Friday, May 15, 2020

Posted 15th May Friday Noon time:

BB-1: Now lies as a Well Marked Low at 10.5N and 87.6E. Estimated Core pressure 1004 mb. Estimated winds at  15-20 knts.

The Positive Vorticity has increased over the South East Bay. MJO is in Phase 2 with amplitude 1. The TCHP ( Tropical Cyclone Heat Potential) is more than 100 kg/cm2 over the Southern Bay region, but decreasing in the North Bay. The SST is 30-31c. Upper Level divergence has increased.
Thus being favourable for the system. Initial Rapid Intensification.
Track 

South West Monsoon Bay Branch advancing with system..AS BB-1 moves NW, the depth of SW winds over the Islands will be at 700 hpa by Sunday.

Thick clouding over Maldives..Rains:
Kaadehdhoo 118 mms, Gan 98 mms. Kadhoo 41 mms, Male 36 mms,

1 comment:

Kaustubh said...

Sir will this depression pull monsoon over bay of Bengal and Sri Lanka or it will be another cyclone which will suck up monsoon and delay its progress?
Kaustubh

Posted 10.30 pm monday AS1 still a depression and location at 14.2N & 71.2 E.. 310 kms SW off panaji And 570 kms SW off Mumbai. Track...