Friday, March 04, 2011

F5 active on Friday, and precipitation on in H.P. and Kashmir:

A Friday report from Kashmir: (netindian).
Srinagar and its adjoining areas received fresh light snowfall early this morning followed by rains, 12 mm of rainfall till 0800 hrs. The Zabarwan and other hills, surrounding the city, had turned white due to snowfall,
The upper reaches in the Kashmir valley had turned white after receiving snowfall.
The entire forest area in Harwan, about 20 km from Srinagar, was under a blanket of fresh snow, resulting in cold in the plains, including Harwan, Shalimar and Nishat Gardens on the bank of the famed Dal Lake.

More than one feet of fresh snowfall was recorded on the slopes in Gulmarg.
A Met official said snow equivalent to about 34 mm of rainfall was recorded in Gulmarg till 0800 hrs. The upper reaches, including Afarwat and Khilanmarg experienced more than two feet of fresh snowfall.
It was snowing at Pahalagam also. About half a foot of snowfall was recorded in the town. Snowfall was equivalent to about 22 mm rainfall till 0800 hrs this morning.

However, heavy to very heavy snowfall was experienced at the holy cave of Amarnath and its periphery while reports of snowfall were also received from Sheshnag, Mahaguns, Panjterni, Pisso top and Chandanwari.
Light snowfall was experienced at Charar-e-Sharief while at Yusmarg and Tosamaidan heavy snowfall was recorded since last evening.

On Friday, In H.P., higher hills of Himachal Pradesh as the region had more snow and rains, while heavy rains lashed several parts of the hill state.
Gohar in Mandi district received as much as 62 mm of rains, followed by Kasol 59 mm and Bhuntar 50 mm.
The higher reaches in tribal areas experienced moderate snowfall with Kalpa in Kinnaur district receiving 20 cm of snow.

As expected, this system should now fizzle out by Saturday evening into the western regions of Nepal.

Another feeble W.D, designated M1 (for easy reference), is expected to cross into Pakistan's northern regions on Saturday evening. It will be restricting itself to areas north of 30N.

Crossing into India on Sunday, here too it will be only north of 30N mainly in the Northern states of Kashmir, H.P. and Northern regions of Punjab.
M1 will be feeble and will move away NE.

On Friday, the heat has spread towards the east. Hottest were Kolkata, Jamshedpur,
Bhubaneshwar and Solapur, all recording 37c. only Solapur is our poll candidate. Nagpur and Ramagundam were 36c.


Also re-refer temperature forecast map put up by Vagaries.






U.S. Flood Alert:
Major flood risk rises in some Minn. towns due to February snowfall:
The chance of major flooding in parts of Minnesota edged upward in the wake of heavy snow over the Presidents Day weekend.

12 to 20 inches of snow in the Minnesota and Mississippi River valleys heightened the flood risk to its most severe in at least 10 years.

In the metro area, St. Paul's risk of record flooding was raised to 45 percent, up from 15 percent last month. Jordan, to the south, now faces a 50 percent chance of record flooding, up from 20 percent. The risk for Henderson, downstream of Jordan, rose to 45 percent from 18 percent.

Another storm was forecast to bring as much as 6 inches for the Minneapolis area and southern Minnesota early next week.

And From Our Parner's Blog:

WEATHER TALK
By Mark Vogan

--TURBULANT SPRING AHEAD FOR UNITED STATES AS LA NINA'S KEEP COLD ACROSS NORTHERN TIER AND ABNORMALLY WARM AIR ACROSS SOUTH!...details on Mark's Page. Link provided on the right of this page.

--DESPITE AN OVERALL COLDER WINTER FOR CANADA, NORTHERN AREAS ENDED THE SEASON ABOVE NORMAL WHILST SOUTHERN AREAS BELOW NORMAL!...details on Blog..must read very professional and informative.

2 comments:

svt said...

I would loved to know in-depth analysis of how winter gives way to summer, the way u explain monsoon arriaval. The WD happens almost throughout the year but it doesn't have same impact on north & central india as it have in winter. Is dry hit winds thats come from deserts of middle-east is the single biggest reason of summer heat in india.

rajesh said...

svt, analysing the summer cannot be done like the way Vagaries does the Monsoon Watch. Monsoon is very precise on its arrival dates.The developments, are almost working with exact dates, with a variation of around 10 days on either side.
Summer can be delayed due to various resons. Like a strong W.D. can keep the Indian region cooler, and absence of W.D. in March can bring heat, as the winds bringing the W.D. is pushed North. I have explained this in the 1st. March Vagaries Blog.
A W.D. coming in April will have no effect on the plains of India, as the seasonal low has already establishing itself and bringing in stronger west winds.