Sunday, June 30, 2019

Massive rains seen in Ghats of Maharashtra with rainfall shifting from coast to the mountains. Belgaum and Shimoga rock in Karnataka too.



June Month Rainfall Map for Mumbai region with Lakes storage & Ghats section of Maharashtra


June 2019 Total Rainfall (see bracket) Map of Mumbai MMR in North Kokan division 




Maharashtra's Western Ghats region Rainfall for June 2019



Mumbai water supplying lakes June rainfall & current live storage till today


Lakes data courtesy Richa Pinto TOI



Above Maps by Vagarian Tejas Baxi  & Data compiled by Vagarian Abhijit Modak


Saturday, June 29, 2019

Maps by Vagarians Tejas and data by Vagarians Abhijit

V

Massive rains in Maharashtra Coast with Palghar getting mammoth 455 mm of rainfall in a day and most of the Mumbai region get over 200 mm rainfall




Rainfall ending at 8:30am on 29/6/2019 in Mumbai region(All above 200mms):-

Andheri Rly Station(W):239mms
Bandra( W):213mms
Borivali Rly Station:223mms
Century Bazar(Worli Fire Stn):212mms
Chembur Naka:201mms
Chincholi Bundar:212mms
Dahanukar Wadi(Kandivali):240mms
Dahisar:226mms
Deonar Municipal Colony:215mms
Dindoshi(Goregaon):203mms
Goregaon(W):207mms
Jogeshwari Rly Stn:216mms
Kamala Nehru Park:210mms
Kandivali(W):235mms
Kannamwar Nagar(Vikhroli):250mms
Kurla Kamani:209mms
Mahim(E):200mms
Malad Link Road:258mms
Mankhurd:208mms
Nadkarni Park(Wadala):207mms
Patkar College(Goregaon):202mms
Powai:258mms
Ram Mandir Rly Station:208mms
Sakinaka:207mms
Vikhroli Park Site:226mms
Wadala:203mms
From BMC aws compiled by vagarian abhishek Apte 

Friday, June 28, 2019

Friday rains till 6 pm in 9 hrs
Nariman Point: 51.55mm Fort: 65mm Malabar Hill: 73.9mm F North ward office (Parel): 94.22mm Wadala: 119.37mm Worli: 86.62mm BKC: 97.27mm Bandra: 110mm Marol: 147.81mm Vile Parle: 103.12mm Andheri fire station: 132.05mm L ward office -Kurla: 109.97mm Vikhroli: 139.19mm Mulund: 116.07mm N ward office -Ghatkopar: 109mm


Mumbai rains in 6 hrs till 2.30 pm Thursday
Scruz aws 126 mm, kurla 95 mms, bhandup 84 mms, andheri 83 mms, dadar 87 mms, kandivali 76 mms, malabar hill 46 mms CST 42 mms, vagaries club 55 mms



Mumbai lakes get good rainfall on Thursday 27th
Bhatsa 125 mms, upper vaitarna 110 mms, tulsi 90 mms and middle vaitarna 55 mms.

Thane dist rainfall ending 8.30am today:

Shahapur 120mm
Bhiwandi 105mm
Kalyan 96mm
Thane 76mm
Ambernath 67mm
Ulhasnagar 39mm
Murbad 30mm

Thursday, June 27, 2019

Posted 27th June

South West Monsoon Advances into Mumbai as per Vagaries.
With some over night rains in Mumbai.Specially South
Colaba 44 mms, Nariman Point 27 mms, alibag 23 mms, CST 18 mms.
Scruz 4 mms.
Mahableshwar 56 mms, Vengurla 150 mms.
Water position for Mumbai gets critical as Upper Vaitarna and Bhatsa supply is zero, and Tansa is 1%..as good as nil.
Storage today is 0.7157.. That is 4.9% of the of the total storage required of 14.47..lmltrs.
At the current supply rate, Mumbai has water stored in 4 of the 7 lakes till 20th july!!
Waiting for the rain.. 

