vagaries© of the weather.blog written by rajesh kapadia.concentrating on meteorology of the Indian sub continent and extreme world weather.
your prediction on Pune was bang on target , any luck for pune in the next week ?Ananth
The 12z runs of GFS seem to suggest extremely heavy rains for Mumbai from Sunday evening till Tuesday morning (heaviest from Monday second half till Tuesday noon). Could be because of the the UAC that you suggest could form.
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Both Maps from The Weather Channel..