Well, my last put up forecast period ended on Thursday.
I'll start with my most sucessfull region, Kathmandu. The capital recieved very heavy rains from Thursday, amounting to 135 mms in 24 hrs ended Thursday evening. this could be the highest 24 hr rainfall ever for the month of September, i'll check up on that. The month's total with today's rainfall goes upto 299 mms, against a September normal of 200 mms for Kathmandu. Wasn't "rainfall increasing on Thursday" predicted for Kathmandu in vagaries ? -:))
Besides Kathmandu, Pokhra got 51 mms.
As the axis has shifted towards the foothills, we can expect the heavy rains in the capital to continue thru Friday and Saturday. May not be 135 mms, but ceratinly heavy.
The erstwhile WD has merged in the axis.
The axis has gone away far from the Sindh region of Pakistan. But a stubborn "limping" UAC continues to make the most of the "lingering" moisture around the Sindh/Kutch coastline. Normally a dry region, the persistent moisture present due to favourable winds, have resulted in rainfall continuing in the region. Though very heavy in very small pockets, like Okha getting 240 mms and Dwarka 121 mms, there has been 20-40 mms in other places too. Rainfall in Sindh coast has been much lighter with Karachi getting an average of 20-24 mms of rain Thursday.
What happens on Friday? The Monsoon axis moves further into the hills (Northwards). The UAC over NE MP has moved NE into the axis, and has lost its identity. If the Sindh UAC (in isolation) continues beyond Friday , there will be absolutely no reason in my book to explain why !
Moderate to hevay rains in Northern states of Kashmir, HP (Kangra got 60 mms), Utteranchal (Dehradun 40 mms), Haryana and Delhi NCR (Panchkula got 40 mms).
Delhi NCR got an average of 25 mms, but will continue to get fairly good precipitations Friday. Heavy rains in UP.Very Heavy downpours in Himalayan W.Bengal and Sikkim.
Gujarat coastal Saurashtra rains decreasing.
West coast trough, already weak, will remain so, and Konkan will get weak rainfall Friday. Rest Maharashtra too will have light rains in isolated pockets.
Mumbai will have sunny/partly cloudy Friday, with a few passing showers, with upto 10 mms of rain till 8.30 am Saturday.
Due to time constraint, Weekend forecast tomorrow...