Mumbai Page now shows the Lakes Storage Position of 2011 an2012 comparatively. This will be updated till the Monsoon season is over.
SWM advances into Coastal Karnataka, and Goa. With Goa getting a substantial 72 mms today, it has managed 3 consecutive days of rainfall over the minimal 5 mms. SW winds and OLR within 200 norm with wind depth justifies the advance.
A couple of days back, when Vagaries voiced concern over the "not-s-cool" Somali waters, there was lack of clouding in the Arabian Sea. Subsequently, we saw a surge of the SW winds coming into the Sea and formation of the Monsoon clouds developed rapidly.
Today, while discussing with Ashokbhai , we observed the monsoon winds from the Somali coast getting slightly diverted to some extent, into Saurashtra and Kutch region. By diverted, I mean, a portion of the "cool" winds which are supposed to form Mass Monsoon Clouds in the warm Central Arabian Sea, are shedding their usefull energies elsewhere.
Next 2 days the Monsoon may advance into South Konkan, say by 8th June, and as estimated earlier, Mumbai will get the Monsoon advancing by the 12th/13th of June.
Interior Mah will need to wait for the SWM. (See map Below, rough estimate of SWM given as indications).
Amit, I think Vid and Nagpur will have to wait till at least the 16th of June. With the MJO phase getting weak, it has been mentioned previously in Vagaries of the Monsoon advancing into Vid later than 17th June.(See estimated further advance map).
Nagpur will actually heat up again around 12th/13th June to 45c. Local and convectional Thundersqualls could be expected around those days.
For Bangladesh, rest of this week heavy rainfall will be restricted to the mainly Northern Regions adjoining Meghalaya.
Monsoon could cover the full nation around the 15th of June.
Check Current Weather Page and Mumbai Readings @ Vagaries'.