Wednesday, October 23, 2019

Posted Wednesday 23rd afternoon:

Alert for Pune !
According to developments and indications today, there is a possibility of The System AS-4 moving N/NE, and coming SW of Mumbai. SW winds will interact inland over Madhya Maharashtra  with Easterlies ....Hence

Heavy rains with thunder  in Pune Region from Wednesday 23rd evening . Thursday 24th day will be getting intermittent rains and heavy in evening. Friday 25th will also see occasional rain with heavy spells. 
Accumulated rainfall from Thursday evening to Friday morning will be more than 100 mms.
Day will be cool at 23c on Thursday and Friday.

Mumbai will get light to moderate rains Wednesday 23rd thru Friday 25th, daily around 5-15 mms. Slight increase on Thursday night.

Heavy showers expected in Roha/Panvel areas.
Aurangabad will get moderate rains on Thursday, with heavy showers on Thursday Night and Friday evening.

Saurashtra Coast and South Gujarat coast to get sporadic thunder showers, and moderate rains next 2 days.

21 comments:

Rawat said...

Sir where this System will eventually end up?

hariram said...

dear sir ,

what is meant by wml ?

hariram said...

what is meant by wml ?

hariram said...

wml explanation meaning

NilaY Wankawala said...

sir thanks for almost every day updates on this one

sset said...

Entire Tamil Nadu - just single digit rain today - peak NEM. Useless Arabian Sea system and Western Disturbances. If these pattern continue every year then Tamil Nadu, South Andhra will become deserts.

Entire Konkan red alert by IMD - as AS low moves very near to west coast on 25th! Tragedy for TN to miss bounty share and give to already excess+++ MAHA.

sset said...

useless Arabian Sea cyclone - 'Kayar' to give torrential rains for Konkan

NilaY Wankawala said...

SOURCE SKYMET - KARNATAKA, KONKAN AND GOA PUT ON ALERT AS THE FORMATION OF CYCLONE ‘KYARR’ NEARS

click for more information https://www.skymetweather.com/content/weather-news-and-analysis/karnataka-konkan-and-goa-put-on-alert-as-the-formation-of-cyclone-kayar-nears/

Unknown said...

Again to restore credibility in the comments section, for those who are getting misled by someone about low Andhra rains, please refer here to the official statistics from the state itself

https://www.apsdps.ap.gov.in/pages/early_warning_center.html#

As clearly noticed, AP has received normal rains this year. Except Kadapa, even Rayalseema has received normal rainfall. Moreover thanks to surplus rains in Karnataka, most rivers like Tungabhadra are also flowing full.

And more rains in store through the NEM season ahead.

Suresh

Unknown said...

And furthermore to restore more credibility, there is repeated mention by someone about 300-500 mm rain needed in 24 hours for Southern Regions. Anyone with basic sense of weather will know that this type of rainfall is destructive in nature and can severely impacted people with floods. Chennai witnessed this tragedy just 4 years back. Such huge rainfall is not necessary at all. Western india does witness such rains but only due to geographical location of the Western Ghats. But it can cause enormous damage which should never be hoped for. Mumbai is probably the only city in the world which can face such huge bursts of rainfall thanks to a reasonable drainage which is in fact unfortunately underestimated by many of us. But even Mumbai nowadays struggles more than before. So let us always hope for a steady rainfall rather than big heavy bouts which can only bring misery to common people.

Suresh

emkay said...

Find a case study for psychologists regarding a certain viewer of this blog about cynicism in humanbeings.

NilaY Wankawala said...

So let us always hope for a steady rainfall rather than big heavy bouts which can only bring misery to common people.

Suresh

I fully support Suresh's opinion. Ideal situation for all. But we all are at mercy of weather which has its own course and hence ther can not be any better name for a blog on weather that desctibes its own pattern-vagaries of weather.

Abizer kachwala said...

Rajesh sir,its sunny in Nagothane..please update on system track

sset said...

Suresh - after 5 years of drought (which is very long period) - Rayalseema was lucky to get some rains, but Tamil Nadu rains have been dismantled due to AS low and WD interference - both are not good for NEM - inspite of ridge over Mayanmer. Worry factor is frequent occurrence of these rogue systems.

Shri said...

Climate is good in Pune today..Sun is out.Hope it remains the same atleast till evening.

Shri said...

Weather in Pune is nice and dry today since morning.Had a bit of rain late night or early in the morning.Hope it remains the same till evening , a lot of people are travelling back today to their hometowns for Diwali.

NilaY Wankawala said...

Latest snippets at blog are always there to give clarity and remove confusion- indeed incredible updates

sset said...

Extreme rains to Orissa instead of south east India TamilNadu.... all hopes gone.
Krushnaprasad puri 249
Chikiti ganjam 203
Rangaliunda ganjam 192
Patrapur ganjam 185 mm

Saurabh said...

SSET
2015 Chennai had floods and overall NEM had a big surplus. I am sure you know that.
This is 2019. It is early days for NEM but at this stage TN is +11, Rayalseema + 26 and Coastal AP is +39.
How do you come up with "5 years of drought"? As usual you are fabricating stuff. As usual i don't understand why.
Regards
Saurabh

Unknown said...

Since the goal post is shifted to Tamil Nadu instead of Andhra or Karnataka, I have to again state facts and statistics. This year so Tamil Nadu has received normal or surplus rainfall through the SWM period first and now since the few days that NEM started, NEM has another almost 45 days to finish it's run. So very premature now to start cribbing.

We know that Chennai especially has had a bad 2 years of NEM and facing a severe water crisis. All rain lovers hope that the 2019 NEM will bring them relief and fill all lakes there.

But that does not mean that we should forget facts of the current season and confuse readers of this blog. Vagaries has a very high reputation amongst weather lovers. Rajesh and his team are putting in enormous effort to project very sensible information to readers without any hype and also reaches an international audience. So it is important that each one of us respects this and do not post comments which are not backed by facts or statistics. Otherwise we will destroy the credibility of the comments section.

Suresh

Unknown said...

To add, for people interested only in Southern India rains, there are multiple other blog sites exclusive to rains there. Please feel free to post such comments there.
The only problem can be that readers of those blogs can be extremely hostile to such illogical comments and drive the person out of the blog. Not every blog has the kind tolerance limits that Vagaries and it's readers display, I really hope that the dignified approach of this blog is respected and enjoyed. Some people enjoy by provoking other people to their worst while some enjoy by provoking others to their best. Rajesh and team have always believed in the second approach and hope we all readers will attempt that too.

I hope this message is well understood in true context.

Suresh

Posted Monday 18th November : Unseasonal extra rainfall for some cities from cyclones Mid October-Mid November ----...