Monday, September 07, 2015

Posted on Monday 7th September Night:

Relief for Southern Maharashtra and South Marathwada Parched regions as thunder showers lashed the regions on Monday...

Vagaries' mentioned regions like Osmanabad (South Marathwada) got a good 44 mms till 9.30 pm, Solapur 23 mms till 8.30 pm. Latur, a much needed 8 mms.

Nagpur 31 mms, Ahmadnagar (AWS) 29 mms, Akola (AWS) 35 mms till 9.30 pm Nanded (Marathwada) 20 mms, Parbhani (South Marathwada) 16 mms, 

In North Interior Karnataka, Kanabargi near Belgaum recorded 21 mms on Monday. Dharwad (AWS) 6 mms.

Posted 6th Sunday Night:

Mumbai will continue to be hot and sunny on Monday 7th and Tuesday 8th. On Thursday 10th, City may get an evening  Thunder shower.

Roha and Pen regions of Konkan will be hot next few days and sunny. Thunder showers in the evening from Thursday.  
Light rain likely in Pune on Monday and Tuesday. Thunder showers increase from Thursday.

Monsoon Withdraws from West Rajasthan, Punjab, Haryana and parts of Kutch. 

Further withdrawal from Delhi and West U.P. around 12th. Strong NW winds in Delhi NCR.

As mentioned in the  1st September in Vagaries, a Low will form in the North Bay around the 9th/10th of September. May be weak at time of forming, and strengthening depends on the situation then at upper levels and the axis position.

Outlook for Monday 7th September and Tuesday 8th:
Heavy Rain Outlook: North Interior Karnataka, South Madhya Mah (Solapur, Sangli) and Southern Marathwada (Latur, Osmanabad), and Telengana ( Hyderabad can get some heavy showers).
Light showers likely in Southern Gujarat regions around Gulf of Khambhat ( Bhavnagar, Anand, Bharuch, Surat, Navsari)

Yesterday we mentioned about Hyderabad and Kurnool breaking the September day temperatures record, and on Sunday, the cities  got a good heavy showers. Kurnool received 16 mms till 5.30 pm , cooling it down.


Vijayanand said...

Very very heavy rain in bangalore east and north last night. Some places over 80 mm. So 3 days of belting rain. Super start to september.

Vijayanand said...

IMD banalore would have crossed over 80 cms for the year last night. So just 14 cms to reach yearly normal rainfall.

Dattaraj said...

As per previous forecast, some parts of Hyderabad got heavy showers yesterday. It was not widespread. I hope we will good rains in coming days.
Places like Bidar, Gulbarga in N.I Karnataka too received rains (again as par forecast by Vagaries).

Rajesh Sir,
Please provide more details on new low whenever you analyze on it.

sset said...

No way --- as per IMD till 06 sept 2015 below are BANG figures. Without brackets are numbers from june and with brackets are numbers from jan 2015. Even if we average still far way to go... parched city, parched lakes with dangerous low ground water needs more ... why dependency on Cauvery river which is huge distance away...elevated BANG topology needs huge energy to bring Cauvery water within BANG why not KAR government restore lifeless lakes??? All BANG startups talk about smart cities why not start from there own residing place which is utilizing max energy?

Bangalore HAL 26 (58)
Bangalore CITY 30 (77)
Bangalore KIAL 35 (60)

Rawat said...

sset why you are so worried about Bangalore.south east india is normal. Worry about Marathwada where suicide no have crossed 2014 no.Worry about HARYANA,punjab.

Vijayanand said...

SSET: Visit the exclusive bangalore page at :

The 80 cms, I was referring to is for the year. In summer April and May Bangalore IMD recorded 44 cms. So from Jan to Sep 6 its 80 cms.
So please check you data from multiple sources before commenting.
Btw how is your navi mumbai faring, is sun visible for a change.

Vijayanand said...

SSET please focus on other parts of maharastra, which along with north karnataka is facing the worst crisis of the decade. Bangalore has got excellent rain for the year. Stop using a good platform like vagaries to belittle and insult other cities. Your comments are plain cheap.

NilaY Wankawala said...

Monsoon rains may be less than the forecast of 88% of the long-period
average, India Meteorological Department Director General of Meteorology
L.S. Rathore said. (Cogencis).

Rawat said...

There are high chances of SWM below 88% of LPA as entire north west,parts of central and west india going dry.

NilaY Wankawala said...

Swm 2015 may end a tad above swm 2009 where it was 78% of LPA. Both 2009 and 2015 El Niño years where El Niño was in developing stage coinciding with begining of season and developing into full fledge El Niño as monsoon progressed. My guess is developing El Niño coinciding with indian monsoon season hits harder than established El Niño at begining of swm.

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