Monday, June 01, 2015

Posted Tuesday Night:
Parts of Sindh got light rains on Monday night and Tuesday...4 mms in Jacobabad..Seeing more rains in SE Sindh now in Satellite image...

Delhi NCR had squalls and showers in most parts on Monday night and during Tuesday evening...Overnight rains as on Tuesday morning was 8 mms at Jafarpur,  6 mms at Palam, 3 mms at S'Jung and Gurgaon and 2 mms at Lodhi Road. (Estimated was average 5 mms).

Bangalore saw 24 mms as on Tuesday Morning.

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As hoped for, AP Coast, Machillipatnnam saw 5 cms of rains and Vijaywada 2cms, and cooled down the region.
The UAC in the Southern Bay has almost fizzled out, and remnant weak clouding seen in its Location.
However, the latest chart of sea level pressure shows a Low (AS-1) forming in the South Arabain Sea.
The off shore trough, likely to form off Karnataka-Kerala coast by 3rd June, will embed the Low. AS-1 will show as a Low off the Karnataka coast by 4th, and will pull up the South West Monsoon into Kerala.

As-1 will, as mentioned deepen to a Well Marked Low and fizzle out by 6th/7th June in the Sea.

Vagaries maintains, that Mumbai will get its first showers around 5th June....Monsoon around 14th June.

Rains increasing in Goa from 5th...and Monsoon setting in around 9th.
We can expect Monsoon to enter Gujarat State around 17th June...

Thunder showers expected in Bangalore for 2 more days on Tuesday 2nd and Wednesday 3rd evenings..around 10-15 mms/day.
Days will cool down to 35c in Hyderabad on Thursday and Friday. This will be due to Thunder shaowers on Wednesday night. Thursday and Friday also will see medium showers, keeping the day around 35/36c.


Bangalore received heavy rains on Sunday night and showers on Monday.
Delhi NCR got its WD showers on Monday. Some areas witnessed squalls.

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Karnataka continues to get Pre-monsoon rains, ending 8.30 am on 02.06.2015

The cyclonic circulation over Lakshadweep area and neighbourhood persists and now  extends between 1.5 & 5.8 kms a.s.l.

in mm (min 25 mm)

Bilekallahalli - 100
Holesalu - 80
Siddaianapura - 79
Melukote - 69
Koila - 67
Bajathuru - 64
Melkote - 63
Talakadu - 62
MM Hills - 60
Kollegal - 60
Hindisigere - 57
B.Valagerehalli - 54
Kikkeri - 54
Arakere - 50
Chikkamagaluru - 48
Krishnarajapet - 47
Kadawada - 46
Seelunare - 44
Akkur Hosahalli - 42
Dodda Kowalande - 41
Yelandur - 41
Kunigal  - 40
Sanivar Santhe - 38
N.G.Hulkur - 32
Tirumakudalu Narasipura - 31
Malavally - 28
Begur - 26
Kailancha - 26
Malavalli  - 26
Dammaningala - 25
Honakere - 25
Mirle - 25
Kodihally - 25
Chandrashekarapura - 25
Ramasagar - 25


Cherra's Mindblowing start continues, Meghalaya Rainfall ending 8.30 am on 02.06.2015

A north south trough runs from Bhutan to north Odisha across west Assam, Bangladesh and Gangetic West Bengal extends upto 1.5 km above mean sea level .

in mm


Cherrapunji  - 181
Cherrapunji RKM - 124
Williamnagar - 90
Mawkyrhat - 47
Baghmara - 30
Jowai - 18
Nongostion  - 14
Rongara - 8
Shillong - 5

Andhra continues to get rain from the UAC, Tamil Nadu Rainfall ending 8.30 am on 02.06.2015

The cyclonic circulation over west central and adjoining southwest Bay of Bengal off south Andhra Pradesh coast now lies over west central Bay of Bengal off Andhra Pradesh coast and extends between 3.1 & 5 8 kms a.s.l.

