Thursday, June 30, 2016


MONSOON REPORT (01-6-2016 TO 30-6-2016)  
TOTAL ALL INDIA RAINFALL (as on 30-6-2016) 145.4 mm
SEASON +/- -11%
TO ACHIEVE BY 30TH SEPTEMBER          required per day------->    mm
MINIMUM                             700   mm 6.03
AVERAGE                                890   mm 8.09
MAXIMUM                          1100   mm 10.38
CURRENT RAINFALL PER DAY  4.85 mm
JUNE RAINFALL (2016) 145.4 mm
AVERAGE JUNE RAINFALL (1966 TO 2015)                                               # 167.3 mm
DEFICIT -13%
TOP FIVE SUBDIVISIONS THIS MONTH    mm
COASTAL KARNATAKA 962.40
KONKAN & GOA 796.20
KERALA 595.70
SHWB & SIKKIM 567.60
A & N ISLAND 429.40
BOTTOM FIVE SUBDIVISIONS THIS MONTH     mm
PUNJAB 51.80
WEST RAJASTHAN 32.90
HAR. CHD & DELHI 32.40
GUJARAT REGION 31.40
SAURASHTRA & KUTCH 30.30
TOP FIVE SUBDIVISIONS ABOVE NORMAL THIS MONTH   
RAYALASEEMA 90%
COASTAL ANDHRA PRADESH 77%
TELANGANA 47%
TAMILNADU & PONDICHERY 44%
N. I. KARNATAKA 31%
BOTTOM FIVE SUBDIVISIONS BELOW NORMAL THIS MONTH  
JHARKHAND -37%
ASSAM & MEGHALAYA -38%
NAGALAND MANIPUR MIZORAM TRIPURA -41%
SAURASHTRA & KUTCH -65%
GUJARAT REGION -76%
TOP FIVE STATES THIS MONTH    mm
GOA 1213.80
KERALA 595.70
SIKKIM 506.10
ANDAMAN & NICOBAR (UT) 429.40
MIZORAM 420.50
BOTTOM FIVE STATES THIS MONTH     mm
DELHI (UT) 50.40
PONDICHERRY (UT) 45.90
RAJASTHAN 45.20
HARYANA 31.60
GUJARAT 30.30
TOP FIVE STATES ABOVE NORMAL THIS MONTH   
ANDHRA PRADESH 81%
TELANGANA 47%
TAMIL NADU 45%
GOA 34%
KARNATAKA 19%
BOTTOM FIVE STATES BELOW NORMAL THIS MONTH  
TRIPURA -52%
DADAR & NAGAR HAVELI (UT) -56%
MEGHALAYA -61%
GUJARAT -71%
MANIPUR -73%
TOP TEN DISTRICTS THIS MONTH    mm
UDUPI (coastal karnataka) 1322.00
SOUTH GOA (konkan & goa) 1307.80
SINDHUDURG (konkan & goa) 1124.60
NORTH GOA (konkan & goa) 1107.30
RATNAGIRI (konkan & goa) 997.00
JALPAIGURI (shwb & sikkim) 996.70
DAKSHIN KANNADA (coastal karnataka) 955.30
KASARGOD (kerala) 945.50
KOZIKOD (kerala) 916.40
KOCHBIHAR (shwb & sikkim) 900.90
BOTTOM TEN DISTRICTS THIS MONTH     mm
GANGANAGAR (west rajasthan) 6.40
PULWAMA (jammu & kashmir) 6.30
KULGAM (jammu & kashmir) 6.20
FIROZPUR (punjab) 4.80
GAUTAMBUDHNAGAR (w uttar pradesh) 4.00
TUTICORIN (tamilnadu & pondicherry) 3.70
MUKTSAR (punjab) 3.20
MATHURA (w uttar pradesh) 3.10
EAST DELHI (harayana chandigarh & delhi) 3.00
LEH AND LADAKH (jammu & kashmir) 2.40
TOTAL ABOVE AVERAGE RAINFALL DAYS this month 9  (30%)
TOTAL BELOW AVERAGE RAINFALL DAYS this month 21 (70%)
# IMD figures are different as this is 50 year average source -IMD
Mumbai Lakes supplying Water have 110 Mcum of Storage in all Lakes Combined as on 30th June 2016. That is, supply with 20% current cut, City has 38 days of Water....
We have more Details with Lakes' rainfall and All Maharashtra Reservoirs Position on Mumbai Page .Compiled by Vagarian Abhijit.

-Monsoon Analyses as Usual by Vagarian GSB will be up tonite

-Our Regular 15 All India Toppers ( June) will be put up by Pradeep John on 1st July.

June Totals:
Saurashtra June Rains from vagarian Gaurav Raninga ( Junagadh)



Agumbe Figures from Vagarian Naveen Reddy (Bangalore) and Mumbai Compilation from Vagarian Tejas (Mumbai)



Monday, June 27, 2016

Some Rainfall Amounts as on 29th Morning (last 24 hrs) from Vagarians:

From Pradeep John:


From Patel Ankit:
Rainfall figures from gujarat saurastra in last 24 hours...
Choryasi(surat) 125 mm
Netrang(bharuch) 116 mm
Umergam(valsad) 78 mm
Bhesan (junagadh) 74 mm
Gir Gadhda (Gir somnath) 65mm

From Shivkumar Mogal:
Jalgaon district ( Maharashtra) rainfall ended at 8:30 am 29th. 
Lasur 199 mm
Chopada 196 mm
Chahardi 185 mm
Hated 179 mm
Paladhi 143 mm
Bhokar 142 mm
Pimprala 119 mm
Dharangaon 113 mm
Ringangaon 112 mm
Sonwad 95 mm
Pimpri 93 mm
Salsa 80 mm
Mhaswad 76.4 mm
Chandsar 75 mm
Erandol 71 mm
Marwad 71 mm
Gorgawale 68 mm
Adawad 62 mm
Shelave 60 mm
Galan 55 mm.

