Mini Monsoon Watch-4:
South West Monsoon
But we can advance it as the major 200 level jet streams are well positioned.
Pre Monsoon showers in Maldives yesterday have precipitated 35 mms in Gan and 26 mms in Kaadhedhoo. Trace in Male.
Monsoon can move into Maldives region around 27th May.
After this , what we require is a gradient, pressure gradient. This will form with the NW heating more, and seasonal low forming to create a steep gradient from the Thar Region to South Kerala Seas.
Current Core Low around 1000/1002 hpa.
For this, the Friday 22nd May Day temperatures indicate the heating has started.