It is showing a stagnant and weakening Trend, as dry air and stable air is rushing in from the high pressure ridge in the North.
Convective trend is waning.
However, system will strike Oman with heavy rainfall, as the landscape of Oman is not suited and is unable to cope with heavy falls leading to quick flooding.
muscat can expect rains from Wednesday evening,and heavier on Thursday. Can get around 40 -50 mms from Wed through Thursday.
The South West Monsoon will progress into Konkan and South Maharashtra on the estimated date around 14th June.
We may expect Monsoon in Kolkata from 15th and pre monsoon rains from 13/14th. Can expect 50 mms on monsoon setting day in Kolkata.