Friday, September 28, 2012

The Synoptic Situation as on Friday Evening shown on Super Imposed on IMD Satellite Image (below) for easy reference. The trough shown is an Upper Air Trough. 

Follow up with last blog...(The UAC off the west coast forecasted by (only)Vagaries has been announced by IMD today-:)).

Now, everything on schedule. I expect the SWM to slide down Maharashtra by Monday, and get stuck over Karnataka.







22 comments:

Pavan said...

Pune me sirf chand aur uski chandi
yes sir u enjoy snookers iam enjoying bachelors party of my col
but both mis a thunder

Pavan said...

Pune me sirf chand aur uski chandi
yes sir u enjoy snookers iam enjoying bachelors party of my col
but both mis a thunder

Abhijit Modak said...

@ So whether Monsoon withdrawing from Mumbai - Pune region by 1st October then ! And whether withdrawal will be in silent & dry ! And suppose if any rain event occurs from 2nd Oct to 5 Oct period then which rains should be it named Non- Monsoonal or Post(after) Monsoonal ! As Saurashtra & Kutch also had received some isolated rains even after SWM withdrawal..

rajesh said...

abhijit:Bhuj 76 mms ) and Anjar 43 mms and Kandla 40 mms in Kutch district received heavy thundershowers on the evening of 27th. Rains commenced at 5.30 pm. Firsthand reports mention of sky getting cloudy from previous night. But 27th, a thunderstorm formed over Bhuj, and by 11 pm 76 mms were recorded.
All this on the day the SW Monsoon was withdrawn by Vagaries. North Gujarat withdrawal was announced in the 27th article.
A hint of some upcoming rain was mentioned on 26th.

Pavan said...

a huge thunder coming to pune with thunder and lightning hope it will pour pour pour
" yeh abne ye baharoh jara jam ke barasana,
itna na barasana ki koi aa na sake,
phir itna barasana ki koi ja na sake"
rain and no alternative!

sset said...

Rajesh sir, Myself waiting for Bangalore rains to happen!!!! As of now nothing- 5mm - as u say tommorow is the day

By the today is LATA MANGESHKAR birthday (83 years)- greatest singer world has ever seen - 6 decades - Mughal-e-azam, mother india... are some of my all time favourites.

Lataji rains songs shree 420 - 1952- nargisji/raj kapoor same umbrella - waves lashing marine drive is very nostalgic.

Mumbais signature is Lataji. Dilip Kumar words - Latas voice is natures miracle.

sset said...

Rajesh sir, Myself waiting for Bangalore rains to happen!!!! As of now nothing- 5mm - as u say tommorow is the day

By the today is LATA MANGESHKAR birthday (83 years)- greatest singer world has ever seen - 6 decades - Mughal-e-azam, mother india... are some of my all time favourites.

Lataji rains songs shree 420 - 1952- nargisji/raj kapoor same umbrella - waves lashing marine drive is very nostalgic.

Mumbais signature is Lataji. Dilip Kumar words - Latas voice is natures miracle.

Anonymous said...

As the UAC enters inland by sunday evening, things change. chances of thunderstorm activity in maharashtra and western coast will increase thereafter, tuesday 2nd october western coast will have strong thunderstorms occuring,thus fullfilling the desire of many who are wanting such a farewell.the grand finale of the south west monsoon season.



Neelam Shastri

emkay said...

Dreading the imminent October heat in Mumbai which is fr a sure if the trough lingers south at Karnataka border. Btw COLA shows some precipitation on Oct 5th

Anonymous said...

SSET, are you really living in bangalore? yesterday afternoon to midnight heavy rain to light rain again heavy lashed south bangalore .


KempeGowda

Anonymous said...

As said earlier thunderstorms will start in mumbai on 2 nd oct and will last till 5th october. so max 3 thunderstorms should occur in this period.

sset said...

Rain was just 10mmm-15mm (this is nothing).

As give given in todays Bsngalore mirror. Page 8

http://www.bangaloremirror.com/article/10/20120929201209290605037508dcf7aa5/-Now-city-could-be-hit-by-drought-.html

Anonymous said...

who told u he is living in bangalore. who knows ? yes MR SSET

Anonymous said...

15 mm rains are enough for bangalore, be satisfied with that.

Anonymous said...

what you expect in an upcoming desert to pour like cherapunji. bangalore there will be less rains every year.

Anonymous said...

@ EMKAY ,NO AMOUNT OF OCTOBER HEAT CAN HELP THUNSERSTORMS TO POP UP , UNLESS THE HUMIDITY GOES HIGH. THANKS TO THE UAC THAT IS TRAVELLING INLAND ITS ALL HAPPENING BECAUSE OF THE STRONG UAC ON EITHER SIDE OF THE SEAS.THIS WILL BE BENEFICIAL FOR THUINDERSTORMS IN MUMBAI. SPECIALLY THE ONE THAT IS ABOUT TO FORM IN THE ARABIAN SEA. OTHERWISE WE WOULD HAVE A DRY FAREWELL THIS YEAR.


ARUN JUNEJA

rajesh said...

neelam: It is out of the UAC stage since last 36 hrs, and as a low BB7 now. So, entering again as UAC doubtfull. And BB7 has moved North, as on 5.30am Saturday , centre is located at 17N and 88E.
so i see thunderstorm increasing in Mah as put up on Thursday due to the trough across the state..thanks

Abhijit Modak said...

Badlapur having clear blue sky at moment..Snap on Vagaries FB.

Otherwise Past 5days, noticed patchy white clouds would hover after 9am from North Direction..

So hoping for an Thunder development today by evening/night !!

Arpit Sharma said...

Nothing new from here too.Delhi-NCR having blue sky accompanied with hot days and comfortable night.

Pavan said...

pune very very hot and humid with patches of cumolus clouds in hazy sky hope atleast today today it may..................................no comments

Anonymous said...

YES I TOTALLY AGREE WITH U RAJESH SIR. NOW WE NEED TO WAIT FOR THE STORMS AS THE UAC HAS FADED AND THE BB7 HAS MOVED AWAY , SO WE HAVE A CLEAR WAY FOR STORMS TO BUILT UP IN THESE COMING DAYS .AND ALSO LOOKS LIKE WE HAVE FAVOURABLE ATMOSPHERE FOR THE STORMS TO BUILT UP.FROM TODAY ONWARDS.

THANKS NEELAM SHASTRI

Anonymous said...

vagaries predicted heavy rains for bangalore today and 2mmrow .today good cloud formation seen hoping for heavy rains.last 2 days rains were isolated with less rains recorded