Friday, August 05, 2016

Posted Saturday Night:
Rains Lash Gujarat:
Jamnagar District received heavy rains on Friday/Saturday:
Rain as on Saturday Morning in mms: Dhrol 341, JamJodhpur 210, Jamnagar 28, Jodia 57, Kalavad 266, Lalpur 185

Kutch, usually a desert region received good rainfall Friday/Saturday, flooding the region:
Rain as on Saturday Morning:Rapar 102 mms, Abdasa 86 mms,  Naliya 74 mms,  Lakhpat 71 mms, Nakhatrana 59 mms, Bhuj 55 mms, Mundra 49 mms, Mandvi 46 mms, Gandhdham 45 mms.  

Some Pics from Kutch




Good overnight rainfall in Sindh in mms:Thatta, Badin 48, Karachi (Landi 47, Gulshan e Hadid 45, Faisal 40, A/P 36,Gulistan e Johar 34, North karachi 30, Sadar 30, Masroor 26), Hyderabad 30, Sukkur 26, Dadu 18, Shaheed Benazirabad 09, Mithi 08, 


Rainfall on Saturday almost entirely in the expected regions (As posted on Friday..See below)....Surat missed out but Valsad (Also South Gujarat)got 64 mms on Saturday day time.




Breaking News - As on 6th Morning...Kitwade 528 mm....
on 5.08.16 - 416 mm
on 4.08.16 - 400 mm.
..Info from Pradeep John

For Yesterday's Mumbai Regional rains, see Mumbai Page Updated




Posted Friday Night:
The erstwhile BB-5 has again descended to sea level as a Low, and being embedded in the Monsoon trough, it has brought the Monsoon axis ( Western End) Southwards to Kutch/adjoing Rajasthan and Sindh.
BB-6 is now over North Chattisgarh.

Weekend Estimate:
Saturday: Heavy and widespread rains likely in Kutch, South Gujarat (Surat) and South East/South Sindh region of Pakistan.Some pockets of South Rajasthan and South West MP (Indore) may get showers.
Reduced rainfall along the Konkan Belt ( Few places in Interior North Konkan may get a few heavy showers on Saturday) and Madhya Maharashtra and Odisha.
Sunday: Possible BB-5 re-organised will move West into Pakistan Sindh region. Heavy showers in some towns in Sindh. 
Possible good showers in M.P, North Punjab (Both) and HP on Sunday.

Mumbai: Heavy rains Friday night...
Much reduced rainfall on Saturday and Sunday. With a few heavy passing showers (of shorter duration), city may see periods of sunshine. Reduced rainfall around 20-25 mms per day.
Pune: Having got its share, now, light and much reduced rainfall on Saturday and Sunday.Cool day on Saturday. 
Karachi: Though less, showers to some extent will continue on Saturday. Sunday will be partly cloudy with light rain in some parts.
Delhi NCR: Rains increasing from Sunday. Monday may see heavy showers. More in the next forecast about Monday as axis moves North again towards Delhi/UP region..
Jabalpur: 25-35 mms of rain expected in Jabalpur on Saturday.
Heavy showers in Roha/Panvel region amounting to 35-45 mms on Saturday and Sunday.


Rainfall over our Region in the Last 24 hrs:
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Mumbai/ Pune Region:
Incessant heavy showers lashed Central and North Mumbai on Friday (till afternoon): Some amounts from 8.30 am -5.30 pm IST Friday:
Mumbai: Deonar 153 mms (Vagarian Private ),  Scruz 129 mms, Vagaries (South-Central) Mumbai 110 mms, Colaba 22 mms, 
Pic of Mumbai on Friday by Vag.Salil

Pune received good rains on Friday, with release of dam waters, the Local rivers were in spate. 

Amount of Rain till 5.30 pm Friday: Pune Pashan 46 mms,City 43 mms . Max temp 24.7c. 
On Friday till 5.30 pm, Bhimashankar 148 mms, Khandala 133 mms, Shirgaon 132 mms,  Pawna Dam 126 mms, Mahableshwar got 117 mms, Koyna 101 mms, Dhanu 61 mms and Ratnagiri 42 mms

Overnight rain ( As on Friday Morning) in Panshet Reservoir was 64 mms, Warasgaon 57 mms, Pawna 56 mms, Mulshi 53 mms, 

MulaMutha in spate (From Vagarian Pawan)

Gujarat:

UAC over the region brought a rainy day ( Friday 5th August) in some cities of Gujarat also: In 9 hrs: Rajkot 107 mms, Porbubdar 73 mms, Naliya (Kutch) 50 mms, 
Heavy overnight rains in Saurashtra:In cms:KHAMBHALIA (DIST DEVBHOOMI DWARKA) 23, LALPUR (DIST JAMNAGAR) 20, BHANVAD (DIST DEVBHOOMI DWARKA) 14, JAMJODHPUR (DIST JAMNAGAR) 12, RANAVAV (DIST PORBANDAR) 11  KUTIANA (DIST PORBANDAR) 8, JAMNAGAR (DIST JAMNAGAR) 8, PORBANDAR (DIST PORBANDAR) 8, KALYANPUR (DIST DEVBHOOMI DWARKA) 8, JUNAGADH (DIST JUNAGADH) 7
Several places in Kutch got between 10-40 mms.
Ahmadabad had 110 mms of rain till Friday morning.

