Thursday, April 28, 2011
Many International forecasting models indicate the formation of Pre- Monsoon low pressure in the Bay by the 1st of May.
Vagaries estimates the system may ultimately develop into a depression, ( maybe upto 998 mb) at the most, and move NE towards Myanmar around 3/4 May. This direction is estimated by Vagaries seeing the SST having its "core heating" sector near the Myanmar coast.
Also a W.D. in Northern most Kashmir and Afghanistan will push NW winds into the plains of the Sub-Continent, which can divert the system towards east
Dont see much effect on Indian coastline
MW 4 being put up tonite.
Posted 20th February Tuesday Night: Heat to build up this week (21st -24th) in Madhya Maharashtra ( Pune/Ahmednagar) North Konkan and So...
Monsoon Watch -3... 2017 (Additional)...May 9th 2017. Monsoon Arrival Estimate. The arrival date is calculated seeing today's positi...
Monsoon Watch – 3 (part 1)...2017 .....4th May Further Analysis of the parameters as discussed in MW-1,MW-2. Position as on 4 th May :...
Monsoon Watch --4 ...Quantum Analysis Quantum Analysis is evaluated for the amount of summer monsoon rainfall over Indian monsoon region ...