SE winds continue for next 4 days. Hazy conditions. Minimum at night around 20/21c.

Pune: Next few days around 29c -14/15c range.

Chennai: An approaching Easterly Wave will bring good rains to this weekend.
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A picture worth Sharing:

It is a photograph of a gigantic jet as observed by pilot Chris Holmes as he traveled at 35,000 ft over the Gulf of Mexico near the Yucatan Peninsula. He noticed the big thunderstorm (or cumulonimbus cloud) producing lots of lightning with sprites and jets. 

Rare gigantic jet snapped, this time over the gulf of Mexico - plus a 'pancake' sunset in N. California

credit Spaceweather.com

Monday, November 25, 2019

Posted 25th November

The Cold....

Leh shivers at minus 6.3 degrees Celsius;

The high altitudes of the Union Territories of Jammu and Kashmir, and Ladakh including Gulmarg experienced fresh snowfall, while the plains were lashed by light to moderate rains between November 21 and 23.

Besides Leh, he said the nearby Kargil town and the famous ski resort of Gulmarg in north Kashmir also recorded sub-zero night temperatures of -3.8c and -1.3c, respectively.
The high altitudes of the Union Territories of Jammu and Kashmir, and Ladakh including Gulmarg experienced a fresh snowfall, while the plains were lashed by light to moderate rains between November 21 and 23.
Minimum Temperatures start to fall in Maharashtra...The lows on 25th Morning:
Ahmednagar 12.5c, Osmanabad 12.8c, Nasik 14.0c, Mahableshwar 14.5c, Pune 14.6c, Mumbai Scruz 22.2c, 
Jabalpur was 14.0c.
And...The Heat.

Australia is battling through its ‘most significant‘ heatwave for 80 years that has seen temperatures soar above 40c for six consecutive days across the country. 
Roads melted, animals dropped dead and fires raged as temperature records tumbled across New South Wales, South Australia and Victoria. 
Hundreds of Australians have flocked to Bondi Beach in Sydney to cool off from the extreme summer temperatures.  
The latest mind-boggling figure was reported in the town of Noona, in New South Wales, which reported an overnight minimum temperature of 35.9c on Thursday – a new record for the whole of Australia. 
Roads melted across Australia as temperatures soared into the 100s for the fifth consecutive day amid a record-breaking heatwave that has broken records
On Wednesday alone, New South Wales broke 14 all-time heat records and eight January records, including in the town of Griffith which suffered through 46.4c heat.
Menindee, in the far west of the state, was due to hit  45c on Friday having broken its all-time record with a temperature of 47.8c earlier in the week. It hasn‘t seen a daytime high below 45c since Monday.
Broken Hill airport, Whitecliff, Wilcannia, and Albury all saw their hottest days since records began on Wednesday. 
Meanwhile Marble Bar, in Western Australia, recorded the highest temperature of the last seven days with a blistering 49.1c on Sunday, marking a January record. Tarcoola, in South Australia, also hit 49c.  
From Stock Daily Dish

Friday, November 22, 2019

A very interesting article on our region cyclones in Economic Times of 22nd November. 
Written and scripted by IITM ( including Vagarian Vineet)

Read article Here...

Wednesday, November 20, 2019

Posted Wednesday 20th November:

Current Western Disturbance, over Iran, is likely to bring winter conditions in the North (Of the Sub Continent).
From Wednesday 20th, Northern Pakistan and  Balochistan will see good amounts of rain and snow. 


On 21st, Rain/Snow will cover Kashmir and H.P. in India. 
Pakistan Northern regions and Punjab and Upper Sindh will see rains.

On 22nd, Rain /Snow will blanket Kashmir and H.P. and penetrate into Hills of Uttarakhand.
Srinagar has had 200 mms of rain/snow this season till today ( Normal 45 mms), and fresh snow is expected in the City and the hills.

Winter temperature will see drop in Day and Night readings effective from 25th in North/NW India, Rajasthan, and Gujarat and north Madhya Maharashtra. Day temperatures expected to drop and produce cold day condition in the North..