Tuesday, June 25, 2019

Posted 25th June Tuesday:

The queer Monsoonal  behavior continues...
The Monsoon continues to progress teasingly and in jerks,having entered Southern parts of Interior Maharashtra but not Mumbai yet !
Vagaries is observing the UAC off the Maharashtra coast, which will form as an small east- west upper trough off North Konkan coast by Wednesday...And hopefully we advance the Monsoon into North Konkan on Wednesday (Including Mumbai & Pune).
Vagaries may advance Monsoon upto South Gujarat coast and South Saurashtra Coast along with..

The off shore trough will activate from Wednesday evening, bringing good rains to Konkan on Thursday /Friday.

Mumbai: After a disappointing Wednesday, Mumbai will see, with the arrival of the Monsoon, good and steady rains on Thursday ( Avg  25-35 mms) and Friday ( 45-55 mms). Some places in North Konkan may get 80-100 mms.
Gusty Monsoon winds on Thursday and Friday.
Much needed relief and rains for Thursday in Mumbai.

Much needed...as the Water situation is getting to be serious and worrisome..Mumbai lakes have now only 0.77 lmltrs ( 14.47 full capacity) of water storage..enough for 25 days. 

Pune too will see its famous "Pune rains" on Thursday thru Saturday.

Saurashtra region will get showers in some patches, and on Thursday, a few places may get heavy showers.

Sunday, June 23, 2019

Officially as per IMD, Southwest Monsoon advances in most parts of Marathwada & Vidarbha region in Maharashtra

Under influence of UAC, Heavy Thunderstorm rain lashed  Madhya Maha, Marathwada & Vidarbha region!

Some rainfall in cm ending 8.30am today:


MADHYA MAHARASHTRA


06/23/2019: Kopargaon (dist Ahmednagar) 13, Nevasa (dist Ahmednagar) 7, Kagal (dist Kolhapur) 6, Pathardi (dist Ahmednagar) 6, Rahuri (dist Ahmednagar) 5, Shrigonda (dist Ahmednagar) 5, Bhusawal (dist Jalgaon) 3, Gaganbawada (dist Kolhapur) 3, Shirur Ghodnadi (dist Pune) 3, Gargoti /
Bhudargad (dist Kolhapur) 2, Daund (dist Pune) 2, Jamkhed (dist Ahmednagar) 2, Madha (dist Sholapur) 2, Kavathe Mahakal (dist Sangli) 2, Rahata (dist Ahmednagar) 2, Jamner (dist Jalgaon) 2, Shevgaon (dist Ahmednagar) 2, Ambegaon Ghodegaon (dist Pune) 2, Atpadi (dist Sangli) 2, Kolhapur/karvir Imd (dist Kolhapur) 2



MARATHWADA


06/23/2019: Phulambri (dist Aurangabad) 11, Gangapur (dist Aurangabad) 5, Bhokardan (dist Jalna) 5, Bhum (dist Osmanabad) 5, Vaijapur (dist Aurangabad) 4, Aurangabad Ap-imd Obsy (dist Aurangabad) 4, Badnapur (dist Jalna) 3, Khultabad (dist
Aurangabad) 3, Sillod (dist Aurangabad) 2, Soegaon (dist Aurangabad) 2, Patoda (dist Beed) 2



VIDARBHA


Armori (dist Gadchiroli) 4, Chikhli (dist
Buldhana) 3, Arni (dist Yeotmal) 3, SindkhedRaja (dist Buldhana) 3,
Malegaon (dist Washim) 3, Narkheda (dist Nagpur) 3, Mehkar (distBuldhana) 3, Jalgaon Jamod (dist Buldhana) 3, Shegaon (dist Buldhana) 3, Ner (dist Yeotmal) 3,Joiti (dist Chandrapur) 3, Morsi (dist Amraoti) 2, Buldana (dist Buldhana) 3, Shegaon (dist Buldhana) 3, Ner (dist Yeotmal) 3,Joiti (dist Chandrapur) 3, Morsi (dist Amraoti) 2, Buldana (dist Buldhana) 2, Amraoti (dist Amraoti)2, Sindewahi (dist Chandrapur) 2, Washim (dist Washim) 2, Ghatanji (dist Yeotmal) 2, Mangrulpir(dist Washim) 2, Bramhapuri (dist Chandrapur) 2, Balapur (dist Akola) 2, Wani (dist Yeotmal) 2,Sangrampur (dist Buldhana) 2, Chandrapur (dist Chandrapur) 2, Darwha (dist Yeotmal) 2,Nandgaonkazi (dist Amraoti) 2, Deolgaon Raja (dist Buldhana) 2




Data courtesy IMD

Friday, June 21, 2019

Posted 21st June Evening:

The puzzle of the Monsoon continues ! After assurances, the Climate system is  not keeping up to its word ! :-)

Now, an UAC has formed on the West Bengal coast..it is not a Low Pressure area, and not descended.