Nashik district rainfall ending 8:30 am 29th 
Dindori (Dindori) 74mm
Deopur (Sinnar) 62.2 mm
Mulher (Baglan) 51 mm
Andarsul (Yeola) 34 mm
Sinnar (Sinnar) 26 mm
Wander (Chandwad) 24.4 mm
Jalgaon (Yeola) 20.2 mm
Manmad (Nandgaon) 20 mm






Today's Pics from Porbundar and Karachi sent by Vagarians...on Reader's Page
Check Vagaries Goa Updated...

Heavy rains in Delhi NCR ..Ranging from 10-56 mms.
Pic from Gurgaon by Parikshit Srivastava


Compiled By Vagarian Tejas


Maharashtra Water position as on today 27-06-2016
Maharashtra overall available live water storage is on only 9% as of today.

Division wise storage:

Konkan 28%
Nagpur 16%
Amravati 11%
Other Dam's 9%
Nashik 8%
Pune 7%
Marathwada 1% 



Mega cities available water as on today: 

Mumbai overall dams storage is on 20%.

Thane District all cities water supplying dams storage:
Barvi dam 9% 
Andhra dam 6%

Mumbai & Thane District water supplying dams rainfall from 1st June 2016 till today (27-06-2016):

Vihar 665mm
Tulshi 614mm
Modaksagar 169mm
Bhatsa 165mm
Tansa 165mm
Barvi 128mm
Middle Vaitarna 79mm
Andhra,Maval 79mm
Upper Vaitarna 65mm



Except Vihar & Tulshi rainfall (as it is on coastal) .. Rest other dams rainfall looks like 24hrs rainfall figure !! 


Some Ghat section (near Mumbai) rainfall, from 1st June till today (27-06-2016):

Bhira 437mm
Mulshi 360mm
Mahabaleshwar 311mm
Khandala 279mm
Bhimashankar 190mm
Lavasa 188mm
Lonavala 185mm
Igatpuri 153mm




So in short interior N.Konkan & Ghat section yet to pick up !!


Sunday, June 26, 2016

Posted Sunday Night:

Monsoon has moved into South Gujarat, parts of Saurashtra and West M.P.

The Low Pressure (BB-2) has formed off the AP coast in the Bay. BB-2 is expected to become Well Marked in the same position by Monday.System may track inland on Monday and Tuesday. While tracking thru Coastal A.P. on Monday, it will bring heavy rains to A.P. and then move into adjoining North Telengana and adjoining Vidharbh.

Heavy showers in A.P, North Telengana and Eastern Vidharbh on Monday and Tuesday. Nagpur will get more showers on Tuesday and Wednesday, while Akola region of Vidharbh will get showers with moderate to heavy intensity, around 30-40 mms /day. See Map below article

The off shore trough will remain active , with heavy rainfall along the West Coast.

Light rains likely in Coastal Sindh next 2 days. Karachi may see light rains on Monday/Tuesday.Strong Southerly winds.

Estimate of further advance of Monsoon into Delhi NCR will be around 1st July. Rains will increase in NCR from 1st July.

Indore: Few showers on Monday, but rainfall increasing on Tuesday/Wednesday.

Rainfall increasing in Saurashtra after Thursday 30th June. 

Mumbai: Will be cloudy with showers or thunder showers, some heavy, on Monday and lesser intensity on Tuesday.Rain may measure around 35-50 mms/day on Monday.
On Monday,heavy showers in Northern Outer townships along the coastal areas.
Roha received about 130 mms on both Friday and Saturday /day. Heavy rains on Monday in Roha and Panvel regions.
Pune: After some light rains on Monday, Pune can see an increased rainfall of upto 20-30 mms on Wednesday.

Many Western Ghat Stations (important for Dams) will receive between 100-150 mms on Monday. Substantial increase in Ghat Stations could be expected on Thursday and Friday (will be kept informed here).

As a rule, vagaries tries its best to post any special weather event, or unusual weather or any extreme weather event. Normal weather conditions and where nothing unusual is expected is not mentioned in Vagaries. We try not to miss any special weather occurrence.

CORRECTION HAS BEEN MADE TO POST...LIGHT BLUE COLOUR..THAT IS LESS THAN 30 MMS PREDICTED FOR SINDH COAST. ORIGINAL THRU ERROR..REGRETTED.

Saturday, June 25, 2016

Vagaries will be updated with forecast Map of next 2 days Sunday night 11 pm IST

Rainfall around Mumbai as omn 26th Morning (24 hrs) complied by Vagarian Tejas Baxi




The first to reach 1000 mms this season was Malvan (Konkan) on 24th June: Few more followed on Saturday 25th: Season's Rainfall Totals as on Saturday Morning 25th: Malvan 1126 mms, Mormugao (Goa) 1059, Harnai (Konkan) 1051 mms,Dabolim (Goa) 1033 mms, Cherrapunji ( Meghalaya) 1015 mms. Mawsynram (Meghalaya) is 1050 mms (yet to be confirmed).

8.30 am - 5.30 pm Saturday...Colaba 96 mms, Scruz 35 mms, Alibag 149 mms, Dahanu 134 mms. Ratnagiri 86 mms.