What went right with the forecast :
The vortex formed in the Gulf of Khambat, and Khambat measured 45 mms of rain.
Sinor (Baroda dist) saw 90 mms and Karjan 72 mms.
Saturday Rains went into Gujarat from the East as expected, and having named Ahmedabad, Bharuch and Baroda, these two cities got good rains. Ahmedabad got 42 mms, Baroda 69 mms.
In surat dist, Mangrol saw 80 mms, Umerpada 55 mms and Surat, too got more than forecasted ( 15 mms for Saturday and 30 mms for Sunday) by registering 35 mms.
Bharuch measured 39 mms.
Gandhinagar measured 51 mms. Anand saw 52 mms.
Next in Line, Saurashtra ..
(Mumbai city forecasted is normally restricted to the island City. The city weather differs to a large extent with the weather in the hinter land. The towns on the mainland get their rainfall influenced to a great extent by the nearby hills around. Even the annual rainfall diggers from the city average and are much higher.
The forecast put up for Mumbai cannot be carried to the outer townships. If require, we can put up a seperate forecast for towns across on the main land).
Mumbai Colaba got 23 mms and Scruz got 5 mms with vagaries measuring 7 mms on Saturday. The forecast (10-15 mms) put up (for Mumbai) is the average of these stations. Actual Average = 12 mms.
Coastal Karnataka rainfall shows a decrease. From the previous days' extremely high 35-45 cms levels. Rainfall was between 15-18 cms on Friday, and even more on Saturday.
Saturday,s highest rainfall in the state was 148 mms at Kundapur.Other coastal stations were between 8-12 cms.
What went wrong with the forecast:
Delhi NCR received precipitaion in almost all the areas. Highest were at S'Jung with 18 mms, Palam and Lodhi Road 14 mms. Gurgaon 11 mms and Noida 7 mms. All other places got between 2-5 mms.
Vagaries' estimate was 5-10 mms. The day was at 35c as expected.
Indore got only 4 mms.
Next week's update tonite.