Wednesday, June 06, 2012

Which are the Hottest Places on Earth ?? Rectified Now for easier viewing ..See interesting Video on International Page...
Mumbai Page now shows the Lakes Storage Position of 2011 an2012 comparatively. This will be updated till the Monsoon season is over.


SWM advances into Coastal Karnataka, and Goa. With Goa getting a substantial 72 mms today, it has managed 3 consecutive days of rainfall over the minimal 5 mms. SW winds and OLR within 200 norm with wind depth justifies the advance. 




A couple of days back, when Vagaries voiced concern over the "not-s-cool" Somali waters, there was lack of clouding in the Arabian Sea. Subsequently, we saw a surge of the SW winds coming into the Sea and formation of the Monsoon clouds developed rapidly.


Today, while discussing with Ashokbhai , we observed the monsoon winds from the Somali coast getting slightly diverted to some extent, into Saurashtra and Kutch region. By diverted, I mean, a portion of the "cool" winds which are supposed to form Mass Monsoon Clouds in the warm Central Arabian Sea, are shedding their usefull energies elsewhere.


Next 2 days the Monsoon may advance into South Konkan, say by 8th June, and as estimated earlier, Mumbai will get the Monsoon advancing by the 12th/13th of June.
Interior Mah will need to wait for the SWM. (See map Below, rough estimate of SWM given as indications).


Amit, I think Vid and Nagpur will have to wait till at least the 16th of June. With the MJO phase getting weak, it has been mentioned previously in Vagaries of the Monsoon advancing into Vid later than 17th June.(See estimated further advance map). 
Nagpur will actually heat up again around 12th/13th June to 45c. Local and convectional Thundersqualls could be expected around those days.


For Bangladesh, rest of this week heavy rainfall will be restricted to the mainly Northern Regions adjoining Meghalaya. 
Monsoon could cover the full nation around the 15th of June.











Check Current Weather Page and Mumbai Readings @ Vagaries'.

17 comments:

sset said...

Navi Mumbai recevies heavy rain. Much ahead of time - usually after june 10. By the way SWM has not covered AP??? AP still in heat wave inspite of arrival of monsoon.

svt said...

Mumbai didnt get promised thunderstom last night. Any reasons? Will we get thunderstorm today?

rajesh said...

svt: I think vagaries is almost on stream with the forecast..this was what was mentioned for Mumbai: "Mumbai will get its pre-monsoon showers on Wednesday afternoon/evening. Rain amount could be around 7-10 mms. Day will be warm and humid at 35c with the minimum on Wednesday morning at 30c".

S'cruz had 14 mms on Wed. evening, and Colaba 0 mms. Average 7 mms !
Anyway, thats not the point, the monsoon will really set in only around 13th as mentioned.
Eastern skies will see some thunder clouds bt evening. Showers in some parts possible.

svt said...

Oh! Didnt knew that Santacruz got 14 mm of rains yesterday as Dadar got only light drizzle.

svt said...

Light rain in Dadar for last 10 minutes.

Anonymous said...

from 6th morning to 7th morning(11.45am) there was no rain in borivali west!!

Anonymous said...

two to three showers lasting 5-10 mins each between 12noon to 3pm at borivali west.

junaid said...

@rajesh but nearly all weather agencies failed to describe of the falli in max of mumbai wich was a much needed welcome change!!!panvel has got decent rain thse two days!!

Shitij said...

Today some areas of Surat got heavy rain which lasted for 20 minutes while some areas were completely dry.

Ron said...

been raining for a while now..

Shitij said...

Heavy rain in Surat from the last 30 minutes

Shitij said...

Tomorrow I am going to Shirdi. Can you tell me how the weather will be??

rajesh said...

shitij: are you driving to Shirdi ? anyway, i expect a thundershower around shirdi area anytime after 4 pm. What time are you leaving and returning ?

NT said...

Rajeshbhai, I observed that it was cool and pleasant around 7:00 AM today at Juhu, it did not feel at all like the pre-monsoon June 8th morning - the heat and humidity that you would typically expect, i don't know what the minimum temp was today morning but just thought of sharing this as I found it a bit unusual.

Shitij said...

Tomorrow around 5:00 am I will leave Surat. Day after tomorrow I will leave Shirdi around 1:00 pm.

rajesh said...

shitij:Chances of thunder clouding with brief squall tomorrow afternoon. Night at Shirdi could be clear,and pleasant at 24c.

Anonymous said...

It is interesting to read all about uac/td/sst/mb charts and what nots! What is missing all together is a forecast or a semblance of it or should I say a guessing game which our IMD prsonnel are very generous with.I find it very amusing to read the guessing game of ADVANCE OF SWM and thereafter for the last three days reading the explanations as to why the guesses were wrong.Maybe the SST at Somalia was at fault-pun intented.ingpete