Sunday, June 12, 2011
IMD has announced the depression has crossed the Gujarat coast at 8.30 am Sunday near Diu,which is 20.4N and 70.6E.
Location of AS-1, as a depression, shown on the graphical map as on 11.30 am IST from JTWC.
The latest location as on 2.30 pm IST (Sunday ) is 20.8N and 70.3E. Winds are steady at 30 knts.
Exact centre location in such systems are always a matter of conjecture and made on calculations with MSLP measurements.
Moving very little to the NW, almost quasi -stationary in the last 3 hrs , the system's maximum life intensity seems to be on peak. Expected to weaken ,as anticipated, within the next 6 hrs.
Predicted movememt is NW, and I feel the direction will hold. But, the speed of tracking is slow, and if the current speed is maintained, then the weakening and precipitation effect will be in a restricted region , mostly in coastal and southern Saurashtra.
Clouding is now in the NW-West-SW quadrant of the system. AS-1 clouding should move into the eastern coastal regions of Sindh by Monday. Clouding with limited precipitation could be expected in lower coastal Sindh regions on Monday.
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