Thursday, August 11, 2016

Posted Thursday Night ( 11th August):

BB-7 now over Jharkhand, will track W/NW towards East MP /Southern U.P.  It will gradually weaken and "break up" in the Himalayan foothills over Nepal.

Friday 12th: From BB-7: Showers, some heavy expected in East M.P ( Shahdol can get upto 60-70 mms), Northern Chattisgarh, South-East U.P. and Bihar. Heavy showers will cause flooding in the rivers of the region by Saturday.
Isolated patches of heavy rains in East M.P. Showers from  UAC, remnant of BB-6, in Delhi NCR, North Rajasthan and adjoing West U.P.

Saturday 13th: Heavy rains in South and Central U.P. and adjoining North Chattisgarh and East M.P due to weakening BB-7.
Remant UAC of BB-6 brings heavy rains to West U.P, Delhi NCR and adjoining Northern M.P.

Sunday 14th: BB-7 merges with the axis in the Himalayan foothills, hence reduced rains in U.P.and NCR.

Overall rains reducing substantially in Gujarat, West Coast and entire Peninsula regions. 
Monsoon axis will be in the Himalayan foothills by Sunday." Break Monsoon" conditions in Peninsula, West coast,Gujarat, Rajasthan and most of Central India from Sunday. Almost dry and very light rains in Interior Maharashtra. Could last for at least 4 days.
Sindh region of Pakistan remains dry this weekend.

City Weather this Weekend:
Mumbai: This weekend will see reduced rains, a few passing showers with partly cloudy skies. Day getting hot on Saturday/Sunday. 10-15 mms on Friday and around 10 mms per day on Saturday and Sunday ...
Pune: Warm day, with light drizzles in parts of city.

Delhi NCR: Friday/Saturday and Sunday will be cloudy with several showers, some heavy with thunder. Rainy conditions for Friday and Saturday.

Jabalpur: A few showers on Friday, with a increase in rains on Saturday.

Kolkata: Weekend will see a few showers , around 10 mms per day. But rains increasing from Tuesday next.

14 comments:

ANOOP RAWAT said...

sir, As you mentioned rain has increased in NCR.parts of NCR got heavy rain today afternoon. can BB7 as a low move toward north india?

rajesh said...

On Request:
Valsad: Partly sunny with few showers. Weekend will not see much rains, maybe 15-20 mms cumulative.
Panchgani: Much reduced rains with partly sunny conditions this weekend.Few passing showers, some heavy. Mahableshwar will be foggy at times with heavy showers.
Abu Dhabi: Saturday will see very windy and dusty conditions.Cloudy and hazy conditions with few drops of rain in some pockets. Days will be very hot at 44/45c.
Interior Karnataka also falls in line of reduced rains next few days

Unknown said...

Thank you Rajesh for your feedback to my response. But since you ask at the end whether we get your point. Just to clarify as you would have seen from my comment I was already on your side ! I am all for full freedom of speech and writing at all times, even though some people get repititively boring at times. I have one request though. Everyone here has the courage to put his name behind the comment except some strange people. Can you atleast make it mandatory that people put their name ? Hope this is a basic norm which people can adhere to ?

Suresh

Vijayanand said...

Thanks for your inputs. One bad apple spoils the whole bunch. I have nothing more to say.

Cumulus Arjun said...

Nowadays only overcast with few showers. Expecting this weather to continue till Monday. What's the forecast after that!????????

Unknown said...

Arjun I know you are a young boy probably. One small guidance as a friendly elder. Rajesh has repeatedly mentioned many times that he does not give long range forecast. So request you to please do not ask him always what is the forecast beyond what he has forecasted. He himself updates as and when he knows something. So even though all of us including me are very keen to know what lies ahead during the monsoon, at the same time we need to be patient. Rajesh and his team are doing a great job in sharing all possible inormation. So let us only put questions to them which are truly relevant enough for them to be able to answer. As i learn from other sites, you seem to be quite young so please take this as just an advice. But really good to see you developing such an interest in weather at a young age. Keep learning from Rajesh and Vagaries team. Great weather education.

Suresh

Saurabh Dwivedi said...

Since the monsoon began this is the best(maximum spread of blues/greens) picture so far.
http://www.imdpune.gov.in/Seasons/Pre_Monsoon/seasonal-rain.jpg

The reds are all regions with high rainfall and also their monsoon extends beyond September and they get rain is May as well which is not accounted for here.

That is what makes this monsoon great so far. Excess rain and the distribution is not bad either.

Saurabh Dwivedi said...

Since the monsoon began this is the best(maximum spread of blues/greens) picture so far.
http://www.imdpune.gov.in/Seasons/Pre_Monsoon/seasonal-rain.jpg

The reds are all regions with high rainfall and also their monsoon extends beyond September and they get rain is May as well which is not accounted for here.

That is what makes this monsoon great so far. Excess rain and the distribution is not bad either.

sset said...

cauvery catchment is in deficit of 54% !. Cloud seeding dropped due to unfavorable conditions.

http://www.bangaloremirror.com/news/state/State-drops-cloud-seeding-grand-plan/articleshow/53676916.cms

PRABHAKARAN S said...

Hello Sir,

I am happy that it is raining good in northern parts.

But I am from Tamilnadu, really disappointed about deficit in catchment areas of Bhavani and Cauvery.As As a son of farmer eagerly waiting for water from Bhavani.

So when can we expect good wet spell in the catchment areas? Normal date of water release is tomorrow.Not sure if we can start cultivate. It can be useful if u share your views. My appreciations for this blog. I am following it for more than four years.

sset said...
This comment has been removed by the author.
sset said...

Just wondering in spite of negative IOD why rains have eluded kerala / southern KAR (catchment areas for Cauvery)

abizer Kachwala said...

Rajesh sir,i had visited mumbai today morning,it was mainly sunny ,very humid weather,feeling sultry and uncomfortable.....in contrast pen,roha,nagothane do not experience such sultry weather.Why?

rajesh said...

abizer: Roha etc are slightly inland and away from direct sea. Even 10 kms inand makes a different, and can turn to low humidity.

Prabhakaran: If you are asking for Tamil Nadu region, then this is definitely not the peak season . TN falls in rain shadow areas. But, sometimes we can get some heavy showers in TN from the SW Monsoon when a stronger current from off shore conditions on west coast improve.
In catchment areas of Cauvery and Bhavani, the rains are less, and now as i had mentioned there is a further slowing in Peninsula. Hoping for some improvement in last week of this month.