The UAC, tilting South West with height, is expected to rapidly move West As a result:

Saturday 22nd: Rains in North Chattisgarh, Marathwada and parts of Madhya Maharashtra (Specially South).
Sunday 23rd: Heavy thunder showers activity in North Madhya Maharashtra, Marathwada and North Konkan.
Enhanced rain activity in Coastal and adjoining Karnatak.
Monday 24th: Rainfall and Thunder activity in Marathwada and North Madhya Maharastra. North Konkan will get thunder showers with possible Monsoon advance.

Mumbai
Saturday partly cloudy, warm and humid. High humidity levels will bring discomfort. Few passing showers in some parts.
Sunday: Chances of thunder activity developing evening/ night. Otherwise hot.

Monday: Chances of thunder clouds drifting from the East very likely...Thunder showers in evening , with strong gusty wind...more chances for Eastern Outer townships and Northern parts.
Vagaries estimates the monsoon likely to move into Mumbai and North Konkan on Monday.

Panvel and Roha will have a weak chance of thunder showers on Sunday and Monday. Chances of clouds building up and drifting from East over the region on Monday 

Pune: Chances of a thunder shower on late Saturday night..with strong winds, temperature likely to fall during the rains.
Sunday & Monday  will see good scope of a thunder shower in the afternoon/evening in Pune. 


Seems to be anther 3/4 days lull in the peninsula and Gujarat regions after Monday.

Aurangabad: Good scope of rains all over Marathwada on Saturday and Sunday. Aurangabad will get thunder showers on Both these days. Monsoon advance by Monday (Hopefully).



Thursday, June 20, 2019

1st active monsoon spell in Maharashtra with Sindhudurg and Ratnagiri rocking with heavy rains


Posted ThursdayMorning:

South West Monsoon advances into South Konkan as  per Vagaries...Off shore trough and depth of SW winds established with good rain amounts
Jaitapur 200 mms, Rajapur 161 mms, Karwar 131 mms,  Pavas 128 mms, Lanja & Devgad 120 mms. , Gaganbavda 106 mms Ratnagiri 92 mms, Vengurla 96 mms, Patharpunj 79 mms. (Figs from Abhijit Modak)

Wednesday, June 19, 2019

Maharashtra under large deficient of -71% as of today

Normally South-West Monsoon covers Maharashtra by 12 June.. But this year officially, we yet to see onset over the state so this has lead to deficit climb till negative 71% 



Above map depicts Maharashtra conditions (district wise) till date.. Most are under large deficit




Maharashtra as whole map above


This maps depicts overall country situation which is on negative 43%


So due to non advance of SWM in Maharashtra and very less pre monsoon rains, Kharif sowing over large parts of state mainly in Marathwada & Vidarbha has been halted as yet!


Total Maharashtra State (All Dams) has just 6.29% live storage as on today !! Same day last year till today we had 18.98% storage ! So it shows how less water we have for current year due to bad monsoon in last Aug-Sep 2018.


Division wise storage as on today in % (in bracket for last yr):


Aurangabad 0.5% (15.66%)
Nashik 4.85% (14.43%)
Nagpur 5.66% (11.26%)
Pune 5.85% (18.87%)
Amravati 6.08% (11.8%)
Kokan 24.53% (33.68%)


From above we can get to know how Aurangabad division is worst hit with hardly any storage available in dams !

