Thursday, October 17, 2019

Posted 17th Thursday morning :
Southwest monsoon has withdrawn
 from the entire country and northeast monsoon rains have commenced over Tamilnadu & adjoining areas
But, a post monsoon low in the Arabian Sea forming at 70E and 10N on Thursday is likely to track N/NW.

Weekend rains likely in interiors of Maharashtra including Marathwada.
Maharashtra on Monday will be cloudy with showers.
Monday will see occasional light to medium rain.

Pune : Rains from Friday evening and Saturday light and medium thunder showers. Cool Sunday maximum at 25c.with thunder showers. 
Around 35-50 mms Friday - Monday 
Rains stretching in Mumbai and pune into next week. 

Mumbai : Rains on the weekend with some rain showers from Friday evening. Saturday will see light to moderate rains in many parts. 
Sunday will be cloudy and pleasant with intermittent showers.
Around 20-35 mms Friday - Monday. . 

7 comments:

Saurabh said...

Good start to NEM.

sset said...

It is NEM - rains required for TN/SAP - parched south east India.
But AS is host low - extreme rains for MAHA/Mumbai/GUJ - what is happening??

sset said...

Next culprit will be WD - this may take bay system to NE India - again problem for SE India.

Saurabh said...

Chennai has received 1st 3 digit rainfall of the season.

sset said...

Saurabh : to tide away 5 years of drought in SE India - single spell of 100mm will never suffice. Requires consistent heavy rains for months. Chennai few months back - zero day- all lakes dry, IT companies close. SE India depends 80% on fragile NEM.
Recent years erstwhile dry states like RAJ/GUJ are comfortably receiving 300-500mm of rains multiple times during SWM. NEM season is very small and is impacted by factors like WD, AS lows. Hardly 1 day NEM started AS system interferes in between. Let us see if things improve.

sset said...

Navi Mumbai heavy rains -- looks like 2017 Ockhi cyclone! Assured dump of 100mm ++. Look like rains will continue till end of year - Arabian sea seems to be in agitated state - +IOD ?? Lows keeo moving towards MAHA/GUJ.

Saurabh said...

Since July India has been receiving surplus rains. This trend looks all set to continue.
Thats good news for NEM.

Most places cant take 300-500 cm rain in 24 hours. I would not wish for that.

Posted Monday 18th November : Unseasonal extra rainfall for some cities from cyclones Mid October-Mid November ----...