Monday's Highest temperatures in Asia were very closely contested, and were seperated by few points from the other:
The Hottest days on Monday, 11th June, were in :
Joba (Oman) 47.0c, Abadan (Iran) 46.6c, Makkah (S.Arabia) 46.4c, Allahbad (India) 46.2c, Sibi (Pakistan) 45.0c.
Coming back to the trough off the West Coast, it has an embedded UAC at 700 hpa in it,which on Monday, 11th, was off the Mah coast.
From weather patterns, it seems the UAC, at 700 hpa, will just shift a bit towards the coast on Tuesday, before returning to the off shore position away from the west coast,somewhere off Goa coast by Wednesday, 13th.
Rainfall wise, i do not really see any meaningfull increase due to this shift on Tuesday. A very nominal rainfall increase would be measured in some places of the interiors East of Mumbai along the Ghats on Tuesday.
Wednesday would again mean a decrease in rain intensity all along the Konkan belt.
As the trough would remain "mediocre" i would not vouch for any substantial increase in rains along Konkan till Friday, 15th.
Interior Mah: South Madhya Mah. would get 2-4 cms of rain on Tuesday, while Marathwada would recieve thundershowers, heavy in some places on Wednesday and Thursday due to heat convection.
Would not recommend advance of Monsoon into the regions at this stage.
Tuesday: 32-27c. Windy and Partly Cloudy to cloudy by afternoon. 50% chances of light to medium showers in some parts of the city. Rain amount expected 7-10 mms.
Wednesday: 33-26c. Partly cloudy and warm. A few passing showers in some parts. Rain amount expected upto 5 mms.
Thursday: 34-28c. Partly cloudy to sunny. Hot day. Rain amount expected <5 mms.
Tuesday: Partly cloudy with thunder in the evening. Some rainfall in some areas upto 10 mms expected by night.
Wednesday/Thursday: Partly cloudy with llight passing drizzles in some parts.
Central Interior regions of Saurashtra would get some rainfall, light to medium, in a few spread out pockets till wednesday.
Surat possibly could get a shower on Tuesday, with decrease in rainfall from Wednesday.
Bharuch, cloudy with a few light showers on Tuesday or Wednesday.
Local heat would create a vortex in interior AP on Wednesday. If the heat is extensive, I would expect the vortex to be pulled in from the trough along the East Coast, to bring about heavy rains in Hyderabad on Wed/Thursday.
Light rainfall in spread out pockets in S.I.Karnataka next few days. Very heavy rainfall due to the off trough strength expected along Coastal Karnataka from Wednesday.
But in reality, a very small area is covered by the SWM this year, The Map on the Current Page shows the actual coverage as on date, and roughly would work out to, say, 25-30 % ??