Saturday, September 26, 2015

Hot Day Temperatures in Kerala, Karnataka and A.P. (25th September)...Now headed for Heavy rains.

September All Time Highs Reached:
Kannur(Kerala):- Max temp-34.2 (4 degree above normal) ..Previous Record 34.0c on 30 Sept 2002
Kozhikode (Kerala)-35.6 (6 degree above normal)...Previous Record 34.7c  on 30 Sept 2014
Belgaum (AP) (Karnatka):-32.9(4 degree above normal)...Previous Record 32.8c  on 19 Sept 1987 (AP)

Places which have broken the record of at least 10 years:-
Bijapur (Karnatka):-34.5 (3 degree above normal)
Mandya (karnatka):-34 (4 degree above normal)
Kurnool (AP):-37.7( 5 degree above normal)
Ongole (AP):-38.7(5 degree above normal)
Anantpur (AP):-37 (4 degree above normal) it has breaking record of last 8 years
Gulbarga:-35.5 (3 degree above normal) it has broken the record of last 5 years

Input by Vagarian Vineet

Vagaries Meet on 26th September 2015 at Upvan Lake , Thane...Pics on "Vagaries Meet in Pics" Page

3 comments:

Kaneyen said...

Happy vagarian meet. Please consider one such meet out side Maharastra, preferably in Chennai sir.

rajesh said...

Would be happy to hold a meeting in Chennai....i am sure response will be good. Will discuss with Pradeep when we meet on Monday.

Nilay Wankawala said...

Credit Australian bureau of meteorology

Latest ENSO Wrap-Up issued 29 September 2015

The latest ENSO Wrap-Up and Climate Model Summary are now available on the Bureau's website.

El Niño persists as positive IOD emerges in a warm Indian Ocean
The tropical Pacific ocean and atmosphere are reinforcing each other, maintaining a strong El Niño that is likely to persist into early 2016. Tropical Pacific sea surface temperatures are more than 2 °C above average, exceeding El Niño thresholds by well over 1 °C, and at levels not seen since the 1997–98 event. In the atmosphere, tropical cloudiness has shifted east, trade winds have been consistently weaker than normal, and the Southern Oscillation Index (SOI) is strongly negative.

Most international climate models surveyed by the Bureau of Meteorology indicate El Niño is likely to peak towards the end of 2015. Typically, El Niño is strongest during the late austral spring or early summer, and weakens during late summer to autumn.

The Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) is in a positive phase, having exceeded the +0.4 °C threshold for the past 8 weeks. Recent values of the IOD index have been at levels not seen since the strong 2006 positive IOD event. Conversely, the Indian Ocean remains very warm on the broader scale.

Four out of five international models suggest the 2015 positive IOD event will persist until November, when it typically breaks down due to monsoon development.

El Niño is usually associated with below-average spring rainfall over eastern Australia, and increased spring and summer temperatures for southern and eastern Australia. A positive IOD typically reinforces the drying pattern, particularly in the southeast. However, sea surface temperatures across the whole Indian Ocean basin have been at record warm levels, and appear to be off-setting the influence of these two climate drivers in some areas.