Tuesday, November 19, 2019

Tuesday 19th Post (International)


No relief from choking smoke that has brought ‘hazardous’ air quality to Sydney



Monday, November 18, 2019

Posted Monday 18th November:

Unseasonal extra rainfall for some cities from cyclones Mid October-Mid November







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Fresh, Early Snowfall Beautifies Morocco’s Winter Wonderland, Ifrane



Wednesday, November 13, 2019

MUMBAI SCZ (Vile Parle) .. year 2019 till now 

A) Monthly weather averages 2019

(Coolest month .. Jan @ 23.6 c,Warmest month .. Jun @ 30.2 c )



Average temp : 32.2 c / 23.1 c ( near normal )

Total rains : 3854 mms in 99 days 
(Nearby Powai / Tulshi has reported 5000 + mms)


B) Monthly weather extremes 2019



Highest Heat Index : 48 (9th June)
Highest temp : 40.3 c ( 25th March ) , 
Lowest temp : 11 c ( 9th Feb )

Highest Daily Range @ 19c  ..9th Feb (30 c / 11 c)

Highest rains in a day : 375 mms ( 2nd July )

C) Temperature spread 2019 (317 days)

Minimum temp :
Less than or equal to 20 c..74 days ,
out of which ..
less than or equal to 18 c ..41 days
less than or equal to 15 c ..16 days 

More than or equal to 26 c .. 59 days ,
out of which ..
more than or equal to 28 c .. 12 days 

Maximum temp :
Less than or equal to 30 c..59 days ,
out of which ..
less than or equal to 28 c ..14 days

More than or equal to 35 c .. 27 days ,
out of which ..
more than or equal to 38 c .. 2 days 
more than or equal to 40 c .. 1 day

D) IMD Scz (Vile Parle) area in pics 






Sunday, November 10, 2019

HAPPY DIWALI ..
  • Vagaries exclusive .. Festive weather series..Part 3..

    Past 20 years Diwali days (Narak Chaturdashi / Lakshmi Poojan / Balipratipada /Bhaubij )  weather averages of 16 cities..

    (period .. 17 Oct to 16 Nov )

    Part 3  ..Delhi , Dehradun , Kolkata , Bhubaneshwar , Guwahati..

    Diwali marks the transition season on the way to cooler weather over most parts of the country.

1. North India  :

North India temps decrease progressively during this period.

If Diwali is in November , North India is the driest and coolest part of the country during Diwali.

Dehradun is crisp,cool and dry during this season.

Diwali days weather averages (past 20 years .. Diwali 1999 to 2018)
As Diwali is a multi day festival , average of each city is for 3 days of 
Narak Chaturdashi / Laxmi poojan / Bali Pratipada /  Bhaubij

Average of each city is for 60 days .. (20 years x 3 days of Diwali per year = 60 days)

DELHI SFDDEHRADUN
IF DIWALI IS IN OCTOBER32.2 / 17.628.3 / 14.8
IF DIWALI IS IN NOVEMBER29.2 / 14.126.6 / 12.1
AVERAGE TEMP30.5 / 15.727.3 / 13.3
AVERAGE RAIN PER DAYtrace0.2 mms
RAINY DAYS OUT OF 600 days2 days
HIGHEST MAX36.3 c34.5 c 
LOWEST MAX25.4 c21.5 c
max below 30 c
(out of 60 days)
22 days57 days

max above 35 c
(out of 60 days)
1 day0 days
HIGHEST MIN20.2 c18 c
LOWEST MIN10.5 c10 c 
min below 20 c
(out of 60 days)
59 days60 days
min above 25 c
(out of 60 days)
0 days0 days
HIGHEST RAINFALL ON 
A DIWALI DAY
0.5 mms9 mms

2. East India  :

Thunderstorms / Cyclones may occur during this period over Eastern India.
East/North-East India has milder and drier Diwali days in November as compared to October .

Diwali days weather averages (past 20 years .. Diwali 1999 to 2018)
As Diwali is a multi day festival , average of each city is for 3 days of 
Narak Chaturdashi / Laxmi poojan / Bali Pratipada /  Bhaubij

Average of each city is for 60 days .. (20 years x 3 days of Diwali per year = 60 days)

KOLKATA APBHUBANESHWAR GUWAHATI
IF DIWALI IS IN OCTOBER30.8 / 2331.7 / 22.330 / 21
IF DIWALI IS IN NOVEMBER31 / 20.731.5 / 20.929.4 / 18.2
AVERAGE TEMP30.9 / 21.731.6 / 21.529.7 / 19.5
AVERAGE RAIN PER DAY2.4 mms3.5 mms2 mms
RAINY DAYS OUT OF 606 days7 days8 days
HIGHEST MAX34.2 c34.2 c34.5 c
LOWEST MAX24.3 c26.4 c21.3 c
max below 30 c
(out of 60 days)
12 days8 days28 days
max above 35 c
(out of 60 days)
0 days0 days0 days
HIGHEST MIN27.2 c25 c24.6 c
LOWEST MIN17.4 c15.4 c 13.2 c  
min below 20 c
(out of 60 days)
16 days11 days30 days
min above 25 c
(out of 60 days)
2 days0 days0 days
HIGHEST RAINFALL ON 
A DIWALI DAY
70 mms82 mms55 mms

Friday, November 08, 2019


2019.. The year of records ..8 Nov 2019..

