Sunday, August 07, 2016



Breaking News on SWM Toppers 2016.

Kitwade slows down and records 220 mm on 09.08.2016 and overtakes Mawsynaram to become the undisputed No.2 in SWM 2016 race and has a tally of 6094 mm for the season from June 1 to August 09, 2016. The No.1 Topper will be putup by 4.00 pm along with Toppers.

Pics of Kitwade on Reader's Page by Vag.Naveen Reddy
Flash News from Pradeep:.........................
Kitwade gets 451 mm today ( Monday Morning) and is close to becoming No.1 Wettest Station in India in 2016 SWM. Overtakes Cherrapunji. Only Mawsynaram is ahead.
Kitwade Rainfall in past 7 days in mm
=======================
08.08.2016 - 451
07.08.2016 - 341
06.08.2016 - 528
05.08.2016 - 416
04.08.2016 - 400
03.08.2016 - 295
02.08.2016 - 227
--------------------
Total - 2658 mm


Posted Sunday 7th Night:

1> BB-5 has weakened and now is an UAC over Sindh/ Rajasthan, embedded in the Monsoon Axis.

2> BB-6 moved a bit West and now over M.P. Expected to move along the axis..Axis runs fro Central sindh/Rajasthan/M.P./ Jharkahnd/ and South Bengal. 

3> Monday: Pockets of heavy showers in West M.P. and adjoining Gujarat Region.Very windy in West M.P.and adjoining Gujarat. 
Tuesday: Rains moving West into Gujarat region and weakening.Will not move towards Kutch/Sindh.Reduced rains in Coastal Gujarat( South Guj), Konkan and Maharastra. 

4> An off Shore trough can form off G.West Bengal/Odisha Coast on Monday and Tuesday.Rainfall activity likely in GWB and parts of Odiasha on Monday/Tuesday.

Karachi: A couple of light showers on Monday. Decreasing rains from Tuesday.
Mumbai: Partly cloudy, with a couple of heavy showers on Monday and Tuesday.
Kolkata: Monday/Tuesday: Several passing showers , some heavy. rainfall around 20-30 mms/day.
--------------------
Fairly good rains occured in Punjab and HP  (as forecasted on Friday). Some rain amounts 
HIMACHAL PRADESH:In Cms: DEHRA GOPIPUR 20, SALONI 10, NAINA DAVI 10, KANGRA AERO 8, DALHOUSI ALHA AWS 7, DHARAMPUR 7, SARKAGHAT 6 CHAMBA AWS 6 SOLAN 5 UNA 5.
and Punjab: PUNJAB:In Cms: SHAHPUR KANDI 20,RANJIT SAGAR DAM SITE 15, MUKERIAN 15, PHANGOTA 14, MADHOPUR 13, MALAKPUR 11, GURUDASPUR 10, TIBRI 9, SANGRUR 6

Heavy rains occured in North Punjab (Pakistan) with rain amounts like  In mms: Sialkot 58, Rawalpindi (Shamasabad 32, Chaklala 04), Murree 31, Gujranwala 18, Gujrat 15, Mangla 12, M.B Din 09, Jhang 07, Lahore 04.

Sindh received good showers also...In mms:: Hyderabad 52, Mirpurkhas 40, Karachi (Masroor 40, North Karachi 22, Landhi 10, A/P 08), Sh. Benazirabad 18, Chorr 14

Kitwade ( Maharashtra) Rainfall in past 6 days in mm - One of the greatest streaks of rainfall excluding Cherra and Mawsynaram
=======================
07.08.2016 - 341
06.08.2016 - 528
05.08.2016 - 416
04.08.2016 - 400
03.08.2016 - 295
02.08.2016 - 227
--------------------
Total - 2207 mm...Info by Pradeep John.

14 comments:

Zohair said...

Thank u so much sir :) sir what abt axis, do u see its southward movement in Aug again?

rajesh said...

Zohair: Difficult to commit for August...

Arjun: For Mumbai, This week will remain at the normal rainfall rate of upt 20-25mms/day. I am not an expert and cannot forecast beyond 5 days.
Salim Ramani: Thanks for the feed back. It is feedback from readers, whether negative or positive, that encourages me to write and keep blog upto date.
Miral : Water is discharged from Bhatsa in anticipation of more inflow. Bhatsa cannot be filled beyond a limit.
sset: I am not too sure, and do not confirm with, this years' Harnai rainfall. seems something wrong somewhere.

rajesh said...

Answering a query: Ahmadabad may receive around 60-80 mms cumulative on Monday and Tuesday.

Ankit patel said...

Thanks sir for mention that query about Ahmedabad

MIRAL KALWADIA said...

thankyou rajesh sir for the reply ! and your way of forecasting are amazing !!

kaushik nayak said...

I think there is something wrong with the rain gauge for kitwade.please check before posting such figures.