Jayakwadi dam (Paithan) is on 0% (last year same date had whopping 34.95% storage)

Also Manjara, Majalgaon,Yeldari, Siddeshwar, Lower Terna, Sina Kolegaon , Lower Dudhana are on 0%


Rainfall from Marathwada region till date for June 2019:


Aurangabad 13.8mm (deficit by -62mm)
Nanded 6mm (deficit by -73mm)  
Osmanabad 16mm (deficit by -78mm)


Kannad 1mm, Phulambri, Jalna, Khultabad,Sillod & Soegaon on 0 till date !




Data courtesy IMD & Water Dept, MH








The remnants of Cyclone Vayu as a low pressure pounds Rajasthan with very heavy rainfall.


Posted 19th June Wednessday:

Mumbai Water Levels getting Lower:

The lakes levels supplying water to Mumbai are getting lower...with the South West Monsoon getting delayed by the day...

Total Lakes Storage as on 18th June: 

2019:       0.88 lmltrs
2018:       2.15 lmltrs
2017:       2.70.lmltrs

Full Capacity is 14.47 lmltrs...hence today lakes level is at 6% of capacity.
Water supply from Upper Vaitarna is Nil and Bhatsa has 1% supply only available.
City gets .034 lmltrs supply per day...Hence Mumbai has supply of around 30 days (with effective cut).

That is till 20th July 2019.
Now, what is required is the lake s to start filling up as soon as possible so that levels do not deplete.

Mumbai and the lakes got some showers due to the outer band effect from Cyclone Vayu last week...But was not enough to pull up the Monsoon into the city.
Colaba got a total of 127 mms and scruz 165 mms. 
The Seven Lakes supplying water to Mumbai: Upper Vaitarna, Middle Vaitarna, Bhatsa, Modak sagar, Tulsi, Vihar, Tansa.
Rainfall till 18th : Lakes:  Modak Sagar 70 mms, Upper Vaitarna 55 mms,  Bhatsa 52 mms, Tansa  49 mms.
Excerpts from Richa Pinto (Toi)

Mumbai: Not much of improvement till Friday for Mumbai..very occasional showers and sunny periods..

Now, from Friday, we have to wait and see the development of the Low in the Bay. A favourable development will improve the rainfall for Mumbai this weekend. Shall keep posted. Low expected to form by 21st June.

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Rains from the remnants of Vayu will Lash Rajasthan..As mentioned and forecasted in the 16th June Posting, 

Pratapgarh 280 mm
Chittorgarh 195 mm
Silt lab 195 mm
Nithauwa 170 mm
Sabla 160 mm
Aspur 155 mm
Jagpura 145 mm 
Udaipur(IMD) 140 mm 
Jaisamand 136 mm
Semari 132 mm

In Gujarat:
Ahamdabad also got 53 mms, Valsad 25 mms, Surat 24 mms 

Tuesday, June 18, 2019

Posted Tuesday 18th Afternoon:


The Well Marked Low (998 mb)  has produced clouding and rainfall in Gujarat...
Diu 44 mms, Veraval 25 mms, Okha 13 mms, Porbanadar 10 mms, Rajkot 9 mms, as on 18th morning.



West Coast off shore trough expected to take proper shape next few days.
The Low in the Bay expected around 21st..and track to be monitored. Could be studied if the Monsoon axis takes shape by then.
{Interior Maharashtra may not get the Monsoon rains before 23rd June...Sowing intimation as given in messages for Marathwada. Hold on sowing (Marathwada) till at least next intimation on 21st.}

Showers, occasional (infrequent and irregular) expected in Mumbai next 2 days as the Monsoon is expected to show a feeble progress Northwards towards Konkan.

No major changes in Pune weather next few days.

After Wednesday19th, days expected to get hot in Punjab, Haryana and Delhi. Rising over 42/43c again.


Sunday, June 16, 2019

Posted Sunday 16th Evening:

Map showing the track of Vayu..Actual (Red) and Vagaries' Predicted (Blue)...
Now expected along the broken line and weakening.



With the 200 jet streams showing fast signs of becoming Easterlies upto 20N within 48 hrs, we see a change in the Climate soon...the Low as a remnant of Vayu will activate the off shore west coast trough in 48 hrs, Pulling up the Monsoon with required gradient upto about 20N along Coast in next 2 days........thus giving vigour  to the Monsoon.( May be temporary again...till  the Low develops in the North Bay around 21st.).
For interiors, we have to wait for the Bay Low, as Vagaries feel it will track along the Axis corridor.
Rainfall to now increase in South Rajasthan, West Saurashtra and Kutch for a day..

