Friday, September 11, 2015

Posted Saturday 12th Night:

1. Low BB-6 forms in North Bay.

2. Delhi NCR hot as Palam and S'Jung touch 38c and Gurgaon 39c on Saturday.

3. Maharashtra Thunder Showers Saturday.( Rainfall for 12hrs ended 8.30 pm IST).

Nashik 55 mms, Pune 49 mms, Latur 51 mms, Dhule 37 mms, Aurangabad 7 mms, Parbhani 17 mms.

Mumbai Scruz 17 mms , Colaba 5 mms, Thane (AWS) 10 mms, 

Mumbai: Thunder Shower expected in Mumbai on Sunday evening.
Thunder showers in Madhya Mah expected...and in Saurashtra.
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Posted Friday Night;

Thunder showers in Mumbai on Saturday ...heavy in some areas.

24 comments:

Vinod Desai said...

western suburbs are missing thundershowers.

ANOOP RAWAT said...

Light rain is expected in east of DELHI

sset said...

Again Vagaries 100% hit - Navi Mumbai torrential downpours dark,thunderstorms....

abizer Kachwala said...

Sir ,imd predicting very heavy rain around 20 th septemberas well as other sites.whats your view as your forecast is every time correct.how will pen , roha benifit from this.what about system from bay of bengal?

Ashish Gupta said...

Rajesh Sir you had predicted heavy evening showers in Mumbai from 12th Sept onwards more than a week off. Hats off to you sir!

wilfredfranklin said...

Wow bang on prediction !

Nilay Wankawala said...

Thundering and lightening and also started raining khar West Mumbai just few mins back

sset said...

Rains/thunders also reported over GUJ - always GUJ rains are of extreme style !!!
AP still awaiting for intense rains due to Bay low - hopefully this happens / North TN also eagerly looking to grab some share....

ANOOP RAWAT said...

Vagaries right for DELHI NCR as well .Gurgaon crossed 39℃.palam/sfd @38℃

Abhijit said...

Junagadh (IMD AWS) received 80mm rainfall till 8.30pm today in that 60mm recorded in just 1hr between 4.30pm to 5.30pm..

Vinod Desai said...

Sir,
Any chance of rain in north gujarat region.

Pankaj Jani said...

Track Tropical Cyclone Chapala LIVE : Rajeshji what is your opinion about this cyclone? Will it built in BB or Arabian sea

rajesh said...

Vinod: Some chances of rain in North Gujarat,on Saturday Night and Sunday.

Pankaj Jani: Pankaj, Vagaries has not mentioned any cyclone estimate. I dont see any cyclone till at least next 8 days...As soon as it is sure, I will surely put up.

Vinod Desai said...

Hope lakes and interior are getting good rains.

Vinod Desai said...

Sir,
Since low has form in bay so will it rain on maharashtra coast.If yes then will it be in form of evening thundershowers or normal rains that we get.

Anand Agarwal said...

where does this cyclone chapala originate????

Ishan Vajpeyi said...

When will Delhi-NCR get relief from the hot and humid weather persisting in the region?

ANOOP RAWAT said...

Sir,why humidity has increased for last 2 days in NCR .Dew point has jumped from 18℃ to 25℃ .what is responsible for it . A trough from UP To southward or anything else?

Anand Agarwal said...

when will kolkata get heavyrain .....

sset said...


http://weather.par.com.pk/cyclone-chapala-imminent-in-arabian-sea-september-18-2015/

this will not be good for NEM.... specially for drought stricken SE India...

but sites are already projecting deluge for NW India ......

sset said...

Bangalore seems to have weak September rains (rainiest season of year had few showers and now quiet) major gains if any needs to be this month only else end of season... may be due to north bay low - central india rains...possible cyclone over AS off Mumbai coast towards PAK ... south interior rains will get disturbed / monsoon axis won't move south???

Saurabh Dwivedi said...

Dear SSET
Here is the Cumulative Rainfall Link from IMD.
http://www.imd.gov.in/section/hydro/dynamic/rfmaps/daily.jpg
For your quick reference here are the biggest rainfall deviations from NW India.
East UP -44%
West UP -41%
Punjab -40%
Harayana -39%

The only surplus region in NW India is West Rajasthan at +38%.

Both from population and agriculture point of view UP, Punjab and Harayana form the bulk of NW India and they have had a very bad monsoon.
Even in the entire country only Madhya Maharashtra and Marathwada come close to these states with regard to rainfall deficit at -38 and -44 respectively.

This commment is just to correct the impression that NW india has had a good rainfall.

By the way any links that suggest NW India is likely to get a "deluge" in the rest of September

By the way if you see the map closely
South East India that includes TN, SI Karnataka, Coastal AP and Rayalseema are all in the green zone.

Lets hope for the best for entire India for the rest of the month.
Regards
Saurabh

Avtansh said...

Hi Saurabh, you may ignore sset. He is a propaganda-ist and repeatedly indulges in not only distorting facts but also fudges facts. All this has, time and again, been pointed out by number of readers on this forum. To no avail and he never responds to your reasoned comments/questions. Everyone recognizes he is a joke now - So, let him be.

In fact, IMHO his comments which are nothing but blatant lies should be filtered out to avoid giving the new/infrequent readers of this blog a false sense/impression of weather in India.

rajesh said...

Anand Agarwal: Kolkata i expect, will get thunder showers on Tuesday 15th
Delhi remains hot, and as Anoop said, a bit humid. Maybe due to the east winds, which will revert back to NW soon.But hot temps continue.