Vinod Desai said...

Where is this place Kitwade. Is it in Sindhudurg ?

sset said...

sorry Rajesh sir. Looking Pradeepji figures is MAHA Kitwade one of the wettest places in world? or it may eventually become? 2 months this much quantity!!!

Is there any relation this 2016 SWM between
MAHA coastal and ghat areas monstrous rains and unusual long dry drought like condition over Kerala and coastal KAR (almost no 3 digit continuous rains) - actually by these times it should have rained here.

TN pondicherry touches 40c....long wait for NEM....

Pradeep said...

Mr.Kaushik Nayak. i think you dont know about me. I have been compiling heavy rainfall across India for a while now.


1.Amboli – 7007
2.Tamini Ghat– 6511
3. Tilari Ghat – 6500 – 7000
4. Angiwade - 6366
5. Bhimashankar – 6000 -7000
6. Dudhkheda – 6350
7. Koyna - 6315
8. Kitwade - 6308
9. Shirshingi - 6241
10. Mahabaleshwar - 6230
11. Gaganbawada – 6210
12. Mulshi Dam – 5500-6500
13. Vaibhavwadi – 5913
14. Dajipur - 5822
15. Dukanwadi - 5710
16. Nerur - 5671
17. Sonat - 5669
18. Kankavali - 5485
19. Hardkhala - 5353
20. Dasve - 5334
21. Kati - 5323
22. Ghonsari - 5214
23. Matheran -5170
24. Tilariwadi - 5133
25. Phondaghat - 5036
26. Sangulwadi - 5024
27. Nardave - 4990
28. Kumbhi – 4985
29. Chatav - 4959
30. Koyna Dam – 4952
31. Het - 4935
32. Bhira - 4900
33. Awlegaon - 4811
34. Digawade - 4761
35. Pratapgad - 4743
36. Lonavala - 4700
37. Shivdav - 4674
38. Virdi - 4637
39. Talere - 4614
40. Lajul - 4569
41. Kasari - 4560
42.Kakewadi - 4556
43. Pimplas - 4550
44. Dhangarwadi - 4525
46. Karak - 4520
47.Tarandale - 4500
48.Karambavne - 4500
49.Prabhanvalli - 4500
50.Shirgaon - 4500



These are the Annual Averages of Maharashtra and you can see Kitwade wetter than Mahabaleshwar and Gaganbawada.

Further u can see in 2013 it had good streaks too

http://tamilnaduweatherman.blogspot.in/2013/08/greatest-spells-of-rainfall-in-this-swm.html


Further, Please see the page 47 - Most of rainfall occurs between June to October. Rest of the months are mostly dry. Maximum rainfall of
450 mm was recorded at Kitwade.

In the same report see page 49 the isohyetal map ghatprabha basin. You can see in the western fringes of Ajara 6875 mm rainfall. Its a small area which gets very extreme rainfall and it is the wettest belt in maharahstra. Very close by hardly 10 kms lies Amboli. The No.1 wettest place in Maharashtra.

It is not delhi or chennai recording 400 -500 mm daily. Its a giant which is recording extreme rainfall. Why should i doubt it. Its from Authentic source.

https://wrd.maharashtra.gov.in/portal/content/default/pdf/events/K3Draft.pdf;jsessionid=f8UGtGc3z4oy+WuAkg99Og**


Atleast now u know about kitwade. - Wondering where it is

https://www.google.co.in/maps/dir/Amboli,+Maharashtra/Kitvade,+Maharashtra/@16.0104905,73.9655754,12z/data=!3m1!4b1!4m14!4m13!1m5!1m1!1s0x3bc077a18e5891ab:0x37b84c05e0a2123f!2m2!1d74.0035709!2d15.9647156!1m5!1m1!1s0x3bc07a7afa0ba329:0x3909b807a4ad35d7!2m2!1d74.0417628!2d16.0559946!3e0

Paresh Shah said...

Thnx Pradeepji, for the detailed explanation. It should satisfy all those who were doubting. Thanks for these figures and the efforts that you take.

Nilay Wankawala said...

vagaries of weather - always known for its reliability, authentic figures and speedy accurate information, Mr kaushik Nayak may be new reader here should have gone through number of years blog is in existence, speed with which it provides genuine information and Hard work that contributors does before publishing any material here

rajesh said...

kaushik nayak: Kaushik, please note and be rest assured that Vagaries' posting is always authentic and correct.It is because of this tradition of accuracy, which all the authors of Vagaries stick to, that readers have full faith in vagaries' reports and articles.

Cumulus Arjun said...

Not much rains today here in goregaon in Mumbai north west. A heavy shower drenched here in afternoon and nothing after that but now lightly raining

ANOOP RAWAT said...

Jodhpur 15cm rain.wow!almost 200mm in 48 hours