Report of depression @10 a.m.
The depression is now situated at 20.6N and 90.1E, that is approx. off the Orissa coast, south east of Kolkata. Almost stationary since last 12 hrs.
The core pressure is at 1002 mb, and will now fall after the 14th. as anticipated earlier. Winds are at an average speed of 25-30 knots, but gusts in the north-west quadrant are at 30 knots.
The major clouding is in the western quadrant. And the eastern quadrant shows minimum clouding. This is because of easterly winds blowing along the trough axis line, that is "shearing " that quadrant. In fact, it is these easterlies that is going against the deepening of the system.
Anyway,it should strengthen now, and by 16th, become a depression at 996/998 and cross into Indian coast thru Orissa.
I think we can still assume it to track west/northwest after crossing inland and weaken rapidly.
Rains will be skirting the Vidharbha region from the 16th. while moving into east M.P. Added moisture is likely to precipitate some showers in interior Mah. and north Konkan Thursday thru Monday.