A North South trough from sikkim to Odisha will bring rains to Odisha and Chattisgarrh next 2 days.

Mumbai: Partly cloudy Monday with rains increasing on Tuesday. Windy during showers.

Pune : Partly cloudy with spotty rains in some parts..warm around 33/34c.


Saturday, June 15, 2019

Posted 15th June:
                                               
Data compiled by Vagarian Abhijit and Map made by Vagarian Tejas

Technical Note:
The confusing "Vayu" continued its variable track due to the secondary Low Level convergence Zone. The Low level Divergence was present in the radius of about 400 kms from the centre. But the secondary low level convergence occurred at 1000 kms from the centre.
When the cyclone started moving West, the Secondary Low level convergence occurred over the West coast (Maharashtra Region), causing "outer band " rains.
The diabatic heating associated with the cyclone triggers a Rossby wave, with a ridge on the Peninsula in the lower and middle troposphere.
This will create a trough in the Bay head and activate the SWM in the Bay and west coast, pulling it North. Will create the required gradient also.
When Westerly winds approach the west coast, thry are de celareted due to western ghats. A zone of convergence is created off the coast.
Now, South of Goa, the winds are SW, But along the Maharsatra coast, the winds are Southerly, hence dynamics of off shore trough formation is absent.
An off shore trough today prevails from Goa to Kerala. With the re-curving of Vayu, a proper gradient will be created to help the SWM along the remaining west coast. If no recurving, then Bay activity should help Monsoon progress.
(As discussed with IMD scientists)

Hence Monsoon Limit stationary today at Northern limit of Goa and thence thru coastal Karnatak and TN.

Vayu is currently located at 20.8N and 67.4E, having moved slightly West. 
Heavy rains likely to decrease in Saurashtra and Kutch for the next 2 days. 
Yesterday also S Saurashtra lashed by heavy rain due to outer bands of cyclone Vayu 

Sutrapada (Gir Somnath) 120 
Talala (Gir Somnath) 100
Veraval(Gir Somnath) 90
Kodinar (Gir Somnath) 80 
Kutiana (Porbandar) 60
Malia (Junagadh) 6

Mumbai weekend given below
 in yesterday's post.

Friday, June 14, 2019

Giant Hulikal records 1st 100 mm rainfall in Karnataka.


Posted 14th June Afternoon:

Mumbai: Next 3 days, this weekend (Fri/Sat/Sun), will be partly cloudy and warm...occasional passing showers, some heavy. Around 15-20 mms/day. No prolonged rain spell...SWM till Goa will slide into Mumbai by mid next week.( Wednesday)
Effect of Cyclone Vayu in Mumbai is  over.

Pune: Partly cloudy with 31/32c range in the day and 22/23 at night. Few light showers in city.


Info credit KSHosalikar (RMC MUMBAI)


Thursday, June 13, 2019

Posted 13th June Morning:


Monsoon has advanced along the coast upto Goa....Rain amounts from PJ (Below post) and latest amounts confirm the advance..

Also, the satellite image above shows the Monsoon picking up independently South of Goa...
Inland regions still devoid of Monsoon.

Till 13th Morning, Harnai had 71 mms, , Panji 53 mms, Ratnagiri 47 mms,Mahableshwar 32  mms  Colaba 19 mms, Vagaries 18 mms (Pvt), Scruz 15 mms, Dadar Mumbai(Pvt) 13 mms, 12 mms.

{The tourist resort of Sonamarg and its adjoining areas received fresh snowfall on Wednesday, even as heavy rains lashed the rest of Jammu and Kashmir.
An official said that Sonamarg, Naranag and its adjoining areas in central Kashmir’s Ganderbal district witnessed fresh snowfall today on Wednesday.
They said that more than one inch of snow has accumulated in Drass area on the Srinagar Leh highway.

