Saturday, September 29, 2012


Huge Thunderstorm South Of Mumbai..@5.30pm Pic on Inter active page of this blog, and many more on Vagaries fb 





Posting @ 1.30pm Saturday...
A Vortex at 700 hpa seems to be forming off the TN coast...If it forms, it may form in the Southward trough from BB7.....we'll have to follow the movements of these 3 systems surrounding the Southern Peninsula very very closely....shall keep vagaries informed , and please keep vagaries informed also....

31 comments:

NT said...

A vicious storm seems to be on around the 100 km radius mark NE from Mumbai as shown by the latest Doppler. Cloud height seems to be upwards of 15 KM!! The rain rate as indicated in the doppler is around 100mms/hr in some patches

Abhijit Modak said...

@ NT Badlapur's NE is dark with thundering from last 10mins and slight winds also from NE side.. Hoping to arrive that patch in Badlapur too ! Still Badlapur's west side is totally clear..

NT said...

@Abhijit, the storm rain intensity has now reduced as seen from the Doppler

junaid said...

@abhijit,,moist dusty wind coming from the east!! Nd saw sum lightening towards matheran side,,i guess ths thunderstorm will arrive in panvel within half nd hour ,,just now while i was typing cool winds started frm the east,,am excited lyk hell

junaid said...

just now a very thick lightening flash,,it appears so scary,!!!storm is drifting towards panvel!!really very scary lightening near matheran

Abhijit Modak said...

@ NT. Yes it's just drizzling in Badlapur. And see Vagaries FB for mine snap that how moon is visible in between black clouds in East side.. That indicating storm fading away here !!

NT said...

As I am looking at that storm that Junaid is talking about, it seems to be moving in a Southernly direction. It was NE of Mumbai 1 hr. back, it is right over Matheran now and more in line with South Mumbai. The cloud tops have now touched 18KMs and rain intentsity is back to 100mms/hr.

Abhijit Modak said...

@ Junaid. Panvel might get storm.. Lightening going on South of Badlapur where actual Matheran is located.. Badlapur just having drops falling now. Taking Lightening snap which is going on Matheran range.

Abhijit Modak said...

@ NT.. Yes.. All gone to south now. Badlapur's drizzles to stopped now.Lots of lightening activity in South of Badlapur where actual Matheran is located.. Just now taken one lightening snap which was felling on Matheran range. Will post on Vagaries FB in few minutes.

Abhijit Modak said...

Matheran getting heavy rains with lots of lightening activity can see from Badlapur also. Rains are just 10kms away from Badlapur in south directions

junaid said...

5 mints back big droplets of rain started at panvel in a drizzly manner,,same like badlapur!!

GSB said...

Tomorrow is the final day (8.30am readings) for the official monsoon figures of this year. Total all India today (8.30am) stands at 816mm. We might get another 2-4mm to take the total to 818-820mm.

Ofcourse the spillover will then get added to the Oct to Dec rainfall figures in any.

Rajesh sir will mail you final monsoon analysis at around 7pm so that you can then post it after perusing for any changes..

rajesh said...

The huge storm in the pic has dissipated to form cirrus clouds with low cirro stratus in the region 50-100kms south of Mumbai.
another storm, as readers moitored moved from the NE of Mumbai towards SW of Mumbai, cutting across Matheran and nearby regions.
Temporarily, South Mumbai had lightning and light drizzles at around 6.45 pm

GSB; sure, waiting for the final results. Below expectations . Monsoon has behaved on its own whims every month this season !

Abhijit Modak said...

Badlapur received just 0.5mm rain.

Snap of Lightening striking over Matheran mountain range is posted on Vagaries FB page.

sset said...

Rajeshji - Bangalore did not receive any heavy rains - as forcasted. just few mm - no use for extreme drought.

Infact recent UAC,low over western Raj,Guj,Kutch for 10days brought rains over 500mm - a month rain in 10days - tiding all deficiencies.

Anonymous said...

rajesh sir predicted heavy rains for bangalore this weekend .not a drop here and it doesnt look like it will rain .forecast failed miserably

Abhijit Modak said...

@ Rajesh Sir. As we discussed last night that yesterday too SW Saurashtra had Thundery development near Porbandar -Junagadh Belt.

So some Rain data of today ending 8.30am for Saurashtra region.

Ulpeta 90mm
Kalyanpur 50mm
Porbandar 30mm
Talala 20mm

rajesh said...

abhijit: Yes, i saw the figures too. They are put up by IMD. But, i'll wait for my recheck..as yesterday, Anjar received 43 mms, that was correct, but it seems the actual rainfall at Bhuj was 24 mms.!!

Anonymous said...

The main thunderstorm activity starts in mumbai by tommorow evening or by monday. today was just a glimpse of wht is abt to take place from next week.


thanks ,preeti

Abhijit Modak said...

Okk. Rajesh Sir.. Today was excited to see Thunder developing but also disappointed as it didn't pour here ! And instead it quickly got disappeared.. But I think Murbad, Barvi dam, Badlapur in NE of Badlapur & Matheran, Karjat in S/SE would have got better spell as per Radar report & also by visual observation from mine place. So lets see an rain amount of that places tomorrow..

KEA Weather said...

@anonymous, didn't it rain in Bangalore on Friday night? there was heavy rain for around half hour when I was driving between Whitefield and koramangala

Anonymous said...

As said earlier thunderstorms that we are waiting for , are going to take place now so the countdown begins fro today till thursday.

junaid said...

the imd has predicted fairly widespread rainfall activity for maharashta after 3 days!!

Arpit Sharma said...

Nobody is predicting rain for western himalayan region still it is raining there at isolated places ranging from light to moderate to rather heavy.Yesterday Dehradun recorded 7.4mm of rain.

sset said...

correct just few IV drops like rain over Bangalore.

India driest place is now -
south east penisular india.

Saurashthra,Kutch,west Raj receives 3 times more rain. Marathwada receives 5 times more rain.

garbage,desertification,power cuts... continue.

http://timesofindia.indiatimes.com/city/bangalore/Bangalore-spared-rest-of-state-faces-power-cuts/articleshow/16608503.cms

Anonymous said...

rajesh sir was right .it was a wet start to sunday for bangalore.moderate rain for 30 min .hope it turns into heavy rains as the day progresses.as of now conditions look perfect for heavy rains

Anonymous said...

@kea weather ..is it .it was not heavy in my area .bangalorecity and airport too did not recive significant rains

Anonymous said...

from tommorow rainfall activity will increase in maharashtra so also the chances of thunderstorm activity in mumbai will increase , also there are high chances of thunderstorm today evening in mumbai.

thanks preeti

Anonymous said...

A sudden change in wind direction from tommorow thats is SSW direction is going to bring rains in mumbai temporarily.

thanks preeti

Anonymous said...

rainfall was very heavy in bangalore . bangalore is experiencing good rains last few days.

Anonymous said...

wow that means sset will be very happy now , as bangalore is experiencing very good rains.