Sunday, April 17, 2011
Weekend Weather Behaviour in Line with vagries'Forecast originally up on 15th:
Good rains reported from Kashmir and H.P.on Saturday, and specially on Sunday. Snowfall reported from some higher altitude areas of the state. Keylong, headquater of Lahaul Spiti experienced 5 cm snowfall during the last 24 hrs and high reaches of Kinnuar, Kullu and Chamba also had light spell of snow .
On Sunday, Dharamsala receives 19 mms of rain and many stations in H.P. between 10-20 mms.
Srinagar with 8 mms of rain was at a day's high of 13c.
In the plains, rains were spread all over Punjab, Haryana, North Rajasthan and Delhi, had an overcast day with light rainfall throughout. Amritsar, Ferozeepur, Gurgaon, Rohtak, Jullendar and Delhi had a thunderstorm on Sunday evening. Rain with hail storm was reported from Nainital and Dehradun. Where as rain has affected the normal life in Chamoli, Almora and Pithoragarh.
Some Highs in Punjab Cities (Vagaries'original estimate in brackets): Patiala: 32c 20c, Amritsar 32c- 17c and Ambala 31c-22c.( Vagaries'Estimated for Punjab Cities:34-18). Delhi max:37c. and min 22c (Estimated 37-22).
Pakistan: Several stations had very heavy rains between 50-80 mms.Muree had heavy rains of 66 mms, Islamabad 33 mms and Rawalpindi 27 mms. Islamabad day's high 24c,( below 25c), Karachi 36c (36c). Highest in Pakistan: Turbat at 42c.(Not more than 40c).
Now, Vagaries had predicted A3 to follow along the lines of A2 in terms of forming an induced low.
This has happened on Sunday.
IMD Sunday bulletin release states, Quote-"An induced cyclonic circulation extending upto 1.5 kms a.s.l. lies over Rajasthan and neighbourhood.The
trough/wind discontinuity at 0.9 km a.s.l. now runs from the above system to Lakshadweep area across west Madhya Pradesh, Vidarbha,
Marathwada, south Madhya Maharashtra, interior Karnataka and Kerala".
Promised Sunday review of Vortex formation over Marathwada:
An embedded UAC within this line has formed somewhere near South Mah. (a bit to the west of predicted Marathwada region), and is about to bring the anticipated rains/thundershowers into S.Mah. and spread to Marathwada ansd Vidharbha from Monday.
Also check on MW-2 put up on Saturday.
Posted 21st Night: Major outlook for next 4 days is moderate rainfall in Odisha, West Bengal, NE States. Some medium to nominal rainfall a...