Saturday, July 07, 2012

Mumbai Forecast cannot be restricted to a part of Mumbai, as the Mumbai Region covers a wider area. Replying to queries, cannot forecast for North Mumbai or South or Thane separately. Its impossible. I would say that the forecast should cover the entire Mumbai region . Special forecast can be put up for satellite townships when required.
Thane and Panvel  readings now put up on Mumbai Page with  Colaba and S'Cruz readings (alongside Forecast).

SW Monsoon moves further into Delhi, Haryana, Chandigarh and Punjab.. see map on Current Page 


While moving in, there was good precipitation in these states. Anandpur Sahib 14 cms, Chandigarh recieved 12 cms, Naraingarh 11 cms, Hoshiarpur 9cms, Nangal 6 cms. Delhi managed between 4-6 cms.


As the Monsoon progressed, there was very heavy rain in East Rajajsthan. Amongst the heavier falls there:Todabhim 14, Atru 14, Alwar 13, Kishanganj 11, Shahabad 11 and Chabra 8.
In West UP, Philbhit got 15cms. Varanasi got 9 cms.


So there was very precipitation along the Monsoon axis (line) as estimated. 


But, the Monsoon still has a long way to go..The West Coast trough is showing "courage" and still persists. But, the ridge in the Interior Mah and Karnataka regions has started forming (just about).


See Weekend forecast for the region and cities put up on Friday...

SW Monsoon has also moved into Northern most regions of Pakistan...


Precipitation is also pushing into Pakistan, with Jhelum getting 48 mms, Rawalpindi measuring 44 mms and Islamabad 29 mms, Muree 26 mms and Sialkot 24 mms.


Lucky Break..MJO may hold on a few days more than estimated...report on Sunday at 10 pm IST...



8 comments:

Pavan said...

Wat i hv observd is maximum number of places in int mah and kar whose maximum temp has nt crossd 40deg this summer are reelng under drought fr example pune satara kolapur belgaum dharwad chitradurga, in comparison with gulbarga bhramapuri kakinada is there any relation if yes do explan

Rajan Alexander said...

Hi Rajesh! I thought the ridge already formed around Kerala. Ok. It should be higher. The anti-cyclone must also have been formed, if not the north-east trough could not have taken a north-western deflection.

So what say you? Maybe a delay of a week, but all elements now in place for a good monsoon?

Ron said...

raining heavily for the past 45minutes...

Ron said...

very heavy rain again in deonar...

sset said...

correct. Navi Mumbai raining non-stop!!!

Shitij said...

Yesterday night some areas of Surat received some heavy showers Some areas got heavy showers for 2 hours while some areas got heavy showers only for 15 minutes. Today also Surat receives some sharp short spell showers.

sridhar said...

different models are showing different MJO STATUS /FORECAST..???

rajesh said...

Ron: at least the AWS shows 30 mms. SCruz was 4 mms and Colaba 9 mmms.Here Vagaries recorded 12 mms. All till 8 pm.
sset: There were heavy showers in Navi Mumbai, but almost as much as city..unofficial rain was 22 mms till 5.30 pm...
Rain expected tomorrow night into Tuesday,more on Tuesday...but wait for update...a little late (tennis is interesting -:))