The officials said that fresh snowfall has led to a cold wave in the area.}

Wednesday, June 12, 2019

Karnataka and Tamil Nadu rainfall on 12.06.2019. Uttara Kannada records first 200 mm rains of the monsoon





































Rainfall in Tamil Nadu ending 8.30 am on 12.06.2019

Devala the wettest place in Nilgiris rocks for 2nd day. In cauvery catchment, Wayanad continues to get moderate rains with Thariode getting 54 mm rainfall and Vythri 42 mm. Nariyandada got 86 mm and Virajapet got 56 mm in Kodagu district.


Nilgiris district
-------------
Devala - 103
Gudalur - 67
Upper Bhavani - 58
Avalanche - 38
Naduvattam - 32
Glenmorgan -23
Ooty - 20
Sandyanallah - 20


Coimbatore district
--------------
Parambikulam - 83
Periakallar - 57
Cincona - 49
Sholayar Dam - 46
Chinnakallar - 44
Valparai PAP - 37
Valparai Taluk Office - 35
Manomboly - 31
Thunakadavu - 29


Kanyakumari district
------------
Colachel - 38
Melpuram - 34
Nagercoil - 33
Neyoor - 32
Upper Kodayar - 29
Lower Kodayar - 24
Thuckalay - 24
Mylaudy - 24
Kottaram - 23
Eraniel - 23
Kanyakumari - 22
Kuzhithurai - 22
Tirupathisaram - 20





Posted 12th June Afternoon:




Panji received 33 mms, Vengurla (S.Kokan) 22 mms, ratnagiri 11 mms, 
Honavar and Karwar 33 mms, Manglore 14 mms (Karnatak)

Tuesday, June 11, 2019

Posted 11th June Evening
Severe Cyclone ;
 Tropical Cyclone Intensity Algorithm       

             ----- Current Analysis ----- 
     Date :  11 JUN 2019    Time :   124500 UTC
      Lat :   16:04:39 N     Lon :   70:48:10 E

     
    CI#         /Pressure    / Vmax
     4.5       / 971.2mb    / 77.0kt

     
             Final T#  Adj T#  Raw T# 
                4.5     4.5     3.5

 Center Temp : -81.4C    Cloud Region Temp : -70.4C

Vayu on course to strike land as shown..

Heavy rains to commence in Goa and Konkan from Wednesday...
Very heavy rains expected in Coastal  Saurashtra on Wednesday and Thursday. Some places getting upto 150+ mms. Interior Saurashtra will get rains on Thursday. Rains will spread into Kutch from Thursday. Isolated heavy falls in Kutch.
Monsoon advances into South Coastal Karnatak...
Monsoon will progress Northwards along coast with Vayu...

Mumbai: As explained,  Vayu will by pass Mumbai off shore on Wednesday, some 250-300 kms away. Thunder shower on Tuesday night and more rains with gusty winds on Wednesday.
No worries of extensive danger to Mumbai...but careful of flying objects from high winds and careful of rough seas and waves. 

Posted 11th June Afternoon:

Cyclone "Vayu" : Located:


 ADT-Version 9.0                
         Tropical Cyclone Intensity Algorithm       

             ----- Current Analysis ----- 
     Date :  11 JUN 2019    Time :   051500 UTC
      Lat :   15:22:50 N     Lon :   70:36:07 E

     
     CI#              /Pressure          / Vmax
     3.1             / 991.5mb          / 47.0kt

     
             Final T#  Adj T#  Raw T# 
                3.0     3.4     3.4

 Center Temp : -75.6C    Cloud Region Temp : -73.1C

Expected Track....
Heavy Rains expected in Kutch

Mumbai: Pre Monsoon Thunder showers lashed Mumbai on Monday Night: 
Thane AWS 75 mms, Scruz recorded 40 mms, Colaba 25 mms,
No need to panic due to Vayu...
The Cyclone VAYU will by pass Mumbai on 12th, about 250-300 kms away off shore in the West. 
However, strong winds upto around 50-60 kms from South will effect City from 12th.
Tuesday Night will see some thunder showers and Wednesday will be windy, cloudy and occasional rains, 
with around 20-30 mms in the day.
Some parts can get more.

Pune can see thunder showers on Tuesday and Wednesday. Decrease in rains after Wednesday.