in mm (min 20 mm)

Tatapudi - 90
Machilipattinam - 54
Muggaulla - 50
Ethakota - 48
Torredu  - 45
Mogalthur - 45
Nuzvid - 42
Bheemavaram - 36
Undi  - 36
Yelamanchili - 31
Palakoderu - 30
Palacole - 29
Kangundi - 29
P Gannavaram - 28
Meerjapuram  - 28
Kothapeta - 27
Agiripalle - 27
Bantumilli - 27
Gollavanitippa - 26
Narasapuram - 25
Settigunta - 24
Madicherla - 23
Atreyapuram - 21
Yerragondapalem - 20
Rayavaram - 20
Kalumala Doddi - 20
Muramanda - 20
Kuppam - 20
Venkatarama Agraharam - 20
Vijyawada AP - 20
Tanuku - 20
Tiruvuru - 20
Tadepalligudem - 20

Krishnagiri battered again, Tamil Nadu Rainfall ending 8.30 am on 02.06.2015

The cyclonic circulation over west central and adjoining southwest Bay of Bengal off south Andhra Pradesh coast now lies over west central Bay of Bengal off Andhra Pradesh coast and extends between 3.1 & 5 8 kms a.s.l.

in mm

Kondampatti - 70
Rayakottah - 63
Hosur - 56
Palacode - 49
Karimangalam - 47
Thali - 40
Pennagaram - 40
Devakottai - 38
Uthangarai - 32
Sivaganga - 30
Jolarpet - 29 
Alangayan - 26
Marandahalli - 24
Kadaiyampatty - 23
Kodaikanal - 23
Devala - 21
Vaigai Dam - 19
Parsons Valley - 18
Emerald - 18
Denkanikottai - 18
Ammapet - 17
Vadipatti - 15
Mettur - 13
Krishnagiri - 13
Paiyur - 12
Mettupatti - 12
Periyakulam - 11   
Dharamapuri - 10
Dharmapuri Pto  - 10
Nedungal - 9
Madhanur - 8
Natrampalli - 8
Kadambathur - 8
Pencondapuram - 6
Mecheri - 6
Yelagiri - 6
S Pudur - 5
Tirupathur - 5
Andipatti - 5
Pochampalli - 5

Its Kanyakumari again to get widespread rains, Tamil Nadu Rainfall ending 8.30 am on 01.06.2015

The upper air cyclonic circulation over southwest Bay of Bengal off north Tamilnadu coast now lies over west central and adjoining southwest Bay of Bengal off south Andhra Pradesh coast between 2.1 km to 3.6 km above mean sea level. Hail storm was repored in Krishnagiri and Kodaikanal district.

in mm (min 15 mm)

Pechiparai - 75
Avinasi - 71
Pegumbahallah - 66
Pillur - 55
Colachel - 52
Kaundampadi - 50 
Vedasandur - 48
Nangavalli - 48
Coonoor - 47
Karamadai - 45
Mettupalayam - 40
Coonoor Pto - 40
Tirupuvanam - 38
Chittar II - 37
Adayamadai - 36 
Sathyamangalam - 36
Chittar I - 36 
Pochampalli - 33
Annur - 32
Kalasapakkam - 31
Yercaud - 31
Perundurai - 30 
Palaviduthi - 30
Bhavanisagar - 30
Barur - 28
Salem - 26
Mullangivilai - 26
Kumarapalayam - 26
Periyakulam - 26
Ammapet - 25
Chengam - 24 
Kulasekahram - 23
Periyanaickenpalayam - 22
Natrampalli - 21
Puthen Dam - 21
Perunchani - 21
Bhavani - 20
Mecheri - 20
Nagercoil - 20
Olapalayam - 20
Thiruparappu - 19
Pappireddipatti - 19 
Jolarpet - 18
Musiri - 18
Ketti - 17
Palacode - 17
K bridge - 16
Uthagamandalam - 16
Vaiyampatty - 16
Balmore - 15