Mumbai (IMD Scz, Vile Parle) :

  • First September monthly rain with 1116 mms and monsoon total with 3670 mms 
  • Then annual with 3791 mms 
  • Now, with heavy rains today morning .. Mumbai (IMD Scz) break it's all time November monthly rain record ..new record is 109 mms 

Clouds shine over IMD Scz today morning (8 Nov) as rain records tumble..

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After Cyclonic disturbances (Kyarr and Maha) .. 
I continue with the festive weather series part 2 

HAPPY DIWALI ..

Vagaries exclusive .. Festive weather series..Part 2..

Past 20 years Diwali days (Narak Chaturdashi / Lakshmi Poojan / Balipratipada /Bhaubij )  weather averages of 16 cities..

(period .. 17 Oct to 16 Nov )

Part 2  ..Kochi , Chennai , Bengaluru , Hyderabad..

stay tuned for..Part 3 ..Delhi , Dehradun , Kolkata , Bhubaneshwar, Guwahati


Diwali marks the transition season on the way to cooler weather over most parts of the country.

1. South India coastal plains  :
Kerala coast remains range bound (around 31 / 24) throughout October and November .
Tamilnadu coast alongwith Kerala coast is the rainiest part of India during this season.

Diwali days weather averages (past 20 years .. Diwali 1999 to 2018)
As Diwali is a multi day festival , average of each city is for 3 days of 
Narak Chaturdashi / Laxmi poojan / Bali Pratipada /  Bhaubij

Average of each city is for 60 days .. (20 years x 3 days of Diwali per year = 60 days)
KOCHICHENNAI AP
IF DIWALI IS IN OCTOBER 31.3 / 24.133 / 23.7
IF DIWALI IS IN NOVEMBER31.1 / 24.130.8 / 23.6
AVERAGE TEMP31.2 / 24.131.8 / 23.6
AVERAGE RAIN PER DAY5.6 mms9.1 mms
RAINY DAYS OUT OF 6018 days 24 days
HIGHEST MAX34.2 c35.5 c
LOWEST MAX28.8 c25 c
max below 30 c
(out of 60 days)
6 days8 days
max above 35 c
(out of 60 days)
0 days3 days
HIGHEST MIN25.6 c26.3 c
LOWEST MIN21.6 c19.5 c
min below 20 c
(out of 60 days)
0 days1 day
min above 25 c
(out of 60 days)
10 days4 days
HIGHEST RAINFALL ON 
A DIWALI DAY
58 mms86 mms

2. Deccan Plateau (South India) :
Bengaluru and Hyderabad have fine weather during this period.
Bengaluru can be cloudy ,cool and rainy during this time.
Hyderabad is drier.

Diwali days weather averages (past 20 years .. Diwali 1999 to 2018)
As Diwali is a multi day festival , average of each city is for 3 days of 
Narak Chaturdashi / Laxmi poojan / Bali Pratipada /  Bhaubij

Average of each city is for 60 days .. (20 years x 3 days of Diwali per year = 60 days)

BENGALURUHYDERABAD
IF DIWALI IS IN OCTOBER29.3 / 18.932.2 / 19.8
IF DIWALI IS IN NOVEMBER27.6 / 18.631 / 18.8
AVERAGE TEMP28.3 / 18.731.5 / 19.2
AVERAGE RAIN PER DAY3.4 mms0.1 mms
RAINY DAYS OUT OF 6011 days2 days
HIGHEST MAX32 c35.1 c
LOWEST MAX19.8 c27.6 c
max below 30 c
(out of 60 days)
47 days11 days
max above 35 c
(out of 60 days)
0 days1 day
HIGHEST MIN21 c23 c
LOWEST MIN13.4 c14.3 c
min below 20 c
(out of 60 days)
45 days32 days
min above 25 c
(out of 60 days)
0 days0 days
HIGHEST RAINFALL ON 
A DIWALI DAY
63 mms3 mms


Posted 14th Morning: Uttarakhand weather: Nainital, Mussoorie witness season's first snowfall Churu .. Readings as on 14th ...