Mumbai Page updated with Tuesday Morning rainfall with estimate comparisons.
Drought affected regions of India (as on 5th August ) map on Current Weather Page ...
Mumbai Lakes Storage as on 6th August put up on Mumbai Page...
The current UAC moves inland over Orissa and is tracking Westwards.
As the UAC extends from 850 hpa to 500 hpa levels, the clouding in the S/SW quadrant is fairly strong and effective.
Monday 6th/Tuesday 7th: Rainfall moves into Chattisgarh and adjoining East Vidarbha. Vidharbha and adjoining Marathwada and adjoining MP may get good precipitation. Parts of Northern AP too can expect good showers.
Nagpur gets heavy rains on Monday/Tuesday. Rain Amount : 50-60 mms.
Relief for flooded rivers of UP as the rainfall in UP and Utteranchal decreases drastically.(flooding was predicted in vagaries' forecast last week).
Delhi NCR sees no significant increase in rainfall on Mon/Tues/Wed. Days will be around 35c.
West coast off shore trough, presently very weak (Sunday), just gets a little temporary "lift" on Tuesday, specially off the South Konkan coast, as the trough strengthens "aloft' (700 hpa).
Wednesday 8th: The rain area moves west, and diminishes in area. The heavy rain concentration will be at the meeting point of Maharashtra, Gujarat and MP. Heavy rain in North Maharashtra, adjoining SE Gujarat, and south Rajasthan.
Surat and Bharuch will get good rains on Tuesday night/Wednesday. Surat can get upto 25 mms.
But, west trough backtracks again, and rains remain weak along the entire west coast.
South India remains in the same "phase", with local convection pockets of heavy showers.
From Wednesday, 8th, an easterly pulse could move in, embedded with an UAC, and precipitate rains commencing from the TN coast inland.
Much needed rain may greet the TN and adjoining Kerala areas on Wed/Thursday.
Chennai sees a slight increase in rains after Thursday.
Monday: Cloudy with 3/4 showers. Not persistent, but a couple of them could be heavy in bursts and in some areas. Rain Amount: 10-15 mms.
Tuesday/Wednesday: Cloudy, with rainfall decreasing. Rain Amount: Upto 10 mms/day.
Pune: Partly cloudy, more sunny on Wednesda, as days will rise to 30c. Rain amounts : 3-5 mms/day.
Pakistan: A WD moving across extreme North Pakistan has interacted with the Easterlies from "above" the axis and brought heavy rains in Northern Pakistan. Vagaries had predicted heavier than normal rains for North Pakistan in its seasonal and monthly forecast. Figures like 139 mms in Islamabad yesterday, and Guranwala got 123 mms yesterday and 83 mms today. Lahore got 79 mms yesterday and 47 mms today. Rawal pndi got 75 mms yesterday.
Rains decrease from Monday 6th in the North.
Very light rains are likely next 3 days in parts of Sindh. Sukkur may get a dust storm or thundersquall.
Week's Analysis of All India Rainfall by GSB on Inter Active Page..must Read.