Vagaries© of the weather.blog written by rajesh kapadia & co-authors concentrating on meteorology of the Indian sub continent and extreme world weather since 55 years For Any Information taken from here, due credit must be given to Vagaries.
Friday, July 31, 2026
31st July
BB 3 MOVES WEST LEAVES VIDARBHA AND MOVES WEST INTO MARATHWADA AND GUJARAT
Thursday, July 30, 2026
Potential Flash Flood Probability
Marathwada 👇
Marathwada is in moderate deficiency currently..Sambhajinagar _5%, Nanded -36%, Dharashiv +5%, Parbhani - 38%.
Dam Storage : Jayakwadi Dam is at 68% storage. District storage average 61%.
System, BB 3, is over Telengana.
The positive news is that the region is expected to get good rains 2 days, 30th and 31st.till 1st August. Though crops are standing in healthy conditions, the additional rain, next 2 days cumulatively may get 70 - 90 mms.
Will be excessive, but see for the future may be helpful as Region will get negligible rain next 8 to 10 days. Need to keep the ground wet.
Sambhajinagar fields today
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मराठवाडा: मराठवाड्यात सध्या मध्यम स्वरूपाची पाण्याची कमतरता आहे.. संभाजीनगर -५%, नांदेड -३६%, धाराशिव +५%, परभणी -३८%. धरणातील पाणीसाठा: जायकवाडी धरण ६८% भरलेले आहे. जिल्ह्याचा सरासरी पाणीसाठा ६१% आहे. चांगली बातमी ही आहे की, १ ऑगस्टपर्यंत या भागात ३० आणि ३१ तारखेला दोन दिवस चांगला पाऊस पडण्याची शक्यता आहे. जरी पिके चांगल्या स्थितीत असली तरी, पुढील दोन दिवसांत पडणाऱ्या अतिरिक्त पावसामुळे एकूण ७० ते ९० मिमी पाऊस पडू शकतो. हा पाऊस गरजेपेक्षा जास्त असेल, पण भविष्यासाठी तो उपयुक्त ठरू शकतो, कारण पुढील ८ ते १० दिवसांत या भागात नगण्य पाऊस पडेल. जमीन ओली ठेवणे आवश्यक आहे.
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Mumbai: Moderate occasional passing showers will continue, and increasing from Friday into the weekend, giving around (average ) 25 to 40 mms per day.
Pune : Getting the moderate showers till July end, pushing up the record total by another 20 mms. Decrease in Rains in first week of August.
Jalgaon : Heavy to very heavy rains on 30th and 31st, could exceed 100 mms on 31st.
Bharuch: Very heavy showers on 31st Friday and 1st August Saturday. Could exceed 100 mms.
Wednesday, July 29, 2026
Tuesday, July 28, 2026
Sunday, July 26, 2026
System from Bay moving in
26th July.
Position of Depression in Bay
Expected to reach Deep Depression and track NW
Substantial amount of rainfall expected along track.. Odisha, Chattisgarh, East M. P. parts of Vidharbh.
Decrease in all Gujarat rains.
Since system will weaken along path, activation of West Coast Trough will be limited to 27th/28th.
Madhya Maharashtra and Marathwada should not expect effect of System.
Mumbai: Best positive news.. Lakes Storage showing good improvements and now at 86.18%..(last year 88%).
Best rainfall this year is Tulsi with 2834 mms followed by Upper Vaitarna showing 2267 mms!
Mumbai/Goa: Moderate occasional passing showers expected on 27th/28.. translating to around 35 - 50 mms per day.
Could experience some decrease from 29th.
Saturday, July 25, 2026
Scenario today
Will forecast tomorrow
250 level
25h July
Maharashtra water Storage
Water storage in Maharashtra’s reservoirs has increased following recent rainfall. According to the Water Resources Department’s report released today, the state’s 3,029 dams are collectively holding 53.38% of their live storage capacity. On the corresponding day last year, the live storage stood at 63.42%.
Region-wise, the Konkan region has the highest live storage at 76.54%, followed by Pune at 65.27%, Nashik at 55.11%, Nagpur at 46.71%, and Amravati at 42.91%. The Chhatrapati Sambhajinagar region has the lowest live storage at 25.44%.
Among major dams, Konkan and Pune have 77.19% and 70.15% live storage, respectively. In the medium dam category, Konkan leads with 77.06% live storage. Minor dams in the region are also the best stocked, with 73.06% live storage.
In contrast, the Chhatrapati Sambhajinagar region has 31.70% live storage in major dams, 17.77% in medium dams, and 13.86% in minor dams
Source AIR
Gujarat Rainfall In Excess
% of seasonal rainfall:
North Gujarat
- Santalpur (Patan) – 103.18%
- Kadi (Mehsana) – 96.23%
Central Gujarat
- Viramgam (Ahmedabad) – 96.03%
- Mandal (Ahmedabad) – 93.80%
- Mehmedabad (Kheda) – 107.03%
- Nadiad (Kheda) – 94.09%
Saurashtra
- Mangrol (Junagadh) – 107.49%
South Gujarat
Surat district
- Palsana – 118.78%
- Ambika – 112.16%
- Kamrej – 103.69%
- Bardoli – 93.25%
- Surat city – 92.89%
Navsari district
- Chikhli – 114.02%
- Khergam – 106.35%
- Vansda – 92.42%
- Gandevi – 90.46%
Valsad district
- Umargam – 125.32%
- Valsad – 98.86%
- Pardi – 98.74%
Tapi district
- Dolvan – 97.84%
- Valod – 97.13%
Bharuch district
- Netrang – 92.91%
Overall, Gujarat has received 52.03% of its average seasonal rainfall so far.
Data compiled by deshgujarat.com
Friday, July 24, 2026
Gujarat Record rains continue
Ahmedabad: 294.6mm in last 24hrs, this is 4th highest all time 24hrs rain recorded there in history.
Also this is highest 24hrs rain recorded there after year 2000
Highest 24hrs rain records for Ahmedabad (including all months of year)
414.8mm (1927)
325.9mm (2000)
322.3mm (1967)
294.6mm (2026)
288.1mm (2014)
257.8mm (1950)
250mm (1976)
249.3mm (1997)
242.4mm (1990)
237.4mm (2010)
Data: IMD
Thursday, July 23, 2026
Tuesday, July 21, 2026
Activating rainfall along West Coast, East Gujarat, Vidharbh, Chatttisgarh and M.P. till 25th.
Monday, July 20, 2026
Thank you all for the wonderful words you wrote in our Anniversary Book. Every message means a great deal to me and will always be treasured.
The Anniversary Book and the beautiful trophy were a completely unexpected and deeply touching surprise. I am truly grateful for your thoughtfulness and affection.
I feel incredibly proud and fortunate to have such loyal, caring, and passionate Vagarians as part of this journey. Your unwavering support over the past 20 years has been the greatest strength behind Vagaries.
Thank you, from the bottom of my heart, for making this milestone so memorable. Here's to many more years together!
Sunday, July 19, 2026
Vagaries' 20 years Young
Glimpses of Our "Vagaries' 20th year celebrations held on 18th July.
Thanks to all Vagarians for support and faith.
We missed all those not present.
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