Thursday, October 21, 2010
Cyclone "Giri" is now located 450 kms South of Chittagong, and has tracked NE. It is expected to hit land over Myanmar by tomorrow.
Now, this is due to our predicted W.D. diverting the cyclone eastwards and precipitating rainfall over Myanmar/Bangladesh.
The W.D. mentioned in the previous blog is now over Kashmir, and is expected to remain active with precipitation in Kashmir, H.P.and Utteranchal during the next 2 days.
Now, with the "running away" of this cyclone. I would finally look towards the NEM.
Meanwhile, we may now see the couple of UACs in the Konkan and interior Mah. regions move southwards, and drag the monsoon axis to where it should be. Vagaries predicts the withdrawal of the SWM and "ground preparations" for the NEM from Monday.
Interestingly, IMD forecasts a UAC in the T.N. coastal region by as early as Monday.
A strong wet phase of the MJO wave will be "allowed "to move in eastwards towards the South-Eastern coast of India (Tamil Nadu). This would subsequently displace the dry MJO in the region. Wet phase of the MJO are known to set up monsoon onsets, low-pressure areas and depressions.
Easterly waves would result in major amounts of accumulated rainfall in interior T. N, Coastal T.N and and Kerala during next week.
Mumbai forecast on page.
Posted 20th Thursday Night: BB-11 , Estimated at 996 mb, now a deep depression,almost a cyclone (As per IMD norms, cyclone is classified...
WEEKEND SPECIAL.. HIGHEST RAINFALL(2017) OVER INDIAN SUBCONTINENT.. ( THIS EFFORT IS BEST VIEWED ON A LAPTOP ) 1. Annual rainfall ov...
Mt. Abu: 141 mms on 23rd July, 733 on 24th July and 734 mms on 25th July ..totalling to 1608 mms in 3 days ! The annual rainfall of man...
Posted Thursday Night 19th April Arctic Sea Ice Volume Surges 3 TRILLION Cubic Meters Since Early March! April 17, 2018 by Robert ...