Friday, October 25, 2019


Posted Friday 25th Afternoon:
Projected paths are many by different Models...But the path according to Vagaries is maintained as shown below...

Look at the dry air waiting in the West ! Surely will weaken the Cyclone "Kyaar" after stage 3.
Dry air starts fro shade s of Blue.


Mumbai: Rains continue at moderate rate, ( upto 15 mms /day next 2 days) but expect a heavy shower on Friday night in some parts. 
Decrease after Sunday. 
Another system coming from Bay may increase rains later next week.

Pune: Rains continue at moderate rate, ( upto 1-7 mms /day next 2 days) but expect a heavy shower on Friday night in some parts. 
Decrease after Sunday. 
Another system coming from Bay may increase rains later next week.
{Expected heavy spell for Pune did not materialise expect for day long drizzles on Thursday/Friday Night. 
Due to the SW winds not penetrating inland as the convective band of the Depression was compact in the Easter quadrant. Easterly winds were too weak also.}

Chances good of Kathiawar Rains this weekend.

Chennai to get good rains post Sunday as new system forms.


5 comments:

sanjeev Gokhale said...

Sir, when these systems stop coming. Never seen such in last many years.mumbai rain stops after dashahara. Why systems forming this year in October.?

sset said...

+ve iod + MOJO favoring Arabian sea -> this is making more like SWM westerlies.
Sanjeev Rajesh Sir has already explained in the blog.

Due to this NEM has become weak over much required parched Tamil Nadu, rains are in some-other areas. Last year 2018 cyclone Thithli, Fani,WDs spoiled NEM.

Vijayanand said...

Thanks for the update. Seems like western movement will start tomorrow.

Vijayanand said...

Thanks Rajesh sir for your forecast and allowing free discussion on weather topics. A lot of blogs can take cue from vagaries.

Cumulus arjun said...

Happy diwali sir

Posted Monday 18th November : Unseasonal extra rainfall for some cities from cyclones Mid October-Mid November ----...