Mumbai By-Passed ! In fact N.Konkan region totally by-passed. BB4 weakens fast, real fast. And moves away very fast. Precipitation as per late Saturday night has already moved into extreme west Gujarat's Kutch region and across the border.
Anyway, i had mentioned not to expect much from this system. Light rainfall will now move into lower Sindh and Karachi on Sunday. Would not be surprised if it fades away fast, looking into the last 24 hrs behaviour.
For Mumbai, Sunday will be mainly hot with sunny intervals. Residual moisture might just bring a few showers into Mumbai on Sunday.Showers could occur around satellite towns of Mumbai on Saturday night.
But, rainfall in decrease mood from Sunday into next week.
Pune will be warmish on Sunday. Partly cloudy with drizzles in some parts. Decrease from Monday
The west coast off shore trough is now weak. OLR map indicates (light blue) this weakening off the Konkan region.
Chances of strengthening would have been there as long as the system was present.
Is the supressed MJO phase setting in ? Will the axis move north and create break monsoon conditions ? what's in store next week ? Shall discuss the possibilities of next week's weather, for N. India, Central and S.India in tomorrow's (Sunday) blog. Chances increase for Nepal rainfall.
Will be put up by 5 pm.