Odisha:

Rains in Odisha from BB-6: ( Friday Morning 8.30 am in Cms):
SAMBALPUR 16, KANTAMAL 15,TARVA ARG 15, RAIRAKHOL 13,BOLANGIR 12, KAKATPUR 12, KOTAGARH 12,AMBADOLA 12,JAJPUR 10,JAIPATNA 10


More on Weekend Weather tonight by 11.30 pm IST...


17 comments:

rajesh said...

Friday rainfall in Karachi from Jawad:Karachi rainfall (mm) according to PMD Landhi 35 mm Gulshan e Hadeed 20 mm Gulistan johar 12.2 mm Airport 9.2 mm North karachi 7 mm Masroor base 7 mm

SVT said...

Any explanation why Mumbai got 130mm rains around 6 hours in the morning of friday? Vortex formed?

rajesh said...

SVT: As always explained, the off shore west coast trough generally strengthens when the seasonal Low over West India is strong. And weakens during the opposite. Now, the seasonal low, alongwith the monsoon axis has shifted South to Kutch, and the region has a Low (BB-5). That means the "fulcrum" of the west coast off shore trough is strong, and has to strengthen the trough also. So, on Friday, an UAC formed off the North Konkan coast at 700 levels. Such UACs strengthen the trough, but disappear as fast as they form, or merge with the trough. This caused heavy rains in Central and north Mumbai.
This could have been forecasted, knowing the formation of BB-5.
Now, as BB-5 fizzles out, the axis will move North from Monday. And the off shore trough could get weak. Reducing rains along Konkan next week.

sset said...

Maybe most of MAHA extreme rains this monsoon was due to presence of west coast trough + UAC over GUJ/MAHA....
But as of now west coast trough has vanished from south india... even when it was present it did not give continuous 3 digit rains but only some disappointing odd 2 digit rains...

sset said...

Augumbe required another 1500mm to snatch crown from Harnai!!

sset said...

Sorry I am wrong - just saw Pradeepji has posted places in MAHA with 6000-7000mm of rain since june - that means Augumbe can never make even to top 10-15. Probably Pradeep needs to put these in vagaries also.

rohit aroskar said...

..Monsoon city Mumbai Average Rains (1 Jun - 6 Aug 2016 ) : 2396 mms
..[ Highest @ Vihar : 3259 mms , Lowest @ CLB : 1444 mms ].. MONSOON ARRIVAL : 20 JUNE

..Goa state Average Rains ( 1 Jun - 6 Aug 2016) : 2349 mms..
..[ Highest @ Mormugao : 2797 mms , Lowest @ Valpoi :2091 mms ] ..
MONSOON ARRIVAL : 10 JUNE

rohit aroskar said...

Rains (1 Jun - 6 Aug 2016 )..Top 5 State Capitals/UTs ..
1.Panji : 2368 mms.. 2. Mumbai : 1945 .. 3. Itanagar :1560 .. 4.Gangtok : 1273 .. 5 .Bhopal : 950

sset said...

Saurashtra/Kutch receiving Mahabaleshwar kind of 3 digit rains. (in cm)
DHROL (DIST JAMNAGAR) 34, KALAVAD (DIST JAMNAGAR) 27, KHAMBHALIA (DIST DEVBHOOMI DWARKA) 23, DHROL_ARG (DIST DEVBHOOMI DWARKA) 23.......
Very soon GUJ may turn into near excess zone!!!
Mahabaleshwar again receives 25cm today.
Now even Bhira may overtake Augumbe..... Maha is becoming like Amazon rain forest!!

Nilay Wankawala said...

Raining and pouring in all information from all region under one bloG within no time; take this opportunity to congratulate all involved in collecting compiling and publishing the same here.

MIRAL KALWADIA said...

can anyone tell why there is so much discharging from bhatsa dam ?? as of 3rd august lake level at 139.39 meters and as of today its 137.23 meters ! even rate of discharge as of now is 169.5 cumecs !!

Salim Ramani said...

What great forecasting Rajesh Sir...
As per your forecast Jabalpur got 35.5 mm rain....
Mind blowing ....
Thank you so much sir

sset said...

Which is wettest spot in Maharashtra (june-aug) 2 months rain -> guess this would have got 7000-8000mm of rain (2 years of rain in 2 months!) - x


http://www.hindustantimes.com/cities/tamhini-ghat-near-pune-india-s-fifth-wettest-place-study-finds/story-KwBV5vbZcieEk7oSj3hXPK.html
Mysterious Tamhini ghat -> wettest inspite on leeward side.

If this trend of rain continues for next 2 months MAHA will become amazon rain forest!

santosh verma said...

bhopal lash by 10cm rain in last 24 hours and get past normal seasonal rainfall figure of this year amazing rain in madhya parsdesh

Cumulus Arjun said...

Sir, can you tell future forecast of Mumbai till August 13-15th?

rajesh said...

Arjun: For Mumbai, This week will remain at the normal rainfall rate of upt 20-25mms/day. I am not an expert and cannot forecast beyond 5 days.
Salim Ramani: Thanks for the feed back. It is feedback from readers, whether negative or positive, that encourages me to write and keep blog upto date.
Miral : Water is discharged from Bhatsa in anticipation of more inflow. Bhatsa cannot be filled beyond a limit.
sset: I am not too sure, and do not confirm with, this years' Harnai rainfall. seems something wrong somewhere.

Cumulus Arjun said...

Thanks sir for your precise forecast!