Rainfall continues for 3rd day in Kanykumari district in Tamil Nadu


Kanyakumari District got 3rd day of heavy rainfall. The figures ending 8.30 am on 11.06.2019 in Tamil Nadu is given below.

Cauvery Catchment
------------
Wayanad in Kerala which is the catchment area of Kabini dam gets good spell of rains with Vythri recording 98 mm and Pookot getting 60 mm rainfall. Kodagu in Karnataka which is the catchment of KRS dam gets 1st spell of moderate rains with Bhagamandala recording 33 mm rainfall.

 Kanyakumari district
----------
Pechiparai - 102
Suralode - 102
Perunchani - 95
Puthan Dam - 92
Melpuram - 91
Upper Kodayar - 74
Chittar Dam II - 68
Chittar Dam I - 68
Adayamadai - 63
Kottaram - 52
Mambalathuraiyar - 50
Kuzhithurai - 46
Nagercoil - 45
Thirparappu - 42
Kannimar - 41
Mylaudy - 40
Mullanginavilai - 39
Bhoothapandy - 38
Kozhiporvilai - 37
Kurunthancode - 35
Anaikidangu - 33
Kanyakumari - 31
Balamore - 29
Lower Kodayar - 28
Aaralvaimozhi - 28
Neyoor - 26
Tirupathisaram - 24
Colachel - 20

Tirunelveli District (min 15 mm)
-------------
Kodumudiyaru - 70
Papanasam - 64
Lower Papanasam - 48
Kalakkadu Agro - 34
Kannadiyan - 28
Ambasamudram - 26
Sengottai - 19
Tenkasi - 18
Manimuthar - 18
Adavinayinar - 17
Gundar - 17
Cheranmahadevi - 17
Radhapuram - 17
Gadananadhi - 16
Nambiyar - 16
Palayamkottai - 16
Servalar - 15
Ayikudi - 15

Coimbatore district (min 20 mm)
--------------
Periakallar (Valparai PTO) - 38
Chinnakallar - 38
Cincona - 31
Parambikulam - 24
Thunnakkadavu - 23
Sholayar Dam - 22
Valparai PAP - 20
Pollachi - 20
Valparai Taluk Office - 20

Nilgiris district (15 mm)
-------------
Devala - 68
Upper Bhavani - 43
Kinnakorai - 16
Porthimund - 15
Gudalur - 15
Avalanche - 15

Thoothukudi District (min 20 mm)
----------
Tiruchendur - 29
Kayalpattinam - 24
Sathankulam - 21

Theni District (min 20 mm)
-----------------
Periyar Dam - 27
Thekkady - 25

Monday, June 10, 2019

Kerala and Kanyakumari dt in Tamil Nadu continue to get awesome monsoon spell for 2nd day

 






































Rainfall in mm in Kanyakumari district in Tamil Nadu ending 8.30 am on 10.06.2019
--------------------------------
Upper Kodayar - 166
Lower Kodayar - 120
Balamore - 76
Melpuram - 75
Kuzhithurai - 74
Thirparappu - 67
Kozhiporvilai - 65
Suralode - 65
Adayamadai - 63
Anaikidangu - 57
Chittar Dam I - 49
Eraniel - 49
Chittar Dam II - 46
Mambalathuraiyar - 40
Neyoor - 39
Kannimar - 37
Pechiparai - 33
Kurunthancode - 31
Kottaram - 27
Mylaudy - 27
Bhoothapandy - 26
Kanyakumari - 26
Tirupathisaram - 25
Perunchani - 25
Puthan Dam - 25
Colachel - 25
Aaralvaimozhi - 20

Tirunelveli District
--------
Ambasamudram - 23
Kannadiyan - 20
Kodumudiyaru - 20
Radhapuram - 17
Papanasam - 15
Nambiyar - 15
Posted 10th June Afternoon:

AS-1 is now a depression at 11.7N and 71E, with estimated core pressure at 998 mb. 
Expected to strengthen upto Cyclone stage (Vayu) in next 48 hrs and track as shown....

Heavy rains expected off Karnataka coast and in Kerala on 10th and 11th. 
Monsoon likely to be pulled Northwards along Coast...

