Sunday, June 12, 2011
IMD has announced the depression has crossed the Gujarat coast at 8.30 am Sunday near Diu,which is 20.4N and 70.6E.
Location of AS-1, as a depression, shown on the graphical map as on 11.30 am IST from JTWC.
The latest location as on 2.30 pm IST (Sunday ) is 20.8N and 70.3E. Winds are steady at 30 knts.
Exact centre location in such systems are always a matter of conjecture and made on calculations with MSLP measurements.
Moving very little to the NW, almost quasi -stationary in the last 3 hrs , the system's maximum life intensity seems to be on peak. Expected to weaken ,as anticipated, within the next 6 hrs.
Predicted movememt is NW, and I feel the direction will hold. But, the speed of tracking is slow, and if the current speed is maintained, then the weakening and precipitation effect will be in a restricted region , mostly in coastal and southern Saurashtra.
Clouding is now in the NW-West-SW quadrant of the system. AS-1 clouding should move into the eastern coastal regions of Sindh by Monday. Clouding with limited precipitation could be expected in lower coastal Sindh regions on Monday.
Posted Saturday afternoon 19th Some more available heavy rainfall data ending 8:30 am today. #Nanded Sundgi 122 mm Gonegaon 120 mm D...