Sunday, May 17, 2020

Posted 17th May Evening:

"Amphan" ..Very Severe Cyclonic Storm..Tracking North now (Along path shown in below post) ..and wind speed 120-130 kmph thus showing an evolving eye.. (Warning: By 19th , it can peak to 180-190 kmph, and then weaken slightly before landfall  ) 

Located at 11.7N and 86.3E, 675 kms East/SE of Chennai.. Intensity: T4.0. Cat 1...Estimated Pressure 987 mb..
Track as shown in previous Post
Expected Intensification due to initial favourable symptoms


Divergence with TPW Background

shear with TPW Background

Squally Winds and Heavy Rains likely in Kolkata from 20th..

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Posted 10.30 pm monday AS1 still a depression and location at 14.2N & 71.2 E.. 310 kms SW off panaji And 570 kms SW off Mumbai. Track...