Mumbai: After 233 direct dry days (223 days dry in 2012), Mumbai got light rains with thunder in some Northern/Central parts of the city on Sunday night. 
Scruz weather station saw 3 mms and Colaba 1 mm of rain.
Rainfall likely to gradually increase by Tuesday. 

Thunder showers in some areas on Monday and more on Tuesday.
Very windy, stormy/gusty winds 50-60 kmph, on Tuesday and Wednesday as AS-1 passes the coast.

Pune: Cloudy with thundery developments on Monday , Tuesday and Wednesday. Rainfall will vary in different parts of city. Rains may decrease after Wednesday.

Sunday, June 09, 2019

Posted 9th Afternoon:

South West Monsoon advances into Kerala...chief amounts as on Sunday morning in Kerala: Allaphuza 66 mms, Agathi (LKS) 56 mms, Neyaattinkara 44 mms, Cherthala 43 mms, Varkala 37 mms, Mancompu 36 mms.

AS-1 , Low Pressure, expected to pull the SWM into North Kerala and then  Coastal Karnataka by 11th June.
System to intensify to Depression by 11th June. Track North/North West along the West coast till 15N. Then turn to North West Depression will deepen and then head towards the Seasonal Low in Pakistan...via the South coastal Saurashtra and thru Coastal Sindh. Will review again as 200 winds are not strongly " in favour " today...may turn favourable in 12 hrs.
.Good chances of upgrading to Cyclone stage.

Rainfall will be heavy till Coastal Karnataka next 3 days. Thunder showers for Interior Maharahtra next 3 days.
Heavy showers in Coastal Saurashtra as AS-1 moves NW...

Mumbai: Sticking to Thunder Showers forecast for Tuesday/Wednesday. Hot humid and expect some drizzles . Monsoon after the System moves inland, around 15th/16th.

(Possibility of SWM advancing along Coast till Gujarat if AS-1 sticks to N/NW track without Curving NW..)


Saturday, June 08, 2019

 Rainfall in mm ending in Kanyakumari district in Tamil Nadu at 8.30 am on 09.06.2019
---------------------------
Upper Kodayar - 96
Melpuram - 86
Perunchani - 61
Lower Kodayar - 55
Chittar Dam I - 51
Kuzhithurai - 46
Pechiparai - 46
Nagercoil - 42
Suralode - 41
Kaliyal - 36
Neyoor - 35
Mambalathuraiyar - 31
Mylaudy - 31
Anaikidangu - 29
Kurunthancode - 26
Thirupathisaram - 19
Bhoothapandy - 18
Colachel - 18
Mullanginavilai - 18
Adayamadai - 17
Aaralvaimozhi - 16
Perunchani - 16
Thuckalay - 16
Puthan Dam - 15
 
 
Posted 8th June  Morning:

South West Monsoon over Sri Lanka. Albeit a weak Current.

From the Dept of meteorology , Sri Lanka:
"WEATHER FORECAST FOR 08th JUNE 2019
(Issued at 05.30 a.m. on 08th June 2019)

South-west monsoon is established over the island. Therefore, showery and windy conditions are expected to enhance further (particularly in the South-western part).
"Heavy falls about 100-150 mm can be expected at some places (particularly in Kaluthara, Rathnapura, Galle, Matara, Gampaha and Kegalle districts).
Galle received 103 mms last 24 hrs."
As the UAC (LLC) till prevails and persists without change, and the weak Off shore trough also persist.  The chance s of Low Pressure developing are good off Kerala coast..Heralding the immediate arrival of the SWM.  


Mumbai: Next 3 days..Partly cloudy, with light drizzles in some parts. A thunder cell may float over the city from the East on Monday. 
Hot at 35c, and Humid will make it unbearable. Real feel around 41c. 
Proper Monsoon arrival depends on the two options given below, A or B for AS-1. But not before 15th June at least.

Pune: Next 3 days: Thunder Clouds likely to develop by evening/Night. Sharp showers with gusty winds in many areas of city. Rain possible in Pune District.




2nd day of massive rains in Kerala and 300 mm event too in North Kerala and valparai gets heavy rains too ending 8.30 am on 19.07.2019. Tod...