A high pressure is likely to form in the Bay by Saturday. This High is expected to last for 2 days till 15th October.
The sea level pressure required during NEM is a large formation of low over the Bay.
But what we need for the NEM to advance is a prominent anti-cyclone at 500 hpa over the Central Myanmar region. This may start forming around the 16th of October.
Till then, only the western side will get some precipitation, with west winds rushing towards the high. Thus keeping the SWM "alive in Kerala and adjoining TN.
Negative Parameter: 200Hpa westerly jet streams are still not perfectly formed, and upper level high is weak.
Positive Parameters for the NEM may commence from 16th October.
Mumbai Scruz touched a high of 33.9c on Friday, vagaries touched 34.0c. This was mainly due to the East breeze which prevented the sea breeze from setting in, which finally set in at around 12.15 pm on Friday. The temperature stabilised and "plateaued" after that. The humidity was at a low of 36% at 12.15 pm , and rose to some extent after that.
Saturday will also see East winds in the morning, and should see the temperature rising to 34/35c, before the sea breeze sets in..the timing has to be as early as possible to prevent a rise in day temperatures.
In spite of being indisposed, Pradeep has sent us this list..Thanks Pradeep from all of us and get well soon !
Toppers in Maharashtra -(1st June to 30th September)
Kitwade - 6263
Dajipur - 6083
Amboli - 6055
Gaganbawda - 5402
Mahabaleshwar - 5235
Patgaon - 5214
Sangameshwar - 5201
Mulshi - 5151
Kasari - 5090
Ghat section will provide today