Karnataka gets blasting Pre-monsoon rains, ending 8.30 am on 01.06.2015

The upper air cyclonic circulation over southwest Bay of Bengal off north Tamilnadu coast now lies over west central and adjoining southwest Bay of Bengal off south Andhra Pradesh coast between 2.1 km to 3.6 km above mean sea level.

in mm (min 50 mm)

Bagur - 134
Duddamagge - 132
Tippuru - 122
Khotanatti - 111
Telsang - 87
Koratagere - 85
Shantigrama - 83
Agrahara - 82
Bidarahalli - 77
Harihara Pallatadka - 76
Dastikoppa- 73
Kodlipet - 72
Kumthe - 71
Gote - 71
Sankigatta - 70
Hunasaghatta - 70
Kalghatgi - 70
Kyasinakere - 70
Satti - 69
Kalinganahalli - 65
Hosur - 64
Hebbal - 64
Subramanya - 62
Chelur - 60
Gadiganuru - 59
Antur - 59
Tavarekere - 59
Sydarakallahalli - 56
Chikkatirupathi - 56
Marthahally - 56
Udayapura - 56
Nelahal - 53
Sukravarsanthe - 53
Huggiyam - 51
Khanapur - 50
GKVK Bangalore - 50
Murgod - 50
Badami - 50
Sankeshwar - 50
Hosakote - 50
Goudanbhavi - 50

Cherra the king gets over 500 mm rainfall in 24 hrs, Assam and Meghalaya Rainfall ending 8.30 am on 01.06.2015

A trough on sea level chart extends from the east Uttar Pradesh to NMMT across Bihar, central parts of West Bengal and Bihar
in mm

Meghalaya

Cherrapunji RKM - 558
Cherrapunji - 542
Williamnagar - 110
Mawkyrwat - 92
Jowai - 48
Nongostion - 40

Assam

Kokrajar - 170
Goalpara - 163
Chouldhowaghat - 148
Manas - 130
Dhupdhara - 123
Gossaigaon - 115
Kajigaon - 112
Bahalpur - 112
Dhubri - 104
Tikrikilla - 100
Dhemaji - 99
AIE NH xing - 97
Tinsukia - 90
Panbari - 69
Beki Road Bridge - 69
Dibrugarh - 53
Pagladiya - 51
Nalbari - 50
Dholai - 50
Dholabazar - 50
Mushalpur - 50
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" Our Models currently show Monsoon likely to hit Kerala around June 5th. Onset would be weak as the Monsoon system was failing to gain strength"...Quote D.S. Pai, Head LRF, IMD (in ToI)..With D.S.Pai in Pune

7 comments:

Vinod Desai said...

Sir,
Cherrapunji received very heavy rain. Does it mean monsoon has covered northeast or this is just a pre monsoon activity.

rajesh said...

Vinod: Cherra received 54 cms and Cherra RKM got 56 cms...but these are pre monsoon bursts. Monsoon progress is seen in the map diagram on right side of vagaries blog. It is regularly updated.

Kaneyen said...

Dear Rajesh,
Due to the revised SWM-2015 forecast of ESSO-IMD there is a fall in sensex index in India. EARTH SYSTEM SCIENCE ORGANISATION[ESSO]-IMD now re-estimated the country's rainfall at 88% of Long Period Average.

abizer Kachwala said...

rajesh sir,will the country as a whole recieve normal rainfall?.please again put forecast about roha,panvel,pen and mumbai?.thanks in advance.

rajesh said...

abizer: Forecast remains same and valid (as last put up) unless changed

Patel Sanni said...

Sir, as US agencies predicting drought over west india and pakistan ???
It is so, is there anything to be concern ???

rajesh said...

Patel Sanni: Accuweather is showing big area as low rainfall. But may not be so severe in a vast region..Vagaries' estimate is put up